Marichi 11 • Zogulitsa Zamalonda, Ndemanga za Msika, Kuthamanga kwa Mmawa Wammawa, Opanda Gulu • 2227 Views • Comments Off pa Focus ikhalabe pa mapaundi aku UK, mkati mwa sabata yogulitsa kuyambira pa Marichi 10th, pomwe mavoti atatu ovuta a Brexit adzachitikira ku nyumba yamalamulo yaku UK
Sabata yogulitsa yomwe ikutha pa Marichi 8th, yatha ndi ziwerengero zowopsa; deta yaposachedwa ya NFP pantchito ya February (kuchokera ku BLS yaku USA), idawulula kuti ndi ntchito 20,000 zokha zomwe zidapangidwa pamwezi. Ndalama zazikuluzikulu zaku USA zidagulitsidwa pa nkhani, kutaya sabata limodzi la zotayika, ndi magawo onse, kuyambira Lolemba mpaka Lachisanu, kutseka. Potsatira kutuluka kwamabampu koyambirira kwa 2019, komwe ma indices adakwera ndi 9.4% ndi 11.6% motsatana, zidzakhala zosangalatsa kuzindikira ngati chidaliro chabwezeretsedwanso kuzinthu zamsika wamsika, monga SPX ndi NASDAQ, New York ikatsegulidwa Lolemba 11 Marichi.
Makina ofunikira, okwera kwambiri, zochitika pakalendala, za FX ndi amalonda amalonda kuti akhalebe tcheru, mokhudzana ndi chuma cha USA, akuyamba Lolemba ndi ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri zogulitsa. Zoneneratu ndi -0.10% chiwerengero cha Januware, zomwe zidanenedweratu zakusintha kwa chiwonetsero -1.20%, cholembedwa Disembala.
Lachiwiri zidziwitso zaposachedwa kwambiri za inflation ku USA (CPI) zidzalengezedwa, malinga ndi Reuters chiwonetsero chazambiri chikuyembekezeka kukhalabe ku 1.60% YoY, ndikukwera mpaka 0.60% kuchokera ku 0.20%, mwezi wa February. Lachitatu likuchitira umboni kufalitsa madongosolo azinthu olimba pakadali pano a Januware, kunenedweratu ndikugwa kwa -0.50%. Mitengo yakutumiza ndi kutumiza kunja kwa USA idzasindikizidwa Lachinayi, monganso zomwe zikanakhala zakusowa kwantchito, zomwe zimasindikizidwa Lachinayi lililonse.
Chiwerengero chamakono cha USA Jolts (kutsegulidwa kwa ntchito) chidzaperekedwa Lachisanu, chithunzi chomwe chiziwunikidwa mosamala, kutengera lipoti losauka la NFP sabata yatha. Kuwerenga kwa malingaliro aku University of Michigan, imodzi mwazinthu zolemekezedwa kwambiri, zofewa, zomwe zimawerengedwa ku USA (atapatsidwa cholowa chake), zikuyembekezeredwa ndi Reuters kuwulula chiwerengero cha 95.6 cha Marichi, kuchoka pa 93.8 mu february.
Amalonda a FX adzafunika kuwunika mosamala izi, potengera kuthekera kwawo kusunthira msika ku USD ndipo zimalumikizidwa ndi anzawo. Ogulitsa ndalama adzafunikanso kukhala tcheru ku zochitika zazikulu zandale, zokhudzana ndi chuma cha USA, zomwe zalephera kukwaniritsa ziganizo, monga; mgwirizano womwe ukuchitika pakati pa China-USA ndi misonkho komanso kuyambiranso koopsa kwa nkhanza ku North Korea. Ngakhale kugwa motsutsana ndi JPY mkati mwa sabata yamalonda yomwe imatha pa Marichi 8, index ya dollar idakwera ndi 0.81% sabata, mpaka 97.30. Pomwe USD idapeza phindu lalikulu motsutsana ndi EUR ndi GBP ndipo ndi anzawo ena akulu.
Kugwa kwadzidzidzi mu GDP yaku China yomwe idasindikizidwa posachedwa, ndikutsatiridwa ndi ziwerengero zodabwitsa zakunja; kugwa ndi -20.2% chaka ndi chaka, kudapangitsa kuti anthu azikhala ndi mpweya wabwino sabata yamawa. Monga injini yakukula padziko lonse lapansi, kugwa kwakukulu kapena kufunikira kwa China, kumatha kubweretsa mavuto pazachuma padziko lonse lapansi. Zambiri zaku China sabata ino zimaphatikizaponso malonda aposachedwa ogulitsa ndi mafakitale, omwe adzafalitsidwe Lachinayi 14th, limodzi ndi chidziwitso chazatsopano chazomwe chinafalitsidwa Lolemba ku Asia, chomwe chikuyembekezeka kuwonetsa kuchepa kwakukulu.
