Kodi nthawi yomwe ndikulephera yomwe ndikukumana nayo pano mpaka pano, kapena mwayi wongochitika chabe chifukwa cha zochitika za 'kunja'?
Mwayi ndi mawu okangana kwambiri komanso zomwe zimayambitsa mikangano pamalonda. Popeza takhala miyezi ingapo ndipo zaka zambiri kuti tipeze njira yopambana yogulitsira, kuti pamapeto pake tiziike m'ndondomeko yathu yogulitsa umboni, ndizovuta kwambiri kuti aliyense wa ife avomereze kuti chinthu chachikulu chomwe tili nacho pantchito yathu yayitali chatsika ku zochitika zosavuta za mwayi.
Kuvomereza kuti tili pamsika wamsika komanso kuti palibe m'modzi wa ife amene angadziwiretu, motsimikiza, zomwe msika udzachite kenako ndi lingaliro lovuta kwambiri kwa ambiri a ife kuti timvetse. Ndizovuta kuvomereza lingaliro loti kuchuluka kwa ntchito zathu kuyenera kukhala zotayika kuti tikhale opindulitsa nthawi zonse. Malingaliro onse awiriwa ndi, monga tidanenera mzati izi kale, ndizotsutsana ndi momwe 'timayamikirira' kuyandikira mayesero ambiri omwe makampani athu amatikakamiza kuthana nawo tsiku ndi tsiku komanso sabata iliyonse.
Pambuyo poti takhala miyezi yambiri (kapena zaka) kuti tipeze njira yabwino yogulitsira malonda ndipo takhala ndi nthawi yokwanira yofananira kuti tidziphunzitse kutsatira zomwe tikugulitsa, zitha kukhala zopweteka kwambiri malonda athu Njira imayamba kulephera ndipo mwina tikufika, kapena tikuyamba kuwopseza zovuta zomwe timayika mumalonda athu. Koma ndi nthawi iti pomwe timataya pansi malingaliro athu ndi malingaliro athu ndizovuta zomwe tikukumana nazo.
Momwe timabwerera kumbuyo, kuti tiwunikenso njira yathu, tisanayigwiritse kapena kuyisiya kwathunthu, ndiimodzi mwayeso yayikulu yomwe tikumane nayo ngati amalonda ndipo 'mayesero athu amoyo wamalonda' amatifotokozera monga amalonda. Pofufuza njira zathu zamalonda titha kuyamba kuwulula ngati mwayi wachita chilichonse pazotayika zathu zaposachedwa. Koma kodi timayang'ana kuti zikwangwani m'mbiri yathu yaposachedwa yamalonda kuti mwayi wosavuta watenga gawo lalikulu pamalonda athu ndipo palibe cholakwika ndi njira yathu ndi malingaliro athu onse ogulitsa?
Ogulitsa kunja *, zomwe ali mgulitsidwe ndi komwe angayang'ane zizindikiro zawo
Monga momwe owerenga athu azidutswa zanthawi zonse adzafotokozera kuti timasindikiza nkhani yamlungu iliyonse yotchedwa "kodi chizolowezicho ndi mnzanu?" momwe timasanthula zakumbuyo zomwe zitsimikizire kuti zomwe zikuchitika sabata ino ndizosankha komanso malingaliro. Kuphatikizidwa ndi izi timapezanso mtundu wofufuza kwambiri pogwiritsa ntchito zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito kwambiri komanso zomwe zimawonetsedwa. Zomwe zakhala zikudziwika posachedwapa zakhala zotsatira za zomwe timagulitsa ogulitsa ndi zomwe akukhala nazo pamisika yomwe timagulitsa.
Chochititsa chidwi kwambiri ndi zomwe zakhala zikuchitika ku Ukraine, pomwe mikangano idayamba kudera la Crimea misika yomwe idagulitsidwa, makamaka m'makampani aku Europe kenako euro. Mavuto atachepa misika idayambiranso. Ndiye tinali kukayikira kuti (monga momwe ndalama zinayambira ku USA) ambiri amakampani opangaukadaulo omwe atchulidwa pa NASDAQ kwenikweni amayenera kuwerengera kwakukulu poyerekeza ndi zomwe apeza pano. Kenako tachira, koma m'masiku awiri apitawa mantha aku Ukraine awonekeranso ngati nkhondo pakati pa magulu ochezeka aku Russia m'mizinda yambiri ya Ukraine ndi akuluakulu aboma la Ukraine lomwe langopangidwa kumene. afika pachisankho chachiwawa.
