Yuro zai yi aiki idan (kamar yadda ake tsammani), ECB ta ba da sanarwar lokaci don rage shirin sayan kadinta a ranar Alhamis?
Ranar Alhamis 26 ga Oktoba, a 11:45 GMT, babban bankin Eurozone, ECB, zai bayyana hukuncin da ya yanke game da kudin ruwa na kungiyar kasashen waje. Kudaden aron makulli na yanzu shine sifili kashi, tare da kudin ajiya da ke kasa da sifili, a -0.40% Wadannan kudaden gaggawa har yanzu suna daga matsayin koma bayan tattalin arziki da yankin Euro ya samu kansa jim kadan bayan kawunan rikicin rikicin kudi na duniya 2007/2008, karyewar bashi da sauran lamura, kamar su; rikicin bashin Girka. ECB ta tsunduma cikin shirin sayan kadara / bond don rage sauƙin rashin daraja.
Daga Maris 2015 har zuwa Maris 2016, matsakaicin saurin kowane wata na sayen kadara ya kai Euro biliyan 60. Daga Afrilu 2016 har zuwa Maris 2017 matsakaicin kuɗin kowane wata na sayayyar kadara ya kai Euro biliyan 80. Yawan yanzu shine € 60b a wata, tare da tsammanin ECB zai sanar da raguwa (taper) zuwa b 40b, ko € 30b a wata a ranar Alhamis, wataƙila zai fara a watan Disamba, ko kuma wataƙila Janairu 2018. ECB tana riƙe da aikawa don kiyaye hauhawar farashi CPI ƙasa da 2%, yanzu yana 1.5%.
Wasu manazarta sun yi imanin cewa ECB yana buƙatar fara farawa a yanzu, saboda ba za ta iya iya tura APP sama da fan tiriliyan 2.5 ba, a ƙarƙashin dokokin ta na yanzu da shugabanci kuma tare da jimillar sayayyar kadara a kan tsarin ƙididdigar ECB don isa zuwa circa € Tiriliyan 2.3 a ƙarshen 2017, shawarar ita ce ECB kawai tana da kusan b 200b da za a ba.
Don haka mayar da hankali zai kasance a kan labarin game da lokacin rage APP, sabanin duk wata sanarwar hauhawar farashi nan da nan, za a bayyana cikakkun bayanai game da su yayin taron manema labarai na Mario Draghi, da karfe 12:30 na dare agogon GMT. Ba a da ɗan tsammani game da hauhawar farashin da za a sanar a ranar Alhamis, duk da haka, masana tattalin arziki da yawa sun yi imanin cewa hauhawar farawar za ta fara farkon 2018, yayin da APP za ta ƙare a cikin 2018 bayan tsawon tapering. Ana tsammanin Mario Draghi zai rufe batutuwan biyu; na kudaden ruwa da APP, yayin taron manema labarai.
Yuro zai kasance cikin bincika sosai nan da nan bayan shawarar ƙimar (da kuma labarin da ke tattare da ƙimar amfani da ƙimar APP na yanzu), daidai har zuwa taron manema labarai da aka gudanar minti arba'in da biyar daga baya. A yayin wannan taga da kuma jim kadan bayan taron manema labarai za mu iya tsammanin karuwar canji da motsi a cikin nau'ikan kudin Euro, musamman idan akwai wani abin firgita ga batun gaba daya. Hasashe daga masana tattalin arziki da hukumomi suka yi tambaya, kamar su Reuters da Bloomberg, shine don yawan kudin ruwa ya kasance bai canza ba a sifili kuma shirin sayan kadara ya kasance ba canzawa ba, tare da jagorar gaba akan batutuwan biyu masu mahimmanci, don nuna canjin farawa daga farkon 2018 .
MAGANAR TATTALIN ARZIKI GA YARO YANZU
Kudin sha'awa 0.00%
Lambar APP € 60b kowace wata
Imar kumbura (CPI) 1.5%
Girma 2.3% (GDP na shekara-shekara)
Rashin aikin yi 9.1%
Hadadden PMI 55.9
Tallace-tallace na YoY 1.2%
Bashin Gwamnati v GDP 89.2%
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