Igolide ngaphambi kwe-FOMC
Izimali ziyathengiswa ngemuva kokunyuka kwezibalo zokungenisa nokuthekelisa ezivela eJapan ezisekelwayo. Ingqungquthela ye-G-20 ivume izinqubomgomo ezihlobene namabhange aseSpain njengoba isivuno sesibopho seminyaka eyi-10 sikhuphukile ngaphezu kwamaphesenti ayi-7 okushaya irekhodi eliphezulu le-EU ngo-7.13%. ISpain nayo ihlelelwe indali yesibambiso kusasa futhi incase ukuthi isivuno siqhubeke nokwanda ngakho-ke kungaqhubeka ukwethuse abatshalizimali. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ushansela waseJalimane ukhombise ukukhuthaza iGreece ngendlela yokuxoxisana ngokukhishwa kwemali, kungafaka ukuzethemba kubathengisi njengoba iGrisi iqhubeka nokuhlala iyingxenye yenhlangano eyodwa yemali, futhi ingaxhasa ukuzuza kwezimpahla eziyingozi.
Namuhla, izimakethe zizobheka isinqumo sezinga le-FOMC futhi ukungazethembi kungafakazelwa ngemuva kokuthengwa kwempahla okwandisiwe kuFed, lapho ibhange eliphakathi laseMelika lingagcina inani lenzalo lingashintshi ngenkathi ukwandiswa kwe- "operation twist" kunganqatshelwa ngaphandle.
Ukunciphisa umsebenzi wezomnotho wase-US kungacindezela izikhulu zeFed ukuthi zinikeze isikhuthazi kumgomo wezimali ngoba ukwehla kwamandla emali kungahle kungabi yinkinga njengoba sekuvele kwehlile futhi kunganikeza indawo eyengeziwe usihlalo weFed. Kodwa-ke, ezinyangeni eziyisithupha nje kuphela ngaphambi kokhetho lukaMongameli, iFed ingangabaza ukuhlinzeka nge-QE6, kodwa-ke amathemba athe xaxa okuncipha angaqhubeka nokuxhasa ukuzuza kuzinsimbi eziyisisekelo. Izintengo zabakhiqizi baseJalimani kungenzeka zehle ngokuya ngenxa yesidingo esibuthakathaka sezinto zokusetshenziswa futhi nezicelo zemalimboleko zaseMelika nazo zingahlala zibuthakathaka ngenxa yokuqala kancane kwezindlu nokuntuleka kwesidingo sezinto eziqinile.
Izintengo zegolide zibambe umugqa ngokunyakaza okuncane noma umsebenzi, zihlala ebangeni eliqinile phakathi kwesiyaluyalu saseGrisi esisele ngaphakathi kwe-Euro. Ngaphandle kwezimemezelo ze-G20 zayizolo, insimbi ibingenakuthola lutho; i-euro yahlangana. Lokhu kukhombisa ukwehluka phakathi kokuhlobana kwe-euro-igolide. Kodwa-ke, ukunamathela kwesinyathelo segolide kulindeleke ukuthi kushintshe uhlangothi noma kolunye njengoba i-FOMC ilungiselela ukukhipha isitatimende sayo ngemuva komhlangano wayo wezinsuku ezimbili.
Izimali zase-Asia zidayisa phezulu namuhla ekuseni njengoba ukulindela okusha okuvuselelayo kududule imizwa yezimakethe. Kepha, igolide alizange, kungenzeka ukuthi kungenxa yokuthi ithuba lokuthengiswa kwemali akuvunyelwe ngokulinganayo phakathi kwezikhulu. Kodwa-ke, osomnotho bakholelwa ukuthi i-Fed izokwengeza okungenani uhlelo lokusebenza lwe-twist ngaphambi komnqamulajuqu wayo wama-30-Jun. Kunoma ikuphi, "ukungamemezeli i-QE3" noma "ukwandiswa kokusebenza kwe-twist" kungaba isenzo sokulinganisa segolide.
Okwamanje, imininingwane yezindlu esezingeni eliphezulu yaseMelika kungenzeka ingakusizi ukuthuthukisa izinombolo zezicelo zokubolekwa kwempahla namuhla ezingasekela igolide. Kepha, okwamanje, ukunikezwa kokuhlinzwa noma i-QE3 kungasekela izimpahla eziyingozi ukuze zindiza phezulu (umthelela osheshayo), zisuse isikhalazo esiphephile sensimbi. Noma kunjalo, ngaphambi kokuthi i-FOMC iqale, ukulindelwa okuphezulu emakethe kokwethulwa kwe-QE3 kunganikeza ukubhekelwa phezulu kwegolide; ngenkathi ukungabikho okufanayo (okungenzeka kakhulu) kungabulala insimbi.
Izintengo zesiliva kungenzeka zithathe izinkomba kusuka egolide futhi zilandele ukuqhuma okufanayo kuseshini yanamuhla.
Khumbula isu elidumile leBernanke Gold Strategy, lapho uBernanke ekhuluma ngezikweleti zegolide noma ngokuwa kodwa angahlali efanayo.
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