Sterling yatsimikizira kukhala bizinesi yovuta m'masabata apitawa, popeza ndalama zake ziwiri zidakwapulidwa m'mitundu yosiyanasiyana; yotakata kapena yopapatiza, yotsika kapena yopanda malire, yolumikizana ndi kuswa kulikonse, nkhani za Brexit. Sabata yoyambira Marichi 11th ikhala sabata yovuta kwambiri ku mapaundi aku UK, chifukwa chake, amalonda abwino ayenera kukhalabe tcheru pankhani zandale mkati mwa magawo azamalonda sabata ino osati zochitika zachuma zokha, makamaka zokhudzana ndi UK GBP / USD idagwa -1.42% sabata iliyonse kumapeto kwa Marichi 8, EUR / GBP idakwera ndi 0.30% ndipo GBP / CHF idatsika -0.83%, mkati mwa sabata pomwe awiriawiriwa amakhala m'mizere yambiri.
Lachiwiri, Nyumba Yamalamulo yaku UK ivotanso pamgwirizano wobwerera (WA), pulani B ya Theresa May ikufanana ndi pulani A, yomwe idasankhidwa mu Januware. Zikuyembekezeka kuti chiwonetsero chachiwiri cha WA nawonso chidzasankhidwa. Pambuyo pake, Lachitatu ndi Lachinayi, mavoti enanso awiri achitika. Voti imodzi yoyesera kuletsa mgwirizano Brexit, voti inayo idzakhala mgwirizano wopita ku EU kupempha kuti awonjezere nthawi, kuti achedwetse Brexit pa Marichi 29th. Komabe, sizokayikitsa kuti EU ipereka mwayi kwa boma la UK kuti liwononge nthawi yambiri. Chifukwa chake, pokhapokha Nyumba Yamalamulo yaku UK ikabwera ndi chifukwa chowonjezera, monga; referendum yachiwiri pa WA, kapena chisankho chachikulu, palibe chifukwa chowonjezera kuwonjezera.
Zochitika zandalezi zitha kuphimba zochitika zilizonse zachuma zomwe zikukhudzana ndi UK komanso awiriawiri monga GBP / USD, GBP / CHF ndi EUR / GBP, zikuyenera kukhala zowonjezereka ndikuyerekeza, chifukwa mavoti osiyanasiyana amatengedwa komanso msika umakhudzidwa kuyesedwa. Komabe, pali zochitika zingapo za kalendala yaku UK zomwe ziyenera kufotokozedwa mkati mwa sabata, zomwe zitha kusunthanso misika ya GBP, makamaka ngati zomwe akunenerazo zikuphonya kapena kumenya zomwe Reuters amanenera, patali.
Chofunika kwambiri, zomwe zaposachedwa kwambiri za GDP ku UK zidzafalitsidwa 9:30 am Lachiwiri pa Marichi 12, pamodzi ndi ma data ena ovomerezeka, osindikizidwa ndi bungwe lowerengera ku UK la ONS patsikuli. Chiyembekezo ndichakuti chiwerengero cha 0.20% chidzalembetsedwe kukula kwa GDP pa Q4 2018, chiwerengero cha mwezi wa Januware chikuyembekezeranso kubwera pa 0.20%. Zambiri zamakampani, zopanga, ntchito ndi zomangamanga ku UK zikuyembekezeredwa ndi Reuters kuti zizikhala zotsekemera, chaka ndi chaka. Pomwe ziwerengero za mwezi wa Januware zikuyembekezeka kukula bwino, poyerekeza ndi zomwe adawerenga mwezi watha. Chiwerengero chazamalonda aku UK chikuyembekezeka kuwulula kuchepa kwakukulu; - £ 3,500m ya Januware.
Zambiri za Eurozone zomwe zidasindikizidwa sabata, zomwe zingakhudze mtengo wa yuro, zimayamba ndi zidziwitso zaku Germany zomwe zidasindikizidwa Lolemba, kuphatikiza mafakitale aposachedwa komanso kusinthanitsa kwamalonda, ziwerengero zonsezi zikuyembekezeka kuwulula kusintha pang'ono. Lachinayi kutsika kwamitengo yaku Germany (CPI) akuyembekezeka kukhalabe pa 1.60%. Lachisanu, Eurozone CPI ikuyembekezeka kubwera ku 0.30% pamwezi pa February, kukwera mpaka 1.50% YoY mpaka February. Kutulutsidwa komwe kungapangitse kuti euro ikwere motsutsana ndi anzawo, ngati amalonda angaone kuti CPI ikukwera, mogwirizana ndi malangizo aposachedwa a ECB ndi malingaliro ake, ataperekedwa sabata yatha.
