Satumba 26 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 4894 • Comments Off akan Yuro ya Mutu, Yuro ya daɗe
Wata rana za ta zo lokacin da dukkan al'ummomin da ke wannan nahiya tamu za su kulla 'yan uwantaka ta Turai. Wata rana zata zo da za mu ga Amurka da Amurka da Turai, gaba da gaba, suna miƙa kan juna a ƙetaren tekun. - Victor Hugo 1848.
A cikin Disamba 1996, an zaɓi zane don takardun kuɗi na Euro bayan gasa. Majalisar Cibiyar Ba da Lamuni ta Turai (EMI) ta zaɓi gwarzon, ɗan wasan Austriya Robert Kalina, "Shekaru da Styles na Turai" shi ne taken. Alamar alama ce; windows, ƙofofi, da gadoji. Luc Luycx, wani mai zane-zane dan kasar Belgium, ya lashe gasar Turai da aka shirya don tsara tsabar kudin Euro. Ya tsara Turai gama gari. Bangaren ƙasa ya bambanta a kowace ƙasashe goma sha biyu. Yuro da farko ya zama kuɗin Turai na gama gari ga ƙasashe goma sha biyu a Tarayyar Turai. Wannan shi ne mafi sauƙin canjin kuɗi da duniyar yau ta taɓa shaida lokacin da kuɗin 'ya rayu' a 2002.
Europeanungiyar Tarayyar Turai (EU) tana da wadata kamar Amurka. EU ita ce yankin ciniki mafi girma a duniya. Yuro ita ce ta biyu mafi yawan kuɗin ajiyar kuɗi kuma na biyu mafi yawan kuɗin kasuwanci a duniya bayan dalar Amurka. Ya zuwa watan Yulin 2011, tare da kusan € 890 biliyan a kewayawa, Yuro yana da darajar haɗin kuɗi da tsabar kudi da ke zagayawa a duniya, bayan da ta wuce dalar Amurka. Dangane da ƙididdigar Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya na GDP na 2008 da daidaiton ikon saye tsakanin yawancin kuɗaɗe, rukunin ƙasashe masu amfani da Euro ya kasance na biyu mafi girman tattalin arziki a duniya.
George Soros, wanda dala biliyan 10 ya cinye a 1992 ya gabaci darajar Bankin Ingila da fam da John Taylor a FX Concepts, wanda ke jagorantar babban asusun shinge na duniya, sun yi hasashen karyewar Euro, ko kuma suka yi hasashen cewa zai fadi zuwa daidai da dala . Koyaya, za a iya fassara hasashensu cikin sauƙi a matsayin fare, a bayyane suna da dalilan da yasa suke son rushewa kuma waɗancan dalilan ba na son rai bane, ƙyashi ne na asali. Wadanda suka cika alkawarin da suka yi na tashin hankali na adawa da kudin na iya tallafawa kungiyar da ba ta dace ba. Kada ku kasance cikin ruɗani cewa duk da kasancewa akan gwiwowinsa yayin kallon jiragen ruwa, barazanar da Amurka ke yi na matsayin kuɗin ajiyar kuɗin koyaushe ya haifar da rikici a cikin gwamnatin Amurka tun lokacin haɗin kan Turai. Musamman lokacin da waccan barazanar ga matsayin ajiyar dala ta faɗaɗa zuwa farashin mai a euro.
Dangane da dala, Yuro ya fara daga centi 82.3 a watan Oktoba 2000 zuwa $ 1.6038 a watan Yulin 2008. Gaba ɗaya yarjejeniya ta nuna cewa euro za ta riƙe sama da $ 1.30 a wannan shekara kamar yadda Babban Banki da kuɗaɗen sarauta ke neman madadin dollar. Kada mu manta cewa ƙudirin SNB (Babban Bankin Switzerland) don ƙaddamar da franc shima kai tsaye yana tallafawa Yuro a matsayin kai tsaye 'ta wakili' ajiyar dukiya. Wannan fegi yana tabbatar da cewa ya zama babbar damuwa ga abin da aka ajiye na dindindin a baya da kuma ɓoye dukiya.
