Amagqabantshintshi ngeNtengiso ye Forex - Ubusika beNyukliya yezeMali

Kwenzeka ntoni kwiPost Apocalyptic yezeMali yeNyukliya ebusika ukuba iMali ye-Euro iyawa?

NgoNovemba 21 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 6745 izimvo • Comments Off Kwenzeka ntoni kwiPost Apocalyptic yezeMali yeNyukliya ebusika ukuba iMali ye-Euro iyawa?

Ngaba i-Euro iya kuwa, okanye ngaba uluntu lotyalo-mali lwehlabathi luya kutshintshela ingqalelo yalo kwingxaki ye-USA? Ngaba kuyakubakho izilumkiso xa kuthelekiswa nedola kunye ne-15.5 yezigidi zeerandi zamatyala ase-US? Ngaba i-Euro iya kuvunyelwa ukuba iwele phantsi ngenxa yomzamo omkhulu owenziwe yi-EU ukwenza iprojekthi enkulu kangaka? Ngokuqinisekileyo iya kuqhubeka ixabisa ngaphezulu kwedola ukuba kwaye xa ityala le-Eurozone liphantsi kolawulo kwaye uhlahlo-lwabiwo mali kwi-GDP intsilelo ibuye iphantsi kwe-3% kuzo zonke izithili ze-Eurozone?

Amazwe amanyeneyo aseYurophu, emanyene phantsi komgaqo-nkqubo wezemali ofanayo kwaye esiya kumanyano lwezopolitiko, i-Euro ekugqibeleni ithathe indawo yedola njengemali ebekelwe ilizwe lonke, ayibhalwanga kwi-ajenda yephiko lasekunene uNeo Con's e-USA. Kwi-trajectory yangoku ye-US, phantsi kobunkokheli abavoti abakhethayo ngo-2012, inokufikelela kwi-20 yezigidigidi zeedola ngo-2015, kwi-circa eyi-15.5 yeetriliyoni sele sele ijikeleze i-400% enkulu kunetyala elidityanisiweyo le-Eurozone elinabantu abambalwa. Amazwe ngamanye anjengeCalifornia, uqoqosho lwesibhozo ngobukhulu kwiplanethi sele luchaphazelekile kodwa kugxilwe kwi-Eurozone..Into ayisiyonyani ..

Ibhanki yaseJapan uNomura upapashe inqaku lokuqala "kuthiwani ukuba" kuluntu lwezezimali notyalo-mali. Kukhutshwa ngolwe-Sihlanu sele kubangele isiphithiphithi esinikiweyo sixoxa ngemiba esebenzayo ngokubhekisele kwintshabalalo yemali. Ijenali yeWall Street, engakhange iqatshelwe kwimeko yayo yaseYurophu, yayiqala ukuprintwa. Umngcipheko wokuba i-euro ingaqhekeka ngoku uyacinezela kangangokuba iNomura Holdings icebisa abatyali mali ukuba bajonge ushicilelo oluncinci kwiibhondi zabo, njengoko imigaqo-nkqubo yezomthetho inokumisela ukuba iiasethi zihlala kwii-euro, okanye zitshintshele kwiimali “ezintsha” ekulindeleke ukuba yehla ngokukhawuleza. Ingxelo yebhanki yaseJapan, ekhutshwe ngolwe-Sihlanu, sisifundo sokuqala esisebenzayo sokuba ukwahlulwa kwemali yelizwe eli-17 kuya kuba njani kubatyali mali.

Umngcipheko wokwahlukana uyinyani, utshilo uJens Nordvig, umhlalutyi wezezimali eziphezulu kuNomura eNew York kunye nombhali wephepha elinamaphepha ali-12. Le ngxelo igxile eGrisi, ikhuthaza abatyali mali ukuba "baqwalasele umngcipheko wokuchazwa ngokutsha kwezinto ezahlukeneyo zexabiso" nokuba iibhondi zommandla we-euro okanye ezinye izixhobo ezikhoyo ngoku zikhutshwe phantsi komthetho wamaNgesi, okanye umthetho wasekuhlaleni.