Zida zamakina aposachedwa kwambiri ku Japan zalamula zidzafalitsidwa m'mawa kwambiri Lachiwiri pa Marichi 12, kuwerenga komaliza komaliza kwa mwezi wa February YoY kudawulula kugwa kwa -18.8%, kusintha kulibe. Maoda a Machine a Januware, mwezi uliwonse komanso pachaka, akuyembekezeredwa kugwa. Ponseponse, mndandanda wama makina ndi zida zogwiritsira ntchito, zitha kukhudza phindu la yen poyerekeza ndi anzawo, ngati akatswiri ndi amalonda a FX amakayikira mphamvu yaku Japan, pomwe akuganizira zomwe BOJ ingatenge, pokhudzana ndi kutaya kwawo, mfundo za ndalama.
Kumayambiriro kwa Lachisanu m'mawa, mu ola loyamba la malonda aku Asia, zisankho zaposachedwa kwambiri kuchokera ku BOJ zidzalengezedwa, akatswiri azachuma a Reuters adafunsidwa, akuwonetseratu kuti milingoyo ikhalebe -0.10%. Ndondomeko iliyonse yokhudzana ndi ndalama, kapena kusintha kwa BOJ pakadali pano, kumatha kuwona zochulukirapo ndikuyerekeza mu yen.
« Amalonda osauka aku China amatumiza zododometsa pamisika yamalonda ndi ndalama Zambiri zakukula kwa GDP yaku UK, kuphatikiza zofalitsa zina zakuluzikulu komanso kuphulika kwaposachedwa kwa Brexit, zitha kuchititsa kuti awiriawiri azikwapula pamalonda Lachiwiri ku London »
Maganizo adzatsalira pa mapaundi aku UK, mkati mwa sabata yogulitsa kuyambira pa Marichi 10th, pomwe mavoti atatu ovuta a Brexit adzachitikira ku nyumba yamalamulo yaku UK
Marichi 11 • Zogulitsa Zamalonda, Ndemanga za Msika, Kuthamanga kwa Mmawa Wammawa, Opanda Gulu • 2227 Views • Comments Off pa Focus ikhalabe pa mapaundi aku UK, mkati mwa sabata yogulitsa kuyambira pa Marichi 10th, pomwe mavoti atatu ovuta a Brexit adzachitikira ku nyumba yamalamulo yaku UK
Sabata yogulitsa yomwe ikutha pa Marichi 8th, yatha ndi ziwerengero zowopsa; deta yaposachedwa ya NFP pantchito ya February (kuchokera ku BLS yaku USA), idawulula kuti ndi ntchito 20,000 zokha zomwe zidapangidwa pamwezi. Ndalama zazikuluzikulu zaku USA zidagulitsidwa pa nkhani, kutaya sabata limodzi la zotayika, ndi magawo onse, kuyambira Lolemba mpaka Lachisanu, kutseka. Potsatira kutuluka kwamabampu koyambirira kwa 2019, komwe ma indices adakwera ndi 9.4% ndi 11.6% motsatana, zidzakhala zosangalatsa kuzindikira ngati chidaliro chabwezeretsedwanso kuzinthu zamsika wamsika, monga SPX ndi NASDAQ, New York ikatsegulidwa Lolemba 11 Marichi.
Makina ofunikira, okwera kwambiri, zochitika pakalendala, za FX ndi amalonda amalonda kuti akhalebe tcheru, mokhudzana ndi chuma cha USA, akuyamba Lolemba ndi ziwerengero zaposachedwa kwambiri zogulitsa. Zoneneratu ndi -0.10% chiwerengero cha Januware, zomwe zidanenedweratu zakusintha kwa chiwonetsero -1.20%, cholembedwa Disembala.
