Fabrairu 6 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 8817 • 1 Comment a Shin Shin Dawowa Babu Aiki A Amurka Ya Zama Matsayi Ya Zama Maido Da Ayyuka?
Kamar yadda tasirin hatsarin 2008-2209 ya ragu 'babbar hanyar yin sharhi game da kafofin watsa labarai' ta kirkiro sabbin kalmomi da kalmomin da za su kunshi a cikin shahararren kamus din da aka bita. Wannan jerin ya ga ƙarin abubuwan da ba a san su ba kamar su "TARP" da rubutu a cikin sanannun al'adun "ƙarancin bashi" da "sauƙaƙewar adadi". "Rashin aikin yi" ya dace da matsayinsa a cikin kamus ɗin, wanda aka gabatar da shi a matsayin sabon tsarin kasuwancin kasuwancin, a Turai da Amurka, sun fara samun gagarumar nasara a cikin 2010-2001, yayin da kasuwar ayyuka ke ci gaba da kasancewa cikin ƙangi kamar ayyukan kusan miliyan tara. sun ɓace a cikin Amurka daga 2007-2010.
Farfado da kasuwar kasuwar hannayen jari, wasu suna kiranta taron gangamin kasuwar beran mutane, ya tsaya cik a shekarar 2011, saboda yawan cinikin da aka samu a watan Oktoban 2011 sakamakon rikicin bashin Eurozone. Tun daga watan Disamba na 2001 yawancin fihiriso daga baya sun dawo da asarar su, a zahiri wasu ƙididdigar, kamar NASDAQ, kwanan nan suna buga samfuran shekara goma sha ɗaya.
Shaida kan dawo da ayyukan gaske a cikin Amurka zai zama shaida ga nasarar da yawa: tallafi, ceto da matakan saukaka abubuwa da aka sanya tun shekarar 2008 kuma a ranar Juma'a alkaluman NFP na baya-bayan nan sun nuna faɗuwar lambobin marasa aikin yi. Rashin aikin yi yanzu ya fadi daga 9.5 zuwa 8.4 da aka ƙaddamar da shi ta hanyar ƙirƙirar sabbin ayyuka 245,000 a cikin Disamba / Janairu. Wasu masu sharhi game da kasuwa sun ba da sanarwar wannan labarai na ayyuka, haɗe tare da ci gaba zuwa sama a cikin manyan alamomi da kasuwanni a cikin Amurka yayin da a ƙarshe Amurka ta juya kusurwa. Amma yaya shagon da yawa za mu iya sanyawa a baya bayan waɗannan lambobin aikin kwanan nan kuma shin kasuwar hannun jari ce ta tattara duk abin da take gani?
Bari mu ɗauki minutesan mintoci kaɗan don sanya sabbin lambobin aiki a ƙarƙashin microscope don gwada ingancinsu, sannan gobe za mu binciki ƙaruwar kasuwar hada-hadar don tabbatar da cewa idan akwai warkewa kuma idan haka ne ko da gaske ko a'a wanda aka tallafawa ta hanyar “dawo da ayyuka” ..
Adadin labarai ya yi kururuwa "Rashin aikin yi a Amurka ya fadi da 8.4%" a ranar Juma'a 3 ga Fabrairu, tare da kusan ayyukan 245,000 da aka ƙara a cikin Disamba. Wannan ya kasance banbanci sosai, sama da kamar 130-150K kamar yadda Bloomberg da Reuters suka yi tsammani, kuma yawancin masu sharhi suna ba da shawara cewa ya kamata a kula da ƙarin ayyukan aike na ɗan lokaci 40,000 na wucin gadi kan lokacin hutun na Xmas. sabbin alkaluma, saboda haka adadi na 100K ba za a iya kore shi ba.
Yana da kyau a ce buga aikin da aka sanar a ranar Juma'a ya ba kowa a kafofin watsa labarai mamaki da hangen nesa na mutum wanda ba zai iya kasa yin farin ciki ba idan har kusan Amurkawa 250,000, a cikin jama'a kusan 46,000,000 sun karbi tambarin abinci *, da sami aiki a cikin taga wata ɗaya.
* Oktoba 2011, Amurkawa 46,224,722 ne ke karbar tambarin abinci. A Washington, DC, da Mississippi, fiye da kashi ɗaya cikin biyar na mazauna suna karɓar baƙon abincin. Masu karɓa dole ne su sami kusan kusan kudin shiga talauci don cancantar fa'idodi.
