Binciken Kasuwa Mayu 25 2012
Kasuwannin daidaito sun haɗu a yau, tare da alamun Asiya suna ƙasa da ƙasa bayan fitowar PMI mai rauni na China, kasuwannin Turai da ke dawowa daga swoon na jiya (duk da raunin bayanan PMI wanda ya nuna ƙarancin masana'antu a duk faɗin nahiyar - gami da Jamus), kuma kasuwannin Arewacin Amurka suna da faɗi .
Aikin yau ya mai da hankali kan kasuwannin kuɗaɗen kuɗi, tare da siyar da euro a ƙarshen rana yayin shawagi sama da matakin 1.25 EURUSD. Bayan karya dokar EURUSD ta 2012 a yayin zaman jiya, kuɗaɗen kuɗaɗen ya ci gaba da kasuwanci ƙasa har da ranakun 'daidaito' - tabbas alama ce ta damuwa.
A cikin jawabin da aka gabatar yau a Rome, Shugaban ECB Draghi ya ce:
yanzu mun kai wani matsayi wanda tsarin haɗin Turai zai buƙaci ƙarfin ƙarfin tunanin siyasa.
Menene wannan “Jarumi tsalle gaba” ga abin da yake magana a kai? Hasashe a cikin latsa jeri daga fitowar abin da ake kira "Eurobonds" wanda dukkan ƙasashen Turai suka tallafawa tare kuma da yawa don ƙaddamar da "ƙungiyar banki" wanda zai ba da tabbacin adana kuɗi a duk faɗin nahiyar.
Kamar yadda muka ambata a wani wuri, ba tare da la'akari da fa'ida ko rashin fa'idar kowane ɗayan waɗannan shawarwarin ba, da alama shugabannin Turai suna son jinkirta duk wata shawara har sai Girka ta kammala zaɓenta a ranar 17 ga Yuni kuma shugabannin za su iya auna ko sabuwar gamayyar gwamnatocin Girka za ta so sake tattaunawa kan sharuɗɗan tallafin da aka gudanar har zuwa yanzu.
Baya ga raunin bayanan PMI a Turai, umarnin Amurka mai dorewa na watan Afrilu ya kasance mara ƙarfi sosai. Duk da yake umarni ya karu da 0.2% m / m, wannan ya ɓoye yanayin rauni na tsohuwar fitarwa (idan an cire jirage da motoci, umarni ya sauka da -0.6% m / m).
Tarayyar Euro
EURUS (1.2530) Dalar Amurka ta tsawaita nasarorin da ta samu kan euro da sauran manyan kudade yayin da masu saka jari ke neman aminci yayin da shugabannin Turai ke kokarin shawo kan matsalar bashin Girka.
Yuro ya kasance ana ciniki akan $ 1.2532 a ranar Alhamis ya sauka daga $ 1.2582 a daidai lokacin da ya gabata.
Kudin da Turai ta saka a baya ya fadi zuwa $ 1.2516, mafi karancinsa tun watan Yulin 2010, bayan taron kungiyar Tarayyar Turai da yammacin Laraba ya samar da wata hanya madaidaiciya a cikin rikicin bashin kuma kasuwanni sun yi wa katutu sakamakon karyewar bayanan tattalin arziki ga kasashen Turai da Birtaniyya.
Sasar Sterling
GBPUSD (1.5656) Sterling ya tashi daga ragin wata biyu a kan dala a ranar Alhamis yayin da wasu masu saka jari suka ba da riba a kan cin amana, kodayake tsammanin kara samun sauki na kudi bayan tattalin arzikin Burtaniya ya fadi sama da yadda ake tsammani na iya ci gaba da samun nasarori.
Bunkasar da aka samu a cikin kayan cikin gida zuwa -0.3 bisa ɗari daga ƙididdigar farko na -0.2 kashi ya zurfafa damuwa game da yanayin tattalin arzikin da ke fuskantar matsalar bashin yankin Yuro. Wannan ya kara banki Bank of England na iya zaɓar ƙarin sayayya ta kadara don haɓaka haɓaka.
Fim din ya fadi a takaice kan dala bayan fitowar GDP zuwa kusan $ 1.5648, kafin asarar kashi don cinikin karshe ya karu da kashi 0.2 a ranar a $ 1.5710.
