Satumba 13 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 8091 • 1 Comment akan Ostiraliya, me yasa 'boom da duhun' 'yan kasuwa ke shawagi da kaifi wuƙaƙe?
Duk cikin rikice-rikicen kudi na duniya wanda ya kasance tun daga 2007-2008 Ostiraliya ta ci gaba da inganta yanayin. Ko da jerin jerin ambaliyar da aka fuskanta a cikin watan Janairun wannan shekarar (2011) ya bayyana ne kawai don ɗan buga babbar ƙasar na ɗan lokaci daga dogaro da gyroscopic a matsayin babbar tashar wutar lantarki ta duniya. Matsakaicin GDP na Australiya ya fi na Burtaniya, Jamus, da Faransa dangane da daidaiton ikon siya. Kasar ta kasance ta biyu a cikin Rahoton Ci gaban Dan Adam na Majalisar Dinkin Duniya na shekarar 2009 kuma a koyaushe tana kan gaba sosai a cikin tsarin rayuwar-duniya mai inganci.
Ostiraliya tana ɗaya daga cikin ƙasashe masu saurin ci gaban tattalin arziki a duniya. Asusun na IMF ya yi hasashen cewa Ostiraliya za ta zarce mafi yawan ƙasashe masu ci gaban tattalin arziki a cikin 2011 saboda ci gaban da ake samu na buƙatun Sinawa na kayayyakin Australiya. A cikin 2010, Australia ta fitar da kayayyaki dalar Amurka biliyan 48.6 zuwa China, sau tara fiye da shekaru goma da suka gabata. Masana'antar hakar ma'adinai na da riba, yawan ƙarfen da ake fitarwa ya kai fiye da rabin abubuwan da Australiya ta fitar zuwa China. Ana sa ran hakar ma'adanai da noma ne zai sanya bunkasar tattalin arzikin Australiya nan gaba. Ofishin Australiya na Aikin Noma da Tattalin Arziki da Kimiyya ya yi hasashen cewa noman ma'adanai zai tashi da kaso 10.2 a cikin 2010-2011 kuma noman zai iya tashi da kashi 8.9.
Ana sa ran tattalin arzikin Australiya zai bunkasa a cikin shekaru biyar masu zuwa. 2011 zuwa 2015 na iya ganin GDP na Ostiraliya ya haɓaka da kashi 4.81 zuwa 5.09 bisa ɗari a kowace shekara. Zuwa karshen shekarar 2015, GDP na Ostiraliya ana tsammanin yakai tiriliyan $ 1.122. An yi hasashen GDP na Australiya ta kowace ɗan adam don haɓaka cikin ƙoshin lafiya. A cikin 2010, GDP na Australiya a kowane ɗan ƙasa ya kasance na goma a duniya - ya girma daga US $ 38,633.17 a 2009 zuwa US $ 39,692.06. A 2011, GDP na Australiya na kowane ɗan adam na iya ƙaruwa da kashi 3.52 cikin ɗari zuwa dalar Amurka 41,089.17. Shekaru huɗu masu zuwa na iya ganin ci gaba mai ɗorewa a cikin GDP na Australiya na kowane ɗan adam, wanda ya haifar da GDP na kowane ɗan ɗari na US $ 47,445.58 zuwa ƙarshen 2015.
Alkaluman baya-bayan nan da Ofishin Kididdiga na Australiya ya bayar sun nuna cewa daidaiton kayayyakin da aiyukan kasar ya kai rarar da aka daidaita ta dala biliyan 1.826 a cikin watan. Tattalin arzikin Ostiraliya ya sake haɓaka sosai a zango na biyu tare da haɓakar da ba a zata ba na kashi 1.2 cikin ɗari ta hanyar saka hannun jari na kasuwanci, ciyarwar gida da kuma haɓaka abubuwa. Annette Beacher, shugabar bincike ta Asiya da Pacific a TD Securities na sa ran GDP zai tashi zuwa kashi 2 a cikin 2011 kuma kashi 4.5 cikin XNUMX shekara mai zuwa.
Dangane da hasashen rashin aikin yi da IMF ya bayar, rashin aikin yi zai ga raguwa kadan zuwa 5.025 bisa dari a karshen shekarar 2012. Bayan haka, suna sa ran adadin rashin aikin yi (daga 2013 zuwa 2015) ya ci gaba da kasancewa a kaso 4.8.
