Bari muyi rawa kamar na 19,999.
A wani mataki, yayin taron cinikayya na New York ranar Juma'a 6 ga Janairu, DJIA ta kai matsayin mafi girma a tarihi, ta kai 19,999, maki daya ne kawai na mahimmancin 'psyche' handle 'na 20,000. FTSE 100 na Burtaniya ya buga manyan abubuwa da yawa a cikin makon da ya ƙare ranar 6 ga Janairu, ya ƙare makon a 7,210.
Yawancin masana tattalin arziki lokacin da aka jefa kuri'a, suna ba da shawarar cewa bayan zaben shugaban kasa, faduwar zabe, zai dushe, bayan an rantsar da shi a ranar 20 ga Janairu. Da yawa kuma suna hasashen cewa tashin kasuwannin daidaiton Burtaniya kwanan nan zai koma baya (tare da tsaka-tsalle), da zarar gwamnatin Burtaniya ta saki shirye-shiryen Brexit. Koyaya, akwai manazarta da masana tattalin arziki da yawa waɗanda ke da ra'ayin sabawa.
Duk da damuwar da yawa, dangane da ma'aunin gargajiya na kasuwannin hannayen jari 'wanda ya cancanci kaiwa matakaloli masu firgitarwa, da alama babu wani babban matakin tsayin daka, ko kuma bakar baƙar fata da ke faruwa a sararin samaniya, wanda na iya haifar da siyarwa kwatsam. Koyaya, ya kamata mu kasance a faɗake cewa abubuwan baƙincikin baƙar fata (ta ɗabi'unsu) ba safai ake hango su a cikin al'ada ba.
Rabon P / E na FTSE 100 na Burtaniya kusan 34 ne, matsakaiciyar tarihi ita ce 15. An fi kwatanta yawan P / E a matsayin rabon farashin hannun jarin kamfani idan aka kwatanta shi da abin da ya samu. Kamar yadda sunan ya nuna, don lissafin P / E, kawai kuna ɗaukar farashin hannun jari na kamfani ku raba ta hanyar abin da ya samu ta hannun jarin (EPS): Rimar P / E = Darajar Kasuwa ta Raba. Samun kuɗi ta hanyar Share (EPS). Saboda haka babban jigon Burtaniya yana kimanta kamfanoni da yawa a fagen fasaha sau biyu a matakinsu na tarihi.
Yawancin manazarta suna amfani da “Caseimar Schiller Ratio” don auna ma'aunin USA Standard & Poor (SPX 500). Wanda ake nufi da "CAPE" yana nufin; Rarraba-Daidaita Farashi-zuwa-Kasuwanci wanda ya rufe shekaru 10 da suka gabata. Yanayin yanzu shine 28.16, matsakaiciyar matakin shine 16.05. Matsakaici mafi girma da aka rubuta shi ne a cikin Disamba 1999 a 44.19, mafi ƙasƙanci matakin rubuce shi ne 4.78 a cikin Disamba 1920. Za a iya yin nuni da cewa kasuwannin Amurka har yanzu suna da yalwa da yawa don tashi zuwa sama; zuwa kololuwa a matakin qarshe wanda aka halarta kafin faduwar dot com din 1999-2000. A madadin, masu saka jari da manazarta na iya yanke hukuncin cewa ƙimar SPX a halin yanzu an yiwa darajar 42% ƙima, a tsakanin matakin matsakaici.
Batu daya da mafi yawan manazarta da masana tattalin arziki suka hadu akai, shine yadda aka kai wadannan manyan matsayin; ba ta hanyar yin rikodin kamfani ba, amma ta hanyar ƙarancin ƙimar kuɗi, yana barin manyan kamfanoni da aka nakalto su tsunduma cikin sayen hajojin su, don haɓaka farashin hannun jari da haɓaka riba.
Misali, kamfanonin Amurka sun kashe kimanin dala tiriliyan 2.5 a cikin shekaru shida da suka gabata suna yin irin waɗannan ayyukan. Ba zato ba tsammani, irin wannan hanya za a lasafta ta a matsayin "kasuwancin cikin gida" a cikin shekarar 1982. Wannan ya canza lokacin da Hukumar Tsaro da Canji ta zartar da doka ta 10b-18, wacce ta buɗe ƙofofin-ambaliyar don kamfanoni su fara siyan hannun jarin nasu gaba ɗaya. Game da ko wannan aikin zai iya ci gaba ko kuma a'a, idan ƙididdigar tushe ta Amurka ta kai ga abin da ake tsammani 'al'ada' na 3% a ƙarshen 2018, ba zai yuwu ba.
Dala, a haɗe tare da kasuwannin daidaiton Amurka, ya ji daɗin ci gaban zaɓen shugaban ƙasa, musamman sakamakon taron FOMC na Disamba, yayin da aka ba da sanarwar haɓakar ƙimar 0.25%. Yuro ya kusa kusan daidai da dala, yayin da sifa ta faɗi ta kusan 20% da USD, tun lokacin da aka yanke hukuncin raba gardama na ranar 23 ga Yuni. Kuma yen ya faɗi da kusan 17% da dala, tun watan Agusta 2016.
Abubuwan kalandar tattalin arziki na bayanin kula ga Janairu 9th 2016, duk lokutan da aka ambata lokacin Landan ne.
07:00, an fara amfani da kudin EUR. Kirkirar Masana'antu ta Jamus. Hasashen ya kasance ne ga hasashen masana'antar Jamus da ya haura zuwa 1.9% na watan Nuwamba, daga 1.2% a da.
07:00, an fara amfani da kudin EUR. Balance na Kasuwancin Jamusanci (euro) (NOV). Jamus ba ta da mahimmanci a tsakanin manyan ƙasashe masu masana'antu na G10, wajen sanya daidaito tsakanin kasuwanci; suna fitarwa fiye da yadda suke shigowa da shi. Hasashen na Nuwamba ya kai € 20.3b, daga € 19.3b a baya.
09:30, kudin ya fara amfani da EUR. Yuro-Yankin Sentix Investor Amincewa (JAN). Kimanin kimantawa daga masanan tattalin arzikin da aka zaba ya kasance na karatu 12.8, ya tashi daga karatun Disamba da ya gabata na 10.
10:00, kudin yafara amfani da EUR. Ateimar Rashin Aikin Yuro-Zone (NOV). Abinda ake tsammani shine cewa adadin rashin aikin yi na Yankin Turai zai kasance a tsaye a 9.8%.
20:00, kudin yayi tasiri USD. Katin Amfani. Imididdiga sun nuna cewa ƙimar mabukaci ta Amurka za ta tashi, musamman sakamakon abubuwan yanayi, da $ 18.400b daga dala $ 16.018b a cikin watan da ya gabata.
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