Duk da irin rikice-rikicen da Yuro ke samu ya karu da kashi 1.42 a makon da ya gabata a kan kwandon tara-kasashe masu tasowa, mafi yawa tun samun kashi 1.55 a cikin wannan lokacin ya kare 3 ga Yuni, a cewar Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Currency Indexes. Ya tashi sama da kashi 2.5 cikin 12 daga ƙananan wannan watan a ranar 1.35 ga Satumba, alamun sun nuna. A ƙarshen makon da ya gabata na $ 12, kuɗin yana da ƙarfi 1.2024 bisa ɗari fiye da matsakaicinta na $ 1999 tun daga Janairun 1.43. Duk da yake masu tsara dabaru sun yanke hasashensu don nuna godiya, har yanzu suna ganin ta tashi zuwa $ 2012 a ƙarshen 35, gwargwadon tsakiyan 40 kimantawa a cikin binciken Bloomberg. Faduwar kusan kashi XNUMX%, don isa daidai da dala Amurka, tabbas yana kan radar?
Kasuwancin Kasashen waje na Schneider, wanda ya fi dacewa da tsinkayen kudin a lokacin kwata-kwata shida zuwa 30 ga Yuni, bisa ga bayanan da Bloomberg ta tattara, ya yi hasashen kudin Euro zai yi ciniki a $ 1.56 a shekara mai zuwa. Har ila yau, sun ci gaba da nisa ta hanyar ba da shawarar cewa rashin daidaituwa ta Girka zai iya zama mai “faɗi” ga yankin, yana mai da hankali kai tsaye ga gibin kasafin na dala tiriliyan 1 na Amurka da kuma hauhawar bashi, a cewar Stephen Gallo, shugaban kamfanin bincike na kasuwar . Hakanan mayar da hankalin zai iya komawa Burtaniya a matsayin rashi da kuma sarrafa bashi wanda sai da yardar 'wayo' dangantakar jama'a da karkatarwa ba a sami tambaya ba. Yayinda lissafin katin bashi na Burtaniya (ragi) ya bayyana a ƙarƙashin sarrafa lamunin (bashin baki ɗaya) har yanzu yana da yawa.
"Ba na tsammanin kudin Euro zai rabu, yana fuskantar kalubale da yawa amma ba zai wargaje ba," in ji Audrey Childe-Freeman, shugaban dabarun hada-hadar kudi a Landan a wani banki mai zaman kansa na JPMorgan. "Ta fuskar tattalin arziki, babu wata kasa da za ta ci riba daga karyewar yankin Yuro kuma hakan ya sa a siyasance, da wuya ya faru."
"An sanya jari mai yawa na siyasa da akida wajen sanya aikin kudin Euro aiki da kuma kawo nahiyar Turai kusa da juna tun karshen yakin duniya na biyu don ba ta damar warwarewa a yanzu," - Thanos Papasavvas, shugaban kula da kudin a London a Kamfanin Investec Asset Management Ltd., wanda ya kashe kusan dala biliyan 95, ya ce a cikin wata hira ta 20 ga Satumba tare da Bloomberg.
Yayinda duk manyan kafofin yada labarai suka fi mayar da hankali kan yiwuwar karyewar Euro, musamman daga 'yan siyasa na dama-dama wadanda suke rawar kafa a kan kabari ba da jimawa ba, shin ya kamata su fara yarda daga karshe cewa irin wannan babban aikin ba zai iya ba kuma ba za a bari ya gaza ba? Idan aka yi la’akari da tarihin kwanan nan yana da kyau mu tuna yadda kasashe masu ƙarfi kamar su Argentina suka fita daga matsalar kuɗi ta duniya, damuwar da ke faruwa a tsakanin abokan gaba na Yuro na iya kasancewa yankin Yuro na iya fitowa da ƙarfi da haɗin kai da zarar an gama wannan rikicin. Manufar da gwamnatin Amurka zata iya samunta mara kyau idan ta ƙarshe ta shafi matsayin ajiyar kuɗin su.
