Indlela umbiko we-COT ongasiza ngayo ukuguqula nokubeka abadayisi be-forex, ngokuthatha izinqumo.
Incazelo emfushane yokuthi umbiko we-COT uyini ngempela, isebenza njengesingeniso esiwusizo endleleni yombiko. Iphinde igqamise ukuthi ingengeza kanjani inani ezindleleni namasu abadayisi be-FX, kungakhathaliseki izinga labo lesipiliyoni.
Umbiko we-Commitments of Traders umbiko wemakethe wamasonto onke oshicilelwa yi-Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) njalo ngoLwesihlanu, obonisa ukubamba kwezimali kwabahlanganyeli ezimakethe ezihlukahlukene zekusasa, e-United States kuphela.
Lo mbiko uqoqwa ngendlela yolwazi olutholwe yi-CFTC, ekuthunyelweni kwabo bonke abahwebi ezindaweni ezihlukene zezimakethe, okubuswa yi-CFTC. Umbiko uhlanganisa izikhundla esikhathini esizayo: okusanhlamvu, izinkomo, amathuluzi ezezimali (okuhlanganisa i-FX), izinsimbi, i-petroleum nezinye izimpahla. Izingxoxo ezihweba ngekusasa elinjalo, ngokuyinhloko zizinze e-Chicago naseNew York.
I-Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) ikhipha umbiko wayo wakamuva njalo ngoLwesihlanu ngo-3:30 pm ngesikhathi sasempumalanga, umbiko ubonisa ukuzibophezela kwabahwebi ngoLwesibili wesonto. Umbiko wokuzibophezela kwabahwebi uvame ukufushaniswa ngokuthi; "CoT", noma "COT." Umbiko washicilelwa okokuqala ngoJuni 1962, nokho, ngokombono womlando, izinguqulo zakuqala zombiko zingalandelelwa kusukela ngo-1924, lapho uMnyango Wezolimo wase-US, iGrain Futures Administration, uqala ukushicilela njalo inguqulo yombiko wokuzibophezela kwabahwebi..
Abathengisi abaningi abaqagelayo bazosebenzisa umbiko wokuzibophezela kwabahwebi ukubasiza banqume ukuthi bathathe isikhathi eside, noma izikhundla ezimfushane noma cha. Ithiyori eyodwa evame ukubanjwa ukuthi ama-speculators amancane ngokuvamile awalungile, ngakho-ke, isikhundla esingcono kakhulu sokuthatha siphambene nenetha izikhundla ezingenakubikwa, lapho abadayisi abaningi abancane bazoba khona. Enye inkolelo ukuthi abadayisi abaqeqeshiwe, abahwebi, bayayiqonda imakethe yabo kude. kangcono kunesikhathi esiningi, abadayisi bezitolo. Ukuthatha uhlangothi oluphambene nezikhundla zabathengisi, kunethuba elingcono lenzuzo, ngokombono wabathengisi abaningi abanolwazi nabahlaziyi.
Umbiko we-COT awubandakanyi indawo yemakethe ye-FX, imakethe encane yekusasa kuphela yemisebenzi ye-FX. Kodwa-ke, abahlinzeki be-COT bahlanganisa kuphela amafemu amakhulu ezikhungo kanye nezikhwama ze-hedge, ngakho-ke, umbiko ungaba nenani elibalulekile, kubadayisi be-swing kanye noma bezikhundla. Ikakhulukazi, i-COT ikhombisa imizwa yabadayisi bezikhungo kanye ne-hedge fund. Laba ngabantu (kanye namafemu) abavame ukuhlaziya izimakethe ngokomthetho, ngaphambi kokuzibophezela ezikhundleni zesikhathi eside, lokhu kuhluke kakhulu kuma-scalpers noma abadayisi bosuku, abangase bashintshe kusukela ezikhundleni ezinde baye ezifushane (futhi ngokuphambene nalokho), nabafushane kakhulu. isaziso, ngokuvamile izikhathi eziningana phakathi neseshini yosuku.