Iibhondi ezikhutshwe phantsi komthetho wasekhaya, njengomthetho wamaGrike, ziya kuguqulwa ukusuka kwi-euro zibe yimali entsha yasekhaya ibe sisibetho kubo nabaphi na abatyali-mali abashiye iphepha. Iimali "ezintsha", ezinjengeedrarhma entsha, zinokuhla ngokukhawuleza ngexabiso elingange-50%. Ityala lomthetho wezangaphandle liya kuba lula ukuhlala kwi-euro, ucinga ukuba i-euro encinci isekhona konke konke, yatsho ibhanki. Ukuba i-euro igqityiwe ikhontrakthi inokuphinda ichongwe kwiimali eziboshwe kwilizwe labo, okanye zihlale kwiYunithi yeMali yaseYurophu. Kwimeko enokwenzeka, imali nganye iya kudityaniswa ne-ECU, njengoko babenjalo ngaphambi kokuzalwa kwe-euro ngo-1999.

"Ukuqukumbela kwangoko ngokoluvo lotyalomali kufanele ukuba iasethi ekhutshwe phantsi komthetho wasekhaya kufuneka ithengise ngesaphulelo kwimithetho yomthetho wamanye amazwe, inikwe umngcipheko omkhulu wokuphinda umiselwe ngokutsha izixhobo zomthetho wasekhaya," yatsho ibhanki. Iziko lezeMali zaMazwe ngaMazwe, iqela lase-Washington elisekwe kwi-bank lobby group elithetha-thethana nababolekisi babucala base-Greece, linyanzelisa ukuba naziphi na iibhondi ezintsha ezikhutshwe yi-Greece zithathe indawo yeebhondi ezingekahlawulwa njengenxalenye yokufuna ukubandakanya icandelo labucala kulwakhiwo ngokutsha, kufuneka ikhutshwe phantsi komthetho wesiNgesi. Nokuba ityala elikhutshwe eJamani, uqoqosho lwemali oluqhelekileyo nolukhuselekileyo, luza kwahlulwa lube ziimfumba zalapha nezamazwe aphesheya ukuba i-euro inokuwohloka, kodwa abo batyalomali banokuba nengxaki eyahlukileyo kunabo banelinye ityala lommandla we-euro. Uphawu olwenziwe ngokutsha lwesiJamani iDeutsche ngokuqinisekileyo lwaluza kuba luluhlu oluphezulu. IJamani ke ngoko iya kuba nenkuthazo yokugcina ityala elingekahlawulwa kwi-euro, okanye entsha elingana ne-euro, ukugcina isiciko kwiindleko zayo zokuhlawula amatyala.

Kuxhomekeka ekubeni isigqibo selizwe sokushiya i-euro sigqalwe njengesingekho mthethweni na. IGrisi inokuthatha isigqibo sokuhlawula abatyali mali umva ngokungaphantsi kunetyala abanalo kwimvumelwano yamazwe angaphandle, okanye ukusilela kubo ngokupheleleyo.

Inqwelomoya yeDola yaseMelika
Iidipozithi zebhanki yamanye amazwe kwiFederal Reserve ziye zaphindaphindeka zaya kwi-715 yezigidi zeedola ukusuka kwi-350 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ukusukela ukuphela kuka-2010 phakathi kwembambano yamatyala eYurophu, isenza imeko yedola njengemali egciniweyo yelizwe. Iibhanki ezingamashumi amane anesixhenxe ezingezizo ezase-US zibambe ibhalansi engaphezulu kwe-1 yezigidigidi zeedola kwiNew York Fed ukusukela nge-30 kaSeptemba, ukusuka ngomhla wama-22 ekupheleni kuka-2010, ngokophando olwenziwe kumaziko emali angama-80 yi-ICAP Plc, eyona ndawo inkulu emhlabeni -umthengisi. Idola lixabisile iipesenti ezi-6.7 okoko iMigangatho kunye namahlwempu lisike i-AAA kumgangatho wetyala nge-5 ka-Agasti, eyona nto isebenzayo yesibini emva kwe-yen phakathi koontanga abaphuhlileyo, ngokwe-Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Index Index.

