Tsakanin Lines; washegarin kira
An ciyar da ci gaba da dala biliyan $ 85 na kowane wata a yayin da GDP na Amurka ya tashi da 1.7%
Kamar yadda muka ambata a cikin Hannun mu na Gap da kuma na jiya tsakanin Tsakanin Lines, duk idanu sun kasance kan Shugaban Fed Ben Bernanke yayin da yake gudanar da bayanin sa na FOMC. Shin ya bata rai? Da kyau idan kuna neman wasan wuta, ko ɓata daga hanyar da ya saita kuma ya dage sosai, to a. Koyaya, idan kuna tsammanin daidaito to ya biya daidai abin da kasuwanni ke tsammani; babu karkacewa daga rubutun da ya gabata.
Zamu iya fasa sassa da yawa na bayanin FOMC don nuna misalin Bernanke da jajircewar kwamitin ga aikin da suke yi a yanzu, amma za mu haskaka wannan sakin layi daya a matsayin mabuɗi, saboda yana tabbatar da cewa "babu canji" daga tsarin aikin da aka tsara na yanzu;
"Don tallafawa mai karfi na farfado da tattalin arziki da kuma taimakawa tabbatar da cewa hauhawar farashin kaya, a kan lokaci, ya kasance a matakin da yafi dacewa da tsarinta biyu, Kwamitin ya yanke shawarar ci gaba da sayen wasu karin kamfanonin da ke tallafawa lamunin jingina a kan kudi dala biliyan 40 a wata da mafi tsayi -Ka'idodin baitul malin kudi a kan kudi dala biliyan 45 a kowane wata.Kwamitin na ci gaba da tsare-tsarenta na yanzu na sake saka kudade a kan manyan kudaden da ke hannunsu na bashin hukumar da kuma kamfanonin da ke tallafawa lamunin jingina a cikin kamfanonin da ke tallafawa lamunin jingina. a dunkule, a dunkule, wadannan matakan su ci gaba da matsin lamba a kan yawan kudin ruwa na tsawon lokaci, tallafawa kasuwannin jingina, da kuma taimakawa wajen fadada yanayin kudi mai sauki.
GDP na Amurka a cikin mamaki ya tashi zuwa 1.7%
Kodayake ba matsayin matsayin babban tasiri sabon taron ba, yawancin masu sharhi sun mai da hankali kan alkaluman GDP kafin sanarwar FOMC. Duk da cewa an sanya masu takunkumi kuma masu ba da labarin kasuwa da yawa sun yi zargin cewa ya kamata FOMC ta yi shakkar lambar da ke zuwa ƙasa da tsammanin, kuma wasu masana tattalin arziki suna hasashen bugawa ƙasa da kashi 0.5%, sannan canjin canji mai zuwa ga tsarin Fed na yanzu zai iya fitowa. Waɗannan shubuhohin sun ɓace yayin bugawa ya fi kyau fiye da hasashen mafi yawan manazarta.
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"Haɗin gaske na cikin gida; fitowar kayayyaki da aiyukan da ma'aikata da kadarori ke samarwa a cikin Amurka, ya karu a kan kashi 1.7 bisa ɗari a cikin kwata na biyu na shekarar 2013 (ma'ana, daga zangon farko zuwa kwata na biyu) , bisa ga "ci gaban" da Ofishin Tattalin Arzikin Tattalin Arziki ya fitar. A cikin farkon kwata, GDP na hakika ya karu da kashi 1.1 (an sake bita) .Buttanin ya jaddada cewa kimantawar kashi na biyu na kwata da aka fitar a yau ya dogara ne da bayanan tushe wanda bai cika ba ko kuma batun sake dubawa daga kamfanin dillancin labaran. "
Ba duk labarai ne masu kyau ba game da tattalin arzikin Amurka, aikace-aikacen jingina sun ragu da kashi 4% zuwa ƙasa da shekaru biyu.
Duk da hauhawar farashin gida a cikin Amurka, aikace-aikacen jinginar gida a cikin satin da ya ƙare 26 ga Yuli ya faɗi kusan 4% zuwa mafi ƙanƙanci a cikin shekaru biyu, a cewar bayanan da aka fitar Laraba. Kersungiyar kersungiyar Masu Bankin Ba da Lamuni ta ce aikace-aikace sun faɗi yayin da aikace-aikacen saye ya faɗi da kashi 3% kuma aikace-aikacen sake saukowa ya ragu da 4%. Saukar ta zo kamar yadda, a cikin lambobin MBA, matsakaicin kuɗin ruwa na jingina na shekara 30 bai canza ba a 4.58%.
Lambobin aiki a Amurka sun tashi da 200K
Kamar dai don sake aiwatar da ƙudurin FOMC don nufin ƙimar kashi 6.5% na rashin aikin yi, kamfanin biyan albashi mai zaman kansa na ADP ya buga bayanan aikinsa na ƙarshe kuma ana ɗaukar labarai mai kyau. Ayyukan kamfanoni masu zaman kansu sun karu da ayyuka 200,000 daga Yuni zuwa Yuli, a cewar Rahoton ADP na Kasa na Yuli. Rahoton ya samo asali ne daga ainihin bayanan albashi na ADP kuma yana auna canji a cikin jimlar ba aikin gona ba na masu zaman kansu kowane wata bisa tsarin daidaitaccen yanayi. An sake yin ribar aikin Yuni daga 188,000 zuwa 198,000.