Okulandelayo lapha, i-precis kanye ne-synopsis emfushane yombiko oshicilelwe ngoLwesihlanu olwedlule zingama-24 kuMeyi. Imininingwane egqanyisiwe, igxile kuphela ezikhundleni eziphathelene nemali ye-forex ehambisana neningi labathengisi be-FX hhayi impahla, noma ezinye izibambiso. Umbiko uvame ukuchaza izikhundla, ezimfushane noma ezinde, eziphethwe ngezinhlobo zemali uma kuqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika.
Isaziso esingukhiye; abahlanganyeli bemakethe ababika ku-CFTC, basashoda ngazo zonke izinhlobo zemali ngokumelene nedola, ngaphandle kwepeso yaseMexico.
Izikhundla ezimfushane zinyukile:
- Izikhundla ezimfushane kudola lase-Australia zikhuphuke ngezinkontileka ezingu-2,065, zaya ku -66.1K izinkontileka.
- Izikhundla ezimfushane kuphawundi waseBrithani zikhuphuke ngezinkontileka ezingu-22,834, zafinyelela ku -26.1K izinkontileka.
- Izikhundla ezimfushane ku-euro zikhuphuke ngezinkontileka ezingu-5,801, zaya ku- -101.1K izinkontileka.
Indawo ende yehlisiwe:
- Izikhundla ezinde kuPeso yaseMexico zehle ngezinkontileka eziyi-1,722 ukuze zibe +146.5K izinkontileka.
Izikhundla ezimfushane zehlile:
- Izikhundla ezimfushane kudola laseNew Zealand zehle ngezinkontileka ezingama-574, zaba -10.9K izinkontileka.
- Izikhundla ezimfushane ku-yen yaseJapan zehle ngezinkontileka eziyi-6,388, zaba -55.2K izinkontileka.
- Izikhundla ezimfushane ku-Swiss franc zehle ngezinkontileka eziyi-2,515, zaba yizinkontileka ezingu-37.5K.
- Izikhundla ezimfushane kudola laseCanada zehle ngezinkontileka eziyi-5,352, zaba -42.2K izinkontileka.
Nakuba imininingwane izichaza ngokwayo, kufanelekile ukuhlanganisa isifinyezo esisheshayo sezikhundla kanye nomuzwa wonkana oboniswa yile datha, ngokucaphuna amapheya emali.
Sekukonke, abathengisi bandise izikhundla zabo ezimfushane ku-AUD/USD, GPB/USD, kanye ne-EUR/USD. Ngokwesisekelo sedatha, abathengisi bandise kakhulu izikhindi zabo ze-EUR/USD.
Sekukonke, abathengisi behlise izikhundla zabo ezimfushane nge-USD/CHF kanye ne-USD/CAD. Izikhundla ezimfushane uma ziqhathaniswa nedola laseNew Zealand Kiwi, ne-yen yaseJapan, nazo zinciphile.
Inselele abathengisi ababhekene nayo, ikakhulukazi abadayisi bamaswing kanye noma bezikhundla, ukufanisa lolu lwazi oluvela embikweni we-COT kanye nokwenza kwabo izinqumo ezibalulekile kanye nezobuchwepheshe. Kumele kuqashelwe ukuthi le datha ibambezeleka kakhulu; izimakethe zezibambiso ezithile kungenzeka ukuthi sezishintshile, ngaphambi kokuba umbiko ushicilelwe. Kodwa-ke, uma uhweba ngamashadi ansuku zonke noma amasonto onke, ufuna imali eyengeziwe evela ku-forex, esikhundleni sokuhweba ukuze uziphilise, bese uhlanganisa: ukuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe, ikhalenda lezomnotho, imicimbi yezepolitiki ye-geo kanye nombiko we-COT, kungacatshangwa. indlela yobungcweti kakhulu.
« Izinkomba zezimakethe zezabelo zaseMelika ziyathengiswa njengoba uTrump ekhombisa ukuthi ukuhwebelana neChina kusekude, ama-USD ayakhuphuka, kanti abatshalizimali nabo baba yindawo yamabhondi e-US. I-NZD iwa ngemuva kokuthi uMbusi we-RBNZ ethule izitatimende, i-JPY ne-USD iphakama njengendawo ephephile, izimakethe zokulingana zaseYurophu ziyawa njengoba kubuya ukwesaba kwezohwebo emhlabeni wonke. »
