Izimali zaseMelika ziqale kabusha ukudayiswa okunzima obekubonwe ekuqaleni kwesonto, iSterling ishiya isitatimende seBank Of England

UFebhu 9 • Ukushayela kwe-Morning Roll • Ukubukwa okungu-3015 • Amazwana Off Izimali zaseMelika ziqale kabusha ukuthengiswa okunzima okubonwe ekuqaleni kwesonto, iSterling ishiya isitatimende seBank Of England

I-DJIA isondele ngamaphuzu ayi-1000 ekupheleni kweseshini yaseNew York, ngenkathi i-SPX ilahlekelwe kuze kufike ku-4% ngesikhathi sesikhathi sayo sangaphakathi, i-SPX manje isihlangabezane nezinsuku zayo ezinhlanu ezimbi kakhulu (ochungechungeni) kusukela ngo-2015. Isaba sokuthengiswa okugxile ekuthini kukhuphuke isilinganiso samanani wenzalo, obekungacijwa ngokucophelela futhi kuhanjiswe yi-FOMC esikhathini eside. Lokhu kukhuphuka ngokusobala kungalimaza ukukhula komnotho. Bambalwa abahlaziyi ababuza lo mqondo futhi behluleka ukuphendula umbango ekhanda lawo; uma umnotho okuthiwa uchuma ungangena, ngenxa yokusongelwa kokujwayelekile kwamazinga wenzalo (kusasele ngaphansi kwezinga lesikhathi esiphakathi), ngabe umnotho onjalo untekenteke ngokweqile?

Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukuxhumana phakathi komnotho wangempela kanye nokuqhamuka komnotho wamasheya okwandayo kuyancipha, ngakho-ke usongo lokukhuphuka kancane kwenzalo ethinta umnotho wangempela, ngaphezu kokulimaza labo abacabanga ngawo, luyangabazeka. Ukukhuphuka kwamazinga wenzalo ka-0.5% ngeke kubangele, isibonelo, abakhokhela imali yokuthenga ngempahla ukuba balwe ngokushesha, ngaphandle kwalapho benemalimboleko enkulu ye-jumbo, kepha izinkampani eziboleke ukuzicabangela ngokwazo ngamasheya azo, zingalwela ukuthola izizathu zokuthenga amasheya athe xaxa.

Umfanekiso wokunqanyulwa phakathi komnotho wangempela kanye nezizathu zangempela zokuwa kwemakethe yamasheya, kuboniswe nguDoug Cote, usomaqhinga omkhulu wemakethe eVoya Investment Management; "Kunabadlali abenza imali enkulu asebeke bazibophezela emazingeni aphansi unomphela futhi kufanele bakhululeke kulowo mkhakha, bangaba sesimweni sokuthuka njengamanje." Ukuboleka okushibhile kudale ukuqhuma ezimakethe zamasheya kusukela ngo-approx. 2013, ayikakhi inqubekela phambili ebanzi yezomnotho. Okusengcupheni, ekuncibilikeni kwezimakethe zamasheya, akusho ukuthi umnotho uwonke, njengoba umnotho obanzi e-USA ungakaze wehle, njengoba i-USA yaphuma ngokwehla ngo-2009.

Izindaba zekhalenda lezomnotho ze-USA zazimbalwa; izimangalo zokuqala nezingasebenzi ezingasebenzi zawa, ngokusho kwezibalo zangesonto eledlule. Inkomba yedola laseMelika yehle cishe ngo-0.1%, uwoyela we-WTI uqhubeke ukuthi ukwesaba ukwedlula ukukhiqiza kudayisa ukudlala ngothando ngama- $ 60 emgqonyeni, igolide lenyuka laya ku- $ 1,320 ngehora. I-SPX ne-DJIA baphenduke baba mabi ngonyaka; ngo -3.47% no -3.48% ngokulandelana.

UMark Carney, umbusi weBhange LaseNgilandi, umemezele ukuthi inani lesisekelo sase-UK lizogcinwa ku-0.5%. Ekulandiseni okuhambisana nalokhu, ngesikhathi kunesithangami nabezindaba sebhange elikhulu, wethule isitatimende esasibhalwe ngokucophelela esiphakamisa ukuthi izinga lesisekelo sase-UK lingakhuphuka ngokushesha okukhulu nangolaka kunalokho okusikiselwe phambilini. Kuvele ukuthi izinga lingakhuphuka ngo-0.75% esikhathini esiyiminyaka emibili. Ngaphandle kokuphakama okunje, ukukhula kancane, i-GBP yakhuphuka ngokushesha iqhathanisa nontanga yayo, i-EUR / GBP yehla nge-circa 1%, GBP / USD ekhuphuka nge-approx. 0.6%. UCarney uthole umphumela ofanayo nalowo owatholakala ngo-Okthoba 2017; usongo lokukhuphuka kwesilinganiso olubangela ukuthi i-UK ikhuphuke, ngaphandle kokudinga ukukhuphula amanani.

