Maofesi aku US ndi kuwonongeka kwa USD pomwe misika ikusintha, chifukwa cha malonda aku China.
Msonkhano wa ku Ulaya ndi USA unasinthidwa pa Lachinayi madzulo, ku New York msika wa malonda. Kusokonezeka kwa maola makumi awiri ndi anai apitawo, misika ya mgwirizano padziko lonse, sikunali kofanana ndi nkhani iliyonse yokhudzana ndi chikhalidwe chofalitsidwa ndi bungwe la Trump, kapena chidziwitso chodzitetezera kuchokera ku China. M'malo mwake, malonda ogulitsa pamodzi adatha; kuzindikira kuti China ndi USA zonse zidzatayika mu nkhondo yamalonda yanthaŵi yayitali, yayamba kufalikira.
Ogulitsa nawo amavomereza kuti katundu yemwe analipo, pamene Trump adagwiritsa ntchito ndalama zake zamtengo wapatali za 25% zoitanitsa masabata awiri, atatu adzalowanso ku madoko a USA. Zosavuta; nzika zogwirizana naye ndi makasitomala a ku China, adzalipira 25% yambiri pa katunduyo. Pakalipano, USA ikugulitsa ku China, monga nyemba za soya ndi fodya, zikusowa kwambiri ngati makasitomala achi China amayang'ana kwina chifukwa cha mankhwala, chifukwa cha msonkho wopangitsa kuti mankhwalawo asasangalatse, mwa mtengo. Mayiko omwe ali pafupi ndi nyumba, monga Vietnam, angayambe kupereka zinthu zambiri zomwe China zimafuna. Trump adalengeza ndalama zonse za $ 28b pothandizidwa ndi alimi a USA kuyambira 2018 kuti athe kupirira mitengo yambiri komanso kusowa kwachondereko, kuwonetsera kudzigonjetsa kwa chikhalidwe cha msonkho.
Ndi 7: 00pm UK nthawi Lachinayi May 23rd, DJIA ankagulitsa pansi -1.59% ndi NASDAQ tech index anali pansi -1.95%. Mwezi uliwonse, ndondomeko zagwedezeka ndi -4.8% ndi -6.4% motsatira. Mafuta a WTI anagwedezeka kwambiri, chifukwa cha nkhondo zamalonda ndi mantha omwe amachititsa malonda, WTI inagwidwa ndi ndalama zambiri zomwe zinkachitika panthawi imodzi pa 2019 Lachinayi, ku 19: mtengo wa 35pm UK wogulitsa pa $ 57.77 pa mbiya, pansi -5.94 %.
Malinga ndi chuma chomwe chimapangitsa kuti anthu azikhala osatetezeka, XAU / USD idakwera ndi 0.92% patsiku, malonda ku 1,286, madola okwana 11.84 pa ounce. Ndalama ya ku America inagwera mofulumira ndi anzake pa nthawi ya msonkhano wa New York, pamene azimayi adathawira ku ndalama zowonongeka za yen ndi Swiss franc. Pa 19: 45pm USD / JPY inagulitsidwa pansi -0.75%, pamene machitidwe a mtengo wogulitsa anawona kuti wamkuluwo akutha kupyolera mu msinkhu wa chitetezo chachitatu, S3, akuphwanya galimoto ya 110.00 kuti agulitse pa 109.5, mlingo wotsika kwambiri wosindikizidwa pamisonkhano ya sabata yapitayo . USD / CHF inagulitsidwa pansi -0.69%, ikuphwanya S3, yosindikiza otsika osalalikidwa kuyambira April 16th. Ndalama ya dollar, DXY, ikuwonetsera dollar yofooka kudutsa gululo, kugulitsa pansi -0.20%, kutsika pansi pa galimoto ya 98.00, kugulitsa pa 97.85. Kuwonjezeka kwa dollar kwinavumbulutsidwa ndi EUR / USD kugulitsa 0.28% ndi GBP / USD kugulitsa.
