Jul 5 • Asusun ciniki na Forex, Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 2020 • Comments Off akan umarnin masana'antar Jamusawa na ci gaba da durkushewa, mayar da hankali ga bayanan NFP
Sabbin masana'antar kere-kere na kasar Jamus sun ci gaba da faduwa bisa ga sabon bayanan da kamfanin kididdiga na Jamus ya ruwaito a safiyar Juma'a. Watan wata a kan umarni ya ragu da -2.2% na watan Mayu, shekara shekara kan umarni sun fadi da -8.6%. -4.3% sauka a cikin umarnin ƙasashen waje a cikin watan shine babban dalilin damuwa ga manazarta. A matsayin injin ci gaban masana'antu na Yankin Yankin Turai da Turai, waɗannan alkaluman suna da matukar damuwa kasancewar suna nuna gina wani mawuyacin koma bayan tattalin arziki a cikin masana'antun masana'antu na Jamus, wanda manazarta ke fargabar ka iya faɗawa zuwa tattalin arzikin ƙasa.
Halin da Deutsche Bank ke ciki a yanzu ba shi da nasaba da yadda Jamus ke tafiyar da tattalin arzikin cikin gida, duk da haka, a ranar Alhamis din nan ta sanar da wani shiri na murkushe ma'aikatan bankin da 20,000 a cikin gajeren lokaci, bai taimaka ba tare da jin daɗin gaba ɗaya game da Jamus. Abinda aka yi game da bayanan masana'antu ya kasance mai mahimmanci ga Euro, a 8:30 na safe agogon Burtaniya EUR / USD tayi ciniki a cikin tsaka mai wuya tare da bi da bi zuwa ƙasa, keta matakin farko na tallafi (S1) jim kaɗan bayan bayanan da aka bayyana, don kasuwanci ƙasa -0.15% a 1.127 da ƙasa -0.90% kowane mako. Hakanan DAX na ƙasar ta Jamus ya faɗi ƙasa warwas, ciniki ƙasa -0.10% don keta S1, yana ba da matsayin da ya gabata kusa da mahimman jigon yau da kullun. Yaɗuwar tsoron da ke tattare da ayyukan tattalin arziƙin Turai ya faɗaɗa ga jerin abubuwan CAC na Faransa, wanda ya yi ciniki -0.20% da Burtaniya FTSE 100 ƙasa -0.22%.
Yen na Japan ya faɗi yayin zaman Asiya da farkon matakin tattaunawar kasuwanci tsakanin London da Turai, roƙon amintaccen mafakarsa ya ragu tun ƙarshen Yuni saboda haɗarin sautin ya ɓullo a kasuwannin daidaito na duniya, wanda ya haifar da manyan ƙididdigar Amurka don kaiwa matsayi mafi girma zaman ciniki na kwanan nan. Bayanai game da kasar Japan game da sabbin jagororin da kuma wadanda suka dace sun kasa doke hasashen lokacin da aka buga alkaluman, a 8:40 na safe USD / JPY da aka yi ciniki a 107.96 sama da 0.17% keta matakin na biyu na juriya (R2). Yen ya zame wa mafi yawan takwarorinsa kamar yadda Swiss franc ya yi wanda shi ma ya rasa mafakarsa na aminci yayin kasuwancin kasuwa mai ƙarfi don kasuwannin daidaito na duniya da aka fuskanta a makonnin da suka gabata. USD / CHF sun yi ciniki zuwa 0.20% a 0.986 azaman farashin da ya keta R1.
Ayyukan tattalin arzikin Burtaniya ya kasance ƙarƙashin haske a yayin makon ciniki yayin da IHS Markit PMI daban-daban suka rasa hasashen ta ɗan nesa. Ayyuka, gine-gine da bayanan masana'antu duk tsinkayen manazarta aka rasa ta hanyar nesa. Kamar yadda yake jagorantar maimakon raguwa bayanai alkaluman sun nuna cewa tattalin arzikin Burtaniya na iya yin rijistar karatun GDP mara kyau a zango na biyu lokacin da ONS ke fitar da sabon adadi na rabin shekara a cikin watan Yuli. A dabi'ance, rashin tabbas na Brexit ana zarginta da dalilin raguwar a sassa da yawa.
Koyaya, kamar yadda tattalin arziƙi ke tallafawa da farko daga ɓangaren sabis, gami da ayyukan siyar da gidajen ga juna don ƙarin kuɗi, ana sa ido sosai kan farashin gidan lokacin da aka buga shi don auna ra'ayin mutanen Burtaniya. Haƙiƙa haɓaka tasirin tasirin farashin gidan yana haifar da mahimmanci. A safiyar Juma'a sabbin alkaluman farashin gidan Halifax sun bayyana karuwar 5.7% duk shekara tare da faduwar -0.3% a watan Yuni. Sterling ya sayar sosai da takwarorinsa a farkon matakin taron London-Turai, da karfe 9:00 na safe agogon Ingila GBP / USD sun yi ciniki -0.20% a 1.255, keta S2 da barazanar kai S3. Manyan biyun suna ƙasa -0.93% kowane mako suna kwatanta ragin kwanan nan a cikin ƙarancin ra'ayi. EUR / GBP tayi ciniki da kashi 0.05% don dawo da asarar farkon lokacin.
