UJan 18 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 1834 izimvo • Comments Off Kwi-Q4 2020 iingxelo zomvuzo zinokuyalela ulwalathiso lwentengiso kule veki
Iimarike ze-equity zase-US zivale iveki ngaphandle ngexesha leseshini yokurhweba yaseNew York ngoLwesihlanu odlulileyo. Abatyalomali kunye nabahlalutyi bathatha idatha yebhodi ebonisa ukuba zombini iimvakalelo zabathengi base-US kunye neentengiso zentengiso ziyawa.
Ukuthengiswa kweentengiso e-US kwehle ngo-0.7% ngoDisemba, emva kokuwa kwe-1.7% ngoNovemba. Ukufundwa kweemvakalelo zeYunivesithi yaseMichigan kuphoswe yi-Reuters kwi-forecast ezayo kwi-79.2 ukusuka kwi-80.7 yangaphambili yokufunda. Ngenxa yoko, i-SPX 500 iphelile usuku -1.10% phantsi kunye ne-NASDAQ 100 -1.01% phantsi, njengoko zombini i-indices iphelile iveki kwintsimi engafanelekanga.
I-oyile ekrwada yehle nge-2.9% kwaye yarhweba nje ngaphezulu kwe-52.00 yeedola ngomphanda ngamnye, njengoko uluhlu lwempahla lwenyuka e-US, ebonisa ukubuyiswa koqoqosho olusekwe kunyuso lwezothutho, imveliso, kunye nemveliso yemizi-mveliso ngoku liphupha elingumbhobho.
Abatyalomali kunye nabathathi-nxaxheba beemarike baya kugxila kwimivuzo kule veki
Abahlalutyi, abarhwebi kunye nabatyali-mali ngoku bahlalutya ngokusemthethweni iingxelo zengeniso ezizayo ukuthethelela ukunyuka okumangalisayo kweemarike zezabelo ngexesha le-Q4 2020. Eli xesha lemivuzo linokuchaphazela ixabiso le-USD xa lithelekiswa noontanga bayo.
Izitokhwe ezikhethekileyo zomntu ngamnye zonwabele ukonyuka kwamaxabiso kunyaka ophelileyo, kwaye eyona ngeniso ngoku iya kutyhila ukuba ukonyuka kwamaxabiso kuxhaswa ziimethrikhi. Izitokhwe zebhanki zehla ngexesha leseshoni yangoLwesihlanu nangona ukuthunyelwa kwemivuzo ebetha ukulindela umhlalutyi. Izabelo zeCitigroup zawa -7%, kwaye izabelo zika-Wells Fargo zehla nge-8%, zigxininisa iinkxalabo zokuxabisa.
Uvakalelo lwemarike luyakuchatshazelwa lutshintsho lukamongameli olungenamagingxigingxi
UJoe Biden uba ngama-46th umongameli we-United Staes of America ngoLwesithathu 21. Sele eqalisile ukucacisa ezinye iinguqu zomgaqo-nkqubo azimisele ukuwenza, kwaye akachithanga xesha ngokubheqa umva eminye yemigaqo-nkqubo ekwahlula kakhulu kaTrump.
Isivumelwano senyukliya sase-Iran siyaphinda sisebenze, ukubanjwa kwekhaya kuya kuba ne-moratorium, abaninzi (ekucingelwa) abaphambukeli abangekho mthethweni baya kufumana ubumi, kwaye isivumelwano sokutshintsha kwemozulu saseParis siya kuhlonitshwa. I-1.9 yetriliyoni ye-stimuli nayo iya kuqalisa, kunye nomlinganiselo obalulekileyo ojoliswe kweyona ntlawulo iphantsi kunye neyona ihlwempuzekileyo.
Ngokwembali, ukwakhiwa kokumiselwa komongameli sisihlandlo sokukhuthaza ukuthengisa. EWashington, abahlalutyi bentengiso kunye namagosa asebupoliseni axhalabile malunga nencoko yemidiya yoluntu malunga noqhanqalazo lwamaphiko asekunene olucwangciselwe uLwesithathu. Ngethemba, inkqubo idlula ngokuphazamiseka okuncinci, kwaye inkcaso ekugqibeleni iqala ukwamkela umphumo wonyulo.
I-Biden inamandla amakhulu kunolawulo luka-Obama lweDemokhrasi; iqela lakhe ngoku ubambe ibhalansi amandla zombini Senate kunye Congress. Yena kunye nosekela-mongameli uHarris baye bachaza ukuba banenjongo yokukhawuleza ngokutshintsha umgaqo-nkqubo ngokukhawuleza.