Siffar kasuwa
Don haka tare da dukkan labarai masu dadi da ke fitowa daga Amurka tsammanin shine don DJIA, SPX da NASDAQ su tashi daidai. Koyaya, kasuwannin basu bi rubutun ba; DJIA ya rufe 0.14%, SPX ya sauka 0.01% sannan NASDAQ ya rufe 0.27%. Dangane da abin da ake ji game da duk labaran da ke yawo, musamman bayanin FOMC, ya kasance tsaka tsaki. Bourses na Turai sun haɗu da wadatar dukiya gaba ɗaya tabbatacce. Burtaniya FTSE ta rufe 0.76%, CAC zuwa 0.15%, DAX sama da 0.06%. IBEX ya rufe 0.27%, MIB ya sauka 0.37% kuma PSI ya sauka 1.16%.
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Kamfanin WTI Oil ya karya lagon sa na mako-mako ta hanyar rufe 1.89% akan ICE a $ 105.89 a kowace ganga. NYMEX na halitta ya rufe 0.12% a $ 3.45. Kamfanin COMEX ya rufe 0.94% a $ 1325.6 a kowace oza.
Mayar da hankali kan FX
Dalar ta fadi a karon farko cikin kwanaki uku yayin da Babban Bankin Tarayya ya ci gaba da sayen dala biliyan 85 na wata-wata, yana mai cewa karancin hauhawar farashi na iya kawo cikas ga fadada tattalin arzikin Amurka.
Dalar Ostireliya ta fadi kasa mafi rauni a kusan shekaru uku saboda rade-radin cewa babban bankin kasar nan ba da dadewa ba zai rage kudin ruwa. Aussie ya ƙi kashi 0.9 zuwa 89.82 US cent bayan ya sauka zuwa 89.36 cent, matakin mafi rauni da aka gani tun Satumba 2010.
Kididdigar dalar Amurka ta Bloomberg ta fadi da kashi 0.1 zuwa 1,025.74 a tsakiyar zangon New York. Ya ragu da kashi 1.4 cikin 0.3 a watan Yuli. Kudin Amurka ya fadi da kashi 1.3302 bisa dari a $ 0.2 akan Yuro. Greenback ya raunana kashi 97.88 zuwa 98.59 a kowace yen bayan ya kai XNUMX.
Yuro ya sami kashi 2.2 bisa 1.3 a kan kore a watan Yuli, yen ya karu da kashi 3.2. Dala ta New Zealand ta jagoranci dukkan manyan kasuwannin canji da ƙaruwa da kashi XNUMX.
Sterling ya yi kasa da kashi 0.5 cikin dari zuwa kashi 87.45 a kowane Yuro a karshen zaman da aka yi a Landan bayan ya taba 87.61, matakin mafi rauni wanda aka gani tun 12 ga watan Maris ya sanya saukar da kashi 2.3 cikin dari a wannan watan, mafi yawa tun daga Janairu. Sterling ya zame kaso 0.4 zuwa $ 1.5181. Rashin nasarar kwana huɗu yanzu shine mafi tsawo da aka gani tun Yuni 28th.
Babban tasirin abubuwan labarai da yanke shawara game da siyasa waɗanda zasu iya shafar jin ra'ayi a ranar 1 ga Agusta
PMIs, wanda aka buga ladabi da Markit Economics, sun ɗauki matakin yau a matsayin babban tasirin abubuwan labarai. An haɗu da wannan kwamitin tsarin manufofin kuɗi na Burtaniya zai ba da fitowar doka ta kwanan nan game da tsarin sayan kadarar sa da yanke shawara kan ƙimar tushe; ba a tsammanin ko wanne daga cikinsu zai canza daga halin da ake ciki yanzu.
Har ila yau, mayar da hankali ya juya zuwa Turai dangane da shawarar ƙimar amfani da riba, don kasancewa tare da sigar Turai na bayanin FOMC, yayin da Mario Draghi ke riƙe da matakin tsakiyar isar da taron manema labarai na ECB.
PMI na masana'antar Amurka zai kasance mai ban sha'awa, musamman idan aka bashi kwatankwacin GDP na 1.7% a ranar Laraba. Wani labarin labarai da kuma wallafa wanda baya tasiri kamar yadda yake da matukar tasiri shine 'Kalubalantar aikin yankan' bayyana 'taro' korar ma'aikata daga kamfanonin da aka gudanar. Ana iya ɗaukarsa a matsayin kanari a cikin ma'adinan kwal dangane da abubuwan da ake tsammani na aiki nan gaba, a zahiri ƙaramin adadin sallamar ma'aikata zai iya zama mafi kyawun yanayin ayyukan Amurka da ke ci gaba.
« Yi hankali da Gap; tsakar dare da safe sabuntawar zaman Landan kafin kararrawar bude New York Yi hankali da Gap; tsakar dare da safe sabuntawar zaman Landan kafin kararrawar bude New York »
