Satumba 19 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 8793 • 1 Comment akan saurin Terminal, IMF da Goldman Sachs Sunyi Math
Manyan bankuna goma na kasar Jamus na bukatar karin euro biliyan 127 na karin jari babban birnin kasar Jaridar ta Frankfurt Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung ta ruwaito a karshen mako, inda ta ambaci wani bincike da cibiyar nazarin tattalin arziki ta DIW ta yi. Jaridar ta nakalto Dorothea Schaefer, babban daraktan bincike na kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi a DIW, wanda ya yi hasashen cewa, hada-hadar hada-hadar hannayen jari ta bankuna da daidaiton kudi na bukatar tashi da (akalla) kashi 5 cikin dari. Wannan sabon da'awar ya sake dawo da tambayoyin da IMF ta gabatar a karshen watan Agusta, a farkon watan Satumba wanda ya ba da shawarar cewa babban rarar da bankunan Turai suka fuskanta ya kai fan biliyan 200. Idan manyan bankuna goma na Jamus suna buƙatar € 127 biliyan wanda kawai ya bar wasu billion biliyan 63 don gina ajiyar sauran manyan bankunan Turai, wannan ya karanta kamar yadda yake cike da fata.
A lokacin da ikirarin na IMF ya jawo martani mai zafi daga wasu ministocin kudi, 'yar kasar Spain Elena Salgado tana zargin IMF da nuna son kai. Manajan Darakta na IMF Christine Lagarde ita ma ta sha suka sosai daga masu tsara manufofin Turai bayan sun yi kira da a sake sanya bankunan Turai dole ta hanyar jim kadan bayan nadin ta cikin gaggawa. Wadannan recapitalization suna ikirarin bayar da tallafi ga ikirarin mai sharhi na Goldman Sachs da shawara mai rufewa cewa akwai bukatar hada kai daya daga 'mega' QE da ba da tallafi a Turai na € 1 tiriliyan in ba haka ba kawai za a sami ƙarin 'roƙon kwano' buƙatun cikin biyu shekaru idan zagaye na gaba na QE da ba da belin ba su isa ba. Alan Brazil, masani ne a sashen kasuwanci a Goldman Sachs, ya wallafa ra'ayinsa ga abokan kasuwancin sa na shinge a cikin wani rahoto mai shafi 54 a farkon watan Satumba.
Wannan ra'ayi ya bayyana a baya daga shugaban IMF na baya Dominic Strauss Kahn, wanda yake da zafin rai don bayar da shawarar zamanin mulkin dala, a matsayin kudin duniya na ajiyar kuɗi, sun ƙare. DSK sannan ya rasa jirginsa daga JFK. Sake bayyana a karshen mako, a kan lokaci mafi kyau na talbijin din Faransa, ya sake ba da shawarar cewa matsalolin Girka ba za a iya shawo kansu ba kuma ba za a iya magance su ba, a zahiri ba za a iya auna dutsen tulin bashinsu daya ba. Wani ra'ayi mai ma'ana la'akari da Girka a halin yanzu tana biyan 25% don aron kuɗi sama da shekaru goma.
Hannayen jari na Turai sun fadi kasa warwas a kasuwancin safiya. Rashin nasarar zaben yankin ga shugabar gwamnatin Jamus, Angela Merkel, da soke ziyarar da Firayim Ministan Girka George Papandreou ya yi zuwa Amurka da kuma rashin dabarun buga dabaru (bayan kwanaki na taron ministar kudi a Poland) ya sake tayar da damuwa kan rikicin bashin yankin . STOXX yayi kasa da 2.28%, DAX ya sauka da 2.63%, CAC ya sauka da 2.27% kuma ftse ya sauka 1.8%. Bankin Turai ya buge yayin da tambayoyin warware matsaloli na dogon lokaci suka sake bayyana. Wannan faduwar ta gabaci faduwar kan Hang Seng bourse rufe 2.76%, CSI ta rufe 2.0%. Nikkei ya rufe 2.25%. SPX na gaba yana nuna cewa zaman ciniki na New York zai kasuwanci tare da SPX yana buɗe 1.5%.
Lena Komileva, babban mataimakiyar mataimakiyar shugaban waje, canjin kudaden waje a Brown Brother Harriman ta ce "Taron karshen mako na kungiyar EU bai samar da wani abu mai yanke hukunci ba kuma rashin alkibla zai haifar da tambayoyi game da warware matsalar." "Muna sa ran Euro zai sake gwadawa a ranar 12 ga Satumban da ke kasa da $ 1.35 a cikin kwanaki masu zuwa." Yuro ya tsinke a taƙaice ƙasa da matakin tallafi kusa da $ 1.3664, Ya buga ƙwanƙwasa na watanni bakwai na $ 1.34949 a kan dandalin ciniki a ranar Satumba 12; a ranar Litinin, ya fadi kasa zuwa $ 1.3645.
Bayanin bayanan da zai shafi zaman ciniki na Amurka zai iya (sake sakewa) ta hanyar rashin amincewar makro da tattalin arziki da kuma taron Fed na kwana biyu wanda zai fara ranar Talata. Da alama Fed din zai fayyace wani shiri da zai sayi hanyoyin tsaro na tsawon lokaci da kuma samar da kwarin gwiwa a yayin taron dabarun manufofin ta na kwanaki biyu. Abinda kawai aka wallafa a yau shine ginin yana farawa a cikin Amurka, NAHB sigar ƙididdiga ce dangane da samfurin magina gidaje waɗanda ke wakiltar tallace-tallace gida da kuma tsammanin ginin nan gaba.