Lachiwiri zidziwitso zaposachedwa kwambiri za inflation ku USA (CPI) zidzalengezedwa, malinga ndi Reuters chiwonetsero chazambiri chikuyembekezeka kukhalabe ku 1.60% YoY, ndikukwera mpaka 0.60% kuchokera ku 0.20%, mwezi wa February. Lachitatu likuchitira umboni kufalitsa madongosolo azinthu olimba pakadali pano a Januware, kunenedweratu ndikugwa kwa -0.50%. Mitengo yakutumiza ndi kutumiza kunja kwa USA idzasindikizidwa Lachinayi, monganso zomwe zikanakhala zakusowa kwantchito, zomwe zimasindikizidwa Lachinayi lililonse.
Chiwerengero chamakono cha USA Jolts (kutsegulidwa kwa ntchito) chidzaperekedwa Lachisanu, chithunzi chomwe chiziwunikidwa mosamala, kutengera lipoti losauka la NFP sabata yatha. Kuwerenga kwa malingaliro aku University of Michigan, imodzi mwazinthu zolemekezedwa kwambiri, zofewa, zomwe zimawerengedwa ku USA (atapatsidwa cholowa chake), zikuyembekezeredwa ndi Reuters kuwulula chiwerengero cha 95.6 cha Marichi, kuchoka pa 93.8 mu february.
Amalonda a FX adzafunika kuwunika mosamala izi, potengera kuthekera kwawo kusunthira msika ku USD ndipo zimalumikizidwa ndi anzawo. Ogulitsa ndalama adzafunikanso kukhala tcheru ku zochitika zazikulu zandale, zokhudzana ndi chuma cha USA, zomwe zalephera kukwaniritsa ziganizo, monga; mgwirizano womwe ukuchitika pakati pa China-USA ndi misonkho komanso kuyambiranso koopsa kwa nkhanza ku North Korea. Ngakhale kugwa motsutsana ndi JPY mkati mwa sabata yamalonda yomwe imatha pa Marichi 8, index ya dollar idakwera ndi 0.81% sabata, mpaka 97.30. Pomwe USD idapeza phindu lalikulu motsutsana ndi EUR ndi GBP ndipo ndi anzawo ena akulu.
Kugwa kwadzidzidzi mu GDP yaku China yomwe idasindikizidwa posachedwa, ndikutsatiridwa ndi ziwerengero zodabwitsa zakunja; kugwa ndi -20.2% chaka ndi chaka, kudapangitsa kuti anthu azikhala ndi mpweya wabwino sabata yamawa. Monga injini yakukula padziko lonse lapansi, kugwa kwakukulu kapena kufunikira kwa China, kumatha kubweretsa mavuto pazachuma padziko lonse lapansi. Zambiri zaku China sabata ino zimaphatikizaponso malonda aposachedwa ogulitsa ndi mafakitale, omwe adzafalitsidwe Lachinayi 14th, limodzi ndi chidziwitso chazatsopano chazomwe chinafalitsidwa Lolemba ku Asia, chomwe chikuyembekezeka kuwonetsa kuchepa kwakukulu.
Sterling yatsimikizira kukhala bizinesi yovuta m'masabata apitawa, popeza ndalama zake ziwiri zidakwapulidwa m'mitundu yosiyanasiyana; yotakata kapena yopapatiza, yotsika kapena yopanda malire, yolumikizana ndi kuswa kulikonse, nkhani za Brexit. Sabata yoyambira Marichi 11th ikhala sabata yovuta kwambiri ku mapaundi aku UK, chifukwa chake, amalonda abwino ayenera kukhalabe tcheru pankhani zandale mkati mwa magawo azamalonda sabata ino osati zochitika zachuma zokha, makamaka zokhudzana ndi UK GBP / USD idagwa -1.42% sabata iliyonse kumapeto kwa Marichi 8, EUR / GBP idakwera ndi 0.30% ndipo GBP / CHF idatsika -0.83%, mkati mwa sabata pomwe awiriawiriwa amakhala m'mizere yambiri.
Lachiwiri, Nyumba Yamalamulo yaku UK ivotanso pamgwirizano wobwerera (WA), pulani B ya Theresa May ikufanana ndi pulani A, yomwe idasankhidwa mu Januware. Zikuyembekezeka kuti chiwonetsero chachiwiri cha WA nawonso chidzasankhidwa. Pambuyo pake, Lachitatu ndi Lachinayi, mavoti enanso awiri achitika. Voti imodzi yoyesera kuletsa mgwirizano Brexit, voti inayo idzakhala mgwirizano wopita ku EU kupempha kuti awonjezere nthawi, kuti achedwetse Brexit pa Marichi 29th. Komabe, sizokayikitsa kuti EU ipereka mwayi kwa boma la UK kuti liwononge nthawi yambiri. Chifukwa chake, pokhapokha Nyumba Yamalamulo yaku UK ikabwera ndi chifukwa chowonjezera, monga; referendum yachiwiri pa WA, kapena chisankho chachikulu, palibe chifukwa chowonjezera kuwonjezera.
