Mtengo wa GBP ngati prime minister watsopano wasankhidwa ndipo mtengo wa ndalama za USD ndi US pomwe GDP isindikizidwe ndizomwe ziziyembekezeka sabata.
Malinga ndi kafukufuku yemwe adachitika sabata yatha ndi a You Gov, ovota a Tory ali pafupifupi 75% m'malo mwa Boris Johnson kukhala Prime Minister wotsatira waku UK, ndi 25% yokha ya Jeremy Hunt. Chisankho chovota chidzalengezedwa Lachitatu Julayi 24 ngakhale Lolemba 22th olamulira chipani cha Tory adziwa kale zotsatirazi. Vuto la Tories lidzakhala momwe mungafotokozere zotsatira zake kuti muchepetse mgwirizano uliwonse Brexit akuwopa kukula Johnson atayamba ntchito.
Misika ya FX itha kukhala kuti idalipira kale zotsatira za mapaundi aku UK kutengera Johnson kukhala wokonda kwambiri panthawi yovota. Kapenanso, kutengera misika yomwe imagwira ntchito mosiyana ndi kuchitapo kanthu, GBP ikhoza kuwuka kapena kugwa potengera zomwe Johnson adalankhula koyamba ndi nduna yomwe amawaika. GBP / USD ikugulitsabe pafupifupi zaka ziwiri zapitazi zomwe zidasindikizidwa sabata yatha, pomwe EUR / GBP ikugulitsa pafupifupi miyezi isanu ndi iwiri ndi akatswiri ambiri kulosera za kufanana ndi USD ndi EUR ngati zovuta, Johnson adalimbikitsa Brexit.
A Philip Hammond, wamkulu wa wogwirizira yemwe amalemekezedwa ndi Mzinda wa London, wasiya kale ntchito ndikunyamula zikwama zake m'malo modikira kuti achotsedwa ntchito. M'malo mwake adzawunikidwa mosamala ndi omwe atenga nawo mbali pamsika potengera kusowa kwa talente yodziwikiratu yomwe ilipo m'magulu a Tory (omwe ali ndi City komanso odziwa zachuma) omwe ndi ochezeka ndi Johnson. UK itha kupeza chancellor wake woyamba wamkazi, a Nicky Morgan, yemwe angakhale chisankho cholingalira komanso chotsitsimutsa.
Nkhani yotsutsana ndi Brexit ndikusankhidwa kwa Prime Minister watsopano ndizofunikira kwambiri ku UK sabata ino. Zochitika zina zodziwika bwino pazakalendala yazachuma zikuphatikiza ma metric angapo a IWC omwe awulula malingaliro amakampani aku Britain a Julayi. Reuters akuwonetseratu kuchepa kwamanenedwe osiyanasiyana, index-optimism index ikulosera kuti ifika mu -20 ya Julayi pomwe kuwerenga kudzalembedwa pa 11: 00 am UK nthawi Lachiwiri. Izi zitha kuyimira zaka zocheperako ndikubweretsa kukayikira komanso kudalirika kwa zomwe zaposachedwa za ONS, zomwe zikuwonetsa kuti kugulitsa kwakula monga GDP.
Chuma cha USA chidzawonetsedwa ndi microscope Lachisanu pomwe kuwerenga kwaposachedwa kwa GDP kumasindikizidwa. Chiyembekezo ndichakuti GDP idatsikira ku 1.8% kuchokera pa 3.1% pamiyeso ya QoQ yapachaka ya Q2. Mulingo wotere wa Q2 ungapereke umboni wotsimikizira kuti kukula ku USA ndikukula kwachuma kokha, monga zikuwonetsedwa ndi misika yayikulu kwambiri yolipiridwa ndi ngongole zochulukirapo. Dongosolo lokhazikika lazinthu komanso mitundu ingapo yanyumba ndi miyala yobwezeretsanso kunyumba, zitha kuwonetsa kuzama kwa mphamvu ya GDP yaku USA.
Ofufuza, osunga ndalama ndi amalonda azikhala ndi nkhawa kuti pali umboni wochepa wosonyeza kuti kukula kwa Wall Street kukutsikira ku Main Street. Komabe, sabata ino ndi gawo lotanganidwa kwambiri pazotsatira zamapindu, chifukwa chake, ngati mapindu apambana kuneneratu zamisika yamalonda ndipo ma indices atha kukhala ndi chifukwa chomveka chosindikizira mitengo yatsopano. SPX idataya -1.23% sabata yatha pomwe NASDAQ idataya -1.36%. Ndalama ya dola, DXY, idakwera ndi 0.35% popeza kubetcha kwa chiwongola dzanja chomwe chidadulidwa ndi FOMC kumapeto kwa Julayi chatsika. Kubetcheraku kumatha kuwonjezeka ngati chiwerengero cha GDP chibwera pa 1.8% pa Q2.
