Ukuhlaziywa kwe-Swing / trend kwesonto eliqala ngeSonto ngo-Ephreli 13
Ukuhlaziywa kwethu kokuhweba / ukuthambekela kwamasonto onke kuqukethe izingxenye ezimbili; okokuqala sihlaziya izinqumo eziyisisekelo zenqubomgomo kanye nemicimbi yezindaba yeviki elizayo. Okwesibili sisebenzisa ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe ukuzama ukuthola noma yimaphi amathuba okuhweba. Abahwebi abafunda imicimbi yekhalenda yethu eyinhloko yesonto kufanele bazi ukuqagela, njengoba noma ikuphi ukuphambuka, kusuka kulokho okwabikezelwa ngabacwaningi abavotelwe, kungaholela ekunyakazeni okukhulu kwamabhangqa emali, ngokuya ngamashifu alandelanayo emizweni ebangelwe uma idatha ingena ngenhla, noma ngezansi kokulindelekile.
UMsombuluko ibona imininingwane evela eChina ishicilelwe ukufaka nemalimboleko emisha, okucatshangwa ukuthi izongena ngo-1000bn kanti nemali (M2) okucatshangwa ukuthi izophrintwa ngo-13.1%. Ukukhiqizwa kwezimboni e-Europe kulindeleke ukuthi kungene ngo-0.3% phezulu, ukuthengiswa okuyisisekelo kwe-USA kulindeleke ukuthi kukhuphuke ngo-0.5% kanti ukuthengisa okuthengiswayo kulindeleke ukuthi kukhuphuke ngo-0.8% ngenyanga. Kamuva ngalolo suku ilungu le-FOMC uTarllo liyakhuluma.
NgoLwesibili ibona ukushicilelwa okuvela e-RBA e-Australia kwemizuzu yakamuva yenqubomgomo yemali. Kusuka e-UK esimisweni sasekuseni sithola idatha yakamuva ye-inflation, ehlelelwe ukungena ku-1.6%, i-RPI ilindeleke ku-2.5%, i-HPI ilindeleke ku-7.2% unyaka nonyaka. Ibhalansi yezohwebo yaseYurophu kulindeleke ukuthi ikhombise inani lama- € 13.9 billion. Inkomba yemizwa ye-ZEW yaseJalimane kulindeleke ukuthi ibe ku-46.3, nenkomba ye-ZEW yaseYurophu ingene ku-60.7. Ukugxila bese kuphendukela eNyakatho Melika lapho ukuthengiswa kokukhiqiza kweCanada kulindeleke ukuthi kukhuphuke u-1.1% kanye nenyanga ye-USA CPI ngenyanga kulindeleke ukuthi ibe ngo-0.1% omuhle. Ucwaningo lwe-Empire State Manufacturing lulindeleke ukuthi lufinyelele ku-8.2. Kamuva ngalolo suku uJanet Yellen ukhuluma, inkomba yezindlu ye-NAHB kulindeleke ukuthi ibe neminyaka engama-50. Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi ilungu leFed uPlosser uzokhuluma. Kuthi kusihlwa idatha ye-inflation yekota yonyaka yesine ishicilelwe kulindeleke ngo-0.5%.
NgoLwesithathu ibona iChina ishicilela isibalo sayo seGDP saminyaka yonke, kulindeleke ukuthi sibe ku-7.4%, umkhiqizo wezimboni kulindeleke ukuthi ungene ngo-9.1%. Ukuthengiswa kokuthengisa kulindeleke ukuthi kufike ku-11.2% unyaka nonyaka. Ukugxilwa kwakamuva kuphendukela eJapan lapho idatha kulomkhiqizo wezimboni kulindeleke ukuthi yehle ngo-2.3%, umphathi weBoJ uKuroda uzokhuluma. Ukusuka e-UK ukungasebenzi kulindeleke kwehle nge-circa 30K, kanti izinga kulindeleke ukuthi lehle liye ku-7.2%. I-CPI yaseYurophu ilindelwe ngo-0.5% phezulu. IGermany izobamba indali yesibambiso, kuzokhuluma ilungu le-FOMC uStein, kanti izimvume zokwakha e-USA kulindeleke ukuthi zibe kwisigidi esisodwa. Ukuqala kwezindlu kulindeleke ukuthi kube ngonyaka we-0.97 wezigidi ngonyaka. Ukukhiqizwa kwezimboni e-USA kulindeleke ukuthi kufike ku-0.5% phezulu.
