I-EUR / GBP engacingelwanga
Izolo, i-sterling yayibizwe kakuhle, nanjengoko iindaba ezivela e-UK zazingayixhasi imali. Ukungaqiniseki ngesiphumo sesamithi ye-EU yaba ngumba ophambili wokurhweba kwiireyithi ezinkulu ze-euro. Nangona kunjalo, uSterling wayengumdlali obalaseleyo. I-EUR/GBP yayikwindlela yokuhla ngokuthe ngcembe kuyo yonke iseshoni yakusasa nanjengoko i-EUR/USD ibonise umkhombandlela ongaphantsi kakhulu. Idatha yohlahlo lwabiwo-mali yase-UK iphume imbi kakhulu kunokuba bekulindelwe kodwa oku akuzange kuthintele ukuzuzwa kwe-sterling. Kwimbonakalo phambi kwekomiti yePalamente amalungu aliqela e-BoE kuquka nerhuluneli uKumkani abonise ukuba i-UK iya isiba mandundu. Oku kushiya umnyango ovulekileyo we-BoE ukuvuselela uqoqosho ngakumbi kwintlanganiso kaJulayi. Nangona kunjalo, kubonakala ngathi akukho mvumelwano ipheleleyo okwangoku malunga nohlobo lwale nkxaso.
Ngaphandle kwedatha yemali yoluntu ebuthathaka kunye neenkcazo ze-bearish ezivela kwi-BoE Governor King malunga nembono yakhe kuqoqosho lwehlabathi umbuzo uvela, Ngaba i-BoE ijika izilumkiso ezingaphezulu kwi-QE?
Intsilelo yase-UK, ebibanzi kunoko bekulindelekile ngenxa yokuncitshiswa kweerisithi zerhafu, yongeza kumngcipheko okhoyo wetyala ngokunikwa ukuba i-UK ihleli ikwimbono engentle ukusuka kwii-arhente ezimbini kwezi zintathu ziphambili zokukala (nangona i-AAA ireyithwe kuzo zonke). Ngeli xesha, iRhuluneli uKumkani uye wabonisa inkxalabo malunga nobubanzi bokukhula kokudodobala koqoqosho, ngenxa yokuncipha kwesantya e-Asia kunye nokuwohloka kokukhula kwe-US. UKumkani uvotele ukuthengwa kwe-asethi eyongezelelweyo kwintlanganiso ye-MPC yamva nje ngoJuni, kwaye iya isanda ukuba uninzi luya kuphumelela ekwandiseni inkqubo yokuthengwa kwe-asethi kwintlanganiso elandelayo ngoJulayi.
Kamva kwiseshoni, ilahleko ezongezelelweyo ze-EUR / USD zilinganiswe kwi-EUR / GBP yorhwebo, nayo. I-EUR / GBP ifikelele kwi-intra-day low kwindawo ye-0.7985 kwaye yavala iseshoni kwi-0.7986, xa kuthelekiswa ne-0.8029 ngoMvulo kusihlwa.
Namhlanje, ikhalenda yase-UK iqulethe iimali-mboleko ze-BBA zokuthenga ikhaya kunye norhwebo lokusasaza lwe-CBI. Kwi-CBI ukwehla ukusuka kwi-21 ukuya kwi-15 kulindeleke. Kwamva nje, ukurhweba nge-EUR/GBP yenqanaba lomnqamlezo aluchatshazelwa kancinci yidatha ye-eco ebuthathaka yase-UK kunye noqikelelo lovuselelo lwemali. Asinayo nayiphi na into ebonisa ukuba le pateni kufuneka itshintshe nanini na kungekudala. Njengoko kunjalo nge-EUR / USD, i-EUR / GBP isondela kumanqanaba abaluleke kakhulu enkxaso. Ummandla we-0.7968/50 uxhathiso oluqinileyo. Ke, iindaba ezingezizo ezikwiprofayile ephezulu ezivela eYurophu zinokufuneka ukucima eli nqanaba. Inzuzo emfutshane ethatha i-EUR / GBP inokuqwalaselwa kwimeko yovavanyo lwale ndawo ephambili.
Ukususela kumbono wezobugcisa, i-EUR / GBP ye-cross rate idibanisa emva kokuthengisa okuqaliswe ngoFebruwari. Ekuqaleni kukaMeyi, inkxaso ye-0.8068 engundoqo yacinywa. Eli khefu livule indlela yokubuyisela isenzo kwindawo ye-0.77 (i-Okthobha i-2008 lows). Phakathi ngoMeyi, isibini sibeka ukulungiswa okuphantsi kwi-0.7950. Ukusuka apho, i-rebound / i-short squeeze yakhatywayo. Ukuthengisa okuqhubekayo ngaphezu kwendawo ye-0.8100 kuya kubiza isilumkiso esisezantsi kunye nokuphucula umfanekiso wexesha elifutshane. Esi sibini sizame amatyeli aliqela ukubuyisela le ndawo, kodwa bekungekabikho nzuzo ilandelayo. Kutsha nje, sijonge ukuthengisa ukomelela ukuze sibuyise isenzo esisezantsi kuluhlu. Umzantsi woluhlu ngoku uza kumgama omangalisayo. Ke, sijika singathathi hlangothi ngakumbi kwii-EUR/GBP ezimfutshane zexesha elifutshane.
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