Pali mitundu yambiri ya IHS, Markit Eurozone PMIs yofalitsidwa Lachitatu m'mawa. Ambiri omwe amawerengedwa kuti ndi otsika kapena osindikizira, akatswiri ndi amalonda adzayang'ana pakupanga PMI yaku Germany ndikuwerengera kwathunthu kwa zochitika za kalendala yayikulu ya EZ Lachinayi ya EZ ikuphatikiza kulengeza kwa chiwongola dzanja cha 12:45 pm UK nthawi. Mgwirizano womwe anthu ambiri amakhala nawo ndi woti asungire 0.00% pomwe madipoziti akhalebe olimbirana malo oyipa -0.40%. Chisamaliro chidzafulumira kukamba za Purezidenti wa ECB a Mario Draghi nthawi ya 13:30 pm pomwe adzafotokozera zomwe zapangitsa chisankhocho ndikupereka chitsogozo chofananira ndi mfundo za ECB zandalama. Ndipamene amafotokozera komanso atolankhani kuti phindu la yuro limasinthasintha. EUR / USD yatsala pang'ono kuzungulira -0.45% sabata iliyonse popeza mphamvu za USD zimabwerera sabata yatha kudutsa.
Japan iwulula ziwonetsero zaposachedwa kwambiri pamakina a Juni Lachiwiri m'mawa, chiwerengero cha Meyi chinali chodabwitsa -38% chaka chilichonse. Ndi kutsika kwamitengo yotsika, GDP yotsika ndi ngongole v GDP yopitilira 300%, chuma cha Japan chimapitilizabe kuyenda zolimba. Markit PMI waposachedwa kwambiri wa Julayi adzawonetsa kusintha kulikonse pambuyo poti chiwonetsero cha Meyi chikuwonetsa kupindika pomwe chiwerengerocho chidafika pamunsi pa 50 pa 49.3.
Zolingalira zamadola antipodean zidzawonjezeka pamene ziwonetsero zamalonda zaposachedwa kwambiri ku New Zealand, kutumizira ndi kutumiza kunja kwaululidwa Lachiwiri madzulo. Ntchito zaku Australia, kupanga komanso kupanga ma PMI adzafalitsidwanso pomwe gawo lazamalonda ku Sydney liyamba. Lachinayi m'mawa Bwanamkubwa wa banki yayikulu ku Australia a Lowe akalankhula ku Sydney. Mwachilengedwe, ndemanga zake zokhudzana ndi kayendetsedwe ka kayendetsedwe ka ndalama ku RBA, zithandizira kuti malingaliro mu AUD awonjezeke.
Pomwe ndalama zogulitsa zonse AUD ndi NZD kuphatikiza CAD, zidzakhudzidwa ndi mayankho amsika wamafuta pazovuta zomwe zikuchitika pakati pa: Iran, UK ndi USA ku Strait of Hormuz. WTI idatsika -7.61% sabata yapitayi kuti ithe sabata mpaka $ 55.6 pomwe mavuto adachepetsedwa. Wogulitsa mafuta kwambiri Saudi Arabia ikufuna mafuta kuti agulitsidwe $ 80- $ 85 pa barre kuti athe kusinthira bajeti yake chaka chino, malinga ndi International Monetary Fund. Russia ikufunika mtengo wokwanira $ 53 monga momwe amachitira ku United States oyendetsa nyanja komanso ma frackers.
Mtengo wa golide unakwera kufika zaka zisanu ndi chimodzi m'masiku ogulitsira sabata yatha, siliva ndi palladium nawonso adawona kukwera kwakukulu. Zinthu zanyengo monga zikondwerero ndi zikondwerero ku Asia sizimasewera. Chifukwa chake, tanthauzo lokhalo lomveka lakukula kwazitsulo zamtengo wapatali m'masabata aposachedwa likuchokera pakukopa kotetezedwa kwazitsulo zamtengo wapatali. Mkuwa umangokwera 0.27% pachaka kotero palibe umboni woti zachilengedwe zapadziko lapansi zikukumana ndi kufunikira kwamafuta.
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