Pogwiritsa ntchito zovuta za geo zandale komanso zachuma zomwe zikuyambitsa malonda, chifukwa chakuti chuma cha United States chinapangitsa kuti kalendala ya zachuma iwonongeke pa Lachinayi, ndipo ambiri amanyalanyaza ndi olemba malonda ndi FX. Komabe, mosasamala kanthu za malonda / malonda, ziwonongeko ziyenera kukhala zodetsa nkhawa, mogwirizana ndi machitidwe a zachuma ku USA. Malonda atsopano a panyumba agwa ndi -6.9% mwezi umodzi wa April, pamene Markit PMIs analembetsa kugwa kwakukulu; onse opanga 50.9 ndi mautumiki ku 50.6 kwa April, anaphonya maulosi a Reuters ndipo adagwa patali, atangokhala pamwamba pa msinkhu wa 50, akulekanitsa chisokonezo kuchokera kuwonjezeka. Kupitirizabe sabata sabata mosayenerera kunabweranso, kuwonetsa kuti chuma cha USA chiri pafupi kwambiri ndi ntchito yonse.
Sterling anali ndi chuma chosokoneza patsiku, kugwa koyendetsa poyerekeza ndi ndalama zotetezeka za CHF ndi JPY, malonda ogulitsa ndi USD (ngakhale kuti dola likugulitsa) ndi pansi poyerekeza ndi ndalama zonse za Australasian; AUD ndi NZD. Chisokonezo, chisokonezo ndi kusowa kwa ntchito zikuwonetsedwa ndi boma la UK, lomwe liribe vutoli: Brexit debacle, kukakamiza ndi kuthetsa mavuto a utsogoleri, zikuchititsa kuti anthu akuthawa kuthawa pound ya UK ndi UK, makamaka pazinthu zenizeni zamalonda . UK FTSE inatseka -1.41%, ku 7,235, makampani akuluakulu a UK ali ndi 7.47% chaka mpaka lero -3.88% mwezi uliwonse. DAX ndi CAC zinatseka -1.78% ndi -1.84% motsatira.
Lachisanu pa 24 Meyi ndi tsiku lopanda phokoso pazochitika za kalendala yazachuma komanso kutulutsidwa kwa deta, koma munthawi yamalonda pomwe zochitika zandale zikulamulira malingaliro amisika, kalendala yazachuma imangokhala yotsika, potengera kufunikira. Nthawi ya 9:30 m'mawa ku UK, nkhani zaposachedwa kwambiri zogulitsa pamalonda zimasindikizidwa ku UK Sales zakhala zikukwera modabwitsa, ngakhale kutsekedwa kwakukulu kwa malo ogulitsira komwe kwawonetsedwa mu 2018-2019 ndipo ogula ali ndi mbiri yotsika ya ndalama. Koma ndi kutsika kwa mitengo kuwulula kukwera kwa 0.7% mu Epulo, malonda ogulitsa atha kuyamba kuzimiririka. Reuters akuganiza zakugwa kwa -0.5% m'mwezi wa Epulo mwezi, pomwe bungwe logulitsa ku UK CBI likuwonetsa kutsika kwa malonda omwe agulitsidwa, kuyambira 13 mu Epulo, mpaka 6 mu Meyi. Nthawi ya 13:30 pm zidziwitso zotsimikizika zaposachedwa kwambiri ku USA zidzaululidwa, kuyembekezera kuti kuwerenga 2.0% kwa Epulo, kutsika kwakukulu kuchokera ku 2.6% kojambulidwa mu Marichi. Apanso, kuwulula malo omwe chuma cha USA chilipo.
« Kasamalidwe ka ndalama, chiopsezo ndi mwayi, zitatu mwazinthu zazikulu zomwe zidanyalanyazidwa zomwe zimakhudzidwa ndi malonda a FX. Misika yapadziko lonse lapansi imapezanso nthawi yopanga usiku ndi m'mawa Lachisanu Lachinayi atagonjetsedwa, dola yaku US ikupitilizabe kutha, chiwongola dzanja chitachepa. »
