Matsin lamba zai kasance ga BoE don ɗaga farashin riba, idan UK CPI ta shigo a 3%, sa ran sitila zai amsa idan aka cika hasashen
A safiyar ranar Talata, da karfe 8:30 na safe agogon GMT, hukumar kididdiga ta hukuma ta Burtaniya (ONS) za ta bayyana sabon adadi na CPI a jerin bayanan hauhawar farashi, wanda kuma zai hada da RPI da hauhawar farashin mai samarwa. Hasashen yana ga CPI (hauhawar farashin kayan masarufi) don tashi zuwa shekaru biyar na 3% na shekara-shekara, tare da RPI (hauhawar farashi), ya tashi zuwa 4%. An yi hasashen shigar da farashin mai ƙira zai tashi zuwa 8.2%. Wannan jerin bayanan, tare da ƙarin albashi yana ƙaruwa ne kawai da kimanin. 2.1% YoY, zai kara matsa lamba kuma zai iya isar da alburusai masu muhimmanci, don kwamitin manufofin Bankin Ingila ya kara kudin Burtaniya a karon farko cikin shekaru goma, tun bayan rikicin kudi na 2007.
An saukar da ragin zuwa 0.25% daga 0.5%, jim kadan bayan sakamakon raba gardama na Brexit, a lokaci guda kuma gwamnan BoE Mark Carney shi ma ya kuduri aniyar samar da karin £ 250b na QE, idan tattalin arzikin Burtaniya zai kara fuskantar wani mummunan illa daga Brexit . Increasedara hauhawar farashin kaya an haifar da shi kai tsaye sakamakon shawarar raba gardama; a matsayin sabis na kwastomomi, kashe mabukata, kasar da ke shigo da ita, wanda ke tafiyar da gibi akai akai (kuma gaba daya yana tashi), fam din da yake faduwa kusan 10% akan dalar Amurka da kuma 14% da kudin euro, tun bayan kuri'ar Yuni 2016, tayi matukar tasiri. aikin tattalin arzikin Burtaniya. Abin da ya sa Carney da MPC suka makale a tsakanin dutse da wuri mai wuya lokacin da ake tunanin haɓaka ƙimar tushe zuwa 0.5%. Tunanin da aka yi na kara farashin ba zai inganta ayyukan tattalin arziki ba, daga karuwar GDP na 0.3% a cikin kwata na karshe, hakika hakan na iya cutar da ci gaban, saboda masu sayen za su sami karbar bashi da tsada. Madadin haka tashin zai zama na tsaro ne kawai; don fadada darajar fam, ta hanyar tabbatar da cewa farashin shigo da kaya ya fadi kasa-kasa, wanda hakan ba zai yi wani tasiri ba a kan bangaren tattalin arzikin da ke kan gaba ba; sai dai idan albashi ya tashi, ko kuma farashin ya faɗi da yawa, masu amfani ba zasu sami abin da za su kashe ba.
Masana tattalin arziki daga bankin HSBC sun yi hasashen sau biyu na canjin tushe; ɗayan da za a sanar a watan Disamba, ɗayan a watan Mayu, wanda ya kamata (a cikin ra'ayi) ya sa CPI ya koma zuwa 2.5%. Tare da cikakken lokaci membobi uku na BoE zasu bayyana a gaban kwamitin zaɓaɓɓen baitulmali (gwamnati da masu yin doka a majalisa) yayin da aka fitar da alkaluman hauhawar farashin, don yin bayanin yadda suke tafiyar da tattalin arziki ta hanyar amfani da kayan aikin siyasa. Abin lura shi ne cewa lokacin bayyanar ba hadari ba ne; cewa suna da masaniya cewa mabuɗin ƙididdigar hauhawar farashi ya tashi. Don haka manazarta da masu saka jari za su ba da himma sosai ga tattaunawar a yayin sauraron kwamitin, kamar yadda za su yi wa alkaluman hauhawar farashin.
BAYAN CIKIN BUKATAR TATTALIN ARZIKI.
• Kudin sha'awa 0.25%
• Adadin hauhawar farashin CPI 2.9%
• RPI na hauhawar farashin kashi 3.9%
• GDP girma QoQ 0.3%
• Ci gaban GDP na shekara 1.5%
• Girman albashi 2.1%
• growtharuwar tallace-tallace na kashi 2.4%
• Hadadden PMI 54.1
« CPI ta New Zealand ita ce maɓalli, babban tasiri, taron labarai na tattalin arziki da aka jera a ranar Litinin, duk da haka, ya kamata a kula da al'amuran siyasa a Amurka, Ingila, da Turai. Sterling ya zame, yayin da tattaunawar Brexit ta kai wani matsayi mai mahimmanci, imanin Janet Yellen cewa imanin hauhawar farashi zai tashi, yana haifar da dalar Amurka da daidaito »
