Fassarar Fed Speak
Sanarwar ta FOMC ta Afrilu ta bambanta ne kawai a cikin 'yan kaɗan, galibi mahimman bayanai daga na Maris kuma babu alamun komai game da canjin manufa.
Kwamitin ya ɗan fi ƙarfin gwiwa game da hangen nesa na tattalin arziki kuma ya fi mai da hankali ga hauhawar farashin kaya, amma a lokaci guda ya haɓaka masu tsaro game da haɗarin haɗarin ci gaban saboda matsalolin kuɗi.
Canje-canje ga yanayin tattalin arziki na yanzu ya yi kadan. Abin sha'awa, ƙididdigar ƙimar amfani sun fi sharar gida, amma bai shafi jagorancin ƙimar FOMC ba. Bernanke ya bar ƙofar don ƙarin buɗe QE, amma bai nuna son zuciya ga batun ba. Developarin ci gaba ya kamata yanke shawara idan ana buƙatar ƙarin QE.
Game da matsayin manufofin, babu canje-canje da ya faru kuma sakin layi na 3, 4 da 5 na bayanin sun kasance daidai da na Maris. Fed din yana rike da adadin kudin da aka samu na Asusun Tarayya a 0 zuwa still bisa dari kuma har yanzu yana tsammanin yanayin tattalin arziki na iya bada garambawul ga matakan kasa da na kudaden tarayya a kalla zuwa karshen 2014.
FOMC ta kuma tabbatar da cewa tana ci gaba da shirinta na fadada matsakaiciyar balagar hannayen jarin ta kamar yadda aka sanar a watan Satumba. Hakanan tana kula da manufofinta na yanzu na sake saka hannun jari na manyan kudade daga abubuwan da take da su na jingina da kuma bashin hukumar a cikin yarjejeniyar tsaro ta hukumar.
Yana jujjuya matakan bala'in Baitul mali a gwanjo. A ƙarshe, game da jefa ƙuri'a, kamar yadda a cikin Janairu da Maris, Richmond Fed Lacker ya nuna rashin amincewa game da shiryarwar gaba (ƙarshen 2014).
FOMC kamar yadda ya fada a baya tattalin arzikin na ta habaka cikin tsari. Ya lura da ci gaban da aka samu a kasuwar kwadago, amma ya kara da cewa yawan marasa aikin yi ya ci gaba. A karo na farko sun kara da cewa:
duk da wasu alamun cigaba
FOMC na ci gaba da tsammanin ci gaba ya kasance mai matsakaici a kan wuraren da ke zuwa, amma yanzu sun ƙara “… Sannan kuma karba a hankali”. Koyaya, rikice-rikicen kuɗi ya ɗan ƙara nauyi kamar haɗarin haɗari ga ci gaba. Maimakon "An shawo kan hauhawar farashi a 'yan watannin nan", yanzu FOMC ta ce “hauhawar farashi ya ɗan ɗan ɗauki”, amma saboda tsadar makamashi.
FOMC ta kuma kara da cewa tana fatan wadannan kari zasu shafi hauhawar farashin kaya ne kawai na dan lokaci. Arshen ƙarshe game da hauhawar farashin kaya bai canza ba:
Kwamitin yana tsammanin wannan hauhawar farashin zai gudana a ko ƙasa da abin da yake yanke hukunci mafi dacewa da aikinsa na dual
Idan aka kwatanta da hasashen na watan Janairu, gwamnoni sun ɗan yi bitar hasashen haɓakar 2012 zuwa kashi 2.4% zuwa 2.9% (daga 2.2 zuwa 2.7%). Don shekara ta 2013, ana tsammanin ci gaban ya ɗan zarce na wannan shekarar (2.7 zuwa 3.1%), amma ya ɗan ragu da hasashen Janairu. Ana sa ran saurin haɓakar da ya fi tsayi ya kasance 2.3 zuwa 2.6%.
A bayyane gwamnonin suka yi la'akari da raguwar rashin aikin yi a kwanan nan kuma suka saukar da hasashen karshen-2012 zuwa 7.8 zuwa 8% (daga 8.2 zuwa 8.5 a Janairu), sannan raguwa a ƙarshen 2013 zuwa 7.3 zuwa 7.7% kuma daga 2014 zuwa 6.7 zuwa 7.4%. Hasashen na ƙarshe ya yi daidai da na Janairu.
Game da hauhawar farashi, akwai sake dubawa zuwa sama na ƙananan iyaka na zangon da ake tsammani a kowace shekara har zuwa 2014, yayin da iyakar ta sama ta kasance a 2% (haƙiƙa). Don 2012, an sake duba ƙananan iyaka zuwa 1.9% daga 1.4% zuwa 1.6% daga 1.4% a 2013 kuma daga 1.6% zuwa 1.7% a 2014.
Kammalawa, gabaɗaya, gwamnonin FOMC sun kasance masu ƙarfin zuciya game da kusancin ci gaban lokaci da rashin aikin yi da kuma ɗan rashin kyakkyawan fata game da hauhawar farashin kaya.
Koyaya, waɗannan sake nazarin na 2012 sun kasance mafi girman lalacewa ta hanyar wasu bita da ke ƙasa na tsinkayen haɓakar shekarun 2013/14.
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