Satumba 28 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 4781 • Comments Off akan Taimako Rally Fades kamar yadda Gaskewar Cizon
Babu makawa gagarumin gangamin agajin da kasuwannin suka ji a jiya bai dore ba. Shin an taɓa samun wani lokaci a cikin tarihin ciniki na baya-bayan nan cewa kawai ambaton yuwuwar mafita daga masu tsara manufofin Turai za su iya haifar da irin wannan motsin hankali? Har yanzu muna da ɗan nisa daga aiwatar da hanyoyi daban-daban don da farko guje wa tsohowar Girka da kuma yaɗuwar rikice-rikicen bashi na sarki amma duk da haka sha'awar gama gari na kasuwanni ta bayyana ba ta cika ba. Wannan tabbas yana nuni da cewa mun kai wani muhimmin ma'auni, ma'auni wanda manyan kasuwannin hannayen jari za su iya haura zuwa shekarar da aka samu a watan Janairun 2011 ko kuma na iya faduwa zuwa matakan 2008.
Ya sami lakabin lakabin Doctor Doom a lokacin hadarin 2008-2009, koyaushe ina jin hakan bai dace ba akan Nouriel Roubini, an ɗora shi lafiya, amma batun X-Men bai yi aiki a gare ni ba. Yana da taɓawa da dare game da shi, na gan shi a matsayin The Count daga Sesame Street, a hankali kuma tare da cikakkiyar lafazin Transylvanian, yana bayanin yadda lambobin suka 'yi aiki', da yin 'fuskar dabino' lokacin da ba mu samu ba. shi. Ya zama wani harbi mai arha don yiwa Nouriel lakabi a matsayin batty a cikin 2008-2009, kuma kafofin watsa labarai na yau da kullun sun yi masa aiki mai tsauri, suna kwatanta ɗakinsa na Manhattan a matsayin wani wuri, yana jera 'cin nasara' mata, suna binsa zuwa mashaya da kulake na dare. . Wataƙila ba ya jin daɗin sanannun sunansa, kawai ya nutsar da nasa da baƙin cikinmu a cikin tsammanin abubuwan da ke shirin faruwa.
'Agogon da aka dakatar yana daidai sau biyu a rana'' ana yawan jefa kwatance a wajen Malam Roubini, da kyau, yaya? Ya yi daidai a 2008 kuma yana nan a yanzu. Hasashensa sai; Cewa 'ceton tsarin' a cikin 2008 ta hanyar amfani da dabarun QE guda ɗaya, zirp da bailouts, zai haifar da rikicin bashi na ƙasa a cikin shekaru biyu an tabbatar da tabo. Shahararren masanin tattalin arziki na farko da ya gabatar da kalmomin "kaucewa wannan koma bayan tattalin arziki zai haifar da bakin ciki" kawai ya fi dacewa da taƙaitaccen bayaninsa cewa "babban titi yana buƙatar ceto kafin Wall St". Abin lura shi ne cewa babu wani horo da za a haɗa shi da manyan ƴan wasa, ƙwararrun talikai, idan 'sun' rabu da shi sau ɗaya kawai za su sake maimaitawa. Maganar da ya yi game da babban titi shi ma ya dace, imanin cewa idan ka sake mayar da matsakaicin Joe, kuma ka ba shi damar rubutawa ko sake saita bashinsa, rayuwarsa, kyakkyawan fata, to tattalin arzikin zai farfado kuma ya bunkasa cikin sauri. .
Roubini yanzu, kuma, ana ambatonsa a cikin manyan kafofin watsa labarai kuma ana girmama shi. Koyaya, wannan na iya canzawa kuma ya bi tsarin da aka shaida a 2008-2009. Gidan yanar gizon nasa biyan kuɗi ne kawai don manyan abokan cinikinsa, abin kunya ne, a ra'ayi na tawali'u zai iya kuma yakamata ya ƙirƙiri sigar 'lite' don amfanin jama'a. Don haka a yanzu dole ne mu yi jayayya da zance da sautin sauti daga waɗanda ake zargi da yawa. A cikin Telegraph kwanan nan ya ba da shawarar cewa Amurka da Burtaniya sun riga sun dawo cikin koma bayan tattalin arziki, ya ci gaba da bayyana yana ba da shawarar wani wuri cewa koma bayan tattalin arziki ta fasaha amma a zahiri duka Burtaniya da Amurka ba su tsira daga koma bayan tattalin arziki ba. Har ila yau yana da ra'ayoyi masu ban sha'awa game da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, yana mai imani cewa hauhawar farashin kayayyaki nan ba da jimawa ba zai zama matsala ta ƙarshe da bankunan tsakiya za su ji tsoro.
