Shin karatun NFP na ƙarshe na 2017 zai ƙare tare da kara, ko ɓoyewa?
A ranar Juma'a 8 ga Disamba a 13:30 na yamma agogon GMT, sashen BLS na gwamnatin Amurka zai buga sabon bayanan NFP (ba na biyan albashi ba) da na karshe na 2017. Haɗe da wannan bayanan na NFP wani mahimmin kalandar tattalin arziki mai mahimmanci, sabon bayanan rashin aikin yi. , za a kuma isar da shi, a halin yanzu a 4.1% hasashen na matakin rashin aikin yi ya kasance ba canzawa ba. Hasashen lambar NFP, wanda aka tattara daga masana tattalin arziki daban-daban da kamfanin dillancin labarai na Reuters ya zayyana, na ayyukan 195k ne da za a kara wa ma'aikata a watan Nuwamba. Wannan zai wakilci faɗuwa sosai daga 261k da aka kirkira a watan Oktoba kuma aka lissafa shi a cikin watan Nuwamba.
A kusan 195k lambar ayyuka (idan adadin da aka buga ya yi daidai da hasashen) har yanzu zai kasance sama da matsakaita na shekara, a cikin farkon watanni tara na 2017 matsakaita ya kai 176k a wata. Da zarar lokacin guguwa ya buge lambobin sai ya zama ya lalace sosai, saboda haka karancin karatun watan Satumba mai ƙaran -33k da ƙaramin karatun Oktoba a cikin 261k, ana iya ɗauka a matsayin fitattu. Koyaya, manazarta da masu saka hannun jari na iya damu da cewa idan lambar ta shigo kusan 195k don ayyukan da aka kirkira a watan Nuwamba, to ba ƙaramar hanyar ayyukan lokaci zuwa gaba ɗaya adadin.
Sabbin canjin bayanan biyan albashi na masu zaman kansu na ADP, don ayyukan da aka kirkira a watan Nuwamba, ya zo daidai akan hasashe a 190k lokacin da aka buga shi a ranar Laraba, wannan karatun mai mahimmanci ana duba shi a matsayin wata alama ta nuna alamar daidaito ga lambar NFP, dangane da hasashen .
Dangane da tasiri, duka dangane da ƙimar dala da ƙimar kuɗin Amurka, lambobin NFP sun kasa motsa kasuwanni sosai a cikin recentan shekarun nan, yayin da tattalin arzikin Amurka ke ci gaba da ƙaura zuwa rikodin ƙananan lambobin marasa aikin yi a cikin monthsan watannin nan, kuma bayanan ayyukan NFP ya bayyana ya zama mai daidaituwa. Karatun -33k na watan Satumba wanda aka buga a watan Oktoba, ya kasa yin rijistar muhimmiyar motsi a cikin dalar Amurka ko wasu tsare-tsare, saboda yawancin masu sharhi da masu saka jari suna sane da dalilan da ke haifar da karancin karatun. Koyaya, za'a shawarci yan kasuwa (kamar koyaushe) su saka idanu kan wannan muhimmin tasirin kalanda na tattalin arziki a hankali, kamar yadda yakamata lambar ta rasa ko ta doke tsammanin ta wani nesa, to USD zata iya amsawa da sauri kuma ta dace da manyanta da kuma wasu ƙananan takwarorinta. .
MAGANAN MAGANAR TATTALIN ARZIKI NA TATTALIN ARZIKIN Amurka.
• GDP 3.3%
• Hauhawar farashi 2%.
• Rashin aikin yi 4.1%.
• Kudin sha'awa 1.25%.
• ADP yakai 190k.
• Yawan kaso mai tsoka na kaso 62.7%.
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