Ingabe sibheke ekuwohlokeni komnotho? Yini ongayilindela ezinyangeni ezizayo?
Ukwehla komnotho inkathi yokwehla kwe-GDP ehlala amakwata amabili noma ngaphezulu alandelanayo.
Sichazwa njengesikhathi esiphakathi kwenani eliphakeme lomsebenzi wezomnotho kanye nephuzu elilandelayo eliphansi noma eliphansi kakhulu elihilela ukwehla okuphawulekayo komsebenzi wezomnotho osabalele futhi othatha isikhathi esingaphezu kwezinyanga ezimbalwa.
Ukwehla komnotho kudalwa ezinye izinto ngaphandle kokunciphisa ukukhula komnotho. Zivame ukuhlotshaniswa nezinye izici ezimbalwa. Lokhu kufaka phakathi ukulahleka kwemisebenzi eminingi, imisebenzi etholakala kancane, nosizo olwengeziwe lukahulumeni.
Ingabe kuwukuhlakanipha ukutshala imali ngesikhathi sokwehla komnotho?
Ngesikhathi sokwehla komnotho, izintengo zesitoko zivame ukwehla. Lezi yizindaba ezimbi kuphothifoliyo yamanje, kodwa ukushiya ukutshalwa kwezimali kukodwa kusho ukungadayisi ukuze kuvalwe ukulahlekelwa okuhlobene nokuwohloka komnotho.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, izintengo zesitoko ezehlile zinikeza ithuba elihle kakhulu lokutshala imali ngentengo efanelekile (uma sikhuluma ngokuqhathanisa). Ngenxa yalokho, ukutshala izimali ngesikhathi sokwehla kungase kube nenzuzo.
Ingabe sisonqenqemeni lokuwohloka komnotho?
Ukwehla komnotho kuwusongo lokuthi amasheya awakaze akwazi ukumelana nesiphepho.
Ingcindezi kwezomnotho iyanda njengoba amanani kawoyela enyuka futhi njengoba abenzi benqubomgomo beqinisa unswinyo ngokumelene neRussia, kuveza amajika abonisa ukukhathazeka okukhulayo mayelana nokukhula kanye nokwesaba ukwehla kwezimali okufana nalokho okwabonakala ngo-2008 njengoba idola likhuphuka. Uma kwenzeka ukwehla komnotho okuphelele, amasheya azokuthola kuyinselele kakhulu ukuhlala ehlakaniphile.
Amasheya omhlaba ase-US ehle ngamaphesenti angu-2.9, asusa izinzuzo ezenziwe kamuva nje njengokwesaba ukuthi inkinga yezwe laseYurophu izonciphisa ukukhula komnotho womhlaba wonke esikhundleni sokuqagela ukuthi amabhange amakhulu azokhululeka ekuqiniseni inqubomgomo. Ukuthola leso sahlulelo esifanele kungaba umehluko phakathi kokwehla okungamaphesenti angama-36 ngesikhathi sokwehla kwemakethe yamabhere kanye nokwehla okumaphakathi.
Izovela nini 'ibhamuza lezinto zonke'?
Ukubikezela ukuthi nini okulandelayo, sidinga ukuqonda ukuthi i-Fed Reserve idala kanjani ukukhuphuka okungapheli nokuthi kungani ukuwa okulandelayo kungase kusondele. Ezinye izimpawu ezibenyezelayo ziyakwazi ukubona ukuthi ukukhanya kubomvu noma kuluhlaza, njengokuthi;
Ijika lesivuno
Ingenye yezinkomba zezezimali eziqashelwa kakhulu, futhi ngokuvamile ibikezela ukwehla komnotho phakathi nonyaka. Ijika lesivuno libonisa ukuthi izilinganiso zenzalo zesikhathi esifushane nezesikhathi eside zihlobene kanjani.
Uma izilinganiso zesikhathi esifushane ziphansi kunezilinganiso zesikhathi eside, ijika lesivuno livame ukukhuphukela phezulu, njengoba kunjalo namuhla, libonisa inani elibalulekile lemali ezimakethe zezimali.
Ukukhomba isikhathi esifanele
Enye yezinkomba ezihamba phambili zokuwohloka komnotho okujulile izinga lokuntuleka kwemisebenzi. Izinga lokuntuleka kwemisebenzi njengamanje liyehla lisuka phezulu elilindelwe ekuqaleni kuka-2020 futhi selifinyelele emazingeni abememezela ngokujwayelekile ukuqala kwesiphetho se-cyclical boom.
Izibalo zokuntuleka kwemisebenzi zithikamezekile ngenxa yokuvalwa kwezikhala, kodwa umlando ukhombisa ukuthi ukwehla komnotho kuseduze lapho izinga labangasebenzi lisondela ku-3% futhi likhuphuka.
Yini okufanele uyibheke?
Kunezinkomba zokuthi uhambo lungase lungabi bushelelezi kulokhu. Amanani kawoyela, ijika lesivuno, kanye nokuqiniswa kwenqubomgomo ebikezelwe yiFederal Reserve kuyizimpawu zokuthi umnotho womhlaba ungase ucindezelwe ngezindlela ezihlukile njengoba abenzi benqubomgomo bebhekana nobhubhane oluqhubekayo, ukwehla kwamandla emali, kanye nokungezwani kwezwe okungenzeka kube sezingeni elibi kakhulu kusukela ngeWWII.
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