I-Psychology ku-Forex Trading
Sikhulume ngendaba yama-3M kaningi - ukuphathwa kwemali, ingqondo nendlela. Isici sokuphathwa kwemali sokuhweba, noma ubukhulu besikhundla kuxoxwe ngaso kundatshana yakamuva kule bhulogi yeFXCC. Indlela, ngenye indlela eyaziwa ngokuthi isu noma inqubo oyisebenzisayo; i-mechanical, discretionary noma inhlanganisela yakho kokubili, izonyuka kakhulu kwisigaba sethu sezamasu esizokhishwa maduzane. Kepha kuthiwani nge-psychology yokuhweba? Asikhulumi ngokuthi abadlali abakhulu bawenza kanjani ama-oda angagcwaliswanga, noma basebenzise amaqhinga asolwandle 'kuteyipu' ukuze bakhohlise bonke abanye ababambiqhaza bemakethe ikakhulukazi ezingeni leqembu labo. I-psychology 'enempilo' yabadayisi abathengisayo iyinkinga enkulu kepha nokho ivame ukubhekwa futhi yehliswe ngokubaluleka idlule ezinye izinto ezibalulekile zempumelelo ekuphathweni kwemali nendlela. Ngaphandle kwemisebenzi eminingi eyenzelwe ngqo abathengisi ngezifundo zengqondo kusalokhu kungacwaningwa ngabathengisi abathengisayo.
Njengokuzama ngibheka izithangami ezimbalwa ezaziwa kakhulu zokuhweba namhlanje ekuseni futhi ngalinganisa ngokushesha ukuthi ukusatshalaliswa kwengxoxo yezihloko kugxile kakhulu kumasu. Njengesibonelo esithangamini esisodwa bekukhona amalungu angama-150 aphilayo, angama-26 abebheka amasu nezinhlelo ze-forex, abayi-17 bebebheka isikhumba sezinwele nezinhlelo 'zemishini', abangu-33 bebebheka isoftware yokuhweba ngobuchwepheshe, ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe okungu-17, izinsiza zokuhweba ezingama-21 kanye nohlangothi losizo babe no-10 bangu-114 ababefunda izigaba ikakhulu ezazigxile kubuchule noma indlela. Ngokwemaphesenti inombolo ingama-76%. Uma kubhekwa isigaba se-psychology bekukhona ababukeli aba-2 kanti isigaba sokuphathwa kwemali besino-8.Kuhlanganisiwe lokhu kulingana nokuthi kube ngaphansi kuka-13%. Uma ufunda noma yimuphi umbhali wezokuhweba ohlonishwayo njengoMark Douglas noma uDkt. Van Tharp bazohlala besezinhlungwini zokugcizelela ukubaluleka okukhulu kwengqondo ekuhwebeni kepha ukubheka okusobala kwelinye lamawebhusayithi adumile kakhulu okuhweba kwembula ukuthi Isihloko senzelwe ingxenye enkulu ngokuphelele ukubukeka nangaphansi kokulinganiselwa. Kungani?
Mhlawumbe umbono ukuthi isayensi ethambile enjalo ayinanxenye ezweni elinzima lokuhweba. Uma ucabanga ngemvelaphi yokuhweba kunzima ukucabanga isikhathi mhlawumbe seminyaka eyikhulu emuva futhi abathengisi abakhulu bosuku bexoxa ngokubeka kabusha ingqondo yakho, noma ukuthola ukulingana kwakho, “bebhekene nokwesaba kwabo kwangaphakathi”, noma ukuthola impilo yabo yokusebenza ibhalansi ilungile. Kanjalo nangesikhathi se-'loadsamoney 'enkulu yemibono yango-1980 yamakamelo okubanda apholile anemigqa yezihlalo zokuhlikihla ezidlala umculo womkhomo ngamahedfoni anamathiselwe ukuze abathengisi babe sezingeni elifanele bangasebenzi nje futhi mhlawumbe bebengeke wabasebenzela lapho amabhodlela kaBollinger noPerrier Jouet ngokufanayo enza ubuqili ngemuva kosuku olude esemsebenzini. Umbono othi “sebenza kanzima udlale kanzima” weminyaka yama-80's-90 ushiye isikhathi esincane esiyigugu sokuzindla futhi awusenaso nanamuhla. Ngaphandle kokuthi izinsizakusebenza zabasebenzi bezinkampani ezinkulu ezihweba ngamabhange ezinkulu sezikubambile ukubaluleka kwempilo yengqondo futhi zihlale zibamba izingqungquthela ngale ndaba lokhu kungumhlaba okuqhelelene nalokho okudingwa ngumthengisi wosuku lokuthengisa.