Kamar sauran sauran ƙasashe masu ci gaban tattalin arziƙin Australiya ta mamaye rukunin hidimarta, wanda ke wakiltar 68% na GDP na Ostiraliya, amfani da ita babbar ƙungiya ce. Haɓaka cikin ɓangarorin aiyuka ya girma ƙwarai da gaske, dukiya da sabis na kasuwanci sun haɓaka daga 10% zuwa 14.5% na GDP a daidai wannan lokacin, yana mai da shi mafi girma ɗaya daga cikin GDP ɗin ɓangaren. Wannan haɓaka ya kasance ta hanyar masana'antar masana'antu, wanda a cikin 2006-07 ya ɗauki kusan 12% na GDP. Shekaru goma da suka gabata, shine mafi girman fannin a cikin tattalin arziki, wanda yakai kimanin kashi 15% na GDP. Yankunan da ke damun wasu masana tattalin arziki sun haɗa da gibin asusun Australiya na yanzu, rashin ingantacciyar masana'antar kera kayan fitar da kayayyaki, ɓoyayyen kadarorin Australiya, da manyan matakan bashin ƙasashen waje da kamfanoni masu zaman kansu ke binta.
Bangarorin noma da hakar ma'adinai (10% na GDP a hade) suna da kusan kashi 57% na fitarwa kasar. Tattalin arzikin Ostiraliya ya dogara ne da shigo da tataccen mai da kayayyakin mai, tattalin arzikin ya dogara da shigo da mai kusan 80% - kayayyakin ɗanyen mai.
Don haka me yasa ake yawan ambaton Australia bunkasar duhu da halaka a cikin kafofin watsa labarai kwanan nan?
Ya bayyana ga yawancin masu sharhi cewa Ostiraliya na iya ɓatar da gadon zinariya kuma ta mai da kanta ta zama tattalin arziƙi ɗaya. Duk da cewa almara ce ta tattalin arziki cewa 80% na kasuwancinku sun fito ne daga 20% na tushen abokin cinikin ku, Ostiraliya ta ɗauki hakan zuwa matsananci, da alama tana da abokin ciniki guda ɗaya da keɓaɓɓiyar samfurin samfurin don haɓaka fitowar fitowar su. Idan China ta yi jinkiri, ko ba za ta iya biyan ƙarin riba a albarkatunsu ba, yayin da shigo da Australiya ke ci gaba da tsada, wannan babbar ƙasar za ta iya samun kanta cikin matsi na tattalin arziki. Farashin gida, wannan madaidaiciyar hanya ɗaya 'Aussie punt', a ƙarshe sun buga abubuwan buƙata kuma yanzu wannan wasan na spoof ya isa yana da zenith matsakaita Aussie yana jin ƙarancin amincewa. Tare da babban jigogi (ASX) yana faɗuwa da kimanin 11.5% shekara a shekara cewa rashin ƙarfin gwiwa yana ƙaruwa ta hanyar fansho mara kyau da dawo da saka hannun jari. Hakanan akwai ɗan kwanciyar hankali da za'a samu daga babban riba na 4.75% akan tanadi wanda aka bashi sakamakon tasirin farashin jingina.
Akwai babban talla da ke tallata imani cewa hakar ma'adinai ita ce babbar masana'antar Ostiraliya. A cikin wani binciken da Cibiyar Australiya ta yi kwanan nan, ya bayyana cewa Australiya ta fi ƙarfin ɗaukaka da mahimmancin masana'antar hakar ma'adanai. Lokacin da aka tambaye su yadda girman fannin yake, mutane sun yi tambaya cewa masana'antar hakar ma'adinai tana daukar kashi 16 na ma'aikatan Ostiraliya, alhali ainihin adadin ya kai kashi 1.9. Rahoton ya nuna cewa yayin da hakar ma'adinai ta kirkiro da sabbin ayyuka, fa'idodin sun kasance wata ni'ima ce ga tattalin arzikin.
”Bunkasar tattalin arzikin Yammacin Australiya ya taimaka wajen rage rashin aikin yi, amma ci gaban na nufin cewa Bankin Reserve ya kara kudin ruwa domin‘ samar da daki ’ga bunkasar ta hanyar rage ci gaban wasu bangarorin. Waɗanda suke da manyan lamuni, galibi iyalai matasa ne suka ɗauki nauyin wannan tsarin.
”Idan masu karbar albashi za su ci gajiyar bunkasar hakar ma’adinai dole a yi tsalle a cikin albashi na hakika idan aka kwatanta da abin da ma’aikata za su samu in ba haka ba. Abin takaici, babu wata shaida da ta nuna hakan ta faru. ”
Babban darektan makarantar Richard Denniss, ya ba da rahoton cewa ra'ayin jama'a game da girma da muhimmancin masana'antar hakar ma'adinai ga tattalin arzikin Australiya ya bambanta da gaskiyar.
