Chiwerengero chaposachedwapa cha kukula kwa GDP kwa chuma cha United States, chikhoza kusonyeza kuchepa, ngati chiwonongeko chikukwaniritsidwa
Ofufuza ndi amalonda a FX adzaika chidwi chawo paziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri za GDP zachuma ku USA, pomwe deta izidzasindikizidwa nthawi ya 12:30 pm nthawi yaku UK, Lachinayi pa 28 March. Mgwirizanowu udakwaniritsidwa, mabungwe atolankhani ngati Reuters ndi Bloomberg atafufuza gulu lawo lazachuma, agwera ku 2.4% pa chiwerengero chachinayi chachinayi (Q4) chaka chilichonse, kuchokera pa chiwerengero cha 2.6%, cholembedwera Q3 mu 2018. Chiwerengero cha QoQ ndichitsulo chosiyana ndi chiwerengero cha YoY, chomwe chikuyenda pa 3.10% pazachuma ku USA. Chiwerengero cha QoQ chaka chilichonse chitha kuwonedwa ngati chiwonetsero chomaliza cha 2018.
Ngati chiwerengero cha QoQ chikufika ku 2.4%, ziyenera kudziwika kuti kukula kwa GDP kotere kumayimilirabe m'modzi mwamphamvu kwambiri pachuma chotsogola cha G10, pomwe ndi India ndi China zokha zomwe zidapitilira USA patali. Chifukwa chake, ngati kuneneratu kuli kolondola, chiwerengerocho chikuyenera kuwonedwa mozungulira. Kukula kulikonse kwa GDP kuyeneranso kuyerekezedwa ndi ziwerengero zina zomwe zilipo ku USA, monga: inflation, ntchito / kusowa ntchito, ngongole v GDP, zoperewera ndi kuwerengera kosiyanasiyana kosavuta, komwe kumatha kuonedwa kuti ndi kwabwino, popeza palibe akuwonetsa zikwangwani zilizonse zachenjezo, zomwe akatswiri ali nazo nkhawa zazikulu.
Komabe, a Jerome Powell, wapampando wa Federal Reserve, adapereka chiwongolero chazitsogozo mu FOMC / Fed ndondomeko yamalamulo posachedwa, yomwe idatsagana ndi lingaliro laposachedwa la chiwongola dzanja. Pamsonkhano wake wa atolankhani (atasunga chiwongola dzanja cha 2.5%) adanenanso za nkhawa za FOMC pa: kuchuluka kwa ntchito, zoperewera, kukwera kwamitengo ndi zomwe zingakhudze GDP, monga lingaliro logwirizira lingaliro la FOMC; kusiya chiwongola dzanja chosasinthika, pomwe chiwongola dzanja chikuwonjezeka mu 2019. Nkhaniyi idapangitsa USD kugulitsa kwambiri, pomwe Mr. Powell amalankhula.
Palinso kukayikira komwe kukukula kuti kukula kwadziko lapansi kwachulukirachulukira, pazomwe zitha kukhala zoyendetsera ndalama komanso zoyendetsa ndalama. Zowona kuti nkhondo yamalonda ndi vuto la misonkho ku China, zikuyenera kuthetsedwa bwino, zitha kupewanso kulimba mtima komanso chiwopsezo pamalingaliro, kubwerera kumisika yamalonda.
Kalendala yazachuma iyi, kumasulidwa pamisonkhano, idatchulidwa kuti imakhudza kwambiri chifukwa; mbiri yakale imatha kusunthira msika wa ndalama za USD, makamaka ngati kuneneratu kwasowa, kapena kumenyedwa. Amalonda a FX omwe amakonda, kapena amakhazikika pamalonda a USD awiriawiri, ayenera kuwonetsetsa kuti ali okonzeka kuyang'anira mayendedwe aliwonse a FX ndikuwonetsetsa kuti adayikiratu, kuti athe kupindula ndi kusintha kulikonse.
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