Feb 19 • Zogulitsa Zamalonda, Nkhani Zotentha, Ndemanga za Msika • 2640 Views • Comments Off pa Focus ipita ku Lachitatu madzulo pamlingo wokhazikitsa kuchuluka kwa FOMC, kuti zitsimikizire kuti mfundo zoyendetsera ndalama zikuchitika
Nthawi ya 19:00 pm nthawi yaku UK, Lachitatu 20th February, a FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee), adzalengeza mphindizo kuchokera pamsonkhano wawo wa Januware, masiku awiri. Mapeto ake, FOMC yalengeza kuti chiwongola dzanja chofunikira ku chuma cha USA, sichingasinthe mpaka 2.5%, zitakwera katatu za 0.25% iliyonse, zidalimbikitsidwa mu 2018.
Pamsonkano ndi atolankhani patangotsala pang'ono kulengeza za FOMC, wapampando wa Fed, a Jerome Powell, yemwenso ndi mneneri wa FOMC, adapereka zomwe zimawerengedwa kuti ndi mfundo zoyipa zandalama. Momwe adaperekera lingaliro kuti FOMC / Fed mwina isamamatira ku mfundo zankhanza za hawkish, zomwe zidafotokozedwa ndikutsatira, mu 2018.
Mwachilengedwe, osunga ndalama, ochita malonda pamsika ndi amalonda a FX adzafufuza mwachidule mphindi Lachitatu madzulo, pofuna kudziwa komwe komiti ili; dovish kapena hawkish? Ndipo kuti tiwone ngati lingaliro lokhalabe ndi chiwongola dzanja chachikulu pa 2.5%, lidali lingaliro lalikulu, kapena ngati panali mawu otsutsana, pamgwirizano wonse.
Pamsonkano wake wa atolankhani mu Januware, a Powell adanenanso za: kuchepa kwa inflation (pansi pa chandamale cha 2%), kukula kwa GDP pazachuma ku USA, komanso mavuto omwe Purezidenti Trump adachita, mokhudzana ndi malonda aku China ndi USA nkhondo ndi tit yogwiritsa ntchito tat tariff. Zomwe zidabweretsa kusatsimikizika komanso kukonza kwakukulu m'misika yamalonda ku USA, mu Disembala 2018, pomwe mavuto ku China adafika pachimake.
Kukula kwa GDP kwachuma ku USA pakadali pano kuli 3% YoY komanso ku 3.4% QoQ yapachaka. Komabe, ofufuza ambiri omwe atchulidwa munyuzipepala yachuma, akuwonetseratu kuti GDP YoY ikhoza kugwera ku 2.6% pomwe mndandanda wotsatira udawululidwa. Zambiri zomwe zachedwa chifukwa boma litatseka mu Januware. Kukwera kwamitengo pakadali pano kuli 1.6%, chifukwa chake, sizingadabwe ngati mphindi za msonkhano wa FOMC zidalemba mosamala, kuwonetsa kuti komitiyo sinathamangire kukweza kuchuluka kwa mapulogalamu atatu, omwe adalimbikitsa chaka chatha.
Amalonda a FX akuyenera kulembetsa zochitika za kalendala yotereyi, popeza kuti mbiriyi ili ndi mphamvu yosunthira misika ku USA ndi mtengo wa USD, motsutsana ndi anzawo. Tiyeneranso kudziwa kuti mawuwa amabwera pamlingo wambiri wamalonda a FX, msonkhano wa London utatha, ndipo gulu la malonda a FX limaperekedwa m'misika yaku USA. Chifukwa chake, kupezeka kwachuma kungakhale vuto, ma USD awiriawiri akukumana ndi ma spikes, kapena kukwapula mosiyanasiyana, munthawi komanso atangotulutsidwa kumene.
