Za a binciki aikin Amurka da bayanan rashin aikin yi a wannan makon mai zuwa, yayin da aka bayyana karatun NFP na ƙarshe na 2017
Kalandar tattalin arziƙinmu ta fara ɗaukar hoto wanda za'a iya gane shi a wannan makon mai zuwa kamar: FX, kasuwannin kasuwanci da kayan masarufi a ƙarshe sun sake komawa cikin rayuwa, bayan Xmas da hutun sabuwar shekara. Duk da cewa akwai yawan karatun PMI na duniya da aka buga wanda: Markit, Caixan da Amurka suka yi daidai da ISM a duk mako, babban abin da aka fi mayar da hankali a makon shi ne kan ayyukan yi da rashin aikin yi, musamman lambobin aikin Amurka.
Makon ya ƙare tare da lambobin NFP na wata-wata kuma a kimanin 180k don Disamba, manazarta da masu saka jari na iya kallon wannan adadi a matsayin abin takaici, saboda ayyukan wucin gadi da lokacin hutun ya kamata ya kirkira. Za a buga ragamar aiki mai kalubalanci, lambobin aikin ADP, sabbin da'awar rashin aikin yi da ci gaba da da'awar. Koyaya, akwai wani ma'aunin awo wanda akasari ake watsi dashi a cikin hayaniya; yawan kuzarin ma'aikata na aiki a Amurka, wanda yake kusan 62%. Gaskiyar lamari; cewa kusan hudu cikin goma manya a cikin Amurka ba sa aiki ko tattalin arziki / rashin aiki / kashe wutar lantarki, ba nau'in adadi bane da kuke tsammanin tattalin arziƙin ƙasa ya yi rajista.
Ranar Lahadi tana farawa mako tare da masana'antun China da wadanda ba masu samar da PMI ba, hasashen shine lambobin biyu su kasance kusa da alkalumman da aka buga a watan Nuwamba kuma an ba su matsayin kasar Sin a matsayin injina na duniya na ci gaban masana'antu, adadi da aka kiyasta na masana'antu a 51.7 zai kasance koyaushe sanya hannun masu saka jari da manazarta, don kowane alamun rauni.
Litinin (ranar sabuwar shekara) rana ce mai matukar nutsuwa don labaran kalanda na tattalin arziki, babban abinda aka wallafa shi ne adadi na gwanon watannin wata daga New Zealand. Ga yan kasuwar dala kiwi wadannan alkalumman suna da mahimmanci saboda matsayin kasar a matsayin babbar mai fitar da kiwo zuwa Asiya. Bayanan Ostiraliya da aka buga a ranar sun ƙunshi sabon PMI na Disamba da aikin AiG na ƙirar masana'antu.
Da zarar Talata ta zo, bayanan kalandar tattalin arzikinmu zai fara komawa ga al'ada yayin da ake kawo rana mai cike da labarai na asali. Ya kamata adadi na tallace-tallace na Jamusanci ya bayyana ci gaban 1% na Nuwamba (kowace shekara da MoM), ci gaba kan mummunan karatun da aka buga a watan Oktoba. Rate na PMIs masu kera Eurozone na watan Disamba an buga, tare da Faransa, Jamus, Italia da kuma ƙarin alkaluma na Yankin Eurozone ana tsammanin zasu kasance kusa da canzawa. Ganin cewa adadi na PMI na Burtaniya yana hasashen bayyana faduwa daga 58.2 zuwa 57.9. Kamar yadda aka mayar da hankali zuwa Arewacin Amurka, PMI na Disamba PMI ya bayyana, kamar yadda USA PMI daga Markit.
Laraba za ta fara ne da sabbin alkaluman tallace-tallace na motoci daga Amurka, a koyaushe alama ce ta karfin masu amfani da Amurka, kwarin gwiwa da sha'awar daukar sabon bashin kayan tikiti. An sake fitar da sabon PMI na masana'antar Switzerland a watan Disamba, kamar yadda adadi na rashin aikin yi na watan Disamba ga Jamus, tare da hasashen ƙimar don inganta zuwa 5.5%. Ginin PMI na Burtaniya na watan Disamba an yi hasashen cewa ba zai canza ba a 53.1, yayin da aka yi hasashen kashe kuɗaɗen gini a cikin Amurka zuwa faduwar lokaci zuwa 0.7% na Nuwamba. Babban tasirin sake bayanai ga Amurka a ranar sune: karatun masana'antar ISM a watan Disamba ana tsammanin ba zai canza ba a 58.2, ma'aunin aikin ISM da sakin mintuna daga taron da FOMC suka gudanar a watan Disamba, inda suka yanke shawara don ɗaga babban kuɗin ruwa zuwa 1.5%.
