TATTALIN SATI NA SATI NA 18/01 - 22/01 | KASUKAI NA KALLON YADDA AKA SADAUKARWA A LOKACIN DA TURAI Firaministan Tarayyar Turai zai iya bayar da abubuwan girgiza
Kodayake har yanzu tasirin tattalin arzikin yana bayyane a cikin halayyar kasuwa, ƙa'idoji sun fara tasiri game da zaman kasuwancin mako. Bayanai da aka lissafa a kan kalandar tattalin arziki kamar sakamakon GDP, adadin shigowa / fitarwa, jin dadi, jawaban jami'an Fed da ECB, da hauhawar farashi duk sun fara shafar kasuwanni.
Masu saka hannun jari na kasuwa, yan kasuwa da manazarta har yanzu suna yanke shawara bisa ga dalilai kamar Pandemic, Fadar Shugaban Amurka da Brexit, amma waɗannan batutuwan suna cikin wasu hanyoyin da aka saka farashi. Burtaniya ta fita daga Turai, don haka "yarjejeniyar ko babu ciniki" wuka- rikice rikice ya ƙare. Biden ya sami shiga cikin kwanaki bakwai. Duk tattalin arziƙi da al'ummomi sun fara duban baya ga mawuyacin halin da ake ciki na annoba a yanzu da zarar alluran rigakafi sun (da fatan) sun dakatar da yaduwar cutar.
Sake yin aiki shine babban ƙalubale da dama a cikin 2021
Babban ƙalubalen da ake fuskanta shine yadda za'a sake sake sashin ayyukan aiki sau ɗaya COVID-19 ya dawo. Tattalin arzikin Amurka ya yi rijista hada da karin rashin aikin yi sau 1.4 a mako a ranar Alhamis, 14 ga Janairu, alhali kuwa matsakaita ya kusan 100,000 (tare da yawancin ayyuka da aka kirkira kowane mako) a lokacin rigakafin. Wakilan daukar ma'aikata na Burtaniya yanzu suna bayar da rahoton karancin gurabu 36% kasa da wannan lokacin a bara.
Koyaya, ƙalubalen sake ginin aiki a ko'ina cikin Turai da Amurka na iya samar da ci gaban tattalin arziƙi ɗaya wanda ba'a gani ba shekaru da yawa. Shin 1920s da ke ruri za a sake yin su a cikin 2020s idan gwamnatoci da bankunan tsakiya suka haɗu da motsa jiki a wurin da bututun mai? Fashewar motsi, kashe kuɗi, zato da saka hannun jari na iya wuce duk abin da aka gani a zamanin yau da zarar an ɗage takunkumi.
Alamar daidaiton Amurka a cikin tsarin riƙewa yayin bikin rantsar da Biden ya gabato
Icesididdigar Weekan mako-mako na Amurka sun yi ciniki yayin da zaman New York ke shirin buɗewa a ranar Juma'a, 15 ga Janairu, kasuwannin nan gaba suna nuna buɗewa mara kyau. SPX ya yi ƙasa -0.93% kuma NASDAQ 100 ya sauka -1.59% kowane mako. Duk manyan fihirisan suna kan iyaka-shekara zuwa yau.
Mahalarta kasuwa kwanan nan sun yi musayar alamun adalci a cikin ƙananan hanyoyi, da tsauraran matakai a tsarin jira yayin da gwamnatocin shugaban ƙasa ke shirin canzawa. Biden ya yi alƙawarin turawa ta hanyar dala biliyan 1.9 na haɓaka kuɗaɗen tallafi da zarar ya kasance, kuma ra'ayoyi sun banbanta game da motsawar da aka riga aka saka farashi.
USD bulala a cikin manyan jeri a shirye-shiryen sabuwar gwamnati da kara kuzari
Dalar Amurka ta yi ciniki a wurare daban-daban kuma a wasu lokuta a cikin makon yayin kasuwannin waje suna narkar da bayanan tattalin arzikin Amurka da abubuwan da suka faru a kwanan nan a Washington. USD / JPY ya yi kasa -0.28% kowane mako, USD / CHF ya tashi 0.29%, GBP / USD ya tashi 0.61%, kuma EUR / USD ya sauka -0.68%.
Indexididdigar dala DXY ta tashi sama da 0.32% a mako. Da zarar gwamnatin Biden tayi allurar motsa jiki cikin tattalin arzikin Amurka USD za a fara bincike. Kasuwannin daidaito na iya tashi yayin da dala ke faɗuwa idan ba a ba da lissafin kuzarin ba.