Nouriel Roubini:
"Yayin da manufofin kuɗi na da iyakanceccen tasiri lokacin da matsalolin sun kasance yawan bashi da rashin biyan kuɗi maimakon rashin daidaituwa, ƙaddamar da bashi, maimakon sauƙi na ƙididdiga, na iya taimakawa. Ya kamata Babban Bankin Turai ya sauya shawarar da ya yi na kuskure don kara yawan kudin ruwa. Ana kuma buƙatar ƙarin sauƙi na kuɗi da bashi ga Tarayyar Amurka, Bankin Japan, Bankin Ingila, da Bankin Ƙasar Swiss. Nan ba da jimawa ba hauhawar farashin kayayyaki za ta zama matsala ta ƙarshe da bankunan tsakiya za su ji tsoro, yayin da sabon koma-bayan kayayyaki, ƙwadago, gidaje, da kasuwannin kayayyaki ke ciyar da matsalolin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.”
Kungiyar Tarayyar Turai na fuskantar kalubale mafi girma a cikin gajeren tarihinta, yayin da rikicin amana ya hada da matsalolin tattalin arziki da zamantakewa, Shugaban Hukumar Tarayyar Turai Jose Manuel Barroso ya bayyana a jawabinsa na shekara-shekara na kungiyar Tarayyar Turai yayin wani zama na Majalisar Tarayyar Turai a Faransa. birnin Strasbourg.
"Rikicin amincewa ne wanda bai faru shekaru da yawa ba". Barroso ya kuma kara tabbatar da cewa kasar Girka za ta ci gaba da kasancewa mamba a yankin kudin bai daya na kudin Euro, kuma idan har za a samu zurfafa hadin gwiwar tattalin arziki a tsakanin kasashen kungiyar tarayyar Turai, idan ba haka ba kungiyar mai mambobi 27 ta fuskanci wargajewa.
Gangamin agajin na ranar Talata bai zo kan kasuwannin Asiya ba saboda dare da sanyin safiya manyan alkaluma sun dusashe. Nikkei ya ƙare lebur, CSI ya rufe 1.03%, Hang Seng ya rufe 0.66%. ASX ya canza zuwa +0.87%. A kasuwannin Turai kasuwancin safiya an yi nasara, FTSE a halin yanzu yana kwance, STOXX ya ragu 1.05%, CAC ya ragu 0.98%, DAX a halin yanzu ya ragu 0.88%. Makomar daidaiton yau da kullun ta SPX a halin yanzu ta tashi kaɗan a 0.3%. Danyen mai Brent ya ragu da dala 65 a kowace ganga, zinare ya fadi.
Bayanan bayanan don zaman New York don sanin sun haɗa da;
12:00 US - MBA Aikace-aikacen jinginar gida Sept
13:30 US - Dokokin Kaya Masu Dorewa Aug
Umarnin kayayyaki masu ɗorewa na iya shafar jin daɗi yayin da mayar da hankali ke komawa ga ayyukan gida na Amurka. Fiididdigar gwamnati ce da ke auna adadin sabbin umarni da aka sanya tare da masana'antun Amurka don isar da samfuran masana'anta, kamar injina, motoci da na'urorin lantarki. Ana bayyana kayayyaki masu ɗorewa azaman abubuwa waɗanda ke da tsawon rayuwa na yau da kullun na shekaru uku ko fiye. Manazarta da Bloomberg yayi nazari sun ba da hasashen matsakaici na -0.2%, idan aka kwatanta da sakin karshe wanda shine 4.00%. Ban da sufuri, tsammanin shine -0.20% (a baya = 0.7%).