Babban taron kalanda mai tasirin gaske a wannan yammacin ya shafi ɗab'in sabon lambobin ayyukan Arewacin Amurka da ƙimar rashin aikin yi ga duka Kanada da Amurka a 13:30 pm lokacin Burtaniya. Tasirin tarin abubuwa na iya canza darajar duka dala ta Kanada ta Amurka. An yi hasashen rashin aikin yi na Kanada ba zai canza ba a 5.3% yayin da Amurka ke hasashen zai kasance kusa da ƙananan rikodin na 3.6%. Karatun NFP na watan Yuni an bayyana ne don bayyana kirkirar ayyukan 160K, babban ci gaba daga adadi mafi yawa na 70K da aka kirkira a watan Mayu. A cikin recentan shekarun nan figurearfin adadi na NFP da ikonsa na canza ƙimar takwarorin kuɗin USD ya ragu ƙwarai. Koyaya, kudin zai kasance cikin tsananin bincike yayin da aka buga bayanan, saboda haka za'a shawarci yan kasuwa da su kula da matsayin su sosai.
Kasuwannin nan gaba suna nuna faduwa ga SPX (Standard & Poor's index) lokacin da kasuwannin Amurka suka buɗe ranar Juma'a da rana. Gabatarwar SPX tayi kasa -0.07% tare da DJIA (Dow) ƙasa -0.06%. Duk da nasarorin da aka samu a kwanan nan WTI ya yi ciniki a $ 56.59 a kowace ganga ƙasa -1.71% a 9:30 na safe agogon Ingila, tare da 50 da 200 DMAs da ke gab da haɗuwa yayin faɗuwar mako-mako ta ci gaba. Zinariya tana riƙe da matsayi kusa da shekaru shida da suka kai kimanin $ 1,426 a kowane oza, XAU / USD sun yi ciniki -0.28% a $ 1,416.
Kwamitin ma'aikata na Jamus ya ci gaba da rushewa, ya mayar da hankali ga bayanai na NFP
Jul 5 • Asusun ciniki na Forex, Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 2020 • Comments Off akan umarnin masana'antar Jamusawa na ci gaba da durkushewa, mayar da hankali ga bayanan NFP
Sabbin masana'antar kere-kere na kasar Jamus sun ci gaba da faduwa bisa ga sabon bayanan da kamfanin kididdiga na Jamus ya ruwaito a safiyar Juma'a. Watan wata a kan umarni ya ragu da -2.2% na watan Mayu, shekara shekara kan umarni sun fadi da -8.6%. -4.3% sauka a cikin umarnin ƙasashen waje a cikin watan shine babban dalilin damuwa ga manazarta. A matsayin injin ci gaban masana'antu na Yankin Yankin Turai da Turai, waɗannan alkaluman suna da matukar damuwa kasancewar suna nuna gina wani mawuyacin koma bayan tattalin arziki a cikin masana'antun masana'antu na Jamus, wanda manazarta ke fargabar ka iya faɗawa zuwa tattalin arzikin ƙasa.
Halin da Deutsche Bank ke ciki a yanzu ba shi da nasaba da yadda Jamus ke tafiyar da tattalin arzikin cikin gida, duk da haka, a ranar Alhamis din nan ta sanar da wani shiri na murkushe ma'aikatan bankin da 20,000 a cikin gajeren lokaci, bai taimaka ba tare da jin daɗin gaba ɗaya game da Jamus. Abinda aka yi game da bayanan masana'antu ya kasance mai mahimmanci ga Euro, a 8:30 na safe agogon Burtaniya EUR / USD tayi ciniki a cikin tsaka mai wuya tare da bi da bi zuwa ƙasa, keta matakin farko na tallafi (S1) jim kaɗan bayan bayanan da aka bayyana, don kasuwanci ƙasa -0.15% a 1.127 da ƙasa -0.90% kowane mako. Hakanan DAX na ƙasar ta Jamus ya faɗi ƙasa warwas, ciniki ƙasa -0.10% don keta S1, yana ba da matsayin da ya gabata kusa da mahimman jigon yau da kullun. Yaɗuwar tsoron da ke tattare da ayyukan tattalin arziƙin Turai ya faɗaɗa ga jerin abubuwan CAC na Faransa, wanda ya yi ciniki -0.20% da Burtaniya FTSE 100 ƙasa -0.22%.