I-BOC yaseCanada ishicilela umbiko wayo wenqubomgomo yezimali, ikhipha isitatimende sezinga futhi kulindeleke ukuthi igcine inzalo yayo eyisisekelo ibe ngu-1.00%. I-BOC izobamba isithangami nabezindaba ichaze ngezinqumo zayo. Kamuva usihlalo weFed uYellen uzokhuluma njengoba kuzokhuluma nelungu leFOMC uFisher. I-USA Fed izobe isishicilela iBige Book yayo. Lokhu kuhlaziywa kusetshenziswa yi-FOMC ukusiza ukwenza isinqumo sabo esilandelayo ngamazinga wenzalo. Kodwa-ke, ijwayele ukukhiqiza umthelela omncane njengoba i-FOMC ithola nezincwadi ezi-2 okungezona ezomphakathi - iGreen Book neBlue Book - okukholelwa kakhulu ukuthi zinomthelela kakhulu esinqumweni sabo sezinga, ubufakazi be-Anecdotal obunikezwe amabhange ayi-12 eFederal Reserve maqondana nezimo zomnotho wendawo esifundeni sabo kuveza imininingwane.
NgoLwesine ufakazi wombusi weBoJ uKuroda ekhuluma; I-Australia ishicilela ucwaningo lwamuva lokuzethemba kwebhizinisi le-NAB. I-PPI yaseJalimane ishicilelwe, kulindeleke ukuthi ingene ngo-0.1%. Ibhalansi ye-akhawunti yamanje yaseYurophu kulindeleke ukuthi ibe ku- € 22.3 billion. I-CPI evela eCanada kulindeleke ukuthi ifundwe ngo-0.4%, izimangalo zabangasebenzi zilindeleke ku-316K e-USA. Inkomba yokukhiqiza yePhilly Fed kulindeleke ukuthi ihambise ukufundwa kuka-9.6.
Ukuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe okuchaza ukuhweba okungahle kube khona ngamabhangqa emali amaningi amakhulu, ama-indices kanye nempahla
Ukuhlaziywa kwethu kwe-swing / trend trading technical kuhlanganiswa kusetshenziswa izinkomba ezilandelayo zonke ezisele ekubekweni kwazo okujwayelekile, ngaphandle kwemigqa ye-stochastic ehlelelwe ku-10, 10, 5 ngomzamo 'wokushaya' ukufundwa okungamanga. Konke ukuhlaziywa kwethu kwenziwa ngokwesikhathi sansuku zonke kuphela. Sisebenzisa: PSAR, Bollinger bands, DMI, MACD, ADX, RSI kanye ne-stochastics. Siphinde sisebenzise isilinganiso seminyakazo ehambayo: 21, 50, 100, 200. Sibheka intuthuko yezenzo zamanani abalulekile futhi sibheka izibambo ezisemqoka / izinombolo ezizungezayo ezizayo namazinga we-psyche. Kumigoqo yansuku zonke kukhethwa indlela kaHeikin Ashi.