Abubuwan kalanda na tattalin arziki don saka idanu a hankali mako mai zuwa
Ana buga ragowar bayanan kasar Sin a farkon farkon na Asiya Litinin zama, masu saka jari da 'yan kasuwa za su mai da hankali kan alkaluman ci gaban GDP. Hasashen yana nufin GDP na shekara-shekara ya haɓaka daga 4.9% zuwa 5.9%. Hasashen shine don saka hannun jari na kadara don nuna karuwar 3.2%, wanda ke nuna cikakken imanin masu saka hannun jari a cikin tattalin arzikin China. Gaggawar dawowa daga kasar Sin babban darasi ne ga gwamnatocin kasashen yamma dangane da shawo kan barkewar cutar COVID-19.
On Talata an buga sabon adadi na tunanin ZEW don tattalin arzikin Jamus da EZ. Hasashen yana ɗan faɗuwa a cikin cikakkiyar jin, wanda zai iya tasiri kan ƙimar EUR game da takwarorinta. Hasashen shine tsarin yankin Turai da zai faɗi da -1.6% shekara a shekara har zuwa Nuwamba.
An buga CPI don Burtaniya da Yankin Euro Laraba. Haɓakar farashi mara nauyi ta Reuters ta haɓaka a cikin tattalin arziƙin biyu. Bankin Kanada (BOC) ya fitar da sabon rahotonsa na kudi a yayin taron cinikayyar rana, wanda zai iya shafar darajar CAD da takwarorinsa.
Babban bankin zai kuma watsa yanke hukuncin kudin ruwa, kuma fata ba wani canji daga na 0.25% ba. Yammacin Yen ɗin yen na Japan zai zo a ƙarƙashin madubin ƙarfe lokacin da aka fitar da sabon fitarwa da daidaitattun ƙididdigar kasuwanci.
Dollarasar Aussie zata kasance cikin wasa yayin Alhamis Zauren Sydney lokacin da sabuwar Aus. rashin aikin yi / aikin yi ana sakewa. Tasirin COVID-19 akan Aus. tattalin arziki da al'umma sun kasance ba komai.
Kamar sauran ƙasashe na Hasashen Kudancin duniya, gwamnati ta magance cutar ta hanyar da ba ta dace ba; kasa da mutum dubu daya ne aka tabbatar da mutuwar har yanzu. Koyaya, an yi hasashen rashin aikin yi zai iya zuwa 1,000% lokacin da aka buga bayanan tare da ayyukan 6K kawai da aka kirkira a watan Disamba.
A yayin zaman Asiya, BOJ ya bayyana shawarar yanke hukunci na kwanan nan game da kudin ruwa, wanda zai iya shafar darajar yen idan aka sanar da canji daga -0.1% ko daidaitawa a cikin manufofinsu na kudi.
ECB zata sanar da sabon matakin yanke shawara game da kudin ruwa. Babu tsammanin canjin daga matakin bada rance na 0.00% na yanzu da -0.5% don ajiyar kuɗi. Mintuna arba'in da biyar bayan da aka sanar da shawarar da suka yanke, ECB za ta yi taron manema labarai. Yuro na iya canzawa yayin jawabai idan aka bayyana duk wani canjin manufar kudi.
Adadin mako-mako na rashin aikin yi daga Amurka ana buga shi a ranar Alhamis. Masu sharhi za su nemi faɗuwa a cikin da'awar mako-mako daga miliyan 1.4 da aka haɗa a rubuce a makon da ya gabata.
Jumma'a ta bayanan kalanda yana farawa tare da adadi na tallace-tallace na tallace-tallace daga Burtaniya Disamba zai nuna tashin saboda yanayin cinikin Xmas. Kafin a buɗe zaman na New York, sabon fitowar Janairu IHS Markit PMI ana buga shi don yawancin manyan ƙasashen EU da Burtaniya. Wadannan bayanan na iya firgita manazarta idan hasashen ya zama gaskiya. Misali, hasashe na cewa ayyukan Burtaniya zasu durkushe zuwa 38.4 daga 49.4 da kuma masana'antun Burtaniya su ragu daga 57.5 zuwa 45.1. Waɗannan su ne manyan kwangiloli kuma suna nuna cewa Burtaniya ta ƙaddara ne don fuskantar matsin tattalin arziki mai sau biyu wanda kawai za a iya shawo kansa ta hanyar ƙarin kuɗaɗen kuɗaɗe da kuɗaɗe da kuma nasarar ci gaban allurar.
« Jamus ta rubuta koma bayan tattalin arziki na farko tun shekara ta 2009, yayin da rashin aikin yi ya karu da kusan miliyan ɗaya a cikin mako guda Tafiya kai tsaye zuwa dillalin FX mai aiki hanya madaidaiciya »
