Jul 5 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 5061 • Comments Off akan hukuncin Sterling da Babban Bankin
Jiya, a Ranar Samun 'Yancin Amurka tare da kasuwannin Amurka sun rufe, ciniki na EUR / GBP da aka haɓaka cikin yanayin kasuwa na bakin ciki. Aikin farashi yawanci ana aiwatar dashi ne ta hanyar la'akari da fasaha. Sabis na ƙarshe na PMI a cikin EMU ba shi da kyau fiye da yadda ake tsammani. Sabis na Burtaniya PMI ya sauka zuwa ƙasa da yadda aka zata 51.8, amma ya kasance sama da bunƙasa 50 ko matakin ƙura.
EUR / USD sun kai matsakaiciyar matsayi a 0.8047 gab da buga adadi na Burtaniya. Koyaya, motsi ya juya baya nan da nan.
EUR / GBP ya sake yin tsada na ɗan lokaci a kasuwancin yamma kuma ya cika tayi a arewacin shingen 0.8050. Wannan na iya kasancewa saboda daidaita wurare a cikin kebul kafin taron BoE. An sake juyawa matakin baya yayin da aka sanya kudin euro a fadin hukumar a karshen cinikayyar a Turai. EUR / GBP sun rufe zaman a 0.8034, kusan ba canzawa daga 0.8036 kusa da Talata.
A yau, zai zama ranar aiki ga yan kasuwar EUR / GBP saboda duka BoE da ECB zasu yanke shawara akan manufofin kuɗi. Duk abin yana cikin wuri don BoE don sake farawa shirin sayan kadara. Bayanan aiki sun tabbatar da cewa aiki a cikin Burtaniya na tafiyar hawainiya. A lokaci guda hauhawar farashi yana cikin ƙasa ½-2 low. MPC ta riga ta kusan zuwa sake farawa da shirin a watan da ya gabata tare da gwamna King a kan £ 50B na sayayyar kadara. Don haka, muhawara a cikin kasuwar ita ce ko BoE zai sanar da £ 50 ko £ 75B na sayayyar bond. Wani bayani a gefe: na makara (misali a ji a gaban kwamitin majalisar), mambobin kungiyar BoE a bayyane sun san cewa tasirin karin sayen bond a kan tattalin arziki ba zai zama mai ban mamaki ba kuma.
Don haka, wasu matakan (kamar shirin tare da haɗin gwiwa tare da gwamnati don sauƙaƙe bayar da lamuni ga tattalin arziƙi) suna zama mafi mahimmanci. Koyaya, a cikin halin yanzu BoE, ba zai iya watsi da tsammanin kasuwa ba. Don haka, mun zaɓi additional 50B ƙarin sayayya ta kadara. Wannan ya zama ya zama tsaka-tsaki yadda ya kamata. Ga ECB, akwai wuri don mamaki. Ba mu yanke hukuncin cewa ECB za ta dauki mataki mai karfin gaske ba. Tasirin kan kasuwannin duniya ba sauƙin annabta ba. Duk da haka, ba mu tsammanin ECB za ta kawo tallafi mai yawa ga Euro, koda kuwa idan shawarar za ta (ta ɗan lokaci?) Taimaka wa masu haɗari. Don haka, muna ɗauka cewa tsayayyar 0.8100 / 0.8169 zai kasance mai tsananin juriya don ƙimar ƙimar EUR / GBP.
Crossaddamarwa ta EUR / GBP ta haɓaka bayan dogon sayarwa wanda ya fara a watan Fabrairu kuma ya ƙare Tsakiyar-Mayu lokacin da ma'auratan suka saita gyara ƙasa a 0.7950. Daga can, aka sake bugawa / gajere matsi a ciki.
A yanzu muna ci gaba da kunna zangon kuma har yanzu mun fi son siyar da EUR / GBP cikin ƙarfi don dawo da aiki zuwa yankin 0.7950.