Ganin cewa sabbin ayyuka sun nuna kusan ayyukan yi miliyan tara da suka ɓace tun farkon farkon matsalar tattalin arziki, tare da bayyana ayyukan yi miliyan uku tun daga lokacin, za a ga ayyukan da aka yi na 2007 na kwanan nan 'ƙimar daidaito' a cikin shekaru uku. Koyaya, lambobin basu riƙe cikakken bincike ba. Abin da ya fi damun manazarta da yawa, waɗannan manazarta manazarta ne waɗanda ba ''an jaridar ba da yaudarar da cizon sauti da kuma sakin labaran manema labarai, yanzu suna fara tambaya game da ƙimar adadin. Wasu yanzu suna watsi da alkaluman ayyukan kamar farfaganda ce ta gwamnati, wanda ke nuna cewa BLS, (Ofishin Labarun Labarun Labarai), an 'isa a' kuma yanzu an fallasa shi a matsayin 'ma'aikatar gaskiya' ta gwamnati. mashin farfaganda ya hau kan mutane ..
Domin Obama ya sami matsalar rashin aikin yi a lokacin zabe, abin da kawai ya yi shi ne ya murkushe yawan ma'aikatan da ke aiki zuwa kusan kashi 55%.
Ma'aikatar kwadago, BLS ta yi haka, kamar yadda aka gabatar da ayyukan Juma'a mutanen da ba sa cikin kungiyar kwadago sun fashe ta hanyar da ba a taba gani ba. Wannan haka ne, mutane miliyan daya da digo 1.2 ne suka bar aikin kwadago, suka bace “daga layin sadarwa” a cikin wata daya. Don haka yayin da ma'aikata suka karu daga miliyan 1.2 zuwa miliyan 153.9, wadanda ba ma'aikata ba sun karu da miliyan 154.4, ma'ana wadanda ba sa cikin ma'aikata sun haura daga miliyan 242.3 zuwa miliyan 86.7. Laborungiyar kwadagon farar hula a Amurka hakika ta faɗo zuwa wani sabon shekara 87.9 mai ƙarancin kashi 30%, sashen kwadagon yana kange kusan rabin tsarin aikin kwalliya daga lissafin rashin aikin yi. Dangane da ingancin ayyuka, kamar yadda lambar hana haraji ke nunawa kowace shekara, Amurka tana maye gurbin manyan ayyukan biyan kuɗi da ƙananan ayyukan biyan kuɗi.
Rashin aikin yi A Amurka
Adadin yawan jama'a a cikin Amurka ya kai miliyan 311.59192, mutane miliyan 46.7 sun haura 65, miliyan 74.8 ba su kai 18 ba, miliyan 11.5 suna kwaleji, jimlar miliyan 133.
- Yawan shekarun aiki - miliyan 178.59
- Adadin aiki - miliyan 140
- Ba aikin yi - miliyan 38.59
Yawan marasa aikin yi saboda haka kusan 21.6%. Wannan ba ya la'akari da mutane sama da 65 waɗanda ke aiki har yanzu da waɗanda suke aiki na ɗan lokaci. Hakanan akwai ƙarin 'rukunin ma'aikata' wanda yanayin aikinsa da bayanansa basa nunawa a cikin ƙididdigar, masu ƙayyadaddun lokaci. Babban koma bayan tattalin arziki ya tilastawa miliyoyin ma'aikata na cikakken lokaci karɓar matsayin aji na biyu na ƙaramin albashi da fa'idodin kusan sifili. Tabbas, aikin wucin gadi ba tare da son rai ba ya rubanya sau biyu a cikin shekaru biyar da suka gabata zuwa miliyan 8.4, yayin da jimillar ma'aikatan lokaci-lokaci suka kumbura zuwa miliyan 27.
Amma wataƙila mafi yawan bayanai masu banƙyama (da kuskuren haske) waɗanda ke cikin alkalumman aikin Jumma'a da suka fito daga BLS sun kasance cikin lambobin da aka yi amfani da su wata-wata.
- Lambobin da suka yi aiki a Disamba 2011 - 140,681,000
- Lambobin da suka yi aiki a watan Janairun 2012 - 139,944,000
Akwai ƙananan mutane 737,000 da ke aiki a cikin Amurka fiye da wata ɗaya da suka gabata. duk da haka babban adadi ya nuna cewa kusan 250,000 kuma ya sami ayyuka. Daidaita lambobi ta amfani da dabarar daidaitawa na yanayi ba zai wanzu a nan gaba ba, ba lokacin da akwai masharhanta da yawa wadanda nan da nan zasu wuce lambar kann ba don kokarin tabbatar da gaskiya. Hadarin ga BLS shine idan suka ci gaba da tafiya akan wannan hanyar bayanan su na iya zama da sauri a matsayin marasa amfani, kuma da zarar an lalata wannan ƙimar ba za a sake dawowa ba.
"Sharhi kyauta ne amma gaskiya abune mai tsarki." - Charles Prestwich Scott (26 Oktoba 1846 - 1 Janairu 1932). Dan jaridar Burtaniya, mai bugawa kuma dan siyasa.
blsaikiAmurka
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Shin Dawowa Rashin Aiki A Amurka Ya Zama Da Gaske Don Zama Maido Da Ayyuka?
