Uphengululo lweMarike ngoMeyi 28 2012
Uninzi lwethoni yomngcipheko ejongene neemarike zehlabathi iya kumiselwa luqoqosho lwase-US. Ubukhulu becala oku kuya kwenzeka kuphela ekupheleni kweveki kungekuphela nje ngenxa yokuba iimarike zase-US zivaliwe ngeSikhumbuzo ngoMvulo kodwa nangenxa yokuba uthotho lweengxelo eziphambili ziya kukhutshwa ngolwesiHlanu eziya kunceda ekuboneni ukuba luhlobo luni na uqoqosho lwase-US. iye kwikota yesibini.
Uluhlu luqala ngokukhawuleza kunye neNkomfa yeBhodi yeNgqungquthela yokuzithemba kwabathengi ngoLwesibini kwaye ilindele ukuthengiswa kwekhaya ngoLwesithathu, ezo zombini kulindeleke ukuba zibe flat.
I-Consensus ilindele ukuba i-Q1 US GDP ihlaziywe ukusuka kwi-2.2% ukuya kwi-1.9% ngoLwesine ngokuyinxenye ngenxa yeziphumo zorhwebo ezihlaziyiweyo. Kwangolo suku lunye, siya kufumana ikroba kwiingxelo zokuqala zentengiso yezabasebenzi xa ingxelo ye-ADP yabucala yeentlawulo ifika. Oko kuyakulandelwa yingxelo egcweleyo egcweleyo yokuhlawulwa kweefama kunye novavanyo lwekhaya ngoLwesihlanu.
Iimarike zaseYurophu ziya kubangela iindlela ezimbini eziphambili zomngcipheko kwiimarike zehlabathi kwiveki ezayo. Enye iya kuba yireferendam yase-Ireland kwiSivumelwano sokuZinza kweMali yaseYurophu okanye i-EU fiscal compact ngoLwesine. I-Ireland kuphela kwelizwe elibambe lolo voti phakathi kwamazwe angama-25 aseYurophu atyikitye isivumelwano sezemali, njengoko umthetho wase-Ireland ufuna ukuba kubanjwe uvoto olunjalo kwimiba echaphazela ulongamo.
Inkxalabo egqithisa abavoti kukuba i-Ireland inokunqunyulwa kuncedo lwezezimali lwamazwe ngamazwe ukuba iyala isivumelwano, kwaye yiyo loo nto kukho ibhalansi ethobekileyo yombono kwiivoti zamva nje ezixhasa ivoti ye-ewe.
Uhlobo lwesibini oluphambili lomngcipheko waseYurophu luza ngohlaziyo oluphambili kuqoqosho lwaseJamani. Uqoqosho lwaseJamani luthintele ukudodobala koqoqosho ngokunyusa i-0.5% q/q kwi-Q1 kulandela ukuhla okuncinci kwe-0.2% kwi-Q4. Iintengiso ezithengiswayo kulindeleke ukuba zifike kwi-flat kwi-Aprili yoshicilelo, izinga lokungaqeshwa lilindeleke ukuba libambe malunga nokuhlanganiswa kwesithuba esiphantsi kwe-6.8%, kwaye i-CPI kulindeleke ukuba ithambile ngokwaneleyo ukuthethelela ukucuthwa kwe-ECB ngaphezulu.
Iimarike zaseAsia ziya kuba namandla amancinci okuphembelela ithowuni yehlabathi ngaphandle kokuba kunokwenzeka kuguqulelo lwelizwe laseTshayina lwesalathiso sabaphathi bokuthenga esimele siphume ngoLwesine ebusuku.
Idola ye-Euro
I-EURUSD (1.2516) I-euro yehle ngaphantsi kwe-US1.25 yeedola okokuqala ngqa kwisithuba seminyaka emibini malunga neenkxalabo zokuba iYurophu ayizukwazi ukugcina iGrisi ikumanyano lwemali enye.
I-euro yawela kwi-$ 1.2518 emva kwexesha ngoLwesihlanu ukusuka kwi-$ 1.2525 emva kwexesha ngoLwesine. I-euro yawa phantsi njenge-$ 1.2495 ekurhwebeni kwasekuseni, inqanaba layo eliphantsi kakhulu ukususela ngoJulayi 2010. Yehla ngeepesenti ze-2 kule veki kunye neepesenti ze-5 kude kube ngoku kule nyanga.
Abarhwebi banenkxalabo yokuba iGrisi kuya kufuneka iyishiye i-euro ukuba amaqela achasene nemiqathango yohlangulo lwemali yelizwe aphumelele unyulo kwinyanga ezayo. Loo maqela ayethandwa ekuqaleni kukaMeyi, kodwa iinkokeli zaseGrisi azikwazanga ukwenza urhulumente omtsha.
Ukungaqiniseki kungatyhala i-euro ibe phantsi njenge-$ 1.20 ngaphambi konyulo lwe-17 kaJuni yaseGrike, uKathy Lien, umlawuli wophando kwinkampani yokurhweba ngemali ye-GFT uthe kwinqaku kubathengi.
Iphawundi yaseSterling
I-GBPUSD (1.5667) I-Sterling iye yandanda ngaphezulu kweenyanga ezimbini ezisezantsi xa ithelekiswa nedola ngolwesiHlanu njengoko abanye abatyali-mali bathathe inzuzo kubhejo lwangaphambili ngokuchasene neponti, kodwa iinzuzo bezilinganiselwe ngenxa yeenkxalabo malunga nokuphuma kwe-euro yamaGrike exhasa imfuno yemali yase-US ekhuselekileyo.
