Momwe lipoti la COT lingathandizire kusambira ndi kugulitsa amalonda a forex, ndi kupanga zisankho.
Kutanthauzira mwachidule kwa zomwe lipoti la COT lilidi, limakhala ngati mawu oyamba othandiza pazomwe zimachitika lipotilo. Ikuwunikiranso momwe ingawonjezere phindu pamachitidwe ndi malingaliro a amalonda a FX, mulimonse momwe angathere.
Lipoti la Commitments of Trader ndi lipoti lamsika lomwe limasindikizidwa ndi Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Lachisanu lirilonse, kuwonetsa kusungidwa kwa omwe akutenga nawo mbali m'misika yamtsogolo, ku United States kokha.
Ripotilo lagwirizanitsidwa ndi zomwe zatulutsidwa ndi CFTC, kuchokera kuzomvera kuchokera kwa amalonda onse m'misika yosiyanasiyana, yomwe CFTC imayang'anira. Ripotilo limafotokoza zamtsogolo pa: mbewu, ng'ombe, zida zachuma (kuphatikiza FX), zitsulo, mafuta ndi zinthu zina. Kusinthana komwe kumagulitsa zamtsogolo zotere, makamaka ku Chicago ndi New York.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) imatulutsa lipoti lawo laposachedwa Lachisanu lililonse nthawi ya 3:30 masana nthawi yakum'mawa, lipotilo likuwonetsa zomwe amalonda adachita Lachiwiri la sabata. Malipoti a Malonda a Amalonda nthawi zambiri amafupikitsidwa monga; "CoT", kapena "COT." Ripotilo lidasindikizidwa koyamba mu Juni 1962, komabe, malinga ndi mbiri yakale, lipotilo loyambilira lidayambira ku 1924, pomwe a department of Agriculture of Grain Futures Administration aku US, adayamba kufalitsa pafupipafupi lipoti la Commitments of Trader.
Amalonda ambiri olosera amatha kugwiritsa ntchito malipoti a Commitments of Trader kuti awathandize kusankha ngati angatenge nthawi yayitali, kapena posachedwa. Lingaliro lomwe limafala kwambiri ndikuti ofufuza ang'onoang'ono nthawi zambiri amalakwitsa, chifukwa chake, malo abwino kutenga ndi otsutsana ndi maudindo osadziwika, omwe amalonda ang'onoang'ono adzakhala nawo. Lingaliro lina ndiloti akatswiri, amalonda amalonda, amamvetsetsa msika wawo kutali kuposa kuposa nthawi yochepa, amalonda ogulitsa. Kutenga mbali yotsutsana ndi malo ogulitsa amalonda, ali ndi mwayi wabwino wopindula, malinga ndi amalonda ndi akatswiri ambiri odziwa zambiri.
Lipoti la COT silikutanthauza msika wa FX, msika wochepa chabe wamtsogolo wa zochitika za FX. Komabe, omwe amapereka COT ali ndimakampani akulu akulu ndi ma hedge fund, chifukwa chake, lipotilo lingakhale lofunika kwambiri, kwa oyendetsa kapena kuyika amalonda. Kwenikweni, COT ikuwonetsa malingaliro am'malo omwe amalonda amagwirira ntchito ndi ma hedge fund. Awa ndi anthu (ndi makampani) omwe amakonda kusanthula misika, asanafike paudindo wanthawi yayitali, izi zikusiyana kwambiri ndi opyola pamoto kapena ogulitsa masana, omwe amatha kusintha kuchoka kuzinthu zazitali mpaka zazifupi (komanso mosemphanitsa), ndizofupikitsa zindikirani, nthawi zambiri kangapo patsiku la tsiku.
Zomwe zikutsatira apa, ndizofotokozera mwachidule komanso mwachidule za lipotilo lofalitsidwa Lachisanu lapitali Meyi 24. Zomwe zafotokozedwazo, zimangoyang'ana pamaudindo okhudzana ndi ndalama za forex zomwe zimakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi ambiri amalonda a FX osati zinthu zina, kapena zotetezedwa zina. Ripotilo limafotokoza malowa, afupikitsa kapena aatali, omwe amachitika ndi ndalama motsutsana ndi dola yaku US.
Chidziwitso chachinsinsi; omwe akuchita nawo msika omwe amafotokozera ku CFTC, akadalibe ndalama zonse poyerekeza ndi dollar, kupatula peso waku Mexico.
Maudindo afupipafupi awonjezeka:
- Malo ochepa mu dollar yaku Australia adakwera ndi mapangano 2,065, mpaka -66.1K mapangano.
- Maudindo afupiafupi ku Britain pound sterling adakwera ndi ma 22,834 contract, mpaka -26.1K contract.
- Malo ochepa mu euro adakwera ndi mapangano 5,801, mpaka -101.1K contract.
Udindo wautali watsika:
- Malo ataliatali ku Peso yaku Mexico adatsika ndi mapangano 1,722 pamipangano ya + 146.5K.
Malo ochepa adatsika:
- Malo ochepa mu dollar ya New Zealand adatsika ndi ma 574 contract, mpaka -10.9K contract.
- Malo ochepa mu yen yaku Japan adakana ndi mapangano 6,388, mpaka -55.2K mapangano.
- Malo ochepa ku Swiss franc adatsika ndi mapangano a 2,515, mpaka -37.5K contract.
- Malo ochepa mu dollar yaku Canada adatsika ndi mapangano 5,352, mpaka -42.2K mapangano.
Ngakhale kuti tsatanetsatane wake ndi wodzifotokozera, ndibwino kulemba chidule mwachangu pamalangizo ndi malingaliro onse omwe akuwonetsedwa ndi izi, pogwira mawu awiriawiri.
Ponseponse, amalonda adakulitsa malo awo achidule ku AUD / USD, GPB / USD, ndi EUR / USD. Pamaziko a deta, amalonda adakulitsa kwambiri zazifupi zawo za EUR / USD.
Ponseponse, amalonda adachepetsa malo awo achidule mu USD / CHF ndi USD / CAD. Malo ochepa motsutsana ndi dollar ya New Zealand Kiwi, ndi ma yen aku Japan, nawonso achepetsedwa.
Vuto lomwe amalonda ali nalo, makamaka omwe akusinthanitsa kapena omwe akuchita maudindo, ndikuti agwirizane ndi izi kuchokera ku lipoti la COT ndi zisankho zawo zazikulu komanso zaluso. Tiyenera kudziwa kuti izi zatsalira kwambiri; misika yazachitetezo zina zitha kukhala zitatembenuka, lipoti lisanatulutsidwe. Komabe, ngati mukugulitsa ma chart a tsiku ndi tsiku kapena sabata iliyonse, mukuyang'ana ndalama zowonjezera kuchokera ku forex, mosiyana ndi kugulitsa zinthu zofunika pamoyo, kuphatikiza: kusanthula ukadaulo, kalendala yazachuma, zochitika zandale za geo ndi lipoti la COT, zitha kuganiziridwa njira yodziwika bwino kwambiri.
« Makampani ogulitsa US equity amagulitsa pomwe a Trump akuwonetsa kuti malonda aku China ndi China ali kutali, USD ikukwera, pomwe azimayi nawonso amathawira ku US. NZD imagwa pambuyo poti bwanamkubwa wa RBNZ Orr apereke ziwonetsero, JPY ndi USD zikukwera ngati malo achitetezo, misika yamalonda ku Europe igwa pomwe mantha apadziko lonse abwerera. »