"Binciken ya gano cewa 'yan Australia sun yi imanin cewa hakar ma'adinai na da fiye da kashi daya bisa uku na ayyukan tattalin arziki amma alkaluman Ofishin Kididdiga na Australiya sun nuna cewa masana'antar hakar ma'adinai na da kusan kashi 9.2per na GDP, kusan irin gudummawar da masana'antu ke bayarwa kuma kadan ya fi kudi masana'antu. Masana'antar hakar ma'adinai na son bayyana kanta a matsayin babban ma'aikaci, babban mai biyan haraji da kuma samar da kudi ga masu hannun jarin Ostiraliya, amma gaskiyar magana ba ta dace da maganganun ba. Tallace-tallacen masana'antun ma'adanai sun yi watsi da yadda harkar hakar ma'adinai ke bunkasa canjin canjin, da bunkasa kudaden jingina da kuma kawo koma baya ga aiki a wasu bangarorin tattalin arziki. " Dokta Denniss ya ce rahoton ya bayyana cewa hakar ma'adinai a hakika yana haifar da mummunar hatsari a cikin gibin asusun na yanzu.
Kamar Ingila, wacce ke fama da iskar gas da mai, abin tsoron shi ne cewa mai yiwuwa ne ƙasar ta kai wani matsayi 'a taɓarɓarewar kayayyaki, inda idan farashin ɗanyen mai ya ci gaba da taurin kan ci gaban Australiya na iya zama rashin jini. Ragowar shekara-shekara kan ayyuka ya kai dala biliyan 7.19.
Fetur, babban siye daya mafi sayan iyali a Ostiraliya kowane mako, ya tashi zuwa mafi tsada cikin watanni huɗu. Duk da cewa Australiya suna taya kansu murna don ƙarin rasiti na kwal, ƙarfe da zinariya, ba za su iya rasa gaskiyar cewa babban dala na Australiya yana ba da gudummawa ga ragin ayyukan rikodin ba. Kudin suna shigowa, amma kuma suna fita..abin tsoro shine fargaba da tashin hankali baya cikin tagomashin Australia na dogon lokaci.
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Ostiraliya, me yasa 'boom da duhun' yan kasuwa ke shawagi da kaifi wuƙaƙe?
Satumba 13 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 8091 • 1 Comment akan Ostiraliya, me yasa 'boom da duhun' 'yan kasuwa ke shawagi da kaifi wuƙaƙe?
Duk cikin rikice-rikicen kudi na duniya wanda ya kasance tun daga 2007-2008 Ostiraliya ta ci gaba da inganta yanayin. Ko da jerin jerin ambaliyar da aka fuskanta a cikin watan Janairun wannan shekarar (2011) ya bayyana ne kawai don ɗan buga babbar ƙasar na ɗan lokaci daga dogaro da gyroscopic a matsayin babbar tashar wutar lantarki ta duniya. Matsakaicin GDP na Australiya ya fi na Burtaniya, Jamus, da Faransa dangane da daidaiton ikon siya. Kasar ta kasance ta biyu a cikin Rahoton Ci gaban Dan Adam na Majalisar Dinkin Duniya na shekarar 2009 kuma a koyaushe tana kan gaba sosai a cikin tsarin rayuwar-duniya mai inganci.
Ostiraliya tana ɗaya daga cikin ƙasashe masu saurin ci gaban tattalin arziki a duniya. Asusun na IMF ya yi hasashen cewa Ostiraliya za ta zarce mafi yawan ƙasashe masu ci gaban tattalin arziki a cikin 2011 saboda ci gaban da ake samu na buƙatun Sinawa na kayayyakin Australiya. A cikin 2010, Australia ta fitar da kayayyaki dalar Amurka biliyan 48.6 zuwa China, sau tara fiye da shekaru goma da suka gabata. Masana'antar hakar ma'adinai na da riba, yawan ƙarfen da ake fitarwa ya kai fiye da rabin abubuwan da Australiya ta fitar zuwa China. Ana sa ran hakar ma'adanai da noma ne zai sanya bunkasar tattalin arzikin Australiya nan gaba. Ofishin Australiya na Aikin Noma da Tattalin Arziki da Kimiyya ya yi hasashen cewa noman ma'adanai zai tashi da kaso 10.2 a cikin 2010-2011 kuma noman zai iya tashi da kashi 8.9.