Imfuno yamanye amazwe yeeasethi zase-US inyuke kakhulu kwiinyanga ezili-10 ngoSeptemba. Ukuthengwa kwe-equity yexesha elide, amanqaku kunye neebond zizonke zifikelela kwi-68.6 yezigidigidi, eyona iphezulu ukusukela ngoNovemba 2010, xa kuthelekiswa nokuthengwa kwemali eyi-58 yezigidigidi ngo-Agasti, iSebe lezeMali latsho nge-16 kaNovemba.

Idola inyuke ngeepesenti ezi-6.5 kwezi nyanga zintathu zidlulileyo, ibuyela kumgangatho walo nyaka kunye noontanga bayo abasithoba, kubandakanya krona yaseSweden kunye nefranc yaseSwitzerland. Ithengisa malunga neepesenti ezi-4 ngezantsi apho yayikho ngo-1975, kwiminyaka emibini emva kokuba uMongameli uRichard Nixon ephelise ubudlelwane obusemthethweni kwigolide. Imali yaseMelika inyuke ngepesenti eyi-1.7 yaya kuthi ga kwi-1.3525 yeedola kwintsuku ezintlanu ephele ngo-Novemba 18, ifumana iveki yesithathu ngokulandelelana. Iwile nge-0.4 yeepesenti ukuya kwi-yen ye-76.91. I-greenback ithengiswe nge- $ 1.3522 nge-euro kunye ne-76.83 yen ukusukela nge-2: 35 pm eTokyo namhlanje.

 

Iakhawunti yeDemo ye-Forex Iakhawunti ebukhoma ye Forex Fundisa iakhawunti yakho

 

Idola ibiyimali eligcinelweyo ukusukela kwiMfazwe yesibini (II) yeHlabathi, xa i-US kunye nabalingane bayo bavumelana kwinkomfa ye-Bretton Woods yowe-1944 ukuyibeka kumyinge we-35 yeedola ngegolide. Emva kokuba iimali zehlabathi ziqale ukuhamba ngokukhululekileyo kwi-1973, iye yahlala iyithenda yomthetho ethengiswa kakhulu, ukubalwa kweepesenti ezingama-85 ze-4 yezigidi zeedola ngemarike yotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle, ngokwe-BIS. Isabelo sayo samashishini otshintshiselwano lwangaphandle sibambe iipesenti ezingama-61.6 ukusukela ngo-2009 emva kokufikelela kwiipesenti ezingama-72.7 ngo-2001. I-euro izinzile ngokomyinge wama-26.6 eepesenti yoovimba ukusukela ngo-2007, isuka kwiipesenti ezili-18 ekuqaleni kwayo ngo-1999.

Ubume bemivuzo
Isalathiso se-MSCI All Country World Index sitshone nge-0.6 yeepesenti nge-8: 03 am eLondon, isetelwe ukuqala kwayo iintsuku ezintandathu ukusukela ngo-Agasti. Ixesha elizayo le-S & P 500 lehle nge-0.8 yepesenti kwaye ubunondyebo buqhubele phambili. I-yen yomelela ngokuchasene nabo bonke oontanga abaphambili abali-16, idola inyuke nge-0.4 yeepesenti yaya kuthi ga kwi-1.3476 yeedola nge-euro kwaye i-ringgit yaseMalaysia yaphulukana neepesenti ezi-0.5. Ubhedu kunye neoyile ziye zabuya kumhla wesithathu.

I-Stoxx yaseYurophu i-600 Index yatshona nge-1.9 yeepesenti, isanda ukwehla nge-3.7 yeveki ephelileyo, njengoko isitokhwe esingaphezulu kwama-40 siyehla kuwo wonke umntu ovukayo. Onke amashishini angama-19 kumgangatho wokulinganisa abuyise ngaphezulu kwepesenti enye, ngegeji yezitokhwe zemigodi yehla ngeepesenti ezi-1. I-euro yehle nge-3.3 yeepesenti xa ithelekiswa ne-yen, ngelixa imali yaseJapan inyuka ngokuchasene nabo bonke oogxa bayo. I-Index yeDola, elandelela imali ngokuchasene nala maqabane amathandathu e-US kurhwebo, ithathe ukuhla kweentsuku ezimbini. Idola yase-Australia iye yaphosa ipesenti ye-0.6 ngokuchasene ne-greenback, kwaye yatsala ipesenti enye xa ithelekiswa ne-yen. I-Copper yehlile i-0.9 yeepesenti, i-zinc yawa iipesenti ze-1 kwaye yakhokelela kwi-2.3 yeepesenti. Ioyile ephakathi yaseNtshona Texas yokuhanjiswa kukaJanuwari ityibilize iipesenti eziyi-1.9 ukuya kwi-1.7 yedola ngomgqomo eNew York