Yurorikicin Eurotsoratar da sharhin kasuwa
« 'Yan Siyasa, Da Kuma Kawunansu Uku Kun theauki Jar Kwaya Kuma Kun Tsaya a derasar Al'ajabi kuma Ina Nuna Muku Deep Yadda zurfin Rabgon Zomo Yake »
Yuro ya Mutu, Yuro ya daɗe
Satumba 26 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 4894 • Comments Off akan Yuro ya Mutu, Yuro ya daɗe
Wata rana za ta zo lokacin da dukkan al'ummomin da ke wannan nahiya tamu za su kulla 'yan uwantaka ta Turai. Wata rana zata zo da za mu ga Amurka da Amurka da Turai, gaba da gaba, suna miƙa kan juna a ƙetaren tekun. - Victor Hugo 1848.
A cikin Disamba 1996, an zaɓi zane don takardun kuɗi na Euro bayan gasa. Majalisar Cibiyar Ba da Lamuni ta Turai (EMI) ta zaɓi gwarzon, ɗan wasan Austriya Robert Kalina, "Shekaru da Styles na Turai" shi ne taken. Alamar alama ce; windows, ƙofofi, da gadoji. Luc Luycx, wani mai zane-zane dan kasar Belgium, ya lashe gasar Turai da aka shirya don tsara tsabar kudin Euro. Ya tsara Turai gama gari. Bangaren ƙasa ya bambanta a kowace ƙasashe goma sha biyu. Yuro da farko ya zama kuɗin Turai na gama gari ga ƙasashe goma sha biyu a Tarayyar Turai. Wannan shi ne mafi sauƙin canjin kuɗi da duniyar yau ta taɓa shaida lokacin da kuɗin 'ya rayu' a 2002.
Europeanungiyar Tarayyar Turai (EU) tana da wadata kamar Amurka. EU ita ce yankin ciniki mafi girma a duniya. Yuro ita ce ta biyu mafi yawan kuɗin ajiyar kuɗi kuma na biyu mafi yawan kuɗin kasuwanci a duniya bayan dalar Amurka. Ya zuwa watan Yulin 2011, tare da kusan € 890 biliyan a kewayawa, Yuro yana da darajar haɗin kuɗi da tsabar kudi da ke zagayawa a duniya, bayan da ta wuce dalar Amurka. Dangane da ƙididdigar Asusun Ba da Lamuni na Duniya na GDP na 2008 da daidaiton ikon saye tsakanin yawancin kuɗaɗe, rukunin ƙasashe masu amfani da Euro ya kasance na biyu mafi girman tattalin arziki a duniya.
George Soros, wanda dala biliyan 10 ya cinye a 1992 ya gabaci darajar Bankin Ingila da fam da John Taylor a FX Concepts, wanda ke jagorantar babban asusun shinge na duniya, sun yi hasashen karyewar Euro, ko kuma suka yi hasashen cewa zai fadi zuwa daidai da dala . Koyaya, za a iya fassara hasashensu cikin sauƙi a matsayin fare, a bayyane suna da dalilan da yasa suke son rushewa kuma waɗancan dalilan ba na son rai bane, ƙyashi ne na asali. Wadanda suka cika alkawarin da suka yi na tashin hankali na adawa da kudin na iya tallafawa kungiyar da ba ta dace ba. Kada ku kasance cikin ruɗani cewa duk da kasancewa akan gwiwowinsa yayin kallon jiragen ruwa, barazanar da Amurka ke yi na matsayin kuɗin ajiyar kuɗin koyaushe ya haifar da rikici a cikin gwamnatin Amurka tun lokacin haɗin kan Turai. Musamman lokacin da waccan barazanar ga matsayin ajiyar dala ta faɗaɗa zuwa farashin mai a euro.
Dangane da dala, Yuro ya fara daga centi 82.3 a watan Oktoba 2000 zuwa $ 1.6038 a watan Yulin 2008. Gaba ɗaya yarjejeniya ta nuna cewa euro za ta riƙe sama da $ 1.30 a wannan shekara kamar yadda Babban Banki da kuɗaɗen sarauta ke neman madadin dollar. Kada mu manta cewa ƙudirin SNB (Babban Bankin Switzerland) don ƙaddamar da franc shima kai tsaye yana tallafawa Yuro a matsayin kai tsaye 'ta wakili' ajiyar dukiya. Wannan fegi yana tabbatar da cewa ya zama babbar damuwa ga abin da aka ajiye na dindindin a baya da kuma ɓoye dukiya.