Ana sa ran tattalin arzikin Australiya zai bunkasa a cikin shekaru biyar masu zuwa. 2011 zuwa 2015 na iya ganin GDP na Ostiraliya ya haɓaka da kashi 4.81 zuwa 5.09 bisa ɗari a kowace shekara. Zuwa karshen shekarar 2015, GDP na Ostiraliya ana tsammanin yakai tiriliyan $ 1.122. An yi hasashen GDP na Australiya ta kowace ɗan adam don haɓaka cikin ƙoshin lafiya. A cikin 2010, GDP na Australiya a kowane ɗan ƙasa ya kasance na goma a duniya - ya girma daga US $ 38,633.17 a 2009 zuwa US $ 39,692.06. A 2011, GDP na Australiya na kowane ɗan adam na iya ƙaruwa da kashi 3.52 cikin ɗari zuwa dalar Amurka 41,089.17. Shekaru huɗu masu zuwa na iya ganin ci gaba mai ɗorewa a cikin GDP na Australiya na kowane ɗan adam, wanda ya haifar da GDP na kowane ɗan ɗari na US $ 47,445.58 zuwa ƙarshen 2015.
Alkaluman baya-bayan nan da Ofishin Kididdiga na Australiya ya bayar sun nuna cewa daidaiton kayayyakin da aiyukan kasar ya kai rarar da aka daidaita ta dala biliyan 1.826 a cikin watan. Tattalin arzikin Ostiraliya ya sake haɓaka sosai a zango na biyu tare da haɓakar da ba a zata ba na kashi 1.2 cikin ɗari ta hanyar saka hannun jari na kasuwanci, ciyarwar gida da kuma haɓaka abubuwa. Annette Beacher, shugabar bincike ta Asiya da Pacific a TD Securities na sa ran GDP zai tashi zuwa kashi 2 a cikin 2011 kuma kashi 4.5 cikin XNUMX shekara mai zuwa.
Dangane da hasashen rashin aikin yi da IMF ya bayar, rashin aikin yi zai ga raguwa kadan zuwa 5.025 bisa dari a karshen shekarar 2012. Bayan haka, suna sa ran adadin rashin aikin yi (daga 2013 zuwa 2015) ya ci gaba da kasancewa a kaso 4.8.
Kamar sauran sauran ƙasashe masu ci gaban tattalin arziƙin Australiya ta mamaye rukunin hidimarta, wanda ke wakiltar 68% na GDP na Ostiraliya, amfani da ita babbar ƙungiya ce. Haɓaka cikin ɓangarorin aiyuka ya girma ƙwarai da gaske, dukiya da sabis na kasuwanci sun haɓaka daga 10% zuwa 14.5% na GDP a daidai wannan lokacin, yana mai da shi mafi girma ɗaya daga cikin GDP ɗin ɓangaren. Wannan haɓaka ya kasance ta hanyar masana'antar masana'antu, wanda a cikin 2006-07 ya ɗauki kusan 12% na GDP. Shekaru goma da suka gabata, shine mafi girman fannin a cikin tattalin arziki, wanda yakai kimanin kashi 15% na GDP. Yankunan da ke damun wasu masana tattalin arziki sun haɗa da gibin asusun Australiya na yanzu, rashin ingantacciyar masana'antar kera kayan fitar da kayayyaki, ɓoyayyen kadarorin Australiya, da manyan matakan bashin ƙasashen waje da kamfanoni masu zaman kansu ke binta.
Bangarorin noma da hakar ma'adinai (10% na GDP a hade) suna da kusan kashi 57% na fitarwa kasar. Tattalin arzikin Ostiraliya ya dogara ne da shigo da tataccen mai da kayayyakin mai, tattalin arzikin ya dogara da shigo da mai kusan 80% - kayayyakin ɗanyen mai.
Don haka me yasa ake yawan ambaton Australia bunkasar duhu da halaka a cikin kafofin watsa labarai kwanan nan?
Ya bayyana ga yawancin masu sharhi cewa Ostiraliya na iya ɓatar da gadon zinariya kuma ta mai da kanta ta zama tattalin arziƙi ɗaya. Duk da cewa almara ce ta tattalin arziki cewa 80% na kasuwancinku sun fito ne daga 20% na tushen abokin cinikin ku, Ostiraliya ta ɗauki hakan zuwa matsananci, da alama tana da abokin ciniki guda ɗaya da keɓaɓɓiyar samfurin samfurin don haɓaka fitowar fitowar su. Idan China ta yi jinkiri, ko ba za ta iya biyan ƙarin riba a albarkatunsu ba, yayin da shigo da Australiya ke ci gaba da tsada, wannan babbar ƙasar za ta iya samun kanta cikin matsi na tattalin arziki. Farashin gida, wannan madaidaiciyar hanya ɗaya 'Aussie punt', a ƙarshe sun buga abubuwan buƙata kuma yanzu wannan wasan na spoof ya isa yana da zenith matsakaita Aussie yana jin ƙarancin amincewa. Tare da babban jigogi (ASX) yana faɗuwa da kimanin 11.5% shekara a shekara cewa rashin ƙarfin gwiwa yana ƙaruwa ta hanyar fansho mara kyau da dawo da saka hannun jari. Hakanan akwai ɗan kwanciyar hankali da za'a samu daga babban riba na 4.75% akan tanadi wanda aka bashi sakamakon tasirin farashin jingina.
