Malamulo akulu a Nassim Taleb a upangiri wogulitsa zala

Epulo 3 • Pakati pa mizere • 8053 Views • 1 Comment pa malamulo akulu a Nassim Taleb a upangiri wa malonda a zala

shutterstock_89862334Nthawi ndi nthawi ndikofunika kuyang'ana m'malingaliro a ena mwa: amalonda 'odziwika', olemba nkhani komanso oganiza bwino mdziko lathu lazamalonda, kuti tiwone malingaliro awo pazinthu zambiri zamalonda zomwe timakumana nazo tsiku ndi tsiku maziko.

Chofunika kwambiri ndi kuthekera kwawo kungodula zolemba zonse zomwe zalembedwa pamakampani athu ndikungoti "tafika pofika". Zili ngati kuti zaka zawo makumi asanu ndi ziwirizi zidasankhidwa kuti zikhale zosapitilira khumi ndi ziwiri zomveka, zofunikira komanso zazifupi zomwe zitha kukonza malingaliro athu ena olakwika. A Mark Douglas atha kuchita izi m'buku lawo labwino kwambiri la "Trading in the Zone" pomwe malingaliro ndi zikhulupiriro zawo zakhala zodziwika bwino pamsika wathu.

Koma m'nkhaniyi ndi chimphona china chazamalonda chomwe tikufuna kuganizira - Nassim Taleb * yemwe adafalitsa "malamulo" asanu ndi anayi mu zomwe zidatchedwa "Trader Risk Management Lore". Owerenga pafupipafupi m'mizati iyi azindikira kuti (mwangozi kapena kapangidwe kake) tavomereza zambiri zonena zake m'nkhani zambiri zomwe tidapanga. Kuphatikiza apo, owerenga azindikira momwe Taleb adakhalira, m'malire ndi kutengeka mtima, pokhudzana ndi chiwopsezo chonse ndi kasamalidwe ka ndalama, mutu womwe umachitika mobwerezabwereza m'nkhani zathu zambiri.

Pansi pamutuwu tadula ndime zochepa kuchokera ku Wikipedia yokhudzana ndi Taleb komanso kwa amalonda mdera lathu kufunafuna zowerengera kuti onse azigwiritsa ntchito nthawi yogulitsa malonda ndikupanga njira yozungulira kwathunthu pamsika wathu Timalimbikitsa kuwerenga mabuku a Taleb kuphatikiza Black Swan ndi Fooled By Randomness.

Buku loyamba lopanda ukadaulo la Taleb, Wonyengedwa ndi Randomness, wonena zakunyalanyaza gawo lakusintha m'moyo, munthawi yomweyo kuwukira kwa Seputembara 11, adasankhidwa ndi Fortune ngati limodzi mwa mabuku 75 anzeru kwambiri odziwika.

Buku lake lachiwiri lopanda ukadaulo, The Black Swan, lonena za zochitika zosayembekezereka, lidasindikizidwa mu 2007, ndikugulitsa pafupifupi 3 miliyoni (kuyambira mu February 2011). Anakhala masabata 36 pamndandanda wa New York Times Bestseller, 17 ngati zikuto zolimba komanso milungu 19 ngati zolemba papepala ndipo adamasuliridwa m'zilankhulo 31. A Black Swan amadziwika kuti alosera zamabanki ndi mavuto azachuma a 2008.

Lore Trader Risk Management: Malamulo Aakulu a Taleb a Thumb

Lamulo Nambala 1- Osalimbikira misika ndi zinthu zomwe simukuzimvetsa. Udzakhala bakha wokhala.

Lamulo Nambala 2- Kukula kwakukulu komwe mudzatenge pambuyo pake sikungafanane ndi komwe mudamaliza. Osamvera mgwirizanowu wokhudza komwe kuli zoopsa (ndiye kuti, zoopsa zomwe VAR ikuwonetsa). Zomwe zingakupwetekeni ndi zomwe mumayembekezera pang'ono.

