Kodi kuwerengera kwamaganizidwe ndi chiyani, ndipo kumakhudza bwanji malonda athu a Forex?
Ngakhale kuti nthawi zambiri amatchedwa "soft data" metrics, kuwerengera kwamaganizidwe ndikofunikira kwambiri poyesa kudziwa komwe akuchokera ndalama za forex. Zitsanzo za zotsatira za kalendala yazachuma zolimba zingakhale:
• Ulova
• Kukwera kwa mitengo
• Nambala zazachuma zovomerezeka (kukula kwa zopanga, kukula kwa GDP ndi zisankho za chiwongola dzanja)
Zofewa zitha kugawidwa ngati:
• Kuwerenga maganizo
• Kuwerenga kwachinsinsi kwa ogula
• PMIs
• Deta yokhudzana ndi kugula nyumba (zovomerezeka zanyumba ndi zina)
Nzeru zomwe zimaganiziridwa ndikuti kutulutsa kwa data kolimba kudzakhudza kwambiri misika yathu, ngati iwo aphonya, kapena apambana maulosi ogwirizana ndipo chikhulupirirocho chimaonedwa kuti ndicholondola.
Komabe, pali zowerengera zambiri zamalingaliro zomwe zimakhalanso ndi mphamvu zosuntha misika, ngati ziphonya kapena kumenya zoloserazo patali pang'ono, komanso, ambiri angayambe kujambula mbali za chithunzi chonse cha komwe chuma chapakhomo chikhoza kupita. Tsopano tiwunikira zowerengera ziwiri, kuchokera ku Eurozone ndi USA, kufotokoza komwe deta imakankhidwira kuti ifike pakuwerengedwa komanso momwe ingakhudzire msika. Amalonda akuyenera kuyang'anitsitsa kafukufukuyu ndikukhalabe odziwa masiku omwe akubwera, chifukwa onse ali ndi mphamvu zosuntha misika.
Kafukufuku wa ZEW.
Kampani yaku Germany, Center for European Economic Research (ZEW), imafunsa akatswiri azachuma ndi akatswiri osiyanasiyana, m'maiko ambiri otsogola aEurozone mwezi uliwonse, kuti awonetsere zapakati pazachuma ku Germany komanso momwe chuma cha Eurozone chikukulira.
Ofufuza a ZEW amafunsa mafunso kuti atsimikizire momwe chuma chilili komanso kuyesa kulosera momwe chuma chikuyendera m'tsogolomu. Mayankho ake amangokhala: zabwino, zoipa, kapena zosasinthika. Izi zimapangitsa kuti kafukufukuyu akhale wofulumira komanso wogwira mtima kwambiri, malinga ndi nthawi yoyankha, ndiye kuti ndiyosavuta kumvetsetsa ndikutanthauzira. Chizindikiro cha Economic Sentiment Indicator chimawunika chiyembekezo chamtsogolo chachuma cha Eurozone yonse. Zotsatira zimasonkhanitsidwa ngati chiwerengero cha mayankho abwino, kuchotserapo chiwerengero cha mayankho olakwika. Mutu wapamwamba kwambiri umasonyeza chiyembekezo chabwino cha chuma cha Eurozone.
Bungwe la Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey.
"Kafukufuku wa Consumer Confidence akuwonetsa momwe bizinesi ilili komanso zomwe zingachitike m'miyezi ikubwerayi. Lipoti la mwezi uno limafotokoza za malingaliro a ogula ndi zolinga zogulira, zomwe zimapezeka ndi zaka, ndalama, ndi dera. ”
Mwezi uliwonse Bungwe la Msonkhano limafufuza mabanja 5,000 aku US. Kafukufukuyu ali ndi mafunso ofunika asanu, kufunsa maganizo a omwe akufunsidwa pa izi:
1 Mabizinesi apano.
2 Zinthu zabizinesi m'miyezi isanu ndi umodzi ikubwerayi.
3 Mikhalidwe ya ntchito.
4 Miyezo ya ntchito kwa miyezi isanu ndi umodzi ikubwerayi.
5 Ndalama zonse zabanja m’miyezi isanu ndi umodzi ikubwerayi.
Aliyense wochita nawo kafukufuku amafunsidwa kuti ayankhe funso lililonse monga: "zabwino", "zoyipa" kapena "zandale". Zotsatira zoyambirira kuchokera ku kafukufuku wodalirika wa ogula zimatulutsidwa Lachiwiri lomaliza la mwezi uliwonse.
Deta yonse ikasonkhanitsidwa, gawo lomwe limadziwika kuti "mtengo wachibale" limawerengeredwa pafunso lililonse. Mayankho abwino a funso lililonse amagawidwa ndi kuchuluka kwa mayankho ake abwino ndi oyipa. Mtengo wachibale wa funso lililonse ukhoza kuyerekezedwa ndi mtengo uliwonse, kuyambira mu 1985. Kuyerekeza kumeneku kwa milingo yofananirako kumapereka chotulukapo mu “mlozera mtengo” wa funso lililonse. Mlozera pafunso lililonse mwamafunso asanu amawerengedwa, kuti apereke index yodalirika ya ogula. Detayo imawerengedwa ku United States ngati dziko komanso kumadera asanu ndi anayi a kalembera a dzikolo.
Malingaliro a Trader.
Palinso zowerengera zamalingaliro zomwe zimapezeka pamasamba ambiri amalonda, zomwe zikuwonetsa malingaliro omwe alipo okhudzana ndi ndalama ziwiri kapena ndalama. Ambiri aife tikudziwa bwino za lipoti la COT, lomwe limasanthula momwe amalonda akuluakulu amachitira. Awa ndi malipoti a sabata akuwonetsa kusintha kulikonse; ndi amalonda akuluakulu akadali onse ukonde bullish / yaitali, mwachitsanzo; EUR/USD ndipo ngati ndi choncho kodi abwereranso pamaudindo awo? Momwemonso zowerengera zama webusayiti amalonda zitha kuwonedwa ndipo ali ndi phindu lowonjezera pofotokozera komwe anzanu ali pakali pano. Mutha kuweruza mwachangu ngati mukufuna kugulitsa motsutsana ndi malingaliro amenewo kapena ayi, kodi khamu likudziwa zomwe simukuzidziwa, kapena gulu la anthu likugwirizana ndi kusanthula kwanu?
Kuwerenga kwamaganizidwe, m'njira zosiyanasiyana komanso kuchokera kuzinthu zosiyanasiyana, sikuyenera kunyalanyazidwa ndi zomwe zimatchedwa "hard data" kusanthula kofunikira. Kutulutsa kwamaganizidwe kumatha ndipo nthawi zambiri kumapereka chidziwitso chozama komanso, mofanana ndi ma PMIs a Markit, kuwonedwa ngati ziwonetsero zotsogola za komwe chuma chambiri chikalunjika pakanthawi kochepa. Mosalunjika atha kuthandizanso ochita malonda osinthasintha kuti apewe kuchita malonda motsutsana ndi zomwe zikuchitika nthawi yayitali.
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