Ukuthunyelwa kwelinye ilizwe eJapan kwehle ngaphezulu kwengqikelelo ngo-Okthobha, iSingapore yathi ukukhula kwayo kungancipha ukuya kwiipesenti ezi-1 kunyaka olandelayo kwaye i-China ibonakalise ukuba uqoqosho lwehlabathi lujamelene nesilayidi esandisiweyo.

Iingxelo zinokunyusa uxinzelelo kubenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo kwi-Asiya ethembela kumazwe angaphandle ukuba baqhubeke namanye amanyathelo okhuthazo. Ingxelo yeBhanki yaseJapan yomhlangano wama-27 ka-Okthobha namhlanje ibonise ilungu elinye lebhodi elithandileyo ukongeza i-10 trillion yen ($ 130 yezigidigidi) ekuthengweni kweeasethi, kwaye i-Nkulumbuso yase-China u-Wang Qishan uthe isizwe sakhe kufuneka samkele ngakumbi "ukujonga phambili" kunye nomgaqo-nkqubo wezemali oguqukayo. Umphathiswa wezemali waseJapan uxele namhlanje ukuba ukuthunyelwa phesheya kwehle ngeepesenti ezi-3.7 ngo-Okthobha ukusukela kunyaka ophelileyo, ukwehla kokuqala kwiinyanga ezintathu kunye nokubonisa ukuba ilizwe liphume kwakhona kwinyikima yenyani kaMatshi.

Imifanekiso eqingqiweyo yentengiso ngo-10: 30 ekuseni (ixesha lase-UK)
Isalathiso seNikkei sivale i-0.32%, i-Hang Seng ivale i-1.44% kwaye i-CSI yavala i-0.12%. I-ASX 200 ivale i-0.34%. Isalathiso se-STOXX okwangoku sisezantsi nge-2.38%, i-UK FTSE yehle nge-2.02%, i-CAC yehla nge-2.27% kwaye i-DAX yehla nge-2.38%. I-MIB iphantsi nge-2.71% kwaye i-Athene exchange iphantsi kwe-2.88%, yehla nge-54% ngonyaka. Iponti yaseBritane ilahlekelwe ziintsuku ezimbini zokuzuza xa kuthelekiswa nehlakani layo laseMelika, lehla nge-0.7 yepesenti yaya kuthi ga kwi-1.5700 yeedola. Yatshintshwa kancinci nge-85.67 pence ngokuchasene ne-euro. I-yen yomeleze iipesenti ezi-0.6 ukuya kwi-103.40 nge-euro nganye nge-8: 38 kusasa ngexesha laseLondon, isongeza kwipesenti ezi-2 zeveki ephelileyo. Imali yaseJapan inyuke nge-0.1 yeepesenti ukuya kwi-76.81 xa kuthelekiswa nedola. I-euro yanciphisa iipesenti ezingama-0.5 ukuya kwii-1.3462 zamaRandi.

Ukukhutshwa kwekhalenda yezoqoqosho enokuthi ichaphazele iseshoni yasemva kwemini

Ngo-15: 00 e-US-ukuThengiswa kweKhaya okukhoyo ngo-Okthobha

Le ngxelo ithengisa ukuthengiswa kwamakhaya angaphambili e-US. Inani eliphambili lixabiso lilonke leepropathi ezithengisiweyo. Uvavanyo lwezoqoqosho olwenziwe nguBloomberg lubonisa uqikelelo oluphakathi lwe-4.8 yezigidi xa kuthelekiswa ne-4.91 yezigidi eyachazwayo kukhululo oludlulileyo. Inyanga kwinyanga yotshintsho oluchaziweyo yayiyi--2.2% ukusuka -3.0% ngaphambili.

Amagqabantshintshi zivaliwe.

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