Taron farko na shirya FOMC na 2018 na iya ba da alamu, game da jagorancin Fed na shekara
A ranar Laraba 31 ga Janairu a 19:00 GMT (lokacin Burtaniya), FOMC za ta bayyana shawarar da suka yanke game da farashin kudin Amurka, bayan sun yi taron kwana biyu. Kwamitin Kasuwancin Kasuwancin Tarayya kwamiti ne, a cikin Tsarin Tarayyar Tarayya, wanda ke da alhakin a ƙarƙashin dokar Amurka ta kula da ayyukan kasuwancin ƙasa na buɗewa, kamar; ƙididdigar ƙididdiga, sayen kadara, siyar da baitul mali da sauran fannoni waɗanda za a ɗauka a matsayin manufofin kuɗi. FOMC ta kunshi mambobi 12; Membobin kwamitin gwamnoni 7 da 5 daga shugabannin bankunan 12 na Banki. FOMC suna tsara tarurruka takwas a kowace shekara, ana gudanar dasu kusan makonni shida.
Babban ra'ayi daya, daga ra'ayoyin da aka tattara ta hanyar kwamitin masana tattalin arziki da kamfanin dillancin labarai na Reuters ya zaba, ba don canza canjin babban bashin ba (wanda ake kira babba) wanda a yanzu yake a 1.5%, bayan an samu karin kaso 0.25% a cikin Disamba. FOMC ta rike alƙawarin da ta ɗauka a farkon 2017 don haɓaka ƙimar sau uku a lokacin 2017. A cikin taron ta na ƙarshe na 2018 FOMC ta kuma ƙaddamar da jerin ƙimar riba a cikin 2018, yayin da kuma ta ƙaddamar da fara kiran QT (ƙarar adadi); taƙaita fa'idodin ma'auni na dala tiriliyan $ 4.2, wanda ya karu kimanin dala tiriliyan 3 tun bayan rikicin banki na 2008.
Duk da ƙaddamar da ƙimar farashin a lokacin 2018, FOMC da gangan ba su da ma'ana game da lokacin kuma suna taka tsantsan kada su tilasta wa kwamitin aiwatar da manufofin hawkish. Madadin haka, sun yi amfani da siyasa ta tsaka-tsaki; yana mai dagewa cewa kowane tashin da zai zo nan gaba za'a sanya ido a hankali saboda tasirin sa akan tattalin arzikin Amurka. Ba da shawara cewa idan duk wani sakamako mai cutarwa ya faru, mai yiwuwa jinkirin haɓaka, to za a iya daidaita manufar. Tare da hauhawar farashi kusa da darajar FOMC / Fed na 2.1% da ƙananan alamun matsin hauhawar farashi a cikin tattalin arziƙi, duk wani yunƙurin hauhawar ƙimar da wuya ya sami tasiri don sarrafa hauhawar farashin kaya.
Idan FOMC ta sanar da riƙe ribar, to da sauri hankali zai koma kan maganganu daban-daban da ke tattare da sanarwar da kuma taron da shugaban ƙungiyar Fed Mrs. Janet Yellen ta gudanar, wanda zai jagoranci taronta na ƙarshe kuma ta yi taron manema labarai na ƙarshe. , a matsayin kujera na Fed kafin maye gurbinsa da sabon kujerar Fed, Jerome Powell, zabin da aka fi so na shugaba Trump. A cikin kowane rubutaccen bayani da taron manema labarai, manazarta da masu saka jari za su karanta da kyau kuma su saurara da kyau ga duk wata alama game da daidaita tsakanin kura da shaho a cikin FOMC; shaho zai iya yin karin tashin hankali na hauhawar farashi da rage sauri na ma'aunin Fed. Analysisarin cikakken bayani game da taron FOMC zai zo lokacin da aka saki mintuna, a cikin weeksan makonnin da taron ya gudana.
Duk irin shawarar da aka biyo baya da kuma labarin da ke tafe, yanke shawara game da kudin ruwa a tarihance yana motsa kasuwannin kasar cikin gida inda aka yanke hukuncin. Kasuwannin daidaito na iya tashi kuma suna faɗuwa, kamar yadda kasuwannin canjin nan da nan kafin, yayin da bayan fitowar shawarar. Dalar Amurka ta kasance ana ta muhawara mai yawa a yayin shekarar 2017, saboda faduwarta da manyan takwarorinta, duk da cewa FOMC ya karu da sau uku a cikin 2017, wanda ya ninka adadin daga 0.75% - 1.5%. Don haka yakamata 'yan kasuwa suyi diar wannan babban tasirin kalanda na tattalin arziƙi kuma su daidaita matsayinsu da haɗarinsu.
MAGANGANUN TATTALIN ARZIKI NA TATTALIN ARZIKIN Amurka
• GDP na kashi 2.5%.
• GDP QoQ 2.6%.
• Kudin sha'awa kashi 1.5%.
• Hawan hauhawar farashin kashi 2.1%.
• Rashin aikin yi 4.1%.
• Bashi v GDP 106.1%.
« Shin 'yan kasuwa na gaba na kasuwanci na gaske za su iya cinikin kasuwannin Forex? Equasar ta Amurka ta faɗi ƙasa, lamunin baitulmali na shekara goma ya tashi zuwa kusan shekaru huɗu, yayin da gwamnan Bankin Ingila Mark Carney ke tserar da mai kyau tare da tabbacin sa »