Yen na Japan ya faɗi yayin zaman Asiya da farkon matakin tattaunawar kasuwanci tsakanin London da Turai, roƙon amintaccen mafakarsa ya ragu tun ƙarshen Yuni saboda haɗarin sautin ya ɓullo a kasuwannin daidaito na duniya, wanda ya haifar da manyan ƙididdigar Amurka don kaiwa matsayi mafi girma zaman ciniki na kwanan nan. Bayanai game da kasar Japan game da sabbin jagororin da kuma wadanda suka dace sun kasa doke hasashen lokacin da aka buga alkaluman, a 8:40 na safe USD / JPY da aka yi ciniki a 107.96 sama da 0.17% keta matakin na biyu na juriya (R2). Yen ya zame wa mafi yawan takwarorinsa kamar yadda Swiss franc ya yi wanda shi ma ya rasa mafakarsa na aminci yayin kasuwancin kasuwa mai ƙarfi don kasuwannin daidaito na duniya da aka fuskanta a makonnin da suka gabata. USD / CHF sun yi ciniki zuwa 0.20% a 0.986 azaman farashin da ya keta R1.
Ayyukan tattalin arzikin Burtaniya ya kasance ƙarƙashin haske a yayin makon ciniki yayin da IHS Markit PMI daban-daban suka rasa hasashen ta ɗan nesa. Ayyuka, gine-gine da bayanan masana'antu duk tsinkayen manazarta aka rasa ta hanyar nesa. Kamar yadda yake jagorantar maimakon raguwa bayanai alkaluman sun nuna cewa tattalin arzikin Burtaniya na iya yin rijistar karatun GDP mara kyau a zango na biyu lokacin da ONS ke fitar da sabon adadi na rabin shekara a cikin watan Yuli. A dabi'ance, rashin tabbas na Brexit ana zarginta da dalilin raguwar a sassa da yawa.
Koyaya, kamar yadda tattalin arziƙi ke tallafawa da farko daga ɓangaren sabis, gami da ayyukan siyar da gidajen ga juna don ƙarin kuɗi, ana sa ido sosai kan farashin gidan lokacin da aka buga shi don auna ra'ayin mutanen Burtaniya. Haƙiƙa haɓaka tasirin tasirin farashin gidan yana haifar da mahimmanci. A safiyar Juma'a sabbin alkaluman farashin gidan Halifax sun bayyana karuwar 5.7% duk shekara tare da faduwar -0.3% a watan Yuni. Sterling ya sayar sosai da takwarorinsa a farkon matakin taron London-Turai, da karfe 9:00 na safe agogon Ingila GBP / USD sun yi ciniki -0.20% a 1.255, keta S2 da barazanar kai S3. Manyan biyun suna ƙasa -0.93% kowane mako suna kwatanta ragin kwanan nan a cikin ƙarancin ra'ayi. EUR / GBP tayi ciniki da kashi 0.05% don dawo da asarar farkon lokacin.
Babban taron kalanda mai tasirin gaske a wannan yammacin ya shafi ɗab'in sabon lambobin ayyukan Arewacin Amurka da ƙimar rashin aikin yi ga duka Kanada da Amurka a 13:30 pm lokacin Burtaniya. Tasirin tarin abubuwa na iya canza darajar duka dala ta Kanada ta Amurka. An yi hasashen rashin aikin yi na Kanada ba zai canza ba a 5.3% yayin da Amurka ke hasashen zai kasance kusa da ƙananan rikodin na 3.6%. Karatun NFP na watan Yuni an bayyana ne don bayyana kirkirar ayyukan 160K, babban ci gaba daga adadi mafi yawa na 70K da aka kirkira a watan Mayu. A cikin recentan shekarun nan figurearfin adadi na NFP da ikonsa na canza ƙimar takwarorin kuɗin USD ya ragu ƙwarai. Koyaya, kudin zai kasance cikin tsananin bincike yayin da aka buga bayanan, saboda haka za'a shawarci yan kasuwa da su kula da matsayin su sosai.
Kasuwannin nan gaba suna nuna faduwa ga SPX (Standard & Poor's index) lokacin da kasuwannin Amurka suka buɗe ranar Juma'a da rana. Gabatarwar SPX tayi kasa -0.07% tare da DJIA (Dow) ƙasa -0.06%. Duk da nasarorin da aka samu a kwanan nan WTI ya yi ciniki a $ 56.59 a kowace ganga ƙasa -1.71% a 9:30 na safe agogon Ingila, tare da 50 da 200 DMAs da ke gab da haɗuwa yayin faɗuwar mako-mako ta ci gaba. Zinariya tana riƙe da matsayi kusa da shekaru shida da suka kai kimanin $ 1,426 a kowane oza, XAU / USD sun yi ciniki -0.28% a $ 1,416.
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