Ezinye iinguqu kumgaqo-nkqubo zinokuchaphazela kakubi iimarike zezabelo zamashishini ezingenanzala emisiweyo, ezifana nerhafu enobulungisa kunye nokuthintela ukuphepha nokuphepha. Omnye umgaqo-nkqubo ofana novuselelo olukhulu lweziseko ezingundoqo unokuvelisa inzuzo yokwenyani eyehlayo yezoqoqosho kubo bonke abemi base-US.
Isalathiso sedola i-DXY inyuke malunga ne-1% kunyaka ukuya kutsho ngoku ngo-2021. Xa ithelekiswa ne-CHF kunye ne-JPY, imali egciniweyo yehlabathi isondele kwi-0.60% YTD. Xa ithelekiswa ne-GBP inyuke nge-0.73% kwaye ngokuchasene ne-EUR inyuke nge-1.16%. I-USD ithe tyaba xa ithelekiswa ne-AUD kwaye inyuke kancinci ngokuchasene ne-Kiwi dollar NZD. Ukunyuka kwe-USD kuqhubekile nangona iFed kunye noJerome Powell (inkosi yeFed) benyanzelisa ukuba ibhanki ephakathi ityhale umgaqo-nkqubo wemali kuyo yonke le ngxaki ye-COVID-19.
Nje ukuba iimarike zaseLondon nezaseYurophu zivulwe, amanani amva nje oqoqosho lwaseTshayina azakupapashwa. Iimarike zase-Asiya ziya kuba zisabele kwiimetriki ezahlukeneyo, kwaye ukuba idatha ikwi-bullish, elo themba linokwanda kwiimarike zaseYurophu nase-US imini yonke. Emva kwemini i-Bank of England irhuluneli u-Andrew Bailey uya kuthetha. I-GBP iya kuba phantsi kovavanyo njengoko irhuluneli inokuthi igubungele izifundo ezifana ne-double-dip recession engenakuphepheka, impembelelo eqhubekayo ye-Brexit kunye neyiphi i-stimulus imilinganiselo ikomiti ye-BoE eya kubeka kuyo ukuthintela ukudodobala kwezoqoqosho okunzulu kakhulu kwiminyaka eyi-300.
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Iingxelo zengeniso ye-Q4 2020 inokuyalela umkhombandlela wentengiso kule veki
UJan 18 • Amagqabantshintshi eMarike • 1834 izimvo • Comments Off Kwi-Q4 2020 iingxelo zomvuzo zinokuyalela ulwalathiso lwentengiso kule veki
Iimarike ze-equity zase-US zivale iveki ngaphandle ngexesha leseshini yokurhweba yaseNew York ngoLwesihlanu odlulileyo. Abatyalomali kunye nabahlalutyi bathatha idatha yebhodi ebonisa ukuba zombini iimvakalelo zabathengi base-US kunye neentengiso zentengiso ziyawa.
Ukuthengiswa kweentengiso e-US kwehle ngo-0.7% ngoDisemba, emva kokuwa kwe-1.7% ngoNovemba. Ukufundwa kweemvakalelo zeYunivesithi yaseMichigan kuphoswe yi-Reuters kwi-forecast ezayo kwi-79.2 ukusuka kwi-80.7 yangaphambili yokufunda. Ngenxa yoko, i-SPX 500 iphelile usuku -1.10% phantsi kunye ne-NASDAQ 100 -1.01% phantsi, njengoko zombini i-indices iphelile iveki kwintsimi engafanelekanga.
I-oyile ekrwada yehle nge-2.9% kwaye yarhweba nje ngaphezulu kwe-52.00 yeedola ngomphanda ngamnye, njengoko uluhlu lwempahla lwenyuka e-US, ebonisa ukubuyiswa koqoqosho olusekwe kunyuso lwezothutho, imveliso, kunye nemveliso yemizi-mveliso ngoku liphupha elingumbhobho.
Abatyalomali kunye nabathathi-nxaxheba beemarike baya kugxila kwimivuzo kule veki
Abahlalutyi, abarhwebi kunye nabatyali-mali ngoku bahlalutya ngokusemthethweni iingxelo zengeniso ezizayo ukuthethelela ukunyuka okumangalisayo kweemarike zezabelo ngexesha le-Q4 2020. Eli xesha lemivuzo linokuchaphazela ixabiso le-USD xa lithelekiswa noontanga bayo.
Izitokhwe ezikhethekileyo zomntu ngamnye zonwabele ukonyuka kwamaxabiso kunyaka ophelileyo, kwaye eyona ngeniso ngoku iya kutyhila ukuba ukonyuka kwamaxabiso kuxhaswa ziimethrikhi. Izitokhwe zebhanki zehla ngexesha leseshoni yangoLwesihlanu nangona ukuthunyelwa kwemivuzo ebetha ukulindela umhlalutyi. Izabelo zeCitigroup zawa -7%, kwaye izabelo zika-Wells Fargo zehla nge-8%, zigxininisa iinkxalabo zokuxabisa.