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Motocin Terminal, IMF da Goldman Sachs Sunyi Math
Satumba 19 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 8793 • 1 Comment akan saurin Terminal, IMF da Goldman Sachs Sunyi Math
Manyan bankuna goma na kasar Jamus na bukatar karin euro biliyan 127 na karin jari babban birnin kasar Jaridar ta Frankfurt Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung ta ruwaito a karshen mako, inda ta ambaci wani bincike da cibiyar nazarin tattalin arziki ta DIW ta yi. Jaridar ta nakalto Dorothea Schaefer, babban daraktan bincike na kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi a DIW, wanda ya yi hasashen cewa, hada-hadar hada-hadar hannayen jari ta bankuna da daidaiton kudi na bukatar tashi da (akalla) kashi 5 cikin dari. Wannan sabon da'awar ya sake dawo da tambayoyin da IMF ta gabatar a karshen watan Agusta, a farkon watan Satumba wanda ya ba da shawarar cewa babban rarar da bankunan Turai suka fuskanta ya kai fan biliyan 200. Idan manyan bankuna goma na Jamus suna buƙatar € 127 biliyan wanda kawai ya bar wasu billion biliyan 63 don gina ajiyar sauran manyan bankunan Turai, wannan ya karanta kamar yadda yake cike da fata.
A lokacin da ikirarin na IMF ya jawo martani mai zafi daga wasu ministocin kudi, 'yar kasar Spain Elena Salgado tana zargin IMF da nuna son kai. Manajan Darakta na IMF Christine Lagarde ita ma ta sha suka sosai daga masu tsara manufofin Turai bayan sun yi kira da a sake sanya bankunan Turai dole ta hanyar jim kadan bayan nadin ta cikin gaggawa. Wadannan recapitalization suna ikirarin bayar da tallafi ga ikirarin mai sharhi na Goldman Sachs da shawara mai rufewa cewa akwai bukatar hada kai daya daga 'mega' QE da ba da tallafi a Turai na € 1 tiriliyan in ba haka ba kawai za a sami ƙarin 'roƙon kwano' buƙatun cikin biyu shekaru idan zagaye na gaba na QE da ba da belin ba su isa ba. Alan Brazil, masani ne a sashen kasuwanci a Goldman Sachs, ya wallafa ra'ayinsa ga abokan kasuwancin sa na shinge a cikin wani rahoto mai shafi 54 a farkon watan Satumba.
Wannan ra'ayi ya bayyana a baya daga shugaban IMF na baya Dominic Strauss Kahn, wanda yake da zafin rai don bayar da shawarar zamanin mulkin dala, a matsayin kudin duniya na ajiyar kuɗi, sun ƙare. DSK sannan ya rasa jirginsa daga JFK. Sake bayyana a karshen mako, a kan lokaci mafi kyau na talbijin din Faransa, ya sake ba da shawarar cewa matsalolin Girka ba za a iya shawo kansu ba kuma ba za a iya magance su ba, a zahiri ba za a iya auna dutsen tulin bashinsu daya ba. Wani ra'ayi mai ma'ana la'akari da Girka a halin yanzu tana biyan 25% don aron kuɗi sama da shekaru goma.
Hannayen jari na Turai sun fadi kasa warwas a kasuwancin safiya. Rashin nasarar zaben yankin ga shugabar gwamnatin Jamus, Angela Merkel, da soke ziyarar da Firayim Ministan Girka George Papandreou ya yi zuwa Amurka da kuma rashin dabarun buga dabaru (bayan kwanaki na taron ministar kudi a Poland) ya sake tayar da damuwa kan rikicin bashin yankin . STOXX yayi kasa da 2.28%, DAX ya sauka da 2.63%, CAC ya sauka da 2.27% kuma ftse ya sauka 1.8%. Bankin Turai ya buge yayin da tambayoyin warware matsaloli na dogon lokaci suka sake bayyana. Wannan faduwar ta gabaci faduwar kan Hang Seng bourse rufe 2.76%, CSI ta rufe 2.0%. Nikkei ya rufe 2.25%. SPX na gaba yana nuna cewa zaman ciniki na New York zai kasuwanci tare da SPX yana buɗe 1.5%.
Lena Komileva, babban mataimakiyar mataimakiyar shugaban waje, canjin kudaden waje a Brown Brother Harriman ta ce "Taron karshen mako na kungiyar EU bai samar da wani abu mai yanke hukunci ba kuma rashin alkibla zai haifar da tambayoyi game da warware matsalar." "Muna sa ran Euro zai sake gwadawa a ranar 12 ga Satumban da ke kasa da $ 1.35 a cikin kwanaki masu zuwa." Yuro ya tsinke a taƙaice ƙasa da matakin tallafi kusa da $ 1.3664, Ya buga ƙwanƙwasa na watanni bakwai na $ 1.34949 a kan dandalin ciniki a ranar Satumba 12; a ranar Litinin, ya fadi kasa zuwa $ 1.3645.
Bayanin bayanan da zai shafi zaman ciniki na Amurka zai iya (sake sakewa) ta hanyar rashin amincewar makro da tattalin arziki da kuma taron Fed na kwana biyu wanda zai fara ranar Talata. Da alama Fed din zai fayyace wani shiri da zai sayi hanyoyin tsaro na tsawon lokaci da kuma samar da kwarin gwiwa a yayin taron dabarun manufofin ta na kwanaki biyu. Abinda kawai aka wallafa a yau shine ginin yana farawa a cikin Amurka, NAHB sigar ƙididdiga ce dangane da samfurin magina gidaje waɗanda ke wakiltar tallace-tallace gida da kuma tsammanin ginin nan gaba.
rikicin Eurosharhin kasuwa
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