Akwai babban talla da ke tallata imani cewa hakar ma'adinai ita ce babbar masana'antar Ostiraliya. A cikin wani binciken da Cibiyar Australiya ta yi kwanan nan, ya bayyana cewa Australiya ta fi ƙarfin ɗaukaka da mahimmancin masana'antar hakar ma'adanai. Lokacin da aka tambaye su yadda girman fannin yake, mutane sun yi tambaya cewa masana'antar hakar ma'adinai tana daukar kashi 16 na ma'aikatan Ostiraliya, alhali ainihin adadin ya kai kashi 1.9. Rahoton ya nuna cewa yayin da hakar ma'adinai ta kirkiro da sabbin ayyuka, fa'idodin sun kasance wata ni'ima ce ga tattalin arzikin.
”Bunkasar tattalin arzikin Yammacin Australiya ya taimaka wajen rage rashin aikin yi, amma ci gaban na nufin cewa Bankin Reserve ya kara kudin ruwa domin‘ samar da daki ’ga bunkasar ta hanyar rage ci gaban wasu bangarorin. Waɗanda suke da manyan lamuni, galibi iyalai matasa ne suka ɗauki nauyin wannan tsarin.
”Idan masu karbar albashi za su ci gajiyar bunkasar hakar ma’adinai dole a yi tsalle a cikin albashi na hakika idan aka kwatanta da abin da ma’aikata za su samu in ba haka ba. Abin takaici, babu wata shaida da ta nuna hakan ta faru. ”
Babban darektan makarantar Richard Denniss, ya ba da rahoton cewa ra'ayin jama'a game da girma da muhimmancin masana'antar hakar ma'adinai ga tattalin arzikin Australiya ya bambanta da gaskiyar.
"Binciken ya gano cewa 'yan Australia sun yi imanin cewa hakar ma'adinai na da fiye da kashi daya bisa uku na ayyukan tattalin arziki amma alkaluman Ofishin Kididdiga na Australiya sun nuna cewa masana'antar hakar ma'adinai na da kusan kashi 9.2per na GDP, kusan irin gudummawar da masana'antu ke bayarwa kuma kadan ya fi kudi masana'antu. Masana'antar hakar ma'adinai na son bayyana kanta a matsayin babban ma'aikaci, babban mai biyan haraji da kuma samar da kudi ga masu hannun jarin Ostiraliya, amma gaskiyar magana ba ta dace da maganganun ba. Tallace-tallacen masana'antun ma'adanai sun yi watsi da yadda harkar hakar ma'adinai ke bunkasa canjin canjin, da bunkasa kudaden jingina da kuma kawo koma baya ga aiki a wasu bangarorin tattalin arziki. " Dokta Denniss ya ce rahoton ya bayyana cewa hakar ma'adinai a hakika yana haifar da mummunar hatsari a cikin gibin asusun na yanzu.
Kamar Ingila, wacce ke fama da iskar gas da mai, abin tsoron shi ne cewa mai yiwuwa ne ƙasar ta kai wani matsayi 'a taɓarɓarewar kayayyaki, inda idan farashin ɗanyen mai ya ci gaba da taurin kan ci gaban Australiya na iya zama rashin jini. Ragowar shekara-shekara kan ayyuka ya kai dala biliyan 7.19.
Fetur, babban siye daya mafi sayan iyali a Ostiraliya kowane mako, ya tashi zuwa mafi tsada cikin watanni huɗu. Duk da cewa Australiya suna taya kansu murna don ƙarin rasiti na kwal, ƙarfe da zinariya, ba za su iya rasa gaskiyar cewa babban dala na Australiya yana ba da gudummawa ga ragin ayyukan rikodin ba. Kudin suna shigowa, amma kuma suna fita..abin tsoro shine fargaba da tashin hankali baya cikin tagomashin Australia na dogon lokaci.
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