Sashin Turaitsoratar da sharhin kasuwabashi mai mulki
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Taimako na Taimako ya Fade a Matsayin Cizon Haƙiƙi
Satumba 28 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 4781 • Comments Off akan Taimako Rally Fades kamar yadda Gaskewar Cizon
Babu makawa gagarumin gangamin agajin da kasuwannin suka ji a jiya bai dore ba. Shin an taɓa samun wani lokaci a cikin tarihin ciniki na baya-bayan nan cewa kawai ambaton yuwuwar mafita daga masu tsara manufofin Turai za su iya haifar da irin wannan motsin hankali? Har yanzu muna da ɗan nisa daga aiwatar da hanyoyi daban-daban don da farko guje wa tsohowar Girka da kuma yaɗuwar rikice-rikicen bashi na sarki amma duk da haka sha'awar gama gari na kasuwanni ta bayyana ba ta cika ba. Wannan tabbas yana nuni da cewa mun kai wani muhimmin ma'auni, ma'auni wanda manyan kasuwannin hannayen jari za su iya haura zuwa shekarar da aka samu a watan Janairun 2011 ko kuma na iya faduwa zuwa matakan 2008.
Ya sami lakabin lakabin Doctor Doom a lokacin hadarin 2008-2009, koyaushe ina jin hakan bai dace ba akan Nouriel Roubini, an ɗora shi lafiya, amma batun X-Men bai yi aiki a gare ni ba. Yana da taɓawa da dare game da shi, na gan shi a matsayin The Count daga Sesame Street, a hankali kuma tare da cikakkiyar lafazin Transylvanian, yana bayanin yadda lambobin suka 'yi aiki', da yin 'fuskar dabino' lokacin da ba mu samu ba. shi. Ya zama wani harbi mai arha don yiwa Nouriel lakabi a matsayin batty a cikin 2008-2009, kuma kafofin watsa labarai na yau da kullun sun yi masa aiki mai tsauri, suna kwatanta ɗakinsa na Manhattan a matsayin wani wuri, yana jera 'cin nasara' mata, suna binsa zuwa mashaya da kulake na dare. . Wataƙila ba ya jin daɗin sanannun sunansa, kawai ya nutsar da nasa da baƙin cikinmu a cikin tsammanin abubuwan da ke shirin faruwa.
'Agogon da aka dakatar yana daidai sau biyu a rana'' ana yawan jefa kwatance a wajen Malam Roubini, da kyau, yaya? Ya yi daidai a 2008 kuma yana nan a yanzu. Hasashensa sai; Cewa 'ceton tsarin' a cikin 2008 ta hanyar amfani da dabarun QE guda ɗaya, zirp da bailouts, zai haifar da rikicin bashi na ƙasa a cikin shekaru biyu an tabbatar da tabo. Shahararren masanin tattalin arziki na farko da ya gabatar da kalmomin "kaucewa wannan koma bayan tattalin arziki zai haifar da bakin ciki" kawai ya fi dacewa da taƙaitaccen bayaninsa cewa "babban titi yana buƙatar ceto kafin Wall St". Abin lura shi ne cewa babu wani horo da za a haɗa shi da manyan ƴan wasa, ƙwararrun talikai, idan 'sun' rabu da shi sau ɗaya kawai za su sake maimaitawa. Maganar da ya yi game da babban titi shi ma ya dace, imanin cewa idan ka sake mayar da matsakaicin Joe, kuma ka ba shi damar rubutawa ko sake saita bashinsa, rayuwarsa, kyakkyawan fata, to tattalin arzikin zai farfado kuma ya bunkasa cikin sauri. .
Roubini yanzu, kuma, ana ambatonsa a cikin manyan kafofin watsa labarai kuma ana girmama shi. Koyaya, wannan na iya canzawa kuma ya bi tsarin da aka shaida a 2008-2009. Gidan yanar gizon nasa biyan kuɗi ne kawai don manyan abokan cinikinsa, abin kunya ne, a ra'ayi na tawali'u zai iya kuma yakamata ya ƙirƙiri sigar 'lite' don amfanin jama'a. Don haka a yanzu dole ne mu yi jayayya da zance da sautin sauti daga waɗanda ake zargi da yawa. A cikin Telegraph kwanan nan ya ba da shawarar cewa Amurka da Burtaniya sun riga sun dawo cikin koma bayan tattalin arziki, ya ci gaba da bayyana yana ba da shawarar wani wuri cewa koma bayan tattalin arziki ta fasaha amma a zahiri duka Burtaniya da Amurka ba su tsira daga koma bayan tattalin arziki ba. Har ila yau yana da ra'ayoyi masu ban sha'awa game da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, yana mai imani cewa hauhawar farashin kayayyaki nan ba da jimawa ba zai zama matsala ta ƙarshe da bankunan tsakiya za su ji tsoro.