EUR / USD yaqhekeka yaya phezulu ngo-Ephreli 8th kusukela lapho ukuzuza kubaluleke kakhulu. Njengamanje intengo ingaphezulu kwe-PSAR futhi intengo yephule ibhendi ephezulu yeBollinger. Intengo ingaphezu kwawo wonke ama-SMAs amakhulu - 21, 50, 100 kanye nama-200 SMA. Amakhandlela okugcina ansuku onke eviki avaliwe, egcwele umzimba futhi enamathunzi abheke phezulu. Kokubili i-MACD ne-DMI zazizinhle futhi zenza ukuphakama okuphezulu zisebenzisa ukubonwa kwe-histogram. Olayini be-stochastic bawele kepha baphakathi nendawo, kusasele kakhulu ngezimo zokuthengwa ngokweqile. I-ADX ineminyaka engu-15 kanti ukufundwa kwe-RSI kungama-60. Abahwebi abathathe ukuhweba okude, ngokususelwa esenzweni sentengo ngomhla ka-8, bazokwelulekwa ukuthi bahlale isikhathi eside kuze kube yilapho izinkomba eziningi ezibalulwe ngenhla seziphenduke zaba namandla.
AUD / USD iqhubeke nomfutho wayo wokuya phezulu phezulu ngesonto eledlule. Njengamanje i-PSAR ingaphansi kwentengo, intengo yephule iqembu eliphezulu leBollinger, amakhandlela ansuku zonke phakathi nesonto ikakhulukazi; kuvaliwe, kugcwele umzimba futhi kunezithunzi ezingaphezulu. Intengo ingaphezu kwawo wonke ama-SMA abalulekile ashiwo ngenhla. Kokubili i-DMI ne-MACD kukhona okuhle, kepha bayehluleka ukukhuphuka kakhulu. Olayini be-stochastic bawele futhi basendaweni ethe xaxa. I-ADX ineminyaka engama-34 kanti i-RSI ingama-71. Abahwebi abakujabulele ukuzuza okukhulu kwamapayipi, selokhu ezokuphepha zagqashuka ngoMashi, bazokwelulekwa ukuba balandele izindawo zabo zokuma ukuqinisekisa ukuthi kuncane kakhulu okuzuziwe ngamapayipi. Ukuphepha, ngubufakazi bezintambo ezi-stochastic, i-ADX ne-RSI, manje okukhombisa ukuthambekela kokuphepha okuthengwa ngokweqile.
USD / JPY yahlehla ebubini ngo-Ephreli 4. Kusukela lapho inzuzo yepayipi ibibhekwe kakhulu. Njengamanje iPSAR ingaphezu kwentengo; Intengo yephule ibhendi yeBollinger emaphakathi futhi yephule wonke ama-SMAs amakhulu ngaphandle kwama-200 SMA. Isenzo sentengo esiboniswe ngamakhandlela e-HA sine-bearish kakhulu, amakhandlela eviki eledlule wonke avaliwe, egcwele umzimba futhi enamathunzi abheke phansi. Kokubili i-DMI ne-MACD benza ukwehla okuphansi besebenzisa ukubonwa kwe-histogram, imigqa ye-stochastic iwele, kepha iswele indawo engaphezulu. I-ADX ineminyaka engu-17 kanti i-RSI ineminyaka engama-40. Abahwebi abafushane kudingeka balungise ukuma kwabo ngokuya ngenani lentengo eliboniswe kuleli sonto elizayo, mhlawumbe besebenzisa i-PSAR njengendlela yokulandela isitobhi kungakuhle.
I-DJIA yehla yaya enkingeni ngo-Ephreli 4, kusukela ngaleso sikhathi ukuzuza kwamapayipi kube kukhulu. Njengamanje i-PSAR ingaphezu kwentengo futhi intengo yephule wonke ama-SMA amakhulu kuya kubha engezansi i-200 SMA. I-DMI ne-MACD zimbi futhi zenza ukwehla okuphansi, imigqa ye-stochastic iwele, kepha iswele indawo engaphezulu. I-ADX iku-12 kanti i-RSI inama-40. Abahwebi abafushane bazokwaziswa ukuthi bahlale njalo kuze kube yilapho i-PSAR iphenduke kahle kungaba yisiginali efanelekile yokumisa ukulindela ukuguqulwa kwemizwa yezinye izinkomba ezishiwo ngenhla.
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