Tsopano kuyang'ana nkhani zonsezi zaposachedwa, kapena ngati tsango, amalonda ambiri adzipeza nthawi zina, kutengera ngati akuyendetsa kapena kugulitsa masana, mbali yolakwika ya msika sakusintha popanda vuto lililonse zawo zokha kupatula kutsatira dongosolo lawo. Kunena zowona, zomwe tapereka pazomwe zachitika posachedwa zinali zosatheka kwa amalonda ambiri kuti azigulitsa masabata aposachedwa, makamaka kwa omwe akuchita malonda ndipo ndizomwe tisanayambire kuwonjezera zina mwazinthu zina zofunika kuzisankhira, kusowa kwa ntchito ndi ziwerengero zina zachuma. Monga kuti ntchito yathu sinali yovuta mokwanira takhala tikulimbana ndi zovuta zosiyanasiyana zovuta m'masabata apitawa, sizodabwitsa kuti ambiri aife tikhala ndi malo osakhalitsa osiyira kukayikira njira yathu yonse ndi njira zamalonda.
Ndizosatheka kuneneratu kuti ziwerengero zowerengera zidzachitika liti ndipo ndizovuta kuzindikira kuti mwina tili pamzere wowombera zomwe zikuchitika chifukwa ambiri mwa omwe akugulitsa kunja kwa bizinesi yathu siotsogola ndi akatswiri a masamu, poyang'ana m'mbuyo, tchulani. Kuphatikiza apo, sitingagulitse zakale zomwe akatswiri ama masamu ndi masamu amatizindikira.
Koma zomwe tingachite, popeza zomwe takumana nazo zikukula, ndikusintha 'malonda athu' kuti azindikire tikakhala pakati pazogulitsa maelstrom zomwe zingayambitse. Tili ndi zisankho ziwiri zosavuta; kugulitsa kapena kusachita malonda…
Titha kugulitsa mphepo yamkuntho yomwe ikukugulitsirani kunja, kapena tikungodzigwetsa pansi ndikumvetsa chisoni kungoyang'ana kumbuyo kutitsimikizira chomwe chinali chisankho cholondola. Komabe, ngakhale kuli kwachibadwa kukayikira njira ndi malingaliro anu pazochitika zakunja mosakaika ingakhale nthawi yolakwika kusintha kapena kuyimitsa njira yomwe idatsimikiziridwa kale. Nthawi yowunikira iyenera kubwera tikazindikira kuti malonda ndi 'abwinobwino,' kapena abwinobwino monga momwe tingayembekezere mdziko lamphamvu la malonda a FX, ma indices, kapena zinthu zina, abwereranso kumalo athu ogulitsa.
* Tanthauzo la ogulitsa kunja
Mwa ziwerengero, wakunja ndi malo owonera omwe sali kutali ndi zomwe awona. [1] Wogulitsa kunja atha kukhala chifukwa chakusintha kwamiyeso kapena atha kuwonetsa zolakwika zoyeserera; omalizawa nthawi zina samachotsedwa pazambiri. [2]
Ogulitsa amatha kuchitika mwangozi pakugawana kulikonse, koma nthawi zambiri amawonetsa zolakwika kapena kuti anthu agawidwa kwambiri. M'mbuyomu munthu akufuna kuzitaya kapena kugwiritsa ntchito ziwerengero zomwe zimakhala zolimba kwa omwe sagulitsa, pomwe pano zikuwonetsa kuti magawowo ali ndi kurtosis yayikulu ndipo ayenera kukhala osamala pogwiritsa ntchito zida kapena malingaliro omwe amagawidwa bwino. Zomwe zimayambitsa kugulitsa kwakanthawi ndizosakaniza magawo awiri, omwe atha kukhala ochepa, kapena atha kuwonetsa 'kuyesa koyenera' motsutsana ndi 'zolakwika'; izi zimapangidwa ndi mtundu wosakaniza.
M'mitundu yayikulu kwambiri yazidziwitso, ma data ena amakhala kutali ndi tanthauzo la zitsanzo kuposa zomwe zimawoneka kuti ndi zomveka. Izi zitha kukhala chifukwa chakulakwitsa kapena zolakwika zina mwaziphunzitso zomwe zidabweretsa banja loganiza kuti lingagawidwe, kapena mwina kuwonera kwina sikuli pakatikati pa zidziwitso. Mfundo zomwe zatchulidwazi zitha kuwonetsa zolakwika, njira zolakwika, kapena madera omwe lingaliro lina lingakhale losavomerezeka. Komabe, m'mitundu yayikulu, ochepa omwe akugulitsidwa amayembekezeredwa (osati chifukwa cha zovuta zilizonse).
Zogulitsa kunja, pokhala zowonera kwambiri, zitha kuphatikizira zitsanzo zochepa kwambiri, kapena zonse ziwiri, kutengera ngati ndizokwera kwambiri kapena zochepa. Komabe, zitsanzo zochulukirapo komanso zocheperako sizimakhala zowonekera nthawi zonse chifukwa mwina sizingakhale kutali kwambiri ndi zomwe zimawoneka.
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