Igolide Nemizuzu ye-FOMC
Lezi zinsimbi zasekuseni zidayisa kancane ngo-0.1 kuya ku-0.3% njengoba abatshalizimali bevale izikhundla futhi benamathela kumasu wesikhashana ngaphambi kwedatha yaseChina ye-GDP, engahle ikhanyise kakhulu ngempilo yomnotho wesibili ngobukhulu emhlabeni. Izimali zase-Asia nazo zihweba zixutshwe njengemali engenayo ebuthakathaka ezinkampanini ngenxa yokwehla kwezomnotho emhlabeni kungaphinde kulimaze imizwa. Izinsimbi eziyisisekelo zingahlala ziba buthakathaka ngalolo suku njengoba ukungeniswa kweChina ngamaCopper, i-Iron-ore kanye neCrude kwehle kakhulu ngenyanga kaJuni futhi kungahle kube nomthelela omubi ezibalweni zeGDP ezilindelwe ngoLwesihlanu. Ukungeniswa kweCopper yaseChina kwehle ngamaphesenti ayi-17.5 okukhombisa ukufuneka okuncane futhi kungaqhubeka nokucindezela ukuzuza kuseshini yanamuhla. Ngaphezu kwalokho, kusuka ezinqolobaneni ze-LME, izinhlu zezimpahla ziqhubekile nokugcinwa ngezincwadi eziphansi ezikhanseliwe futhi kungenzeka zenze inzuzo.
Kusukela ngaphambili kwedatha yezomnotho, i-CPI yaseJalimane kungenzeka ihlale ifana ngenkathi imali eyabiwe ivalwa cishe eminyakeni emibili iphansi njengoba abatshalizimali belinde ukubona ukuthi ngabe inkantolo yaseJalimane ingakuvumela yini ukusetshenziswa kwesikhwama sokutakula i-Euro-zone ukusiza ukuhlanganisa inkinga yesikweletu sesifunda.
Kusuka e-US, i-Fitch Ratings iqinisekise isilinganiso sayo sesikweletu se-AAA e-US futhi yagcina umbono ongemuhle, icaphuna umnotho onhlobonhlobo futhi ocebile owoniwa ukwehluleka kukahulumeni ukuvumelana ngezinyathelo zokwehliswa kwemali eshodayo. Ibhalansi yezohwebo ingagqamisa okufanayo futhi ingaqhubeka nokwenza buthaka izinsimbi.
Ukwehla kwempahla ebolekiwe nempahla ethengiswayo ngemuva kokuthengiswa okuncane kwezimpahla nezimpahla eziqinile kungenzeka kusekele phansi. Ngaphezu kwalokho, imizuzu ye-FOMC njengoba bekulindelekile ingahle ibambezele i-QE 3 ngenkathi noma yikuphi ukusikisela kokuncipha kungasekela ukuzuza kupakethe lensimbi esimisweni sakusihlwa, kepha ithuba lokufanayo libuthakathaka.
Izintengo zekusasa legolide ziyaqhubeka kanti amanani eSpot asacaphuna okuhle njengoba imakethe ivaliwe ku-contango izolo. Amasheya aseYurophu athole okuncane ngemuva kokuthi izinduna ze-EU zimemezele ukutholakala kwama-euro ayizigidi ezingama-30billion eSpain ekupheleni kukaJulayi. Ukugxila nokuhlanganiswa kwegolide kulindeleke ukuthi kuqhubeke usuku lonke ngaphambi kwemizuzu yomhlangano we-FOMC ozokuba namuhla ntambama. Imizuzu ekhishiwe kufanele isiphindaphinde isinqumo esamenyezelwa emhlanganweni wokugcina, okusho ukuthi asikho isignali sokwenza lula okwamanje. Njengoba amanye amabhange amakhulu enikeza ithuba lokuqapha impilo yezomnotho egulayo, iFed iyaphikisana.
Phakathi nethemba eliphakeme lokuncishiswa okusha okuvela kuFed, kunganikeli ukuthi kuzoba yingozi emakethe futhi ngaleyo ndlela kube yigolide.
Kusukela ngaphambili kwedatha yezomnotho, ngaphandle kokubanjiswa kwemali esezingeni elilinganiselwe laseMelika ngeminyaka engama-30 kwehle ngamasonto ayi-10 elandelana kuya kwirekhodi eliphansi elingu-3.62% kanye nawo wonke amanye ama-ARM (Adjustable Rate Mortgage), imisebenzi yokubambisa ngempahla seyithambile ezikhathini zamuva. Isizathu sokuba ukwethembeka okubhekwe kakhulu nezidingo zamaphuzu aphakeme esikweletu kumthengi okokuqala ngqa bekungakhombisa ekuxhasweni kabusha okuncane nokuthengwa kwekhaya okusha. Izicelo zokubanjiswa ngempahla ngakho-ke kusalindeleke ukuthi zehle.
Kodwa-ke, idola eliqinisayo kungenzeka lisiza ukushoda kwezohwebo ukunciphisa ngenkathi okufanayo kunganciphisa inkomba yentengo yomkhiqizi. Ngenkathi eyangaphambili ingahudula idola, eyakamuva izokweseka i-greenback. Ngakho-ke hlala ulinde kuze kukhishwe i-FOMC kamuva namhlanje.
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