Lamulo Nambala 3- Khulupirirani theka la zomwe mwawerenga, palibe zomwe mumva. Musamaphunzire chiphunzitso musanachite zomwe mukuwona komanso kuganiza. Werengani chilichonse chazakufufuza zomwe mungathe koma khalani ogulitsa. Kafukufuku wosayang'aniridwa wa njira zocheperako angakusokonezeni kuzindikira kwanu.

Lamulo Nambala 4- Chenjerani ndi ogulitsa osagulitsa omwe amapanga ndalama zokhazikika-amakonda kuphulika. Amalonda omwe amatayika pafupipafupi atha kukupweteketsani, koma mwina sangakuphulitseni. Amalonda ogulitsa nthawi yayitali amataya ndalama masiku ambiri sabata. (Dzina Lophunzira: zochepa zazitsanzo za Sharpe ratio).

Lamulo Nambala 5- Misika idzatsata njira yovulazira ochulukirapo. Zingwe zabwino kwambiri ndizomwe mumayika nokha.

Lamulo Nambala 6- Musalole kuti tsiku lidutse musanaphunzire kusintha kwamitengo yazida zonse zomwe zikupezeka. Mudzakhala ndi malingaliro achibadwa omwe ali amphamvu kwambiri kuposa ziwerengero wamba.

Lamulo No. 7- cholakwika chachikulu kwambiri: "Chochitika ichi sichimachitika pamsika wanga." Zambiri zomwe sizinachitikepo msika wina zidachitikanso mumsika wina. Chowonadi chakuti wina samwalira kale sichimamupangitsa kukhala wosakhoza kufa. (Dziwani dzina: Vuto la Hume lodzilowetsa).

Lamulo Nambala 8- Musawoloke mtsinje chifukwa ndi wozama pafupifupi mamita anayi.

Lamulo Na. 9- Werengani buku lililonse la ochita malonda kuti muwerenge komwe adataya ndalama. Simuphunzira chilichonse chokhudzana ndi phindu lawo (kusintha misika). Mudzaphunzirapo pa zotayika zawo.

* Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb ndi wolemba nkhani waku Lebanese waku America, wophunzira komanso wowerengera, yemwe ntchito yake imangoyang'ana pamavuto osasintha, mwayi komanso kusatsimikizika. Buku lake la 2007 The Black Swan lidafotokozedwa pakuwunikiridwa ndi Sunday Times ngati limodzi mwamabuku khumi ndi awiri odziwika kwambiri kuyambira Nkhondo Yadziko II.

Taleb ndi wolemba wabwino kwambiri ndipo wakhala pulofesa m'mayunivesite angapo, pakadali pano Wodziwika Pulofesa wa Risk Engineering ku New York University Polytechnic School of Engineering. Iye wakhala akugwiritsanso ntchito ndalama za masamu, manejala wa hedge fund, wogulitsa zotumphukira, ndipo pakadali pano ndi mlangizi wasayansi ku Universa Investments ndi International Monetary Fund.

Adadzudzula njira zakuwopseza zomwe makampani azachuma amagwiritsa ntchito ndikuchenjeza za zovuta zachuma, zomwe zidapindulitsa pamapeto azachuma cha 2000s. Amalimbikitsa gulu lomwe amalitcha kuti "black swan robust", kutanthauza gulu lomwe lingathe kupirira zochitika zovuta kuzidziwiratu. Amapereka "anti-fragility" mu machitidwe, ndiye kuti, kuthekera kopindula ndikukula kuchokera pagulu linalake la zochitika zosachitika, zolakwika, komanso kusasinthasintha komanso "kusokosera kopitilira muyeso" ngati njira yodziwira asayansi, mwa zomwe amatanthauza kuti mayesero ngati mayesero opambana, kuwunika kotsata.
Chiwonetsero Chadongosolo Akaunti Akaunti Yowonongeka Sungani Akaunti Yanu

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