CHITSANZO CHA MLUNGU WANG'ONSE 08/02 - 12/02 | INVESTOR OPTIMISMS YAFALIKIRA PADZIKO LONSE, PAMENE VACCINE YOPHUNZITSIRA IYENDA PANSI, USD IKUPITILIZA KULIMBIKITSA ANTHU AMENE AMAKHALA

Feb 5 • Kodi Njirayo Ndiyayi Bwenzi Lanu? • 2202 Views • Comments Off pa SNEKSHOT YA MLUNGU WIKIYIKI 08/02 - 12/02 | INVESTOR OPTIMISMS YAFALIKIRA PADZIKO LONSE, PAMENE VACCINE YOPHUNZITSIRA IYENDA PATSOGOLO, USD IKUPITILIRA

Pakati pa sabata yamalonda yomwe imatha pa 5 February misika yamalonda yakhala ikukulirakulira, zifukwa zomwe zakhazikitsidwanso pachiwopsezo ndizosiyanasiyana.

  • - Katemera amatuluka ku United States, UK ndi madera ena aku Europe akupita patsogolo monga momwe anakonzera, ndipo nthawi zina, patsogolo pa chandamale. Chiyembekezo chikukula kuti mafunde aposachedwa kwambiri akumadzulo akwera.
  • - Chifukwa cha katemera wophatikizika komanso njira zotsalira zomwe zidatsalira, maboma ndi madipatimenti azaumoyo padziko lonse lapansi akuyang'ana mosamala nthawi yamasika kuti akwaniritse zomwe abwerera.
  • - Joe Biden, Janet Yellen, ndi Jerome Powell akuyenera kupanga gulu logwira bwino ntchito. Kukhazikika kwa Purezidenti Joe Biden kubweretsa ku White House kwalimbikitsa malingaliro azachuma. Malankhulidwe ake achipongwe, apadziko lonse lapansi, amtundu uliwonse ayenda bwino kumadera onse apadziko lapansi.

Kuphatikizana ndi zomwe zakonzedwa posachedwa kukonzekera komanso wapampando wa Federal Reserve a Jerome Powell akugwira ntchito bwino ndi Secretary of Treasure Janet Yellen (yemwe kale anali pampando wa Fed), tsogolo likuwoneka lowala kwa nzika zaku US komanso chuma chawo.

Kwa milungu itatu motsatizana, manambala osagwira ntchito sabata iliyonse agwa, pomwe zotsalazo zikucheperachepera. Otsatsa ayang'ana manambala aposachedwa a NFP komanso kuchuluka kwa ulova komwe kudasindikizidwa Lachisanu 5 nthawi ya 1:30 PM nthawi yaku UK kuti apereke umboni kuti kutayika kwa ntchito kwatha ndipo ntchito ikukula.

Omwe ali ndi mphamvu sangathe kunyalanyaza zovuta zomwe zimachitika pambuyo pa COVID-19

Maboma, mabanki apakati, akatswiri azachuma, komanso osunga ndalama samanyalanyaza zoyesayesa zofunikira kuti USA, UK, ndi EA atuluke mu dzenje lachuma la COVID-19 pomwe (ngati) katemera ndi zotchinga zikugwira ntchito, ndipo titha kupitiliza. Mwa mayendedwe ena, kutsika kwachuma kwakhala kozama kwambiri kwazaka mazana ambiri.

Lipoti laposachedwa kuchokera ku Bank of England Lachinayi likuwonetseratu zowona zake. Zonenedweratu kuti Q4 2020 GDP ibwere pa -2.2% ndi GDP ya chaka ku -8.6%. Komabe, BoE ikuyerekeza kuchuluka kwa GDP ya Q1 2021 kuti ibwere ku -4% pomwe Q3 idadziwika ngati kotala pomwe kukula kudzabwerera.

USD ikupitilizabe kukula kwake mu 2021  

Pakadali pano, mu 2021, dola yaku US yalemba zopindulitsa zambiri motsutsana ndi anzawo. Dola la DXY limakwera 1.59% pachaka ndi 2.05% pamwezi. Pofika 91.35 dengu la ndalama lidakali 10% kutsika pafupifupi motsutsana ndi Meyi 2020. Komabe, mndandandandawu wayamba kuchira pang'ono poyerekeza ndi anzawo.

