Ziwerengero zaku inflation ku US zimasulidwa Lachitatu, ngati kutsika kwa YoY kwatsika, ndiye kuti osunga ndalama pamisika atha kukhalanso ndi chidaliro
Lachitatu pa 14 February pa 13:30 PM GMT (UK nthawi), dipatimenti ya USA BLS imasindikiza zomwe zapezedwa posachedwa pokhudzana ndi CPI (inflation) ku USA. Pali mitundu ingapo ya CPI yomwe imatulutsidwa nthawi yomweyo, koma osunga ndalama ndi owunikira adzayang'ana njira ziwiri zofunika, mwezi ndi chaka pazaka za CPI. Chifukwa cha kugulitsidwa kwaposachedwa komanso kuchira kwanthawi yayitali m'misika yamalonda ku US, zidziwitso za inflation ziziwonetsedwa, zotsatira zake zidamvekanso pamisika yadziko lonse. The selloff adanenedwa chifukwa cha mantha kuti kukakamizidwa kwamalipiro a inflation ku USA, pakadali pano kuli 4.47%, kumatha kupangitsa FOMC / Fed kukweza chiwongola dzanja mokwiya kuposa momwe amayembekezera kale kuti kuziziritsa kukwera kwachuma pachuma chonse.
Zonenedweratu kuti kutsika kwa mitengo ya YoY kutsikira ku 1.9% YoY ya Januware, kuchokera ku 2.1% yomwe idalembedwa kale Disembala. Komabe, kuwerengera kwa MoM kukuyembekezeka kukwera mpaka 0.3% mu Januware, kuyambira 0.1% mu Disembala ndipo ndi chiwerengerochi pamwezi chomwe amalonda ndi owunikira angaganizire mwatsatanetsatane, motsutsana ndi mtengo wa YoY. Otsatsa ndalama atha kuwerengera mwachangu kuti ngati kukwera kotere kwachitika kwa mwezi umodzi komwe kumatha kubweretsa kuchuluka kwa mitengo yotsika ndikuwonjeza zomwe zidanenedwa kuti ziwonetsetse kukwera kwapakati pa 3% mchaka cha 2018, ndiye kuti mitengo yazachuma ingayambenso kukakamizidwa. Komabe, zochitikazo ndizotheka ngati kuneneratu kwa YoY kukwaniritsidwa. Otsatsa angaganize kuti kukwera kwa chaka ndi chaka kwa YoY kwachepetsa pang'ono, chifukwa chake msika wamsika wokhudzana ndi kufalitsa kwamalipiro a inflation.
Zilizonse zomwe inflation imawulula Lachitatu, mosakayikira ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri za inflation zidzawunikidwa mosamala chifukwa chakugulitsidwa kwaposachedwa ndikuchira pang'ono, osati kokha pazomwe zingakhudze misika yamalonda, komanso zomwe zingakhudze phindu la dola yaku US. Atatulutsa ndalama zomwe amalonda aku dollar ndi amalonda a FX apanga zisankho mwachangu pamtengo wa dola, kutengera momwe FOMC / Fed itithandizira kuti chiwongola dzanja chikukwera mwachangu pamisonkhano yawo yaposachedwa ya Disembala ndi Januware.
METRICS YOFUNIKA KWAMBIRI YOFUNIKA KUKHALA KWA KALENDA
• GDP YoY 2.5%.
• GDP QoQ 2.6%.
Chiwongola dzanja cha 1.5%.
• Mtengo wama inflation wa 2.1%.
• Kukula kwa malipiro 4.47%.
• Mulingo wopanda ntchito 4.1%.
• Ngongole zaboma v GDP 106.1%.
« Pomwe ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri za CPI (inflation) zikutulutsidwa, Kodi Bank of England izitsimikizira kuti chiwongola dzanja chake chili pa 0.5%? Ndalama zaku US zabwezeretsa kuti zitseke phindu la 2018, index yaku dollar yaku US, kugwa kwa mtengo wa FX kulibe, popeza magulu awiriawiri akuluakulu amagulitsa magawo olimba »
