Bankin Kanada ba shi da matsala don haɓaka yawan kuɗin Kanada a ranar Laraba zuwa 1.25%, amma shin za su iya girgiza kasuwanni ta hanyar riƙe ƙimar ba ta canzawa?

Janairu 16 • Mind Gap • Ra'ayoyin 6372 • Comments Off a Bankin Kanada ba shi da matsala don haɓaka yawan kuɗin Kanada a ranar Laraba zuwa 1.25%, amma shin za su iya girgiza kasuwanni ta hanyar kiyaye farashin bai canza ba?

Da karfe 15:00 GMT (lokacin Landan) a ranar Laraba 17 ga Janairun, BOC (babban bankin Kanada), zai kawo karshen taron tsara manufofinsu na kudi tare da sanarwa game da mahimman kudin ruwa. Tsammani, a cewar kwamitin masana tattalin arziki da kamfanin dillancin labarai na Reuters ya zaba, ya tashi ne daga adadin 1.00% na yanzu zuwa 1.25%. Babban banki ya ɗaga darajarsa ta dare bisa 0.25% zuwa 1% a taronta na Satumba 6th 2017, wannan yunƙurin ya ba kasuwanni mamaki waɗanda ba su tsammanin canji. Wannan shi ne karo na biyu na hauhawar farashin rancen tun daga watan Yuli, a lokacin karuwar GDP ya fi karfi fiye da yadda ake tsammani, wanda ya goyi bayan ra'ayin BOC cewa ci gaba a Kanada ya zama yana da cikakken tushe da ci gaba.

Tashin ƙimar ya kasa yin tasiri kai tsaye kan ƙimar dala ta Kanada tare da babban takwararta ta dalar Amurka, duk da USD da ke fuskantar babbar kasuwa a lokacin 2017, USD ta dawo kan CAD daga sati na biyu na Satumba, har zuwa kusan na uku mako a watan Disamba. CAD ta sami riba mai mahimmanci akan USD a farkon makonnin farko na 2018.

Bayanin daga BOC a watan Disamba, tare da shawarar da suka yanke na rike farashi a 1.00%, ya nuna ya sabawa ra'ayin baki daya cewa za a tashi farashin a ranar Laraba, wani sashi na sanarwar manema labarai ya bayyana cewa;

“Dangane da hangen nesa game da hauhawar farashi da canjin kasada da rashin tabbas da aka gano a cikin MPR na Oktoba, Majalisar Gudanarwa ta yanke hukunci cewa matsayin tsarin manufofin kudi a yanzu ya dace. Duk da yake mai yiyuwa ne a bukaci karin kudaden ruwa a kan lokaci, Majalisar Gwamnati za ta ci gaba da yin taka-tsan-tsan, ta hanyar bayanai masu shigowa wajen tantance karfin tattalin arzikin kasar kan kudaden ruwa, da canjin karfin tattalin arziki, da kuma ci gaban ci gaban albashi da hauhawar farashin kaya.

Tun da wannan bayanin da shawarar riƙe ƙimar, ƙididdigar bayanai daban-daban da suka shafi tattalin arzikin Kanada sun kasance masu ɗan kyau; GDP na shekara-shekara ya faɗi daga 4.3% zuwa 1.7%, tare da ci gaban shekara-shekara yana sauka daga 3.6% zuwa 3.0%, sabili da haka BOC na iya gaskata cewa yana da hankali barin ƙimar bai canza ba. Wani ci gaba wanda zai iya yin tasiri ga shawarar da suka yanke, ya shafi barazanar da shugaban Amurka Trump ya yi na karya kungiyar NAFTA maras ciniki, wanda ya yi nasara tsakanin; Mexico Kanada da Amurka.

USD / CAD ya faɗi ƙasa sosai daga 20 ga Disamba, daga kusan 1.29, zuwa ɗan ƙarami na kwanan nan na 1.24. BOC na iya ɗaukar ra'ayin cewa ƙimar dala ta Kanada a halin yanzu tana sama da babban abokin aikinta, yayin da hauhawar farashi a 2.1% ya bayyana yana ƙarƙashin ikon.

Duk da yawan hasashen da aka yi na tashin farashin zuwa 1.25%, fara jerin shawarwari na karin kudi uku ya tashi a 2018, BOC na iya mamakin kasuwanni ta hanyar sanar da rike kudin, kasancewa kusa da sanarwar manufofin kudi da aka gabatar a watan Disamba 2017. Duk da haka, yan kasuwa ya kamata su daidaita matsayinsu yadda ya kamata kuma su lura cewa canjin yanayi da canjin farashi a cikin dala na Kanada na iya ƙaruwa a ranar, duk irin shawarar da aka yanke, musamman idan an riga an saka farashi zuwa 1.25% kuma bai sami nasara ba.

MAGANGANUN TATTALIN ARZIKI GA CANADA

• Kudin sha'awa kashi 1%.
• Hawan hauhawar farashin kashi 2.1%.
• GDP na kashi 3%.
• Rashin aikin yi 5.7%
• Bashin Gwamnatin zuwa GDP 92.3%.

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