Kodi Disembala adzawona misika yamalonda yaku US isindikiza mbiri yatsopano ndipo ziyembekezo za GBP ndi ziti?
Ngakhale misika yamalonda idagulitsa gawo lomaliza la Novembala 2020, misika yamalonda ku US, makamaka, idasangalala ndi mwezi wopambana. Zolemba zonse zitatu zotsogola; DJIA30, SPX500 ndi NASDAQ adasindikiza zolemba zapamwamba mu Novembala ndi DJIA yodziwika chifukwa chophwanya mulingo wa 30,000 koyamba m'mbiri yake. Chiyembekezo chidakula padziko lonse lapansi; index ya MSCI yapadziko lonse idapeza 13% mu Novembala, chiwonjezero chachikulu kwambiri pazolemba.
Kufikira milingo iyi panthawi ya mliri kumawoneka kodabwitsa pomwe US idawonjezera pafupifupi 750,000 pamasamba ake osowa ntchito sabata iliyonse pamwezi. Komabe, ndikulimbikitsidwa kwachuma ndi ndalama koperekedwa ndi boma la US komanso Fed kulipira $ 4 trilioni + ndizodziwikiratu kuti zoyeserera zandalama zakhala zothandiza kwambiri.
Mabilionea 600+ ku US awona chuma chawo chonse chikukula kuposa $ 1 trilioni kuyambira pa Marichi 2020. Zili ngati kuti Fed yawalembera macheke awo mothandizidwa ndi omwe amapereka msonkho.
Zofanana ndi vuto la 2008-2009, Wall Street idachita bwino chifukwa cha Main Street. Kukondwera kopanda tanthauzo kwanthawi yayitali sikudalira pazopeza kapena zoyambira koma nkhambakamwa. Koma angakhale wamalonda wolimba mtima yemwe angamenyane ndi Fed kapena kutenga malo apakatikati pakanthawi pamsika uwu.
Ogulitsa ndi osunga ndalama pamalipiro amitengo pakubwera kwa katemera wogwira ntchito wa Covid ndikubwezeretsanso padziko lonse pamalonda, mothandizidwa ndi zoyambitsa zina zochulukirapo. Ngati izi zikugwirizana, ndiye kuti ndizovuta kunena malingaliro otsutsana; kuti misika igwere pazomwe tingaone kuti ndizabwino.
Mliriwu wapereka kusakhazikika komanso malo abwino ogulitsira, makamaka kwa amalonda a FX omwe asangalala ndi kufalikira kwamphamvu komanso zochitika zosasinthasintha.
Ntchito yochokera kunyumba (WFH) yapereka mwayi wabwino kwa ogwira ntchito kunyumba kuti ayesere kugulitsa koyamba. Kwa ma novice omwe adakhalabe olimba mtima pomwe zoyesezazo zidafika, asangalala kamodzi kubwerera kwawo.
NASDAQ idakwera ndi 36% chaka kufikira pano, ndipo kukhala kwa Tesla kwa nthawi yayitali kuyambira kumapeto kwa Marichi mpaka pachimake cha Novembala kukadapereka kubweza kwa 500% kubwerera. Ponena kuti kubwereza kubwereza kwa NASDAQ ndi masheya monga Tesla adzawonedwa mu 2021 ndizosatheka kuneneratu. Pambuyo pa zochitika zam'badwo wakuda wa Black Swan, takumanapo nawo chaka chino, chaka chophatikizika chikhoza kuchitika ndipo akatswiri ambiri akuwoneka kuti akulosera zotsatirazi.
Ma cryptocurrensets asangalala ndi kukwera modabwitsa pamitengo mu 2020. Apanso mliriwu ukuwoneka kuti ndiwo wathandizira. BTC (bitcoin) yafika pafupifupi 20,000 2017 pazaka zaposachedwa, ndikuchotsa zomwe zidalembedwa kumapeto kwa XNUMX.
Chikumbutso chachitatu cha kuwonekera koyamba kwa crypto mosakayikira chidzalimbikitsa malingaliro a amalonda mu Disembala. Mtengo wotsika ndi 70% pakati pa Disembala 2017 ndi Spring 2018, koma msika wa crypto wasintha kwambiri kuyambira pamenepo. "Nthawi ino ndizosiyana" ndi mawu omwe agwiritsidwa ntchito mopitilira muyeso m'dziko lathu lamalonda, koma nthawi ino itha kukhala, nkhani ndi malingaliro omwe tikambirana m'nkhani yathu ya crypto kuti isindikizidwe kumapeto kwa sabata ino.
Zowunikira zazithunzi zazithunzi pazithunzi za London
EUR / USD idakwera ndi 0.44% ndipo imagulitsana pang'onopang'ono kuposa tsiku lililonse. Omwe amagulitsidwa kwambiri ndi voliyumu amawopseza kuphwanya gawo loyamba la kukana R1 pa 1.198. M'mwezi wa Novembala ndalama ziwirizi zidakwera kwambiri pomwe amalonda ndi omwe amagulitsa ndalama adagulitsa dola yaku US.
Kukwera kwa yuro m'mwezi wa Novembala sikunali kokwanira pa dola, EUR / JPY yakweranso kwambiri, ndipo kukwera kumeneku kunapitiliza mkati mwa gawo lam'mawa ndi awiriwa kutsatira njira yofananira ku EUR / USD kugulitsa pa 124.95.
Yuro idatsika poyerekeza ndi mapaundi aku UK mu Novembala, ndipo kusakhazikika kwaposachedwa kwakhala kotsika mu EUR / GBP poganizira kuti UK tsopano yalowa mwezi watha wa zokambirana dzikolo lisanatuluke ku European Union. EUR / GBP idagwa kwambiri mu Okutobala, ndipo kupitilirako kupitilira mu Novembala. Kodi ogulitsa mabungwe akhalapo kale pamtengo pazotsatira zake ngakhale atakhumudwitsidwa ndi kutuluka kwamalonda ku UK?
EUR / GBP imagulitsidwa m'mabande ochepa pafupi ndi PP ya tsiku ndi tsiku ku 0.8961. EUR / GBP idagulitsidwa pamwamba pazoyambira tsiku lililonse pomwe idawopseza kuphwanya S1 koyambirira kwa gawo la London. GBP / USD inalemba zopindulitsa zochititsa chidwi kuyambira mkatikati mwa Marichi pomwe zaka khumi zotsika pansi pa 1.1600 zidasindikizidwa. Pachigawo cham'mawa, idagulitsidwa ku 1.3352, yogulitsa kwambiri ataphwanya R1 koyambirira.
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