Isihloko se-psychology sabahwebi sikhule ngokubaluleka ngokuhambisana ngqo nokukhula okubonakalayo kokuhweba kwasekhaya okusaqala. Ukulinganisela okuhle kakhulu kungaphakamisa ukuthi ubuningi obubucayi bokuhweba kwasekhaya busengaphansi kweminyaka eyishumi ubudala, ukweqisa kungaphakamisa ukuthi ukuhweba kwasekhaya kumane kuphela njengoba i-Intanethi ihamba phambili ekuzileni nasekusebenziseni komphakathi, mhlawumbe iminyaka eyi-13-14. Ngakho-ke embonini isencane kakhulu akumangazi ukuthi amakhono athile nezici zempumelelo zisalela ekuboneni ukubaluleka kwazo. Kodwa-ke, njengokukhula kwezinhlelo zokuhweba ngamabhokisi amnyama, ukugcwala kwamabhuku okuhweba 'ngama-psyche' akusizanga imbangela ephelele yokusiza i-psychology ukuthi ibonakale njengeyidlala indima ebalulekile empumelelweni yakho yezohwebo…
Igama elithi “uvalo” lingumthengisi omkhulu embonini yethu, ukuthi “ungakunqoba kanjani ukwesaba kwakho ukuhweba” kuyisihloko esenziwe ngokungagwegwesi saze sabulala futhi kuyangabazeka uma kudingeka amavolumu aphrintiwe ukumboza igama nesibonakaliso esingaba lula kubhekiswe kusetshenziswa, ngokwesibonelo, ukonakala kwegama elisetshenziswe esihlokweni esedlule esine-FEAR Ngeshwa umkhuba nesici somuntu sokuphindaphinda nokukopela kugcwele ebhizinisini le-psychology yomhwebi, uwoyela 'wengqondo' wenyoka kubahwebi ulula kanjalo nje itholakala ko-line 'quacks' njengamasistimu amabhokisi amnyama namasu angcwele we-grail.
Manje le ndatshana ibingenakukwazi ukumboza zonke izici ezibalulekile zokuthi ungabhekana kanjani nengqondo nentuthuko yomuntu siqu yomthengisi, kungaba yinhlamba ukuhlakanipha kwabafundi bethu ukuyenza. Esikhundleni salokho, ngezikhathi ezithile, singahlanganisa (nemvume yabo) izindatshana noma izincwadi ongazithenga ngokombono wethu ezingasiza ekuthuthukisweni kwakho. Okokuqala, nasi isixhumanisi sezindatshana zikaBrett Steenbarger nesayithi lakhe. Ngithole umsebenzi kaBrett esikhathini esithile esedlule futhi ngibheka emuva kusayithi lakhe muva nje, ngenhloso yokubhala lesi sihloko, kungikhumbuze ngomthelela omkhulu awenzile emibonweni yami nakulo lonke iphuzu lokuhweba kwami kwangaphambili. Ngezansi kwesilinganiso esifushane esivela ku-athikili eyodwa enjalo esangithinta ngempela ngaleso sikhathi, sisasebenza namanje. Kungani ungaziniki isikhathi sokufunda wonke umsebenzi kaBrett ngenkathi ulinde konke lokho kusethwa okubalulekile? Useyikhokhile futhi wayidlulisela phambili ekuhlanganyeleni le micabango eyigugu futhi kunemfundo encane eyigugu embonini yethu, ngokuqinisekile hhayi ngezinhlobonhlobo zokuguqula impilo ezinikezwa uBrett ..
“Emuva ngo-2004, ngijoyine iKingstree Trading, LLC, okuyinkampani ephethwe ngabanikazi bayo eChicago. Lapho, ngaba nenhlanhla yokwazi nokubona abathengisi abaningi abaphumelelayo emsebenzini. Esinye isifundo sigqame kakhulu emqondweni wami. Umhwebi othile wabona ukuthenga kungena emakethe, futhi washeshe wagibela wagibela. Wabona ukuthi izingqinamba zokukhipha okuphezulu kwakamuva zazizinhle, uma kubhekwa ubukhulu bokuthenga. Kodwa-ke, okumangazile ukuthi ukuhweba kuyekisiwe ngaphambi kwelitshe futhi kwahlehliswa. Waphuma ngokushesha elahlekelwe umkhaza. Waguqukela kimi wathi, "Ngikhokhele imininingwane nje." Lapho imakethe inyukela phezulu imikhaza embalwa ngemuva kwemizuzu embalwa, ivolumu ibibuthakathaka. Abekho abadlali abakhulu ababethatha uhlangothi olude. Wathengisa ngolaka futhi ngokushesha wenza amaphuzu ambalwa. Ubeke ukuhweba okuhle, futhi akuphumelelanga. Wayengakubheki lokho njengokusongela, njengokulahlekelwa, noma njengokuhluleka. Wayekubheka njengolwazi. Imakethe ibimtshela ukuthi ngeke sizokhipha okuphezulu kwakamuva.
Wangena kanjani ekuhwebeni kokuqala wakwenza futhi nokuthi wakusebenzisa kanjani ukulahlekelwa ukuzilungiselela ukuhweba ngokuwina: * Kwakukhona umtholampilo osebenza ngokuhweba kwengqondo. Uma ukusetha kwakho kusebenza, kunezinhlobo ezimbili kuphela zokuhweba: Lezo ezikwenzela imali nalezo ezikunikeza ulwazi. ”
Isifundo Sokuhweba Psychology
UBrett N. Steenbarger, Ph.D.
www.brettsteenbarger.com
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