Lissafin GDP na Burtaniya na baya-bayan nan na iya bugun ƙimar sitiriya da bayyana duk tasirin tasirin Brexit
Da karfe 9:30 na safe agogon GMT, ranar alhamis 23 ga Nuwamba, hukumar kididdiga ta Burtaniya ONS za ta bayyana yawan alkaluman GDP na wata-wata da na shekara-shekara na tattalin arzikin Burtaniya. Hasashen na babu canji; 1.5% girma kowace shekara da 0.4% na kwata 3, daidai da 0.4% da aka ruwaito don Q2. Duk da cewa irin waɗannan alkaluman ba su da ban tsoro fiye da yadda manazarta da yawa da masu saka hannun jari ke tsoron Burtaniya bayan yanke hukuncin raba gardama da aka yanke a watan Yunin 2016, ci gaban 1.5% yana wakiltar raguwa daga adadin 2% + na baya da ya gabata a shekarar 2016 kuma ya yi kasa da tsinkayen da duka biyun suka yi gwamnatin Burtaniya da hukumarsu ta OBR (ofishin alhakin kasuwanci) na 2017.
Za a buga alkaluman GDP din ne kwana daya bayan da Shugabar Gwamnatin Burtaniya ta gabatar da kasafin kudinta, bayanan na baya-bayan nan sun nuna cewa rancen gwamnati da gibin ya karu MoM, saboda haka masu saka hannun jari za su sa ido kan GDP din a hankali don alamun rashin ci gaban tsarin tattalin arziki, kamar yadda aka bayyana ta mummunan -0.3% YoY adadi na cigaban kasuwancin da aka rubuta kwanan nan, a cikin tattalin arzikin da ke dogaro da mabukaci, wannan adadi ya haifar da damuwa ga masu saka jari.
Masu saka jari da masu sharhi na iya yin imanin cewa (na ɗan lokaci) mafi munin abin ya wuce ga Burtaniya, dangane da tasirin Brexit. Stididdigar gabaɗaya ta ci gaba da kasancewa mai tsayayyar matsayi tare da takwarorinta, duk da abubuwan da ke faruwa na Brexit. Tun lokacin da aka kai hawa na shekaru 93.00 a ƙarshen watan Agusta 2017, EUR / GBP ya sake komawa zuwa ma'anar; yanzu an zauna kusa da matakin 89.00, ya kasa riƙewa a cikin nauyin 90.00. GBP / USD yanzu yana riƙe a matakin 1.32, ya faɗo zuwa 1.20 a watan Janairu, kodayake dole ne a lura cewa ribar kebul ya kasance da farko sakamakon raunin dala, akasin ƙarfin ƙarfi.
Idan sabbin alkaluman girma sun rasa manufa, to akwai yiwuwar tasirin giciye da na USB (GBP / USD) zai iya tasiri. Hakanan, idan alkaluman suka doke hasashen, to yakamata sterling ya tashi tare da takwarorinsa kuma Q2 adadi ya bayyana ci gaban gefe akan 0.3% da aka ɗauka a baya don Q1, alhali Q3 a tarihance yana iya wakiltar mafi kyawun kwata don haɓakar tattalin arziki.
Kamar yadda al'amuran kalandar tattalin arziki masu wahala, alkaluman GDP koyaushe suna da ikon aiwatar da ƙimar kuɗin cikin gida na ƙasar da aka fitar da alkaluman, saboda haka za a shawarci 'yan kasuwar FX da: diar da taron, sa ido kan yadda suke hulɗa da igiyar waya gicciye, kuma daidaita haɗarinsu da matsayinsu gaba ɗaya yadda yakamata.
UK KEY TATTALIN ARZIKI SNAPSHOT
• GDP ya karu kwata 0.4%.
• GDP na haɓaka shekara shekara 1.5%.
• Hauhawar farashi (CPI) 3%.
• Rashin aikin yi 4.3%.
• Girman albashi 2.2%.
• Kudin sha'awa kashi 0.5%.
• Tallace-tallace na YoY -0.3%.
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