Uvakalelo lwemarike luyakuchatshazelwa lutshintsho lukamongameli olungenamagingxigingxi
UJoe Biden uba ngama-46th umongameli we-United Staes of America ngoLwesithathu 21. Sele eqalisile ukucacisa ezinye iinguqu zomgaqo-nkqubo azimisele ukuwenza, kwaye akachithanga xesha ngokubheqa umva eminye yemigaqo-nkqubo ekwahlula kakhulu kaTrump.
Isivumelwano senyukliya sase-Iran siyaphinda sisebenze, ukubanjwa kwekhaya kuya kuba ne-moratorium, abaninzi (ekucingelwa) abaphambukeli abangekho mthethweni baya kufumana ubumi, kwaye isivumelwano sokutshintsha kwemozulu saseParis siya kuhlonitshwa. I-1.9 yetriliyoni ye-stimuli nayo iya kuqalisa, kunye nomlinganiselo obalulekileyo ojoliswe kweyona ntlawulo iphantsi kunye neyona ihlwempuzekileyo.
Ngokwembali, ukwakhiwa kokumiselwa komongameli sisihlandlo sokukhuthaza ukuthengisa. EWashington, abahlalutyi bentengiso kunye namagosa asebupoliseni axhalabile malunga nencoko yemidiya yoluntu malunga noqhanqalazo lwamaphiko asekunene olucwangciselwe uLwesithathu. Ngethemba, inkqubo idlula ngokuphazamiseka okuncinci, kwaye inkcaso ekugqibeleni iqala ukwamkela umphumo wonyulo.
I-Biden inamandla amakhulu kunolawulo luka-Obama lweDemokhrasi; iqela lakhe ngoku ubambe ibhalansi amandla zombini Senate kunye Congress. Yena kunye nosekela-mongameli uHarris baye bachaza ukuba banenjongo yokukhawuleza ngokutshintsha umgaqo-nkqubo ngokukhawuleza.
Ezinye iinguqu kumgaqo-nkqubo zinokuchaphazela kakubi iimarike zezabelo zamashishini ezingenanzala emisiweyo, ezifana nerhafu enobulungisa kunye nokuthintela ukuphepha nokuphepha. Omnye umgaqo-nkqubo ofana novuselelo olukhulu lweziseko ezingundoqo unokuvelisa inzuzo yokwenyani eyehlayo yezoqoqosho kubo bonke abemi base-US.
Isalathiso sedola i-DXY inyuke malunga ne-1% kunyaka ukuya kutsho ngoku ngo-2021. Xa ithelekiswa ne-CHF kunye ne-JPY, imali egciniweyo yehlabathi isondele kwi-0.60% YTD. Xa ithelekiswa ne-GBP inyuke nge-0.73% kwaye ngokuchasene ne-EUR inyuke nge-1.16%. I-USD ithe tyaba xa ithelekiswa ne-AUD kwaye inyuke kancinci ngokuchasene ne-Kiwi dollar NZD. Ukunyuka kwe-USD kuqhubekile nangona iFed kunye noJerome Powell (inkosi yeFed) benyanzelisa ukuba ibhanki ephakathi ityhale umgaqo-nkqubo wemali kuyo yonke le ngxaki ye-COVID-19.
Nje ukuba iimarike zaseLondon nezaseYurophu zivulwe, amanani amva nje oqoqosho lwaseTshayina azakupapashwa. Iimarike zase-Asiya ziya kuba zisabele kwiimetriki ezahlukeneyo, kwaye ukuba idatha ikwi-bullish, elo themba linokwanda kwiimarike zaseYurophu nase-US imini yonke. Emva kwemini i-Bank of England irhuluneli u-Andrew Bailey uya kuthetha. I-GBP iya kuba phantsi kovavanyo njengoko irhuluneli inokuthi igubungele izifundo ezifana ne-double-dip recession engenakuphepheka, impembelelo eqhubekayo ye-Brexit kunye neyiphi i-stimulus imilinganiselo ikomiti ye-BoE eya kubeka kuyo ukuthintela ukudodobala kwezoqoqosho okunzulu kakhulu kwiminyaka eyi-300.
« Ukuya ngqo ekusebenzeni ngokuthe ngqo ngokusebenzisa i-FX broker yinkqubo elungileyo Ngaba ucinga ukuba uza kuzisebenzela? Ke ukuthengisa kweFX kunokuba kuwe »