Ukulethwa kwakhe ngokuklanywa ngokucophelela nokuthanjiswa kwenani lephawundi, kamuva kwabe sekudilizwa yizinkinga ezimbili ezintsha zeBrexit. Okokuqala; Ingxoxo ehola phambili yase-UK uDavid Davis egxeka amalungu e-EU angama-27 asele ngezitatimende zawo maqondana nenqubekela phambili kuze kube manje. Okwesibili; Abaholi bezimboni baseJapan bahlangane nondunankulu wase-UK e-10 Downing Street. Umkhulumeli wabe eseshilo ngaphandle kwe-Downing Street, ukuthi uma iBrexit enzima ingenzeka amaJapan ekhiqiza angaphakamisa izinduku afudukele eYurophu. Ukuzuza okuhle kakhulu kuqhathaniswa nontanga bayo abakhulu ngaleso sikhathi kwaqedwa kakhulu ngasekupheleni kosuku; I-EUR / GBP iyalulama ukuvala i-circa engu-0.3% ne-GBP / CHF ebuyela emuva kusuka ekukhuphukeni okungu-1%, kuya ekuweni okungu-0.3%. I-UK FTSE 100 yehle emini ngo-1.49%, njengazo zonke ezinye izinkomba ezinkulu zaseYurophu. Inkomba enkulu yase-UK manje yehle ngo-6.73% futhi ngokuya ngamanani entengo yesikhathi esizayo, isengozini yokuqeda inqwaba yezinzuzo zango-2017, lapho imakethe yezokulingana yaseLondon ivulwa ngoLwesihlanu.

UKUQALA

I-GBP / USD ishaywe ngebanga elibanzi kakhulu phakathi nezikhathi zangoLwesine, inyuka nge-circa 0.6% futhi nge-R2, ukuyeka ukuzuza ngasekupheleni kweseshini yaseNew York, kuphele usuku luseduze nefulethi, eduze nepivot yansuku zonke khomba ku-1.3911. I-GPB / CHF ishaywe ngesimo esibanzi se-bearish kanye ne-bullish, ekhuphuka nge-circa 1% ekuseni kakhulu futhi yephula i-R3, ngaphambi kokuba isamba semali esiphambanweni sinikeze ukuzuza kwayo, sabuyela emuva saya ku-S1 phansi ngo-0.3% ngosuku cishe ku-1.302.

EURO

I-EUR / GBP iwele ekuweni okubanzi kwe-circa 1%, yephula i-S3 futhi yathumela intengo ephansi ephrintiwe kusukela ngoFebhuwari 1, ngenkathi iwela kuwo womabili ama-DMA ayi-100 nangu-200 ezinsukwini ezimbili ezedlule. Intengo yabe isibuyiswa ukufinyelela ku-S1, kuvalwa usuku nge-circa 0.879 phansi ngu-approx. 0.3%. I-EUR / USD yehle yafika ezingeni elingabonwa kusukela ngoJanuwari 23, intengo ekhishwe kububanzi obuncane usuku lonke, kuvale cishe i-0.2% ku-1.224.

IDOLELA LASEMelika

I-USD / JPY ihlukunyezwe ngokushintsha kwezimo ze-bearish ne-bullish; ikhuphuke ngo-0.3% futhi yephula i-R1 izithandani ezinkulu zemali ezihlehlise inkomba yokuwela nge-S1 eqeda usuku ku-approx 108.7, yehle ngo-0.3%. I-USD / CHF ithengisiwe futhi yahanjiswa ngesibhaxu ebangeni eliwumngcingo, ngokuchema kuya kokubi, iphokophele phezulu nge-R1, ukuze ibuyise kabusha i-PP yansuku zonke, iphele ngosuku kwehle ngo-0.3% ngo-0.935. I-USD / CAD ithengiswe ebangeni elincanyana le-bullish lansuku zonke kuzo zonke izikhathi, liphela usuku cishe ngo-0.3% ngo-1.259.

GOLD

I-XAU / USD ithengiswe ebangeni eliwumngcingo ngokuchema okuncane ukuya phansi, iwela nge-S1 esimisweni saseLondon / saseYurophu, ukuze ibuye ilulame ukudabula i-PP yansuku zonke ukwenqaba ileveli, ukubhalisa ukulahlekelwa okungu-0.1% ngosuku, ukuvala cishe nge-1,319.

IZIKHOKHISI ZESITHOMBE SANGOMABHEBHARI 8th.

• I-DJIA ivale u-4.15%.
• I-SPX ivale u-3.75%.
• I-NASDAQ ivale u-3.90%.
• I-FTSE 100 ivale u-1.49%.
• I-DAX ivale u-2.62%.
• I-CAC ivale u-1.98%.

IZENZAKALO ZEKHALENDA EZISEMQOKA ZOMNOTHO NGO-FEBRUARY 9.

• CHF. Izinga Lokungasebenzi (i-JAN).
• I-GBP. Ukukhiqizwa Kwezimboni (YoY) (DEC).
• I-GBP. Ukukhiqizwa Kwezimboni (YoY) (DEC).
• I-GBP. IConstruction Output SA (YoY) (DEC).
• I-GBP. Ibhalansi yezohwebo (DEC).
• I-CAD. Izinga Lokungasebenzi (i-JAN).
• USD. Izimpahla ezidayisa yonke impahla (MoM) (DEC F).

IZENZAKALO EZIMISILE ZOKUBUKELA NGO-FEBRUARY 9th.

Umnotho wase-UK kanye ne-FTSE 100 kungabhekwa kakhulu ekuseni eLondon - iseshini yase-Europe, imakethe yesikhathi esizayo ibiza ngentengo yokuwa kwe-circa 1.6% emakethe evulekile, kanti imininingwane yezomnotho yase-UK ingangezela engozini yemizwa njengamanje ebamba izimakethe zase-UK. Ukukhiqizwa kwezimboni kungabhalisa ukwehla ku-0.4% YoY ngoDisemba, kusuka ku-2.5% ngoNovemba. Ukukhula kokukhiqiza kulindeleke ukuthi kwehle kuye ku-1.2% YoY, kusuka ku-3.5%, ngenkathi umphumela wokwakhiwa kulindeleke ukuthi ungene kabi, wehlele ku -1.9% YoY kusuka ku-0.4%.

Amazwana zivaliwe.

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