Okulindelekileyo ukuba iBhanki yaseNgilani inokwandisa inkqubo yayo yokuthenga ibhondi emva kokuba uqoqosho lwase-UK lwehlile ngaphezu kwengcinga yokuqala kwikota yokuqala nalo luqulathe ukunyuka kwe-sterling.
Iponti, ekwabizwa ngokuba yintambo, yayiyi-0.05 yeepesenti ephezulu xa kuthelekiswa nedola kwi-1.5680 yeedola, ngaphezulu nje kweenyanga ezimbini ze-1.5639 yeedola ngoLwesine.
I-euro yenyuka i-0.4 yeepesenti ngokuchasene nemali yase-UK ukuya kwi-80.32 pence, nangona yahlala iphakathi kwe-3-1 / 2 unyaka ophantsi we-79.50 pence efike ekuqaleni kwale nyanga.
Imali yaseAsia-yePacific
I-USDJPY (79.68) The I-JPY ayitshintshi ukusuka ekuvaleni izolo, emva kokukhululwa kwedatha ye-CPI exutywe. Amanani e-CPI aseJapan afumene ukubaluleka njengoko i-BoJ isanda kubhengezwa injongo yokufikelela kwi-1.0% ye-inflation kwiminyaka embalwa ezayo, kodwa okwangoku ihlala imfutshane ngokunikezelwa kwe-0.4% y / y yakutshanje. I-Azumi ye-MoF ihlomle kumandla e-yen akutsha nje, kodwa ibonise ukuthuthuzeleka ngamanqanaba akhoyo ngoku intshukumo iqhutywa kukuthiya umngcipheko, hayi intelekelelo.
igolide
Igolide (1568.90) amaxabiso anyukele phezulu ngolwesiHlanu emva kolunye usuku lokurhweba kodwa intsimbi emenyezelayo isagqibe iveki isezantsi emva kokuthengiswa kwempahla ebanzi ekuqaleni kweveki ngenxa yedola eyomeleleyo.
Ikhontrakthi yeGolide ethengiswe kwihlabathi jikelele kunye nekamva elisebenzayo laseNew York nganye inyuke malunga nepesenti enye kwiseshoni njengoko abatyali-mali kunye nabarhwebi bathengisa ukubheja kwe-bearish ngaphambi kweholide yoSuku lweSikhumbuzo ngoMvulo, eyenze impelaveki ende eUnited States.
Kwangoko ngolo suku, igolide yaba phantsi koxinzelelo emva kwesibongozo soncedo oluvela kummandla osisityebi waseSpain waseCatalonia. Eso sibongozo sinyanzelise i-euro, esele ibethwa ziingxaki zaseGreece, ukuya ezantsi kwiinyanga ezingama-22 xa ithelekiswa nedola.
Njengoko iseshoni yayiqhubeka, intsimbi exabisekileyo yachacha. Kwiseshoni yangoLwesihlanu, ikhontrakthi yegolide ye-COMEX esebenzayo kakhulu, ngoJuni, yahlala kwi-$ 1,568.90, i-0.7 ipesenti ngosuku.
Ngeveki, nangona kunjalo, igolide kaJuni yehle nge-1.2 yeepesenti ngenxa yelahleko ngeentsuku ezintathu zokuqala zeveki, ngakumbi ngolwesiThathu xa phantse yonke impahla yorhwebo iye yawa.
Indawo yegolide yandanda ngaphantsi nje kwe-1,572 yeedola nge-ounce, inyuka ngepesenti enye ngosuku kwaye yehla nge-1 yeepesenti ngeveki. Kwimarike ebonakalayo yegolide, ukuthenga inzala kumthengi ophambili waseIndiya kuhlala kukhaphukhaphu, ngelixa iiprimiyamu zebha yegolide eHong Kong naseSingapore bezinzile.
I-oyile endala
Ioyile ekrwada (90.86) amaxabiso anyuke ngosuku lwesibini ngolwesiHlanu ngokungabikho kwenkqubela phambili kuthethathethwano ne-Iran malunga nenkqubo yayo yenyukliya ephikiswanayo, kodwa ikamva elikrwada lathumela ilahleko yesine yeveki njengoko iingxaki zamatyala zaseYurophu zisongela ukukhula koqoqosho kunye nemfuno yepetroleum.
I-crude yase-US kaJulayi inyuse i-20 yeesenti ukuba ihlale kwi-90.86 yeedola, isuke kwi-90.20 yeedola ukuya kwi-91.32 yeedola, kwaye ihleli ngaphakathi kuluhlu lwentengiso lwangoLwesine. Ngeveki, yehla i-62 yeesenti kunye nelahleko ngexesha leeveki ezine iyonke i-$ 14.07, okanye i-13.4percent.
Isiphithiphithi sezopolitiko sommandla we-Euro kunye nokungaqiniseki kwezoqoqosho kuye kwacinezela iyuro ngokuchasene nedola, kunye neempawu zakutsha nje zokucotha ukukhula koqoqosho lwaseTshayina kunye nokunyuka kwempahla ye-oyile ekrwada yase-US, kwanceda ukunciphisa iinzuzo zeBrent kunye ne-US ekrwada yekamva.
I-Iran kunye namagunya ehlabathi avumile ukudibana kwakhona kwinyanga ezayo ukuzama ukuthomalalisa ukuchasana okude malunga nomsebenzi wayo wenyukliya nangona iphumelele inkqubela encinci kwiingxoxo eBaghdad ezisingise ekusombululeni ezona ngongoma zincamathelayo kwingxabano yabo.
Embindini wayo kukunyanzeliswa kwe-Iran kwilungelo lokutyebisa i-uranium kwaye isohlwayo sezoqoqosho kufuneka sisuswe phambi kokuba ibeke iishelufu imisebenzi enokukhokelela ekufezekiseni isakhono sokuphuhlisa izixhobo zenyukliya.
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