Yon semèn se yon bon bout tan nan komès dviz ...

25 jen • Se tandans toujou zanmi ou • 3574 Vizitè • Kòmantè Off sou yon semèn se yon bon bout tan nan komès dviz ...

As always, when we experience a seismic shift in sentiment in the tandans foreksFX market, it always looks so obvious in hindsight. Before we begin to concentrate on what may, or may not be new trends that have developed on our major currency pairs and commodity pairs since the fall out of the FOMC meeting of last week, we’d like to cast a weary eye over to some of the exotic currencies which have made some stunning moves in recent days…

Peso pèdi vitès ...

Peso Meksik la tonbe nan pi gwo maj li yo depi kriz finansye mondyal la an 2008 akòz espekilasyon ke Rezèv Federal USA a pral koupe sou estimilis monetè li yo ki ta chanje nèt demann lan pou byen nasyon Amerik Latin nan.

Peso a tonbe 4.5 pousan semèn sa a kont dola a 13.3050 pou chak dola ameriken, pi gwo n bès nan chak semèn depi Novanm 2008, rekipere yon ti kras pa 0.5 pousan nan Vandredi. Alamante pwodiksyon an sou obligasyon peso (akòz nan 2024) leve nèf pwen baz, oswa 0.09 pwen pousantaj, a 6.02 pousan, vag semèn sa a te approx. 85 pwen baz.

Jounal Kore di sid te genyen, pèdi ...

Ganyan an te soufri pi gwo gout li yo chak semèn nan plis pase ven mwa ak obligasyon tonbe apre Minis Finans Kore di Sid la te deklare plan enprevi yo te revize kòm koupe posib estimilis Rezèv Federal la frape mache yo.

Endèks la aksyon Kospi pèdi 3.5 pousan depi Rezèv Federal la siyal sou 19 jen ke li ka kòmanse diminye acha kosyon ane sa a.

Genyen an te tonbe 2.5 pousan kont dola a 1,154.15 nan Seoul semèn pase a, pi gwo n bès depi 23 septanm 2011. Lajan an te tonbe 0.7 pousan nan Vandredi manyen 1,159.33, nivo ki pi fèb temwen nan prèske 12 mwa.

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Lajan Azyatik tonbe

Lajan Azyatik tonbe nan pi plis yo nan plis pase 21 mwa semèn pase a kòm Prezidan an Rezèv Federal deklare ke bank santral la ap pwobableman diminuer estimilis ki te alimenté lajan ap koule tankou dlo nan mache émergentes yo.

Roupi peyi Zend lan te touche yon dosye ki ba ak ringgit Malezi a te gen pi move semèn li yo nan twa zan apre Bernanke deklare sou 19 jen ke $ 85 milya dola nan yon mwa nan acha dèt, ke yo rekonèt kòm quantitative ti soulajman, yo ka pran pare ane sa a ak te fini nan 2014 osi lontan ke US la. ekonomi fè nan liy ak estimasyon Fed.

Armageddon isn’t confined to the USA, the Eurozone and the UK.

Occasionally we get to see behind Ben Bernanke’s Wizard Of Oz curtain and on a humane level you have to have sympathy for the man given that he’s currently the financial equivalent of Atlas holding up, not just the USA economy, but as he proved this week if Atlas shrugs the after shocks could be immediate and cataclysmic. The unlimited QE programme that the USA Federal Reserve embarked on might have had huge and dubious ‘benefits’ for the prices of equities worldwide, but we experienced a sneak preview of what unintended consequences could occur when (and it’s not an ‘if’) the Fed finally switches of the financial life support mechanism and it isn’t going to be pretty….

Pespektiv tandans pou semèn kòmanse 23 jen 2013.

USD nan konsantre kont lajan pi gwo ak komodite

A return to the traditional risk on-risk off paradigm returned with avengeance last week; as indices fell there was an immediate correlated return to the dollar as a safe haven asset. Versus yen, euro, Canadian dollar and sterling the dollar ‘enjoyed’ a marked secular rally.

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Kab

Cable suffered a significant fall post the FOMC meeting having breached the 200 simple moving average for several days in the previous week. Looking at the daily time frame the conditions still favour the bears; most of the commonly used indicators for plotting swing trends are bearish; the PSAR is above price, the MACD is printing lower lows as is the DMI. Looking at the price action (using Heikin Ashi candles) we didn’t experience the classic doji on the daily chart, this reversal was more violent – an open candle with an extended downward tail. Li enposib yo kreye jistifikasyon pou yon komès tandans long tou kondisyon aktyèl yo egziste.

Turning our attention to EUR/USD we witnessed a new perfect doji using H.A. candles on the 19th of June. However, rather than indicating classic indecision the reversal was as sudden as that experienced in cable. The following days until the week’s end saw the currency pair push through support each day to breach S2 on the 21st. Similar to cable and using the same basic indicator set MACD, the DMI and PSAR all exhibit bearish tendencies. As with cable it’s impossible to justify a long trend trade based on the current graphical evidence displayed on the charts underpinned by the lack of confidence in the markets since the FOMC announcements and statements.

Dola - Yen parèt yon doji tou pre pafè sou 18th a, jou ki vini anvan fen reyinyon FOMC la. Petèt envestisè kwè ke dola a te oversold anvan pwononsyasyon yo FOMC. Ranvèsman an nan tandans te byen lwen mwens dramatik pase ki gen eksperyans nan kab ak euro yo. Malgre anpil kondisyon optimis yo te rankontre, lè triyangulan anpil nan endikatè yo souvan itilize, aksyon an pri se toujou endesizif. Li ta konprann si anpil envestisè kenbe yon pozisyon net sou pè lajan sa a.

Dola Ostralyen an te flate pou twonpe e li te pwouve yon komès tandans ekstrèmman difisil pou rele sou semèn ki sot pase yo. Èske w gen parèt jwenn momantòm nan tèt la, akòz envestisè anpil kwè ke Aussie a te oversold, lajan an retounen nan yo te vann koupe apre reyinyon an FOMC. An verite ogmantasyon an pat janm konvenk; gade endikatè ki pi fondamantal mete DMI a, (yon zouti eksepsyonèl pou itilize pou komès tandans sou yon nivo ajiste 20) rete bearish te panse gyrations yo depi nan kòmansman mwa me. Li ta pwouve difisil diskite kont komèsan ki aktyèlman kout AUS / USD.

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