Lambar NFP na Oktoba ana sa ran sake dawowa lokacin da aka sake ta a ranar Juma'a, bayan -33k 'lokacin guguwa' lambar da aka rubuta a watan Satumba
Lamarin na watan Satumba na NFP (wanda ba a biyan albashi) ba zai yi kyau ba, saboda guguwa iri-iri da guguwa masu zafi, wadanda suka addabi wasu sassan Amurka a watan Satumba. Manazarta da masu saka jari ba su firgita ba, lokacin da lambar ta ɓace hasashen; shigowa a -33k na watan. Karatun farko mara kyau wanda aka rubuta tun bayan Babban Matsanancin tattalin arziki ya haifar da rashin aiki mai yawa a cikin Amurka. Tasirin kan FX da kasuwannin daidaito, lokacin da aka buga adadi na NFP na Satumba ba shi da kyau, kamar yadda yawancin 'yan kasuwa suka rigaya suka yi farashi a cikin ƙaramin lamba kuma suka watsar da shi azaman ɗaya, waje, taron kalanda. Buga na Oktoba, wanda aka buga a ranar Jumma'a, ana tsammanin zai bayyana gagarumin koma baya.
Tattaunawa game da bayanan da suka shafi aikin yi da wasu albarkatu suka bayar, zai nuna ya goyi bayan ra'ayi (tsakanin masu binciken tattalin arziki), cewa lambar NFP za ta zo sama da 300k a 312k, wanda zai wakilci ɗayan lambobi mafi girma da aka rubuta a cikin 'yan shekarun nan, amma yana buƙatar auna shi a cikin mahallin azaman matsakaici, don rufe ɓatattun ayyukan da ba a ƙirƙira a watan Satumba ba. Lambar aikin ADP galibi ana ɗaukarta a matsayin alama ce ta lambobin NFP, ta zo ne a 223k ranar Laraba, ta doke hasashen 200k. Duk da cewa da'awar rashin aikin yi sun ruwaito (na mako har zuwa 21 ga Oktoba), kuma sun buge tsinkaya, suna zuwa a 233k, tare da ci gaba da lambar da'awar da ta rage kusan adadi na 1900k na wani lokaci, ana buga adadi na 1893k na makon. Lambobin asarar aiki sun ƙalubalanci a watan Satumba, rashin aikin yi ya kusan raguwa da yawa a cikin 4.2%, yayin da ƙarin albashin YoY ya inganta zuwa 3.2%. Adadin JOLTS shine binciken da kowane wata na Ofishin Labarun Labarai ke gudanarwa, an buga bayanan JOLTS na watan Agusta a ranar 11 ga Oktoba, kuma buɗe ayyukan ba a canzawa ba a miliyan 6.1 kamar ranar kasuwanci ta ƙarshe a watan Agusta, kusa da mafi girman lokaci 6.2 miliyan budewa da aka ruwaito a cikin Yuli.
Ranar NFP ba lallai bane ta haifar da wasan wuta na kasuwa da aka halarta a zamanin da. A lokacin Babban Bala'in tattalin arziki, lambar tashin hankali ta haifar da daidaito daidai a kasuwannin FX kuma hakan zai iya shafar manyan kasuwannin Amurka, masu saka jari kuma suna mai da hankali kan karatun rashin aikin yi da aka buga a rana ɗaya. Koyaya, saboda yawan watan Satumba, tare da tsammanin lambar ta Oktoba zata sake dawowa don nuna ci gaban ayyuka masu ƙarfi daidai da tattalin arziƙi mai ƙarfi, babban kuskuren hasashen na iya haifar da shakku game da ikon kasuwar aiki ta dawo da baya. Akasin haka, dawo da ayyukan da aka ɓace a cikin wannan ɗan gajeren lokacin, zai nuna yadda tushe yake da ƙarfi a cikin tattalin arzikin Amurka. Wannan saurin dawowa daga lokacin mahaukaciyar guguwa, wataƙila an kwatanta shi da lambobin GDP na kwanan nan, wanda kuma ya doke hasashen, ya sauka saboda tasirin lokacin guguwa; GDP na shekara-shekara a cikin Q3 ya zo a cikin 3%, yana doke hasashen na 2.6%, kawai ya rage ƙasa da adadi 3.1% da aka rubuta don Q2.
MUHIMMAN BAYANAN TATTALIN ARZIKI GA TATTALIN ARZIKIN Amurka
• GDP ya karu 3%.
• Hawan hauhawar farashin kashi 2.2%.
• Kudin sha'awa kashi 1.25%.
• Bashin Gwamnati v GDP 106%.
• Rashin aikin yi 4.2%.
• Yawan kaso mai tsoka 63.1%.
• Kalubalen aiki ya yanke 32,346.
• Girman albashi 3.2%.
• Adadin tanadi na mutum 3.6%.
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