Fibonacciand aikace-aikacen sa zuwa Kasuwancin Forex
Daga cikin duka: sharuɗɗa, alamu, alamomi da kayan aikin da aka yi amfani da su a cikin ciniki, kalma, sassauƙa da manufar “Fibonacci” ta fito a matsayin mafi ban al’ajabi da ban tsoro. Amfani ne na almara a cikin lissafin lissafi, ya ba shi ikon da ba shi da alaƙa da zamani, alamun alamun da aka fi amfani da su, kamar su: MACD, RSI, PSAR, DMI da sauransu.
Da yawa daga cikin yan kasuwa zasu iya mamakin sanin cewa 'asalin' asalin 'Fibonacci' yan kasuwa da yawa suna amfani da su a manyan cibiyoyi lokacin da suke tsara tsarin kasuwancin algorithmic, a ƙoƙarin su na cin riba daga kasuwa. Wani ɗan gajeren darasi na tarihi akan Fibonacci ya dace a wannan lokacin, kafin mu yunƙura zuwa ga yadda zamuyi amfani da wannan tsarkakakken, lissafin, lamuran akan jadawalinmu.
Jerin jerin Fibonacci an sanya masa suna ne daga masanin lissafi dan kasar Italiya Leonardo na Pisa, wanda ake kira Fibonacci. Littafinsa na 1202 Liber Abaci ya gabatar da lamarin ga ilimin lissafi na Turai. An bayyana jerin a baya azaman lambobin Virahanka a cikin ilimin lissafi na Indiya.
Fibonacci ya bayyana ka'idarsa ta hanyar amfani da misalin girma na (ka'idar) yawan zomo, sabbin haihuwar zomaye masu haihuwa suna da shekara daya da wata. A karshen wata na biyu mace zata iya samar da wani zomayen, zato shine zomayen basa mutuwa, ma'auratan suna samar da sabbin ma'aurata (namiji daya, mace daya) kowane wata daga wata na biyu. Abin wuyar warwarewa da Fibonacci ya gabatar shi ne: nau'i-nau'i nawa za a yi a cikin shekara guda? Misalin lissafi wanda yake bayanin wannan fadada ya zama jerin Fibonacci. Jerin lambobin ya bayyana a cikin tsarin nazarin halittu: rassa a bishiyoyi, ganye akan tushe, 'ya'yan itacen abarba, kwalliyar artichoke, ferns da ba za a iya cirewa ba da kuma kwalliyar pine cones.
Don haka ta yaya wannan jerin lissafi, wanda aka gano kuma aka haɓaka sama da shekaru 800 baya, suna da alaƙa da kasuwancin yau da kullun? Akwai imani guda biyu inda aikace-aikacen ya shafi. Concernsaya yana damuwa da abin da ake kira "annabcin cika kansa". Sauran aikace-aikacen yana da alaƙa da ƙarancin ƙarancin yanayi cikin ra'ayi, yayin da ƙarfin motsi ya watse; motsi mai kaifi na kasuwa zai sake dawowa zuwa wasu matakan. Bari muyi aiki da ka'idar cikawa kai kafin muyi bayanin lissafi a bayan ka'idar retracement.
Ka'idar cika kai ta nuna cewa idan yan kasuwa da yawa suna amfani da ka'idar sake fasalin Fibonacci, to kasuwa tana da damar komawa zuwa waɗannan matakan kuma akwai shaidu da suka tabbatar da cewa wannan ka'idar na iya kasancewa aiki a kasuwanni. Idan isa yan kasuwa a: manyan bankuna, cibiyoyi, kuɗaɗen shinge da wadatattun masu zane-zane na hanyoyin kasuwanci na algorithmic, yi amfani da tsarin sake dubawa don sanya umarni, to za'a iya buga matakan. Babban haɗarin shine duk lokacin da muka sami babban tashin hankali, misali, manyan aan kuɗi guda biyu, dama ta wanzu cewa zamu sami babban rashi, saboda dalilai daban-daban. Yayin da farashin ya fadi baya da yawa magoya bayan Fibonacci za su ce “eureka! An sake yin aiki! ” Lokacin da gaskiyar zata iya kasancewa mahalarta kasuwa sun wuce gona da iri sun mamaye kasuwa kuma yanzu suna fuskantar shakku, yayin da kasuwar ta dakata don neman sabon matakin 'dabi'a'.
Yanzu bari muyi la'akari da yadda yanayin tasirin zai iya janyewa kuma lissafin ya shigo cikin wasa. Kuna farawa ta kawai gano saman da ƙasan kasuwar motsawa da ƙulla maki biyu, wannan shine 100% na motsi. Matakan Fibonacci da aka fi amfani da su sune 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, wani lokacin ana amfani da 23.6% da 76.4%, kodayake matakin 50% ba wani ɓangare bane na lissafin lissafi, an saka shi ne tsawon shekaru ta yan kasuwa gaba ɗaya . A cikin yanayi mai ƙarfi mafi ƙarancin retracement yana kusan 38.2%, a cikin rauni mai rauni, ƙaddamarwar na iya zama 61.8% ko 76.4%. Cikakken sakewa (na 100% na motsi) zai kawar da yunƙurin da ake ciki.
Matakan Fibonacci kawai yakamata a kirga bayan kasuwa tayi babban motsi kuma ya bayyana ya daidaita a wani matakin farashin. Idan ba'a lissafta ta atomatik ta hanyar jadawalin, matakan Fibonacci na 38.2%, 50% da 61.8% an saita su ta hanyar zana layuka a kan layi don gano wuraren da kasuwar zata iya komawa, kafin sake dawo da yanayin da asalin farashi ya fara. motsa. Abin da ke biyowa yanzu wasu strategiesan dabaru ne da tradersan kasuwa masu amfani da kasuwancin ke amfani dashi don cinikin matakan Fibonacci.
- Shiga kusa da matakin retracement na 38.2%, dakatar da asarar da ke ƙasa da matakin 50%.
- Shiga kusa da matakin 50%, dakatar da tsarin asara a kasa da matakin 61.8%.
- Guntuwa kusa da saman motsi, ta amfani da matakan Fibonacci azaman ɗaukar riba.
Kamar yadda koyaushe ya rage ga yan kasuwa suyi amfani da Fibonacci. Kyakkyawan wuri don farawa zai dawo / gwaji ta hanyar shirya ƙasan gwatso a kan ginshiƙi na yau da kullun. Kawai nemo manyan maɓallan motsa jiki, nemo ƙwanƙolin dutsen da abin sha sannan a tabbatar idan sakewa da gaske 'yayi aiki'. Kama da duk hanyoyin kasuwancin babu wanda yake cikakke, babu wanda zai dogara da 100%. Koyaya, dukkanmu mun shaida, lokaci bayan lokaci, kasuwanninmu suna komawa baya kuma suna sake dawowa bayan babban motsi na kasuwa. Idan za ku iya haɗa wasu maths da kimiyya a wannan binciken kuma ku goyi bayan shi (kun faɗi shi), dabarar sarrafa kuɗin kuɗi, to kuna iya gano cewa ƙara Fibonacci cikin dabarun kasuwancinku yana aiki sosai.
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