Babban BankinSterling
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Shawarwarin Sterling da Babban Bankin
Jul 5 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 5061 • Comments Off akan hukuncin Sterling da Babban Bankin
Jiya, a Ranar Samun 'Yancin Amurka tare da kasuwannin Amurka sun rufe, ciniki na EUR / GBP da aka haɓaka cikin yanayin kasuwa na bakin ciki. Aikin farashi yawanci ana aiwatar dashi ne ta hanyar la'akari da fasaha. Sabis na ƙarshe na PMI a cikin EMU ba shi da kyau fiye da yadda ake tsammani. Sabis na Burtaniya PMI ya sauka zuwa ƙasa da yadda aka zata 51.8, amma ya kasance sama da bunƙasa 50 ko matakin ƙura.
EUR / USD sun kai matsakaiciyar matsayi a 0.8047 gab da buga adadi na Burtaniya. Koyaya, motsi ya juya baya nan da nan.
EUR / GBP ya sake yin tsada na ɗan lokaci a kasuwancin yamma kuma ya cika tayi a arewacin shingen 0.8050. Wannan na iya kasancewa saboda daidaita wurare a cikin kebul kafin taron BoE. An sake juyawa matakin baya yayin da aka sanya kudin euro a fadin hukumar a karshen cinikayyar a Turai. EUR / GBP sun rufe zaman a 0.8034, kusan ba canzawa daga 0.8036 kusa da Talata.
A yau, zai zama ranar aiki ga yan kasuwar EUR / GBP saboda duka BoE da ECB zasu yanke shawara akan manufofin kuɗi. Duk abin yana cikin wuri don BoE don sake farawa shirin sayan kadara. Bayanan aiki sun tabbatar da cewa aiki a cikin Burtaniya na tafiyar hawainiya. A lokaci guda hauhawar farashi yana cikin ƙasa ½-2 low. MPC ta riga ta kusan zuwa sake farawa da shirin a watan da ya gabata tare da gwamna King a kan £ 50B na sayayyar kadara. Don haka, muhawara a cikin kasuwar ita ce ko BoE zai sanar da £ 50 ko £ 75B na sayayyar bond. Wani bayani a gefe: na makara (misali a ji a gaban kwamitin majalisar), mambobin kungiyar BoE a bayyane sun san cewa tasirin karin sayen bond a kan tattalin arziki ba zai zama mai ban mamaki ba kuma.
Don haka, wasu matakan (kamar shirin tare da haɗin gwiwa tare da gwamnati don sauƙaƙe bayar da lamuni ga tattalin arziƙi) suna zama mafi mahimmanci. Koyaya, a cikin halin yanzu BoE, ba zai iya watsi da tsammanin kasuwa ba. Don haka, mun zaɓi additional 50B ƙarin sayayya ta kadara. Wannan ya zama ya zama tsaka-tsaki yadda ya kamata. Ga ECB, akwai wuri don mamaki. Ba mu yanke hukuncin cewa ECB za ta dauki mataki mai karfin gaske ba. Tasirin kan kasuwannin duniya ba sauƙin annabta ba. Duk da haka, ba mu tsammanin ECB za ta kawo tallafi mai yawa ga Euro, koda kuwa idan shawarar za ta (ta ɗan lokaci?) Taimaka wa masu haɗari. Don haka, muna ɗauka cewa tsayayyar 0.8100 / 0.8169 zai kasance mai tsananin juriya don ƙimar ƙimar EUR / GBP.
Crossaddamarwa ta EUR / GBP ta haɓaka bayan dogon sayarwa wanda ya fara a watan Fabrairu kuma ya ƙare Tsakiyar-Mayu lokacin da ma'auratan suka saita gyara ƙasa a 0.7950. Daga can, aka sake bugawa / gajere matsi a ciki.
A yanzu muna ci gaba da kunna zangon kuma har yanzu mun fi son siyar da EUR / GBP cikin ƙarfi don dawo da aiki zuwa yankin 0.7950.
Babban BankinSterling
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