Nouriel Roubini:
"Yayin da manufofin kuɗi na da iyakanceccen tasiri lokacin da matsalolin sun kasance yawan bashi da rashin biyan kuɗi maimakon rashin daidaituwa, ƙaddamar da bashi, maimakon sauƙi na ƙididdiga, na iya taimakawa. Ya kamata Babban Bankin Turai ya sauya shawarar da ya yi na kuskure don kara yawan kudin ruwa. Ana kuma buƙatar ƙarin sauƙi na kuɗi da bashi ga Tarayyar Amurka, Bankin Japan, Bankin Ingila, da Bankin Ƙasar Swiss. Nan ba da jimawa ba hauhawar farashin kayayyaki za ta zama matsala ta ƙarshe da bankunan tsakiya za su ji tsoro, yayin da sabon koma-bayan kayayyaki, ƙwadago, gidaje, da kasuwannin kayayyaki ke ciyar da matsalolin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.”
Kungiyar Tarayyar Turai na fuskantar kalubale mafi girma a cikin gajeren tarihinta, yayin da rikicin amana ya hada da matsalolin tattalin arziki da zamantakewa, Shugaban Hukumar Tarayyar Turai Jose Manuel Barroso ya bayyana a jawabinsa na shekara-shekara na kungiyar Tarayyar Turai yayin wani zama na Majalisar Tarayyar Turai a Faransa. birnin Strasbourg.
"Rikicin amincewa ne wanda bai faru shekaru da yawa ba". Barroso ya kuma kara tabbatar da cewa kasar Girka za ta ci gaba da kasancewa mamba a yankin kudin bai daya na kudin Euro, kuma idan har za a samu zurfafa hadin gwiwar tattalin arziki a tsakanin kasashen kungiyar tarayyar Turai, idan ba haka ba kungiyar mai mambobi 27 ta fuskanci wargajewa.
Gangamin agajin na ranar Talata bai zo kan kasuwannin Asiya ba saboda dare da sanyin safiya manyan alkaluma sun dusashe. Nikkei ya ƙare lebur, CSI ya rufe 1.03%, Hang Seng ya rufe 0.66%. ASX ya canza zuwa +0.87%. A kasuwannin Turai kasuwancin safiya an yi nasara, FTSE a halin yanzu yana kwance, STOXX ya ragu 1.05%, CAC ya ragu 0.98%, DAX a halin yanzu ya ragu 0.88%. Makomar daidaiton yau da kullun ta SPX a halin yanzu ta tashi kaɗan a 0.3%. Danyen mai Brent ya ragu da dala 65 a kowace ganga, zinare ya fadi.
Bayanan bayanan don zaman New York don sanin sun haɗa da;
12:00 US - MBA Aikace-aikacen jinginar gida Sept
13:30 US - Dokokin Kaya Masu Dorewa Aug
Umarnin kayayyaki masu ɗorewa na iya shafar jin daɗi yayin da mayar da hankali ke komawa ga ayyukan gida na Amurka. Fiididdigar gwamnati ce da ke auna adadin sabbin umarni da aka sanya tare da masana'antun Amurka don isar da samfuran masana'anta, kamar injina, motoci da na'urorin lantarki. Ana bayyana kayayyaki masu ɗorewa azaman abubuwa waɗanda ke da tsawon rayuwa na yau da kullun na shekaru uku ko fiye. Manazarta da Bloomberg yayi nazari sun ba da hasashen matsakaici na -0.2%, idan aka kwatanta da sakin karshe wanda shine 4.00%. Ban da sufuri, tsammanin shine -0.20% (a baya = 0.7%).
Sashin Turaitsoratar da sharhin kasuwabashi mai mulki
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