Dalar da aka samu ta hanyar tsammanin Fed, tashin hankalin kasuwanci yana goyan bayan fage mai aminci
(Reuters) - An gudanar da dala kusan makwanni biyu a ranar Laraba, yayin da damuwa game da tashe-tashen hankulan cinikayya tsakanin Sin da Amurka ya haifar da amintaccen kudaden shiga, yayin da masu zuba jari ke jiran alamu daga babban bankin Amurka kan hanyar karuwar kudin ruwa a nan gaba.
Dalar ta kasance cikin matsin lamba a cikin 'yan makonnin da suka gabata akan alamun Fed na iya rage saurin karuwar farashin nan gaba saboda raguwar ci gaban duniya, kololuwar kudaden da kamfanoni ke samu da kuma tashin hankali na kasuwanci.
Hankali yanzu ya juya zuwa jawabin shugaban Fed Jerome Powell daga baya a ranar Laraba da kuma mintuna daga taron Fed na Nuwamba 7-8 a ranar Alhamis. Kasuwanni suna fatan samun sabbin fahimta game da tunanin Fed akan saurin da adadin hauhawar farashin a cikin zagayowar yanzu.
"Ba mu tsammanin Powell zai bambanta da yawa daga tsarin dogara da bayanan Fed. Shari'ar mu ta kasance ga Fed don haɓaka ƙimar sau 4 a cikin 2019, "in ji Terence Wu, masanin dabarun kuɗi a bankin OCBC.
Ana sa ran babban bankin Amurka zai kara farashin da maki 25 a wata mai zuwa.
A wata hira da ya yi da jaridar Washington Post a ranar Talata, shugaban Amurka Donald Trump ya ce bai ji dadin manufofin Fed da kuma Powell, wanda ya zaba a bara domin ya jagoranci bankin.
Trump ya sha sukar Fed da Powell kan manufofin babban bankin Amurka, yana mai cewa hauhawar farashin Amurka na yin illa ga tattalin arzikin kasar.
Sai dai manazarta na ganin da wuya cewa kutsen siyasa na iya sauya tsarin Fed na tsara manufofin kudi.
"Federal yana jin daɗin 'yancin kai kuma tsarin su yana da cikakken lissafi da tsari. Babu wani yanayi da za mu sa ran Trump zai matsa wa babban bankin Amurka lamba,” in ji Stephen Innes, shugaban kasuwanci, APAC a Oanda.
A cikin sharhin da aka yi a ranar Talata, Mataimakin Shugaban Reserve na Tarayya Richard Clarida ya goyi bayan karin hauhawar farashin duk da cewa ya ce tsauraran hanyar za ta dogara da bayanai. Ya ce saka idanu kan bayanan tattalin arziki ya zama mafi mahimmanci yayin da Fed ya kusanci kusanci da tsaka tsaki.
"Clarida ta koma kan rubutun da aka saba kuma kalaman nasa ba su ƙunshi furucin da wasu suka yi tsammani ba," in ji Wu.
Ma'aunin dala (DXY), ma'auni na darajarsa da manyan takwarorinsa shida, an yi ciniki a 97.38 bayan ya tashi na zama uku a jere. Ya yi ƙasa da mafi girma na bana na 97.69.
Ƙarfin dala kuma ya nuna haɗari a kusa da taron G20 mai zuwa a Buenos Aires tsakanin Nuwamba 30-Dec. A ran 1 ga wata, an shirya Trump da takwaransa na kasar Sin Xi Jinping, za su tattauna kan batutuwan da suka shafi cinikayya.
Kalaman da Trump ya yi a wannan makon na cewa "ba shi da wuya" ya amince da bukatar kasar Sin na dakatar da shirin karin harajin da ya sa masu zuba jari su samu kudaden da za su iya samun tsaro kamar dala da yen.
Yen ya sami raguwar makonni biyu na 113.85 ranar Laraba.
Wu ya kara da cewa "Bambance-bambancen riba tsakanin Amurka da Japan na iya tallafawa dala/ yen gaba," in ji Wu.
Yuro (EUR=) ya sami kashi 0.07 bisa dala zuwa $1.1295. Kudin bai daya ya yi hasarar kashi 1.5 cikin XNUMX na darajarsa a zaman da aka yi a baya-bayan nan, saboda alamun raunin tattalin arzikin kasashen da ke amfani da kudin Euro da kuma ci gaba da takun saka tsakanin Tarayyar Turai da Italiya kan kasafin kudin da ake kashewa a birnin Rome.
Wani wuri, Sterling ya kasance ƙasa mai taɓawa a $1.2742. Da alama fam ɗin zai ci gaba da kasancewa cikin matsin lamba yayin da 'yan kasuwa ke cin amanar cewa Firayim Ministar Birtaniyya Theresa May ba za ta samu amincewar yarjejeniyar Brexit ba a majalisar dokoki mai cike da ruguza.
Dalar Australiya, wanda galibi ana la'akari da shi azaman ma'auni don haɗarin ci a duniya, ya sami kashi 0.15 cikin ɗari zuwa $0.7231 yayin da ɓangarorin Asiya suka haɓaka sama.
Sai dai kuma manazarta na ganin dalar Aussie za ta kasance cikin sauki ga ci gaba da faduwa sakamakon hasarar da aka samu a farashin ma'adinan karafa, wani muhimmin abin da kasar ke samu wajen fitar da kayayyaki zuwa kasashen waje, yayin da takaddamar cinikayya tsakanin Amurka da Sin ta nuna babu alamar raguwa.
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