CHITSANTHU CHOLEMBEDWA MWA sabata. 26/2 - 2/3 | Sabata limodzi la ziwerengero za GDP ku Canada, USA, France ndi Italy, zitha kuwonetsa kulimba kwakukula kwakumadzulo, pomwe ma CPI osiyanasiyana awulula kuchuluka kwa kukwera kwamitengo
Ma GDP aku North America ayamba kuwonekera bwino sabata ino, Canada pakadali pano ikupanga ziwerengero zabwino kwambiri pakukula kwa 3.5%, kukula kwachuma ku Canada ndichomwe chikuwongolera kwambiri, ku Western Hemisphere. USA pakadali pano ikusindikiza kukula kwa GDP kwa 2.6% ndipo akatswiri azachuma akuganiza kuti ziwerengero zamayiko onsewa zisungidwa, kapena kupitilizidwa. Kugwa kulikonse kumatha kuwona kuti mtengo wamadola akudziko umapanikizika.
Kuwerengedwa kosiyanasiyana kwa ISM kwachuma ku USA kudzawonetsa mphamvu yomwe ikutsimikizira mphamvu zachuma zomwe FOMC idatchulapo, m'maminiti awo omwe adasindikizidwa Lachitatu Feb. 21st. Kuwerengetsa ndalama ndi momwe ndalama zidzagwiritsidwire ntchito kudzaululidwa ndi BLS pazachuma ku USA, pomwe Msonkhano wa Msonkhano ndi mayunivesite aku Michigan akuwerenga chidaliro cha ogula, ziwonetsanso kuchuluka kwa chiyembekezo pakati pa anthu aku US.
Zotulutsa zazikulu ku Europe zikuphatikiza: GDP yaku Switzerland, French ndi Italy, komanso kuwerenga kwa CPI ku Germany ndi Eurozone. Ofufuza ndi osungitsa ndalama akuyang'ana anthu osasinthika kudera lonselo, kuti apereke umboni woti chuma chamayiko chimodzi chikupitilirabe patsogolo pachuma.
Lolemba imayamba ndi zotsatira zakugula kwa ma bondeni ku Japan, kuyang'aniridwa mosamala poyerekeza ndi mtengo wa yen, komanso kuchokera ku Japan timalandila zowonetsa zaposachedwa kwambiri komanso zofananira. Misika yaku Europe ikangotsegulidwa posachedwa ndalama zakubanki zaku Switzerland zatulutsidwa, ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri ku UK za ngongole zanyumba zogulira nyumba zimayang'aniridwa mosamala kuti zizindikire kuti ogula akufikira kuthekera komanso chidaliro chawo, kuti atenge ngongole zowonjezereka.
Pomwe chidwi chikuyang'ana ku USA, zambiri zogulitsa nyumba zikuyembekezeka kubwereranso, nyengo itatha. A Dallas ndi Chicago Feds apereka zowerengera zawo zaposachedwa, pomwe a Fed's Bullard apereka ndemanga pamalamulo azachuma. Chuma cha ku America chidzagulitsa ngongole zanyengo ya 3 ndi 6 miyezi, mutu wankhani wapatsidwa pafupifupi $ 260 biliyoni wogulitsidwa sabata lomwe likutha Lachisanu 23th Feb. New Zealand data is on the radar in late pm; zogulitsa kunja, zogulitsa kunja, zogulitsa (pamiyeso yamwezi ndi pachaka), zitha kukhudza mtengo wa kiwi (NZD) ngati ziwerengerozo zikuphonya, kapena kugunda zolosera.
On Lachiwiri Zogulitsa zaku Germany ndizomwe zimayambitsanso zidutswa zazitsulo zofewa zochokera ku Eurozone kuphatikiza: ogula, mafakitale, ntchito komanso kudalira chuma. CPI yaku Germany ikuyembekezeka kuyandikira kuchuluka kwa CPI ku 1.6%, Weidmann wa Bundesbank apereka chilankhulo, pakuchita kwa banki yayikulu yaku Germany. Msika waku US ukangotsegulidwa pazambiri, kuphatikiza: ma oda azotsogola komanso olimba, malo ogulitsa ndi ogulitsa, ziziwonetsa kuti amalimba mtima komanso amagulitsa bizinesi. Monga momwe Kuwerenga kwa Consumer Board kudalira kuwerenga, kukuyembekezeredwa kukwera ndi kuchulukitsa kwa 0.5 mpaka 126. Nkhani yaku Case Shiller yowerengera mitengo yamizinda yayikulu makumi awiri ku USA komanso mdziko lonse idzaululidwa, pakadali pano pa 6.21% mdziko lonse, chiwerengerocho chiwonetsedwa mosamala, pazizindikiro zilizonse zakuchepa kwachuma.
Japan yabwereranso kumapeto Lachiwiri madzulo, momwe mitengo yogulitsira ikufalitsidwa, ziwonetsero za mafakitale ziziwunikidwa, chifukwa cha zizindikilo zakuti mafakitale aku Japan akugwirabe ntchito.