Alhamis wata rana ce mai matukar wahala don labaran kalanda na tattalin arziki, kodayake, yawancin fitowar suna da ƙananan tasiri zuwa matsakaici. Sababbin sabis na kasar Sin da Caixan PMIs da za a buga za a buga su, kamar yadda za a buga sabon kamfanin Japan na PMI. Yayin da hankali ya koma kan Turai, za a fitar da jerin farashin gidan Burtaniya da Nationwide ta wallafa, tsammani na tashi zuwa 0.2% a watan Disamba yana yin rijistar 2% YoY. Rukunin sabis da PMIs masu haɗaka don ƙasashe masu amfani da yankin Eurozone da Eurozone musamman an buga su, tare da mafi yawan ana tsammanin ba za su nuna kaɗan ko babu canji daga karatun Nuwamba ba. Babban bankin Burtaniya BoE yana fitar da ma'aunin watan Nuwamba a kan: rancen kuɗi, ba da rancen lamuni da samar da kuɗi. An ci gaba da mai da hankali kan Burtaniya yayin da aka buga sabbin ayyuka da kuma hada-hadar Markit PMIs, tare da yin hasashen ayyuka don samun ci gaba mai kyau zuwa 54.1, daga 53.8.
Yayin da hankali ya karkata ga kasuwar ta Amurka bude aka mayar da hankali kan ayyuka, musamman tare da lambobin NFP saboda za a buga su a washegari, Juma'a. An buga lambobin ayyukan ADP, kamar yadda ake yankewa masu ƙalubalanci, za a kuma bayyana sabon da'awar rashin aikin yi da ci gaba da da'awar Amurka. Haɗuwa da waɗannan ƙididdigar na iya ba da alamar yadda tsinkaya daidai ga ci gaban aikin NFP a watan Disamba ya tabbatar. Bugun ranar mai mahimman bayanai ya ƙare da asusun kuɗi na Jafananci da lamuni da bayanan ragi.
Ranar Jumma'a ta ba da shaidar buga adadin adadin kuɗin Australiya, sabbin ayyukan Japan da PMIs masu yawa. Yayin da aka mayar da hankali ga bude kasuwannin Turai, an buga wani rukuni na PMIs na kiri don manyan ƙasashe masu amfani da Euro, Italiya, Faransa, Jamus da faɗin yankin Turai, yayin da kuma tsarin ƙirar ginin na Jamus ya bayyana. Sabon adadi na Eurozone CPI ana hasashen zai shigo a 1.4%, ɗan faɗuwa daga 1.5%.
Littattafan bayanan Arewacin Amurka sun fara ne da sabon adadin Kanada na rashin aikin yi, ana sa ran shigowa da kashi 5.9% tare da haɓakar shiga 65.7%. Daga Amurka za mu karɓi sababbin lambobin NFP, ladabi da BLS (ofishin ƙididdigar ƙwadago). Hasashen ya nuna cewa an samar da ayyuka 185k a watan Disamba, faduwa daga 228k da aka kirkira a watan Nuwamba. An yi hasashen cewa yawan ma'aikata zai shigo ne da kashi 62.7%, tare da hasashen rashin aikin yi da zai zama ba shi da canji a 4.1%. Matsakaicin matsakaici na mako-mako da albashin da aka samu a cikin Amurka, ana sa ran su ci gaba da dacewa da adadi na Nuwamba kuma ba su nuna canji.
Adadin ma'aunin cinikayyar Amurka a watan Nuwamba an yi hasashen don inganta tazarar zuwa - $ 48b, ana ba da umarni mai ɗorewa don Nuwamba don kasancewa kusa da adadi na 1.3% da aka buga a watan Oktoba, yayin da ISM ba ƙera masana'antu / ayyuka ke karantawa don bayyana ƙaramar tashi zuwa 57.5. Bayanai na Amurka na mako-mako yana ƙarewa tare da ƙididdigar rigakafin Baker Hughes, yana bayyana aikin samar da mai na cikin gida na ƙasar. Wani jami'in Fed Mr Harker zai gabatar da jawabai a taruka guda biyu, talakawan sa sune hangen nesa da daidaita manufofin kudi.
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