Tun da farko a zaman ya kai kimanin wata biyu na $ 1.5639 kamar yadda damuwa mai yawa game da yuwuwar ficewar Girka daga Euro ya sa masu saka hannun jari zuwa tsare-tsaren tsare-tsaren tsaro kamar dala kuma nesa da tsabar kuɗi masu tsada kamar fam.
Asiya -Kudin Kuɗi
USDJPY (79.81) JPY baya canzawa daga ƙarshen jiya, saboda motsi yana da iyakancewa idan babu bayanan gida. Gwamnan BoJ Shirakawa ya yi magana game da buƙatar inganta ƙididdigar ƙididdigar ƙididdigar ƙasar Japan ganin yadda aka damu game da tasirin tasirin ƙaruwar lamuni a cikin ƙasar da ta fi yawan bashi a duniya.
Matsakaicin kasafin kudi, tsayayyen ci gaba, siyasa mai sauki, da raunin yanayin kasa sune mabuɗin hasashen JPY mai rauni (na dogon lokaci).
Koyaya, a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci, amintattun wurare masu gudana za su tura ƙarfin yen, kamar yadda aka nuna ta raguwar kwanan nan a cikin EURJPY wanda ya fara haɓaka kusan 100.00.
Gold
Zinare (1553.15) makoma ta samu a karo na farko a wannan makon, yayin da ɗan gajeren hutu a tashin dalar Amurka ta tashi ya haifar da wasu masu saka hannun jari waɗanda suka yi fare akan farashi mai ƙaranci don ƙarfe mai daraja don rufe waɗannan cinikin.
Dalar Amurka ta yi ƙasa da wasu manyan abokan kasuwancin a farkon ranar kasuwancin New York, yayin da ƙaruwar wannan makon cikin damuwa game da matsalar bashin ƙasa da ƙasa ta Turai ke tafiyar hawainiya.
Wasu bayanan tattalin arzikin Amurka da suka ci nasara a kasuwannin Turai sun takaita bukatar neman kudin a matsayin mafaka, kuma shugabannin Turai a taron sun sake tabbatar da fatarsu ga Girka ta ci gaba da kasancewa cikin yankin Euro, duk da cewa ba su sanar da wani sabon yarjejeniya ba dauke da yaduwar rikicin yankin na Euro.
Wannan, bi da bi, ya tallafa wa kasuwar zinare da aka yi wa rauni.
Yarjejeniyar gwal da ta fi kowacce ciniki, don isar da watan Yuni, ya tashi dala 9.10, ko kashi 0.6, don daidaitawa a $ 1,557.50 na adadin ganyayyaki a kan kasuwar Comex ta Kasuwar Kasuwancin New York.
man
Danyen Mai (90.48) farashin ya yi tashin gwauron zabi bayan shugabannin Turai sun sake tabbatar da burinsu na ganin Girka ta ci gaba da kasancewa cikin kudin Euro kuma Iran da manyan kasashen duniya sun rufe tattaunawar da ake yi game da shirinta na nukiliya Babban kwangilar New York, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) danyen man ne a watan Yulin, ya tashi da cent 76 ya rufe da $ 90.66 ganga daya. Kwantiragin WTI na gaba ya kai dala 89.90 a ranar Laraba, mafi ƙarancin matakin tun Oktoba.
A Baghdad, tattaunawar tsawan kwanaki biyu masu tsauri da nufin taimakawa sasanta tsakanin babban mai kera mai da Iran da kuma manyan kasashe masu karfin tattalin arziki game da shirin nukiliyar Tehran wanda ya samu rauni ba tare da wani ci gaba ba.
Manyan kasashen Burtaniya, China, Faransa, Rasha da Amurka gami da Jamus sun gabatar da wata shawara wacce ta hada da masu zaki don shawo kan Iran ta yi watsi da inganta uranium amma Tehran ta yi burus da tayin. Iran ta fuskanci gurguntar takunkumi kan shirinta na nukiliya, wanda yawancin kasashen duniya ke ganin yana rufe fuskar samar da makaman nukiliya.
Tehran ta musanta ikirarin.
Bangarorin sun amince su sake haduwa a Moscow a ranakun 18 zuwa 19 ga watan Yuni, in ji shugabar kula da harkokin waje ta kungiyar EU Catherine Ashton.