Duk da irin rikice-rikicen da Yuro ke samu ya karu da kashi 1.42 a makon da ya gabata a kan kwandon tara-kasashe masu tasowa, mafi yawa tun samun kashi 1.55 a cikin wannan lokacin ya kare 3 ga Yuni, a cewar Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Currency Indexes. Ya tashi sama da kashi 2.5 cikin 12 daga ƙananan wannan watan a ranar 1.35 ga Satumba, alamun sun nuna. A ƙarshen makon da ya gabata na $ 12, kuɗin yana da ƙarfi 1.2024 bisa ɗari fiye da matsakaicinta na $ 1999 tun daga Janairun 1.43. Duk da yake masu tsara dabaru sun yanke hasashensu don nuna godiya, har yanzu suna ganin ta tashi zuwa $ 2012 a ƙarshen 35, gwargwadon tsakiyan 40 kimantawa a cikin binciken Bloomberg. Faduwar kusan kashi XNUMX%, don isa daidai da dala Amurka, tabbas yana kan radar?
Kasuwancin Kasashen waje na Schneider, wanda ya fi dacewa da tsinkayen kudin a lokacin kwata-kwata shida zuwa 30 ga Yuni, bisa ga bayanan da Bloomberg ta tattara, ya yi hasashen kudin Euro zai yi ciniki a $ 1.56 a shekara mai zuwa. Har ila yau, sun ci gaba da nisa ta hanyar ba da shawarar cewa rashin daidaituwa ta Girka zai iya zama mai “faɗi” ga yankin, yana mai da hankali kai tsaye ga gibin kasafin na dala tiriliyan 1 na Amurka da kuma hauhawar bashi, a cewar Stephen Gallo, shugaban kamfanin bincike na kasuwar . Hakanan mayar da hankalin zai iya komawa Burtaniya a matsayin rashi da kuma sarrafa bashi wanda sai da yardar 'wayo' dangantakar jama'a da karkatarwa ba a sami tambaya ba. Yayinda lissafin katin bashi na Burtaniya (ragi) ya bayyana a ƙarƙashin sarrafa lamunin (bashin baki ɗaya) har yanzu yana da yawa.
"Ba na tsammanin kudin Euro zai rabu, yana fuskantar kalubale da yawa amma ba zai wargaje ba," in ji Audrey Childe-Freeman, shugaban dabarun hada-hadar kudi a Landan a wani banki mai zaman kansa na JPMorgan. "Ta fuskar tattalin arziki, babu wata kasa da za ta ci riba daga karyewar yankin Yuro kuma hakan ya sa a siyasance, da wuya ya faru."
"An sanya jari mai yawa na siyasa da akida wajen sanya aikin kudin Euro aiki da kuma kawo nahiyar Turai kusa da juna tun karshen yakin duniya na biyu don ba ta damar warwarewa a yanzu," - Thanos Papasavvas, shugaban kula da kudin a London a Kamfanin Investec Asset Management Ltd., wanda ya kashe kusan dala biliyan 95, ya ce a cikin wata hira ta 20 ga Satumba tare da Bloomberg.
Yayinda duk manyan kafofin yada labarai suka fi mayar da hankali kan yiwuwar karyewar Euro, musamman daga 'yan siyasa na dama-dama wadanda suke rawar kafa a kan kabari ba da jimawa ba, shin ya kamata su fara yarda daga karshe cewa irin wannan babban aikin ba zai iya ba kuma ba za a bari ya gaza ba? Idan aka yi la’akari da tarihin kwanan nan yana da kyau mu tuna yadda kasashe masu ƙarfi kamar su Argentina suka fita daga matsalar kuɗi ta duniya, damuwar da ke faruwa a tsakanin abokan gaba na Yuro na iya kasancewa yankin Yuro na iya fitowa da ƙarfi da haɗin kai da zarar an gama wannan rikicin. Manufar da gwamnatin Amurka zata iya samunta mara kyau idan ta ƙarshe ta shafi matsayin ajiyar kuɗin su.
Yurorikicin Eurotsoratar da sharhin kasuwa
« 'Yan Siyasa, Da Kuma Kawunansu Uku Kun theauki Jar Kwaya Kuma Kun Tsaya a derasar Al'ajabi kuma Ina Nuna Muku Deep Yadda zurfin Rabgon Zomo Yake »