Duba Duba EUR / GBP kafin Bayanin BoE
A ranar Laraba, ciniki a cikin darajar giciye ta EUR / GBP galibi ya shiga tsarin ciniki na intraday na taken taken EUR / USD. EUR / GBP sunyi shawagi kusa da yankin 0.81 yayin zaman safiya. Ma'auratan sun fado cikin shawarar ECB da farkon taron manema labarai, har suka kai matakin da ba shi da kyau a 0.8051.
Don haka, ana ganin rashin karfafa manufofin ECB a matsayin mara kyau, maimakon tabbatacce kuma ga kudin Tarayyar Turai kan batutuwan. Koyaya, ba da daɗewa ba an sami koma baya (kamar yadda lamarin yake don EUR / USD). Bugu da ƙari, ba bayyane ba ne don ganin dalilin da yasa euro za ta sami nasara a kan sifa saboda ci gaba gaba ɗaya a cikin tunanin haɗari. Fata akan shirin tallafawa bankin bankin Mutanen Espanya tabbas shine mafi kyawun bayani.
Ko menene dalili, EUR / GBP sun rufe zaman koda da ɗan riba a 0.8119, idan aka kwatanta da 0.8095 a ranar Talata. Don haka, yaƙin sake dawo da layin 0.8100 ya ci gaba a cikin dare, tallan tallace-tallace na BRC ya ɗan fi kyau fiye da yadda ake tsammani (bayan ƙarancin adadi a watan jiya). Tasirin kan kasuwancin ciniki ya iyakance. Nan gaba a yau, za a buga farashin gidan Halifax da Sabis ɗin PMI. Ragowar raguwa a cikin PMI na iya haifar da jita-jita game da buƙatar ƙarin aikin BoE. Sake farawa na shirin BoE na sayayyar kadara ya zama batun lokaci kawai. Yawancin lokaci, BoE baya jin tsoron hanyar sa kai. Koyaya, zai zama ɗan ɗan ban mamaki ga Sarki da masu haɗin gwiwa su sake sauya hanya, wata ɗaya kawai bayan sun kammala cewa tattalin arzikin Burtaniya ya isa ya dakatar da shirin. Don haka, har yanzu mun fi son yanayin BoE yana ɗan jira kaɗan, amma zai zama kira na kusa. Idan akwai shawarar da ba a canza ba, wannan na iya zama ɗan tallafi don sitila.
Koyaya, idan binciken yayi daidai cewa zai zama ɗan lokaci ne kawai don BoE ya dawo cikin kasuwa, yakamata a iyakantar da martanin sitila. Daga ra'ayi na fasaha, ƙimar giciye ta EUR / GBP tana nuna alamun wucin gadi cewa raguwa na tafiyar hawainiya. A farkon watan Mayu, an cire maɓallin tallafi na 0.8068.
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Wannan hutun ya buɗe hanya don yiwuwar dawo da aiki zuwa yankin 0.77 (Oktoba 2008 ƙasa). Tsakiyar Mayu, ma'auratan sun saita ƙarancin gyara a 0.7950. Daga can, aka sake bugawa / gajere matsi. Ma'auratan sun fasa na ɗan lokaci sama da MTMA, amma da farko ribar ba za ta iya ci gaba ba. Ci gaba da ciniki sama da yankin 0.8095 (rata) zai kira faɗakarwar faɗakarwa. Rejectedoƙarin farko na yin hakan ya ƙi makonni biyu da suka gabata kuma ma'auratan sun dawo ƙasa da kewayon, amma zangon 0.7950 na ƙasa ya zauna daram. A ranar Jumma'a, ma'auratan sun koma saman zangon kuma an sake dawo da yanki 0.8100 a ranar Litinin. Wannan hutun ya inganta hoton ɗan gajeren lokaci a cikin wannan matakin ƙetare. Ana ganin maƙasudin tsarin DB a 0.8233 da 0.8254. Don haka, gyaran na iya samun ƙarin gaba. Muna neman sayarwa cikin ƙarfi, amma ba muyi sauri ba tukuna don ƙarawa zuwa gajeren tasirin EUR / GBP tuni a wannan matakin.
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