Monga chitsanzo cha mphamvu ya USD nthawi ya 2021 pakadali pano, mwezi / EUR / USD watsika -2.87%, AUD / USD yatsika -2.44%, USD / JPY yakwera 2.24%, USD / CHF yakwera 2.74%. GBP / USD ndi kupatulapo awiriawiri zikuluzikulu ndalama; ikukwera ndi 0.60% pamwezi.

Sabata lotsatira

Malinga ndi Reuters, mafakitale aku Germany akuyenera kuwulula kugwa kwa Disembala -1.6% pomwe chiwerengerocho chikufalitsidwa Lolemba London isanatsegulidwe. Kuphatikizidwa ndi zina zomwe zidasowa ku Germany posachedwa, metric imatha kugunda mtengo wa DAX ndi euro.

Kupitiliza mutu wama data aku Germany pa Lachiwiri, ziwerengero zamalonda zaposachedwa zimasindikizidwa pakukula kwa EA. Zoneneratu ndi zochulukirapo za 16.2B mu Disembala ku Germany, kugwa kuchokera ku 17.2B euros mu Novembala.

Ntchito zaposachedwa pantchito (JOLTS) zomwe zidasindikizidwa mu gawo la New York zikuyenera kutsimikizira kuti US ikupita patsogolo pantchito. Zoneneratu ndikutseguka kwa 6.25M, chilichonse pamwambapa 6 M chimawerengedwa kuti chikuyenda bwino.

Zonenedweratu kuti ndizosungira mafuta ku US kuwonetsa migolo -4.26m ikugwa, zomwe zimakhudza mtengo wamtengo.

Lachitatu Gawo la Tokyo liziwonetsa kusindikiza kwatsopano kwa China kwa CPI (inflation) ku China. Chaka ndi mwezi, kukwera kwamitengo kumayenera kuwulula kukwera. Kukula kwa inflation ku Germany kuyenera kuwonetsa kuchuluka kwa 1% pachaka. Mutu wama inflation ukupitilira nthawi yamalonda Lachitatu ndi zomwe zaposachedwa ku US CPI. A 0.2% mu Januware, kusunga chiwongola dzanja cha pachaka ndi 1.4%.

Munthawi ya New York, dongosolo la bajeti ku US ndi dongosolo la Januware la mwezi uliwonse zimasindikizidwa. Malinga ndi akatswiri, ndalama za Januware ziyenera kubwera pa - $ 147B.

Kuyang'ana sabata iliyonse ku zonena zaku US zopanda ntchito kumachitika Lachinayi, ndipo akatswiri akuyembekeza kuti madandaulo opanda ntchito agwera 4th sabata mndandanda, mpaka 750K.

Maso apadziko lonse lapansi ogulitsa adzayang'ana ku GDP yaku UK ikamasulidwa nthawi ya 7:00 AM nthawi yaku UK Friday, msonkhano waku London usanatsegulidwe.

Reuters amaneneratu -2% Q4 2020, pomwe chithunzi chomaliza cha 2020 chikhala -8%. Gawo lofunikira kwambiri pakutha kwa kotala lidzafika pomanga -8.6% ndikupanga -7.2%.

Bank of England ikuwonetseratu -4.0% ya Q1 2021. Ngati ulosi uwu ukwaniritsidwa, ndiye pofika Q2 UK ibwerera kuzachuma, zokhazikitsidwa ngati magawo awiri motsatizana. Yuro imatha kukakamizidwa ndikuwonjezera kulingalira pamtengo umodzi wa bloc pomwe zidziwitso zaposachedwa kwambiri za mafakitale zitha kusindikizidwa ku 10: 00 AM ku Euro Area. Chaka chilichonse kupanga kumayenera kuwulula kugwa kwa -3.2% ndi -2.2% mu Disembala.

Comments atsekedwa.

« »