« Yen agwa pomwe banki ya Japan Kazembe Kuroda akuwonetsa kuti achepetse panjira, ma euro akutuluka monga akuneneratu akuti awulula kukula Sterling ikukwera pazokambirana pamtendere za Brexit, dola yaku US imagwa pomwe zokambirana zamalonda aku China zikuwonetsa kupita patsogolo pang'ono »
Kuyang'ana kudzatembenukira ku kuchepa kwa mitengo ya FOMC Lachitatu madzulo, ngati umboni kuti mfundo zoyeserera zachuma zikupanga
Feb 19 • Zogulitsa Zamalonda, Nkhani Zotentha, Ndemanga za Msika • 2640 Views • Comments Off pa Focus ipita ku Lachitatu madzulo pamlingo wokhazikitsa kuchuluka kwa FOMC, kuti zitsimikizire kuti mfundo zoyendetsera ndalama zikuchitika
Nthawi ya 19:00 pm nthawi yaku UK, Lachitatu 20th February, a FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee), adzalengeza mphindizo kuchokera pamsonkhano wawo wa Januware, masiku awiri. Mapeto ake, FOMC yalengeza kuti chiwongola dzanja chofunikira ku chuma cha USA, sichingasinthe mpaka 2.5%, zitakwera katatu za 0.25% iliyonse, zidalimbikitsidwa mu 2018.
Pamsonkano ndi atolankhani patangotsala pang'ono kulengeza za FOMC, wapampando wa Fed, a Jerome Powell, yemwenso ndi mneneri wa FOMC, adapereka zomwe zimawerengedwa kuti ndi mfundo zoyipa zandalama. Momwe adaperekera lingaliro kuti FOMC / Fed mwina isamamatira ku mfundo zankhanza za hawkish, zomwe zidafotokozedwa ndikutsatira, mu 2018.
Mwachilengedwe, osunga ndalama, ochita malonda pamsika ndi amalonda a FX adzafufuza mwachidule mphindi Lachitatu madzulo, pofuna kudziwa komwe komiti ili; dovish kapena hawkish? Ndipo kuti tiwone ngati lingaliro lokhalabe ndi chiwongola dzanja chachikulu pa 2.5%, lidali lingaliro lalikulu, kapena ngati panali mawu otsutsana, pamgwirizano wonse.
Pamsonkano wake wa atolankhani mu Januware, a Powell adanenanso za: kuchepa kwa inflation (pansi pa chandamale cha 2%), kukula kwa GDP pazachuma ku USA, komanso mavuto omwe Purezidenti Trump adachita, mokhudzana ndi malonda aku China ndi USA nkhondo ndi tit yogwiritsa ntchito tat tariff. Zomwe zidabweretsa kusatsimikizika komanso kukonza kwakukulu m'misika yamalonda ku USA, mu Disembala 2018, pomwe mavuto ku China adafika pachimake.
Kukula kwa GDP kwachuma ku USA pakadali pano kuli 3% YoY komanso ku 3.4% QoQ yapachaka. Komabe, ofufuza ambiri omwe atchulidwa munyuzipepala yachuma, akuwonetseratu kuti GDP YoY ikhoza kugwera ku 2.6% pomwe mndandanda wotsatira udawululidwa. Zambiri zomwe zachedwa chifukwa boma litatseka mu Januware. Kukwera kwamitengo pakadali pano kuli 1.6%, chifukwa chake, sizingadabwe ngati mphindi za msonkhano wa FOMC zidalemba mosamala, kuwonetsa kuti komitiyo sinathamangire kukweza kuchuluka kwa mapulogalamu atatu, omwe adalimbikitsa chaka chatha.
Amalonda a FX akuyenera kulembetsa zochitika za kalendala yotereyi, popeza kuti mbiriyi ili ndi mphamvu yosunthira misika ku USA ndi mtengo wa USD, motsutsana ndi anzawo. Tiyeneranso kudziwa kuti mawuwa amabwera pamlingo wambiri wamalonda a FX, msonkhano wa London utatha, ndipo gulu la malonda a FX limaperekedwa m'misika yaku USA. Chifukwa chake, kupezeka kwachuma kungakhale vuto, ma USD awiriawiri akukumana ndi ma spikes, kapena kukwapula mosiyanasiyana, munthawi komanso atangotulutsidwa kumene.
« Yen agwa pomwe banki ya Japan Kazembe Kuroda akuwonetsa kuti achepetse panjira, ma euro akutuluka monga akuneneratu akuti awulula kukula Sterling ikukwera pazokambirana pamtendere za Brexit, dola yaku US imagwa pomwe zokambirana zamalonda aku China zikuwonetsa kupita patsogolo pang'ono »