Fabrairu 6 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 8817 • 1 Comment a Shin Shin Dawowa Babu Aiki A Amurka Ya Zama Matsayi Ya Zama Maido Da Ayyuka?
Kamar yadda tasirin hatsarin 2008-2209 ya ragu 'babbar hanyar yin sharhi game da kafofin watsa labarai' ta kirkiro sabbin kalmomi da kalmomin da za su kunshi a cikin shahararren kamus din da aka bita. Wannan jerin ya ga ƙarin abubuwan da ba a san su ba kamar su "TARP" da rubutu a cikin sanannun al'adun "ƙarancin bashi" da "sauƙaƙewar adadi". "Rashin aikin yi" ya dace da matsayinsa a cikin kamus ɗin, wanda aka gabatar da shi a matsayin sabon tsarin kasuwancin kasuwancin, a Turai da Amurka, sun fara samun gagarumar nasara a cikin 2010-2001, yayin da kasuwar ayyuka ke ci gaba da kasancewa cikin ƙangi kamar ayyukan kusan miliyan tara. sun ɓace a cikin Amurka daga 2007-2010.
Farfado da kasuwar kasuwar hannayen jari, wasu suna kiranta taron gangamin kasuwar beran mutane, ya tsaya cik a shekarar 2011, saboda yawan cinikin da aka samu a watan Oktoban 2011 sakamakon rikicin bashin Eurozone. Tun daga watan Disamba na 2001 yawancin fihiriso daga baya sun dawo da asarar su, a zahiri wasu ƙididdigar, kamar NASDAQ, kwanan nan suna buga samfuran shekara goma sha ɗaya.
Shaida kan dawo da ayyukan gaske a cikin Amurka zai zama shaida ga nasarar da yawa: tallafi, ceto da matakan saukaka abubuwa da aka sanya tun shekarar 2008 kuma a ranar Juma'a alkaluman NFP na baya-bayan nan sun nuna faɗuwar lambobin marasa aikin yi. Rashin aikin yi yanzu ya fadi daga 9.5 zuwa 8.4 da aka ƙaddamar da shi ta hanyar ƙirƙirar sabbin ayyuka 245,000 a cikin Disamba / Janairu. Wasu masu sharhi game da kasuwa sun ba da sanarwar wannan labarai na ayyuka, haɗe tare da ci gaba zuwa sama a cikin manyan alamomi da kasuwanni a cikin Amurka yayin da a ƙarshe Amurka ta juya kusurwa. Amma yaya shagon da yawa za mu iya sanyawa a baya bayan waɗannan lambobin aikin kwanan nan kuma shin kasuwar hannun jari ce ta tattara duk abin da take gani?
Bari mu ɗauki minutesan mintoci kaɗan don sanya sabbin lambobin aiki a ƙarƙashin microscope don gwada ingancinsu, sannan gobe za mu binciki ƙaruwar kasuwar hada-hadar don tabbatar da cewa idan akwai warkewa kuma idan haka ne ko da gaske ko a'a wanda aka tallafawa ta hanyar “dawo da ayyuka” ..
Adadin labarai ya yi kururuwa "Rashin aikin yi a Amurka ya fadi da 8.4%" a ranar Juma'a 3 ga Fabrairu, tare da kusan ayyukan 245,000 da aka ƙara a cikin Disamba. Wannan ya kasance banbanci sosai, sama da kamar 130-150K kamar yadda Bloomberg da Reuters suka yi tsammani, kuma yawancin masu sharhi suna ba da shawara cewa ya kamata a kula da ƙarin ayyukan aike na ɗan lokaci 40,000 na wucin gadi kan lokacin hutun na Xmas. sabbin alkaluma, saboda haka adadi na 100K ba za a iya kore shi ba.
Yana da kyau a ce buga aikin da aka sanar a ranar Juma'a ya ba kowa a kafofin watsa labarai mamaki da hangen nesa na mutum wanda ba zai iya kasa yin farin ciki ba idan har kusan Amurkawa 250,000, a cikin jama'a kusan 46,000,000 sun karbi tambarin abinci *, da sami aiki a cikin taga wata ɗaya.
* Oktoba 2011, Amurkawa 46,224,722 ne ke karbar tambarin abinci. A Washington, DC, da Mississippi, fiye da kashi ɗaya cikin biyar na mazauna suna karɓar baƙon abincin. Masu karɓa dole ne su sami kusan kusan kudin shiga talauci don cancantar fa'idodi.