Lachitatu imayamba ndikutulutsa index yaposachedwa kwambiri ya Nationwide nyumba ku UK, ikuyembekezeka kukhalabe pafupi ndi 3.2% YoY yofalitsidwa mu Januware. Chidaliro cha ogula, kudalira kwamabizinesi komanso kuwerengera kwa ma barlo a Lloyds, zitha kupereka chidziwitso pamalingaliro onse ku UK Ma PMI atatu aku China amasulidwa, ngakhale atapanda kuphonya kapena kulosera zamtsogolo patali, zambiri zaku China sizikhudza kwenikweni pamisika ya FX padziko lonse lapansi.
Msika waku Europe utatsegulidwa, GDP yaku France idzawunikiridwa, pakadali pano pa 2.4% kukonzanso uku kukuyembekezeredwa. Kuchuluka kwa ntchito ku Germany kuyenera kukhalabe pa 5.3% yolembedwa mu Januware, pomwe chiwerengero cha CPI cha Eurozone chikuyembekezeka kukhalabe ku 1.3% YoY.
Nkhani za kalendala yazachuma ku USA zimangoyang'ana makamaka pa ziwerengero zaposachedwa za GDP, QoQ yapachaka yowerengera ikuyembekezeredwa kuti izikhala pa 2.6% yowerengera Q3. Pafupifupi deta yogulitsa nyumba ku America isindikizidwanso, kutsatira mndandanda wa mitengo ya Case Shiller yomwe idasindikizidwa tsiku lapitalo, akatswiri adzafotokozera mwachidule za msika wa nyumba zaku USA. A Jerome Powell, wapampando watsopano wa Fed, achitira umboni pamaso pa komiti yantchito zanyumba ndipo monga woyamba kuwonekera payekha, ntchitoyi ikuyembekezeredwa mwachidwi.
Lachinayi mboni deta yochokera ku Japan yotulutsidwa mu gawo la Asia; malo osungira, kugulitsa magalimoto, kupanga PMI ndi kudalira ogula, pomwe wamkulu wa BOJ Mr. Kataoka akalankhula. Ziwerengero za GDP zachuma ku Switzerland zidzafalitsidwa, pakadali pano ku 1.2% YoY kulosera ndikuti kukula kuyenera kusungidwa pamlingo uno. Kugulitsa ndi kugulitsa PMI ndiye njira zomaliza zachuma chaku Switzerland chomwe chidatulutsidwa patsikuli. Kupanga ma PMI a: France, Italy, Germany ndi Eurozone yayikulu ipereka chisonyezo cha maziko omwe kulimbikitsako kwaposachedwa kwamangidwa. PMI wopanga ku UK atulutsidwanso, maziko ake sanachite monga anzawo aku Europe.
Bungwe lowerengera ku UK la ONS lidzaulula kuchuluka kwa ngongole za ogula, pomwe ngongole zanyumba ndi ndalama zidzaperekedwanso. Kuchokera ku Eurozone tidzalandira zidziwitso zaposachedwa kwambiri pa GDP yaku Italiya, zikuyembekezeka kukhala pafupi ndi chiwonetsero cha 0.9% cha YoY. Milingo yakusowa kwa ntchito kudera limodzi imanenedweratu kuti ikhala pa 8.7% ya Januware.
Ndi madzulo otanganidwa kwambiri pazosankha za USA; ndalama zomwe mumagwiritsa ntchito, ndalama zopanda ntchito, ndalama zogwirira ntchito, Markit PMI pakupanga, kuwerengetsa kwa ISM pakupanga, ntchito, malamulo ndi mitengo yolipira.
Madzulo New Zealand imayamba kuwonekera; ndi chidaliro cha ogula ndi zilolezo zomanga zikutulutsidwa. Japan ipereka mndandanda wamagulu kuphatikiza: kuchuluka kwa osagwira ntchito (pakadali pano pa 2.8%), ndalama zonse zapakhomo ndi CPI. Kukwera kwamitengo kukuyembekezeka kukwera mpaka 1.5% kuchokera ku 1.3%, zomwe zingayambitse chidwi cha yen, ngati amalonda a FX atanthauzira zotsatirazi ngati zotsitsimutsa za yen, kutengera kuti BOJ ikhala hawkish mokhudzana ndi mfundo zawo zandalama.
Friday imayamba zochitika za kalendala tsiku ndi chidziwitso cha QoQ ndi YoY GDP, pakadali pano pa 1.6% YoY chiwerengerochi chikuyembekezeka kukhala chosasinthika. PMI yomanga yaku UK iyang'aniridwa kwambiri ku 50.2 mu Januware popeza ili pamwambapa chabe pa 50, pansipa pomwe bizinesi (kapena gawo) imawonedwa kuti ili pachuma.
Zambiri zaku North America zimayamba ndi GDP yaposachedwa ku Canada, pamwezi mwezi watha chiwerengero cha 0.4% ndipo chiwerengerochi cha YoY ndi 3.5% cha Disembala. Miyezo yowerengera komanso yolemekezedwa kwambiri pamwezi ya University of Michigan imatulutsidwa, pa 99.9 ya Januware kuwerengetsa uku kumayang'aniridwa ndi akatswiri, potengera cholowa chomwe chakhala chikuchitika kwazaka zambiri.
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