Alkaluman GDP na Burtaniya za su ba da bayanai game da karuwar kudin ruwa a watan Nuwamba, yayin da ake hasashen cewa kudin Kanada zai kasance a 1%

Oktoba 24 • Mind Gap • Ra'ayoyin 2492 • Comments Off a kan alkaluman GDP na Burtaniya za su ba da alamu game da yiwuwar haɓakar riba a watan Nuwamba, yayin da ake hasashen ƙimar ribar Kanada za ta kasance a 1%

Akwai babban tasiri guda biyu, abubuwan da suka faru na kalandar tattalin arziki, wanda yan kasuwa ke buƙatar saka idanu sosai a ranar Laraba 25 ga Oktoba. Na farko ya shafi Burtaniya ne, wanda jami'inta na kididdiga ta ONS, za ta buga sabon adadi na kashi 3 na GDP. Na biyun ya shafi babban bankin Kanada, wanda zai bayyana shawarar matakin riba. Duk sakewar biyu suna da damar yin tasiri ga kasuwar FX, saboda dalilai daban-daban, amma tare da jigo guda ɗaya; kudaden ruwa.

Kwamitin Manufofin Kuɗi na Burtaniya shine jiki a cikin Bankin Ingilishi, wanda zai bayyana sabon shawarar da suka yanke, game da ƙimar kuɗin Burtaniya, a ranar Nuwamba 2. Yarjejeniyar ta tashi ne daga kashi 0.25 na yanzu zuwa 0.5%, mai yuwuwa shine tashin farko a cikin shekaru goma da dawo da kimar zuwa wacce ta wanzu, kafin yanke hukuncin raba gardama a watan Yunin 2016. Amma, mataimakin gwamnan babban bankin Sir. Jon Cunliffe ya ce, a safiyar Talata, ya ba da shawarar cewa tattalin arzikin Burtaniya ba zai iya zama mai ƙarfi sosai ba don fuskantar hauhawar ƙimar riba, yana haifar da shakkun cewa yana iya yin shakku game da adadin hasashen da aka samu na ci gaban da zai zo a 0.3% na Q3, lokacin da an bayyana adadin a 8:30 GMT. Babban bankin ya makale tsakanin dutsen karin magana da wuri mai wahala, domin kuwa hauhawar farashi ya zama dole don dakile ci gaban hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ta hanyar karfafa darajar fam, sabanin yadda tattalin arzikin Burtaniya ke cikin matsayin karbar karuwar.

Idan wannan adadi na GDP ya rasa, ko kuma daidaita wasan kawai, to manazarta ba zasu ɓata lokaci ba wajen kirga cewa GDP na shekara-shekara na 2017 zai iya shigowa da kashi 1% (ko kuma ya wuce kawai), yana komawa daga adadi na YoY na yanzu na 1.5%, kuma saboda haka da wuya ya zama mai ƙarfi isa don tallafawa haɓakar ƙimar. Ko kuma watakila ƙaramin ƙananan 0.25% ne kawai ya tashi a watan Nuwamba, sabanin na farko a cikin jerin tashin, sama da watanni goma sha biyu masu zuwa. Sterling na iya fuskantar matsi sakamakon haka. Koyaya, idan hasashen ya doke tsammanin, yana shigowa watakila ci gaban 0.4%, sa'ilin juyawar baya zai iya yiwuwa; Sterling na iya tashi.

Babu yar yarjejeniya sosai ga babban bankin Kanada, BOC, don sanar da hauhawar farashi a ranar Laraba da karfe 14:00 GMT. Bayan kwanan nan ya ba kasuwanni mamaki, lokacin da ya ɗaga darajar daga 0.75% zuwa 1% a ranar 6 ga Satumba, mai yiwuwa gwamnan bankin Kanada da tawagarsa za su buƙaci saka idanu kan tasirin tashin, kafin a yi la'akari da ƙarin haɓaka. Yayin da shawarar farashin ta nuna kamar an riga an kammala, masu saka jari da masu sharhi za su mayar da hankali kan bayanin manufofin kudi da BOC ta bayar nan da nan yayin da aka sanar da shawarar farashin. Zasu nemi jagorar gaba daga banki, dangane da ƙarin canje-canje na ƙimar kuɗi da rahoto game da tasirin tashin Satumba 0.25% a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci. Wannan rahoto ne, maimakon yanke shawara na ƙimar riba, wanda saboda haka yana da damar tasiri ga kasuwar FX.

UK MAGANAN TATTALIN ARZIKI

GDP ya karu 0.3%
GDP ya karu 1.5% (shekara-shekara)
Interestimar ƙimar kashi 0.25%
Yawan kumbura 3% (CPI)
Rashin aikin yi 4.3%
Tallace-tallace na YoY 1.2%
Sabis na PMI 53.6

CANADA MABU'I TATTALIN ARZIKI

GDP ya karu 1.1%
GDP ya karu 3.7% (shekara-shekara)
Kudin sha'awa 1%
Hauhawar farashi 1.6% (CPI)
Rashin aikin yi 6.2%
Tallace-tallace na YoY 6.9%
Farashin PMI55

 

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