Ganin cewa sabbin ayyuka sun nuna kusan ayyukan yi miliyan tara da suka ɓace tun farkon farkon matsalar tattalin arziki, tare da bayyana ayyukan yi miliyan uku tun daga lokacin, za a ga ayyukan da aka yi na 2007 na kwanan nan 'ƙimar daidaito' a cikin shekaru uku. Koyaya, lambobin basu riƙe cikakken bincike ba. Abin da ya fi damun manazarta da yawa, waɗannan manazarta manazarta ne waɗanda ba ''an jaridar ba da yaudarar da cizon sauti da kuma sakin labaran manema labarai, yanzu suna fara tambaya game da ƙimar adadin. Wasu yanzu suna watsi da alkaluman ayyukan kamar farfaganda ce ta gwamnati, wanda ke nuna cewa BLS, (Ofishin Labarun Labarun Labarai), an 'isa a' kuma yanzu an fallasa shi a matsayin 'ma'aikatar gaskiya' ta gwamnati. mashin farfaganda ya hau kan mutane ..
Domin Obama ya sami matsalar rashin aikin yi a lokacin zabe, abin da kawai ya yi shi ne ya murkushe yawan ma'aikatan da ke aiki zuwa kusan kashi 55%.
Ma'aikatar kwadago, BLS ta yi haka, kamar yadda aka gabatar da ayyukan Juma'a mutanen da ba sa cikin kungiyar kwadago sun fashe ta hanyar da ba a taba gani ba. Wannan haka ne, mutane miliyan daya da digo 1.2 ne suka bar aikin kwadago, suka bace “daga layin sadarwa” a cikin wata daya. Don haka yayin da ma'aikata suka karu daga miliyan 1.2 zuwa miliyan 153.9, wadanda ba ma'aikata ba sun karu da miliyan 154.4, ma'ana wadanda ba sa cikin ma'aikata sun haura daga miliyan 242.3 zuwa miliyan 86.7. Laborungiyar kwadagon farar hula a Amurka hakika ta faɗo zuwa wani sabon shekara 87.9 mai ƙarancin kashi 30%, sashen kwadagon yana kange kusan rabin tsarin aikin kwalliya daga lissafin rashin aikin yi. Dangane da ingancin ayyuka, kamar yadda lambar hana haraji ke nunawa kowace shekara, Amurka tana maye gurbin manyan ayyukan biyan kuɗi da ƙananan ayyukan biyan kuɗi.
Rashin aikin yi A Amurka
Adadin yawan jama'a a cikin Amurka ya kai miliyan 311.59192, mutane miliyan 46.7 sun haura 65, miliyan 74.8 ba su kai 18 ba, miliyan 11.5 suna kwaleji, jimlar miliyan 133.
Yawan marasa aikin yi saboda haka kusan 21.6%. Wannan ba ya la'akari da mutane sama da 65 waɗanda ke aiki har yanzu da waɗanda suke aiki na ɗan lokaci. Hakanan akwai ƙarin 'rukunin ma'aikata' wanda yanayin aikinsa da bayanansa basa nunawa a cikin ƙididdigar, masu ƙayyadaddun lokaci. Babban koma bayan tattalin arziki ya tilastawa miliyoyin ma'aikata na cikakken lokaci karɓar matsayin aji na biyu na ƙaramin albashi da fa'idodin kusan sifili. Tabbas, aikin wucin gadi ba tare da son rai ba ya rubanya sau biyu a cikin shekaru biyar da suka gabata zuwa miliyan 8.4, yayin da jimillar ma'aikatan lokaci-lokaci suka kumbura zuwa miliyan 27.
Amma wataƙila mafi yawan bayanai masu banƙyama (da kuskuren haske) waɗanda ke cikin alkalumman aikin Jumma'a da suka fito daga BLS sun kasance cikin lambobin da aka yi amfani da su wata-wata.
Akwai ƙananan mutane 737,000 da ke aiki a cikin Amurka fiye da wata ɗaya da suka gabata. duk da haka babban adadi ya nuna cewa kusan 250,000 kuma ya sami ayyuka. Daidaita lambobi ta amfani da dabarar daidaitawa na yanayi ba zai wanzu a nan gaba ba, ba lokacin da akwai masharhanta da yawa wadanda nan da nan zasu wuce lambar kann ba don kokarin tabbatar da gaskiya. Hadarin ga BLS shine idan suka ci gaba da tafiya akan wannan hanyar bayanan su na iya zama da sauri a matsayin marasa amfani, kuma da zarar an lalata wannan ƙimar ba za a sake dawowa ba.
"Sharhi kyauta ne amma gaskiya abune mai tsarki." - Charles Prestwich Scott (26 Oktoba 1846 - 1 Janairu 1932). Dan jaridar Burtaniya, mai bugawa kuma dan siyasa.
blsaikiAmurka
« Mayar da hankali ga Komawa Bankunan Turai 'Babban wadata Shin Kayi Mahimmanci 100% Wasu Aikin Ciniki na Forex? »