Dollar a cikin gashin giciye na Fed, yana fama kusa da ƙarancin mako guda yayin da ake jira siginar ƙimar
(Reuters) - Dalar Amurka ta yi rauni kusan kusan mako guda a ranar Laraba yayin da masu saka hannun jari ke fafutikar ganin babban bankin Amurka zai rage saurin karfafa kudaden Amurka bayan taron manufofin sa da aka sa ido a baya a ranar.
Safe-haven yen da Swiss franc sun yi tasiri sosai a farkon kasuwancin Asiya yayin da farashin mai ya fado cikin dare wanda ya ba da wata tunatarwa game da tabarbarewar ci gaban duniya, kuma ya jaddada dalilin da ya sa 'yan kasuwa ke tsammanin za a yi Fed bayan ƙimar da ake tsammani. yawo a wannan makon.
"Matsayin shiga cikin taron FOMC yana da kariya sosai kuma shine dalilin da ya sa muke ganin dala ta raunana," in ji Michael McCarthy, babban masanin kasuwanni a CMC Markets.
Yen JPY = da Swiss franc CHF = an yi tayin kyau a 112.37 da 0.9916 bi da bi, bayan buga kwanaki uku a jere na riba.
Halin da ke tattare da hadari ya tabarbare sakamakon raunin da bai wuce yadda ake zato daga kasar Sin da kasashen dake amfani da kudin Euro ba, yayin da takaddamar cinikayya tsakanin Sin da Amurka da faduwar farashin mai suka kara haifar da fargabar tattalin arzikin duniya na kara yin tabarbarewa.
A Asiya, kasuwanni na sa ido kan taron yini uku na babban taron koli na tattalin arziki na kasar Sin (CEWC) da za a fara ranar Laraba don ci gaban Beijing da manufofin yin gyare-gyare. Tabarbarewar tattalin arzikin kasar Sin a bana ya kasance daya daga cikin muhimman abubuwan da ke haifar da kasuwannin kadarorin da suka hada da kudade a watannin baya-bayan nan.
Ƙididdigar dala .DXY ya ragu da kashi 0.2 bisa dari a 96.9, yana kara hasara a rana ta biyu. Har ila yau, an matsa wa kudin Amurka tuwo a kwarya ta hanyar faɗuwar baitulmalin Amurka na shekaru 10 US10YT=RR, wanda ya zame da kusan maki 10 a cikin kwanaki ukun da suka gabata.
Hasashen jijiyoyi ya kasance mai ban sha'awa a kasuwannin duniya yayin da suke jiran shawarar Fed daga baya a wannan rana, musamman don jagorar manufofinta na 2019 bayan abin da ake sa ran zai zama hauhawar farashinsa na huɗu a wannan shekara.
Dangane da kayan aikin FedWatch na ƙungiyar CME, yuwuwar haɓaka ƙimar kuɗin Disamba shine kashi 69, ƙasa daga kusan kashi 75 cikin XNUMX a makon da ya gabata, wani gagarumin yunkuri a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci.
Yayin da sabon hasashen makircin tsaka-tsaki na babban bankin Amurka daga watan Satumba ya nuna ƙarin haɓaka uku a cikin 2019, ƙimar kasuwar gaba tana farashi a ƙarin ƙimar kari ɗaya kawai na 2019 - canjin da ke nuna alamun damuwa ga tattalin arzikin duniya wanda mutane da yawa suka yi imanin zai iya haɓaka. daga karshe ya gurgunta ci gaban Amurka.
Koyaya, wasu manazarta har yanzu suna ganin Fed yana haɓaka ƙimar sau 2-3 a cikin 2019.
McCarthy ya ce "Ba mu ga sauyi ƙasa a cikin maƙasudin ɗigo na Fed don haka akwai sarari don dala don ƙarfafa… Yuro yana da haɗari musamman don siyarwa," in ji McCarthy Markets na CMC.
Duk da haka akwai isassun dalilai na bijimin dala don yin taka tsantsan.
A cikin wani edita da aka buga a ranar Talata, Jaridar Wall Street Journal ta yanke shawarar cewa zai zama mai hankali ga Fed ya dakata a ranar Laraba.
Bugu da ƙari, Shugaban Amurka Donald Trump ya ci gaba da matsa lamba kan Fed, yana ɗaukar wani jab a cikin wani tweet yana cewa 'Ina fata mutanen da ke kan Fed za su karanta Editan Jaridar Wall Street Journal na yau kafin su sake yin kuskure.'
A wani wuri, Yuro EUR= ya tsaya $1.1380, yana jin daɗin tashin hankali a cikin zama ukun da suka gabata yayin da dala ke fama da ƙananan amfanin ƙasa da haɗarin manufofin kuɗi.
ABUBAKAR KALANDAR TATTALIN ARZIKI NA 19 ga Disamba
NZD Westpac binciken mabukaci (Q4)
Ana shigo da JPY (YoY) (Nuwamba)
JPY Exports (YoY) (Nuwamba)
JPY Daidaita Ma'aunin Ciniki na Kasuwanci (Nuwamba)
Jimlar Ma'auni na Kasuwancin JPY (Nuwamba)
Fihirisar Farashin Kasuwanci (MoM) (Nuwamba)
Fihirisar Farashin Kasuwancin GBP (YoY) (Nuwamba)
Fihirisar Farashin Mabukaci (YoY) (Nuwamba)
Fihirisar Farashin Mabukaci Core GBP (YoY) (Nuwamba)
Fihirisar Farashin Mabukaci (MoM) (Nuwamba)
Fihirisar Farashin Mabukaci CAD (MoM) (Nuwamba)
Babban Bankin CAD na Kanada Farashin Mabukaci Core (MoM) (Nuwamba)
Babban Bankin CAD na Kanada Ma'anar Farashin Mabukaci (YoY) (Nuwamba)
Fihirisar Farashin Mabukaci CAD (YoY) (Nuwamba)
Fihirisar Farashin Mabukaci CAD – Core (MoM) (Nuwamba)
Rahoton Bulletin Kwata na CHF SNB
Kasuwancin Gida na Dalar Amurka (MoM) (Nuwamba)
LABARI: FOMC Tattalin Arziki na Dalar Amurka
Rahoton Manufofin Kuɗi na USD Fed
USD Fed Yanke Shawara
MAGANAR taron Jarida na FOMC USD
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