Zochitika zandalezi zitha kuphimba zochitika zilizonse zachuma zomwe zikukhudzana ndi UK komanso awiriawiri monga GBP / USD, GBP / CHF ndi EUR / GBP, zikuyenera kukhala zowonjezereka ndikuyerekeza, chifukwa mavoti osiyanasiyana amatengedwa komanso msika umakhudzidwa kuyesedwa. Komabe, pali zochitika zingapo za kalendala yaku UK zomwe ziyenera kufotokozedwa mkati mwa sabata, zomwe zitha kusunthanso misika ya GBP, makamaka ngati zomwe akunenerazo zikuphonya kapena kumenya zomwe Reuters amanenera, patali.
Chofunika kwambiri, zomwe zaposachedwa kwambiri za GDP ku UK zidzafalitsidwa 9:30 am Lachiwiri pa Marichi 12, pamodzi ndi ma data ena ovomerezeka, osindikizidwa ndi bungwe lowerengera ku UK la ONS patsikuli. Chiyembekezo ndichakuti chiwerengero cha 0.20% chidzalembetsedwe kukula kwa GDP pa Q4 2018, chiwerengero cha mwezi wa Januware chikuyembekezeranso kubwera pa 0.20%. Zambiri zamakampani, zopanga, ntchito ndi zomangamanga ku UK zikuyembekezeredwa ndi Reuters kuti zizikhala zotsekemera, chaka ndi chaka. Pomwe ziwerengero za mwezi wa Januware zikuyembekezeka kukula bwino, poyerekeza ndi zomwe adawerenga mwezi watha. Chiwerengero chazamalonda aku UK chikuyembekezeka kuwulula kuchepa kwakukulu; - £ 3,500m ya Januware.
Zambiri za Eurozone zomwe zidasindikizidwa sabata, zomwe zingakhudze mtengo wa yuro, zimayamba ndi zidziwitso zaku Germany zomwe zidasindikizidwa Lolemba, kuphatikiza mafakitale aposachedwa komanso kusinthanitsa kwamalonda, ziwerengero zonsezi zikuyembekezeka kuwulula kusintha pang'ono. Lachinayi kutsika kwamitengo yaku Germany (CPI) akuyembekezeka kukhalabe pa 1.60%. Lachisanu, Eurozone CPI ikuyembekezeka kubwera ku 0.30% pamwezi pa February, kukwera mpaka 1.50% YoY mpaka February. Kutulutsidwa komwe kungapangitse kuti euro ikwere motsutsana ndi anzawo, ngati amalonda angaone kuti CPI ikukwera, mogwirizana ndi malangizo aposachedwa a ECB ndi malingaliro ake, ataperekedwa sabata yatha.
Zida zamakina aposachedwa kwambiri ku Japan zalamula zidzafalitsidwa m'mawa kwambiri Lachiwiri pa Marichi 12, kuwerenga komaliza komaliza kwa mwezi wa February YoY kudawulula kugwa kwa -18.8%, kusintha kulibe. Maoda a Machine a Januware, mwezi uliwonse komanso pachaka, akuyembekezeredwa kugwa. Ponseponse, mndandanda wama makina ndi zida zogwiritsira ntchito, zitha kukhudza phindu la yen poyerekeza ndi anzawo, ngati akatswiri ndi amalonda a FX amakayikira mphamvu yaku Japan, pomwe akuganizira zomwe BOJ ingatenge, pokhudzana ndi kutaya kwawo, mfundo za ndalama.
Kumayambiriro kwa Lachisanu m'mawa, mu ola loyamba la malonda aku Asia, zisankho zaposachedwa kwambiri kuchokera ku BOJ zidzalengezedwa, akatswiri azachuma a Reuters adafunsidwa, akuwonetseratu kuti milingoyo ikhalebe -0.10%. Ndondomeko iliyonse yokhudzana ndi ndalama, kapena kusintha kwa BOJ pakadali pano, kumatha kuwona zochulukirapo ndikuyerekeza mu yen.
« Amalonda osauka aku China amatumiza zododometsa pamisika yamalonda ndi ndalama Zambiri zakukula kwa GDP yaku UK, kuphatikiza zofalitsa zina zakuluzikulu komanso kuphulika kwaposachedwa kwa Brexit, zitha kuchititsa kuti awiriawiri azikwapula pamalonda Lachiwiri ku London »